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Tuesday, July 26, 2011

KLCI Stock - GTRONIC / 7022 - 2011 Quarter 2

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)266,168,509 (Small)
Par ValueRM 0.50

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(0.995-0.045)/0.1141 = 8.33 (Moderate)
Target Price1.03+0.045 = 1.07 (PE 9.0, EPS 0.1141, DPS 0.045)
DecisionNot interested unless stock price break resistance 1.04
Comment
Revenue increased 3.3% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 0.2%, eps increased 17% but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 1.4%, cash generated from operating is more than enough to cover all expenses, stronger liquidity ratio at moderate level now, higher gearing ratio at below moderate level now, all accounting ratio are good
First Support Price1.0
Second Support Price0.9
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
MIDF Target Price1.4 (2011-04-27)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity12.29%
Dividend Yield6.18%
Profit Margin12.18%
Tax Rate10.98%
Asset Turnover0.92
Net Asset Value Per Share0.94
Net Tangible Asset per share0.94
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.06
Cash Per Share0.3
Liquidity Current Ratio2.6704
Liquidity Quick Ratio2.4385
Liquidity Cash Ratio1.5209
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.2346
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.19
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale31.1%
Days to sell the inventory18
Days to collect the receivables62
Days to pay the payables61

My notes based on 2011 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue & pbt than FY10Q2 due to slightly better volume loadings

- Higher revenue & pbt than FY10Q2 due to continuous higher volume loadings from some of the Group’s key customers. The higher net profit is also caused by one-off events in quarter 1 i.e. Chinese New Year shutdown and lesser working days

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0282*3*1.05+0.0241*1.05 = 0.1141, estimate PE on current price 0.995 = 8.33(DPS 0.045)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.1139*1.1 = 0.1253, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.53/7.05 (DPS 0.0965)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0326*4 = 0.1304(no decrease due to high tax expenses), estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.46/6.85 (DPS 0.0965)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0326*4 = 0.1304, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.97/7.67 (DPS 0.09)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.026*4 = 0.104(0.026 is average of latest recent quarter), estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.94/8.94 (DPS 0.09)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0904+0.0007+(0.0911*0.05) = 0.0957(adjustment from 0.0233-0.0226 and 5% grow adjustment), estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.61/12.85 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0226*4 = 0.0904, estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.36/9.07 (DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0183*4 = 0.0732, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.64/8.74 (DPS 0.055)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0137*4 = 0.0548, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.78/13.05 (DPS 0.025)

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