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Showing posts with label DAYANG. Show all posts
Showing posts with label DAYANG. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 21, 2012

KLCI Stock - DAYANG / 5141 - 2012 Quarter 3

DAYANG ENTERPRISE HOLDINGS BERHAD


Company Description
DAYANG ENTERPRISE HOLDINGS BERHAD is a Malaysia-based investment holding company. The Company is engaged in providing maintenance services, fabrication operations, hook-up and commissioning and chartering of marine vessels. The wholly owned subsidiaries of the Company are Dayang Enterprise Sdn Bhd (DESB), DESB Marine Services Sdn Bhd (DMSSB) and Fortune Triumph Sdn Bhd (FTSB). DESB is involved in providing maintenance services for topside structures, pipes and valves, electrical and instrumentation, fabrication operations, and hook-up and commissioning services for the oil and gas industry. DMSSB is involved in the chartering of marine vessels, including floating accommodation and catering. FTSB provides rental equipment and machinery to the various players in the oil and gas industry.

Company Info
Listing Date2008-04-28
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,292,500,000 (Large)
Par ValueRM 0.50
BoardMain
SectorTrading/Services
Major IndustryOffshore Maintenance Services
Sub IndustryCharter of Marine Vessels
Websitehttp://www.desb.net/

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(2.35-0.1)/0.2251 = 10.00 (Moderate)
Target Price2.48+0.1 = 2.58 (PE 11.0, EPS 0.2251, DPS 0.1)
DecisionBUY if stock price sustain and uptrend follow with SMA20 or rebound near around 2.2
Comment
Revenue increased 10.9% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 25.7%, eps increased 31.7% and was second consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 36.2%, cash generated from operating enough to cover financing expenses but still spent 17.2% of Group cash to cover investing expenses, operating margin is keep improving from 16% to 40%, liquidity ratio indicate very firm can meet current obligation, gearing ratio indicate low liabilities risk and better leverage through payables, higher ratio of receivables than payables will require more cash, most segment business growth
First Support Price2.2
Second Support Price2.0
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
MIDF Target Price2.32 (2012-07-26)
BIMB Target Price2.88 (2012-09-03)
HLG Target Price2.65 (2012-11-19)
OSK Target Price2.9 (2012-11-20)
Public Target Price2.88 (2012-11-20)
RHB Target Price2.64 (2012-11-20)
HwangDBS Target Price2.95 (2012-11-21)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity20.29%
Dividend Yield4.26%
Gross Profit Margin53.77%
Operating Profit Margin40.47%
Net Profit Margin40.79%
Tax Rate20.29%
Asset Turnover0.5553
Net Asset Value Per Share1.03
Net Tangible Asset per share1.03
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share2.2
Cash Per Share0.38
Liquidity Current Ratio3.1667
Liquidity Quick Ratio3.1547
Liquidity Cash Ratio1.6727
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.3272
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.2465
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale65.6%
Days to sell the inventory2
Days to collect the receivables163
Days to pay the payables166

Technical Analysis
SMA 102.241 (Uptrend)
SMA 202.239 (Uptrend 36 days)
SMA 502.128 (Uptrend)
SMA 1002.036 (Uptrend)
SMA 2002.006 (Uptrend)
MACD (26d/12d)0.037979 ( 0.006536 )
Signal (9)0.036746 ( 0.000308 )
MACD Histogram0.001233 (Bullish trend 1 day)
Bolinger Upper Band2.378
Bolinger Lower Band2.1

My notes based on 2012 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue and pbt mainly due to higher fleet utilisation and additional revenue from the charter of a new workboat, Dayang Topaz and marine charter business got higher profit margin contribution

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q3 result announced = 0.0536*4*1.05 = 0.2251, estimate PE on current price 2.35 = 10(DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced = 0.0857*2*1.1 = 0.1885, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.67/9.92 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 502299*0.145/549700 = 0.1325, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.25/13.28 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 523694*0.15/530333 = 0.1481, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.52/12.15 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.187, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.07/8.88 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = (0.0442+0.0354)*2*1.1 = 0.1751, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.57/7.48 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0354*4*1.2 = 0.1699, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.89/9.3 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0326(17927/550000)*4*1.1 = 0.1434, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.06/12.9 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0526*4*1.1 = 0.2314, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.22/12.14 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.1239*1.1 = 0.1363 (0.1239 is recent 4Q cum_eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.94/14.16 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.129/4(average eps from recent 4Q)*0.9 = 0.1161 (10% drop year-to-year), estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.67/12.79 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.1237*0.9 = 0.1113(10% drop year-to-year), estimate highest/lowest PE = 19.14/14.82 (DPS 0.05, correction to last Q estimated)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.1246, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.21/9.71 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.1548, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.98/6.91 (DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.1338, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.67/3.73 (DPS 0.14)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.15, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.87/ (DPS 0.14)

DAYANG latest news (English)

DAYANG latest news (Chinese)


Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetc_assetliabc_liabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdategros_moper_mprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2012-11-1920123N/AN/A-7.91%16.91%1271683166775187210943241348884490.07520.1609748794398411184597125811-56419770326735103328721148731843647117501654970054970012478192012-09-3053.77%40.47%40.79%20.29%0.5553-1.031.032.20.383.16673.15471.67270.32720.246565.6%2163166
2012-08-28201222.31.970.056.00%9.01%114669189509373895756031374471010.05710.085769559238095016167890856-533914374404893419751211487114943124518024254970054970011048972012-06-3045.06%32.27%32.61%16.09%0.5603-0.970.972.070.394.19294.1752.37080.30280.232474.4%3153117
2012-05-22201212.121.86-3.01%3.01%7484074840201712017115727157270.02860.0286685837391838183538111702-50229915694360341074821148720340959220189554970054970010994002012-03-3138.51%26.02%26.95%22.03%0.545-0.910.912.20.453.50793.49282.23130.36540.267674.9%3137153
2012-02-27201142.251.90.053.38%22.52%991133823061590410659612604839160.02290.1582690644399268167738108650-5229069355120184287906896211373514252521148754970053033311268852011-12-3134.22%16.79%16.05%20.75%0.553512.95560.990.992.070.453.67483.65662.25520.32080.242976.0%3144129
2011-11-22201132.171.76-8.14%19.13%101139283193383149069230346713120.05520.1361674034367226165473120358-50856159461326953548868961921561276441966055500005238099955002011-09-3047.98%38.64%37.88%20.80%0.5439-0.970.971.870.363.05113.04041.63350.32540.245567.3%2168174
2011-08-23201121.951.410.056.53%10.99%98696182054301775237824323409660.04420.080264166534720513549088375-506175319514919538105689618114611925118821255000051049710065002011-06-3042.01%32.79%30.58%19.40%0.5266-0.990.991.850.343.92883.91422.12970.26770.211276.6%3170132
2011-05-24201112.071.63-4.47%4.47%8335783357222002220016642166420.03540.0354697172466783187792102677-50938023764179511160456896158131218581908194705564705569411122011-03-3140.15%28.42%26.63%25.04%0.4241-1.081.081.850.694.54614.53383.17230.36870.2694123.1%3172172
2011-02-23201042.211.90.055.46%20.92%83415255385220818305917668677310.05020.192454708633107017438189266-372705644783406718675572263041111736689623520003520007356802010-12-3145.45%27.82%26.47%19.99%0.466810.86181.061.061.970.583.70883.69432.28380.46790.318794.7%4179167
2010-11-08201033.112.04-6.99%15.46%72427171970264886097822629500630.06430.142251357217499715853556489-355037425821898517662572262359759356316135200035200010700802010-09-3053.29%36.14%36.57%14.57%0.4114-1.011.013.010.183.09793.0671.11810.44650.308756.1%6187145
2010-08-23201023.041.980.054.45%8.47%5649599543182613449014410274340.04090.077950856518103915738855342-35117741102641846572263468434638918643520003520007356802010-06-3055.02%35.43%32.32%21.09%0.3701-1.01.02.090.263.27133.23341.65990.44820.309566.8%8166155
2010-05-26201012.21.7-4.02%4.02%4304843048162291622913024130240.03700.037047837614976414160939563-33676734179404522572263013430112873383520003520006054402010-03-3151.20%36.28%37.70%19.75%0.4074-0.960.961.790.253.78553.73092.20760.42050.29656.6%711094
2010-02-25200942.181.7-2.04%14.16%393251969545905524016440447850.01830.127246259213710113884936803-32374350208163976738349715611376839934572223520003520006336002009-12-3144.10%15.80%15.02%-0.425814.14760.920.921.960.163.72533.68151.55510.42890.300250.9%514285
2009-10-26200932.071.260.053.49%12.12%49329157665116364649611026383450.03130.10893720391691863713633356-33490346107379711854497156813610408867483520003520004505602009-09-3041.58%23.59%23.59%5.24%0.5966-0.950.951.350.255.07215.022.60070.11090.099861.2%513396
2009-08-28200921.461.14-5.11%8.64%63169108336212513486016175273200.04600.07763683481744114323239452-32511633969263301852397156763910884862723520003520004224002009-06-3045.08%33.65%33.64%23.89%0.6193-0.920.921.30.254.42084.36142.18680.1330.117459.2%713791
2009-05-27200911.30.98-3.52%3.52%4516745167136091360911144111440.03170.03173560741839574713443354-308940381217901850197156202216479806773520003520004400002009-03-3143.07%30.14%30.13%18.11%0.572-0.880.881.420.234.24314.17781.86090.15260.132469.0%10180132
2009-02-27200841.320.70.07N/AN/A64279180169188588876013484714450.03830.31483775872053936131157529-316276361161918341857N/A5529997156971563520002269482640002008-12-3143.12%29.38%29.34%28.50%0.47722.38241.391.390.540.283.57033.53871.68890.19390.162482.1%7216207
2008-10-30200830.8750.695-N/AN/A55520115890189686990113681579600.03890.29903684011996316656955083-301832158712470451928N/A4057592503925033520001938712728002008-09-3046.01%37.79%34.16%27.87%0.3146-1.561.560.50.263.62423.59161.67930.22050.1807124.7%12332318
2008-07-30200821.330.60.07N/AN/A3870460370198035093415241442800.04610.314542815127258212175860252-3063931643139757140190N/A561881963781963783302961407773798402008-06-3068.86%54.26%51.17%23.04%0.141-2.182.180.530.594.5244.49733.25930.39740.2844351.7%-451N/A
2008-04-22200811.730.9-N/AN/A2166521665311313113129039290390.31030.624032934519953615811096604-171235318836698220294N/A988651191591191599358346536N/A2008-03-3150.04%145.53%143.69%6.72%0.0658-3.683.68N/A1.242.06552.0451.20610.92340.4801475.1%-1365N/A

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtDeferred tax assets (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other investments (A-1)Other receivables (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Other payables (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)
20123--81752268631175016998151535425-185457183656950715112500-106160
20122--46780267862180242998162835156-162926183668986397214000-72884
20121--35968258031201895998168047349-139916183670000279416000-92908
20114--44818246558217927998198127105-151257183657252452624440-79684
20113--722972345111966057281290--1686031115440001217710161-98020
20112--717972226631882127281289--1569761115460001054210318-67515
20111--135432168461908197281261134900-139075111584000727222730-72675
20104---216016689647281298134900-125180111584000513626720-57410
2010334134956-2035856316115531745--1085382046100000573910000-40750
2010234137142-1903509186415532094--855282046100000398210016-41344
2010134137414-1911648733815532157--587162046100000204610039-27478
2009434135008-1904495723115531611--76706204610000084210066-25895
200933410506-19231386748-1739-684473855371763152211049522688
200923410283-18362086272-2346-182983964371763770142831423395
200913410243-16184080677-2832-2225982233717635586641013727567
200843410177-16198397158-1818-1893104524371765669885601344733
200833210096-15864292503-1797-63329899914861000085534311518130918
200822510000-145544196378-1609-136173234150660000871220951675923830
2008125--129784116510-1979-2389786581506600006774219203573432176

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesFinance/interest incomeShare of profit/ (loss) of associates
2012312716810524587951077282171871481-
201221146696015629941126213148851512-
201217484044444601684044097911538-
2011499113330065197740116918441--
20113101139796852609768245211900--
20112986965854572372190159410686--
20111833575558498851488281412598--
2010483415441345507160832315028-486
2010372427385933834150463913054-1814
2010256495385125409148544711515-272
2010143048320521008145212607681-2062
20094393255352198230840411534--
20093493296102881923489220--
200926316950763469133727596--
200914516724652571446676507--
2008464279537436560298019633--
2008355520528729977201515036063--
2008238704456212053119913286977--
2008121665209210824399227382049--

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtElimination/AdjustmentInvestment holdingOffshore Topside Maintenance ServicesMarine CharterEquipment Rental
201235304128250111205386712083
201222085669099352337351748
20121394182825070849135401619
2011420620118196169207571626
20113421792411094401228721935
20112549933709092349222512000
201111058469081422104241405
2010426483602381212205671820
2010343958253406601124141893
2010276235405016212718698
2010190115404090610031582
2009436724252403929610960552
20093148895404932913413936
200922214254063121206441005
20091437602524044599175311558
2008421290-84277199761314
2008313682-71138116452037
2008212183-63275106021581

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtElimination/AdjustmentInvestment holdingOffshore Topside Maintenance ServicesMarine CharterEquipment Rental
2012327560278453327617431476
20122-2222036415879538
201212756027917140024353761
20114-23710767438894
2011323155205002758211257937
2011236400369582091082771035
20111-143421452331519
2010454254803143098561624
2010324700247921329412508346
20102-119148544624185
20101-90121362837404
2009424700245514307167938
20093531053115233647
200925351133666857756
200912470024638623254891315
20084-73125374898713
20083-7711566813641680
20082-6862378241701200

Financial Quarter Segments Associate
yearqrtInvestment holding
20123-
20122-
20121-
20114-
20113-
20112-
20111-
20104486
201031815
20102272
201012062
20094-
20093-
20092-
20091-
20084-
20083-
20082-




Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING



Saturday, July 14, 2012

KLCI Stock - DAYANG / 5141 - 2012 Quarter 1

Company Info 
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,061,500,000 (Large)
Par ValueRM 0.50

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E now(1.93-0.1)/0.1325 = 13.81 (Moderate)
Target Price1.86+0.1 = 1.96 (PE 14.0, EPS 0.1325, DPS 0.1)
DecisionNot interested unless stock price very strong sustain and uptrend whenever MACD bullish
Comment
Revenue decreased 24.5% and was second consecutive quarter decreasing and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 10.2%, eps increased 24.9% but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 19.2%, cash generated from operating enough to cover financing expenses but still spent 4.5% of Group cash to cover investing expenses, margin still good, slghtly weaker liquidity ratio but still at high level now, higher gearing ratio at below moderate level now, higher debt ratio but still less than 30%, all collection/repayment period is acceptable
First Support Price1.86
Second Support Price1.75
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
RHB Target Price2.07 (2012-01-19)
HwangDBS Target Price2.5 (2012-05-23)
OSK Target Price2.26 (2012-05-23)

Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity21.06%
Dividend Yield5.18%
Gross Profit Margin38.51%
Operating Profit Margin26.02%
Net Profit Margin26.95%
Tax Rate22.03%
Asset Turnover0.545
Net Asset Value Per Share0.91
Net Tangible Asset per share0.91
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share2.2
Cash Per Share0.45
Liquidity Current Ratio3.5079
Liquidity Quick Ratio3.4928
Liquidity Cash Ratio2.2313
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.3654
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.2676
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale74.9%
Days to sell the inventory3
Days to collect the receivables137
Days to pay the payables153

Technical Analysis 
SMA 201.944 (Downtrend 15 days)
SMA 501.982 (Downtrend)
SMA 1002.027 (Downtrend)
SMA 2001.892 (Uptrend)
MACD (26d/12d)-0.019493 ( 0.001665 )
Signal (9)-0.022759 ( 0.000817 )
MACD Histogram0.003266 (Bullish trend 3 days)
Bolinger Upper Band2.046
Bolinger Lower Band1.842

My notes based on 2012 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- Lower revenue mainly due to inclement weather resulting in lower value of work orders received and performed in the current quarter for the topside maintenance services, the hook-up commissioning and maintenance services and the marine segment

- Higher pbt than FY11Q4 due to higher profit margin and demobilisation costs were incurred for a contract nearing its expiry and also new mobilisation costs were incurred in anticipation of the award of new contract in the preceding quarter

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 502299*0.145/549700 = 0.1325, estimate PE on current price 1.93 = 13.81(DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 523694*0.15/530333 = 0.1481, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.52/12.15 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.187, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.07/8.88 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = (0.0442+0.0354)*2*1.1 = 0.1751, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.57/7.48 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0354*4*1.2 = 0.1699, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.89/9.3 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0326(17927/550000)*4*1.1 = 0.1434, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.06/12.9 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0526*4*1.1 = 0.2314, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.22/12.14 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.1239*1.1 = 0.1363 (0.1239 is recent 4Q cum_eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.94/14.16 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.129/4(average eps from recent 4Q)*0.9 = 0.1161 (10% drop year-to-year), estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.67/12.79 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.1237*0.9 = 0.1113(10% drop year-to-year), estimate highest/lowest PE = 19.14/14.82 (DPS 0.05, correction to last Q estimated)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.1246, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.21/9.71 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.1548, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.98/6.91 (DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.1338, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.67/3.73 (DPS 0.14)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.15, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.87/ (DPS 0.14)

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Sunday, May 13, 2012

KLCI Stock - DAYANG / 5141 - 2011 Quarter 4


Company Info 
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,116,500,000 (Large)
Par ValueRM 0.50

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E now(2.03-0.1)/0.1481 = 13.03 (Moderate)
Target Price2.07+0.1 = 2.17 (PE 14.0, EPS 0.1481, DPS 0.1)
DecisionNot interested unless stock price sustain and uptrend above 2 then break SMA20 still low sell volume or wait stock price below Bolinger lower band
Comment
Revenue decreased 2% but still higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 18.8%, eps decreased 58.5% and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 54.4%, cash generated from operating not enough to cover financing expenses hence generated cash from disposal and financing activities to cover other expenses as well, lower margin but still good, stronger liquidity ratio at high level now, slightly lower gearing ratio at below moderate level now, lower debt ratio and far from historical high, all repayment period is acceptable
First Support Price2.0
Second Support Price1.9
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
ECM Target Price2.27 (2011-11-23)
RHB Target Price2.07 (2012-01-19)
HwangDBS Target Price2.7 (2012-03-28)
OSK Target Price2.34 (2012-04-25)

Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity16.02%
Dividend Yield4.93%
Gross Profit Margin34.22%
Operating Profit Margin16.79%
Net Profit Margin16.05%
Tax Rate20.75%
Asset Turnover0.559
Net Asset Value Per Share0.99
Net Tangible Asset per share0.99
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share2.07
Cash Per Share0.43
Liquidity Current Ratio3.8554
Liquidity Quick Ratio3.8359
Liquidity Cash Ratio2.3437
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.3058
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.2342
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale76.0%
Days to sell the inventory3
Days to collect the receivables144
Days to pay the payables129

Technical Analysis 
SMA 202.057 (Downtrend 5 days)
SMA 502.08 (Same)
SMA 1001.969 (Uptrend)
SMA 2001.846 (Same)
MACD (26d/12d)0.000422 ( 0.003415 )
Signal (9)0.004642 ( 0.001055 )
MACD Histogram0.004220 (Bearish trend 3 days)
Bolinger Upper Band2.167
Bolinger Lower Band1.947

My notes based on 2011 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue than FY10Q4 mainly due to higher value of work orders received and performed in the current quarter for the topside maintenance services, the hook-up commissioning and maintenance services and the marine segment. These segments contributed largely to the increase in revenue mainly as a result of new income stream from the Petronas Carigali Sdn Bhd contract which was awarded in February 2011

- Lower pbt due to slightly lower profit margin contribution and a couple of topside maintenance contracts were near expiry and demobilisation costs were incurred without a matching revenue streams

- Lower revenue than FY11Q3 mainly due to lower work orders received and performed in the current quarter as a result of more inclement weather

- On-going contracts exceeding RM1.4 billion to last at least until 2016

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 523694*0.15/530333 = 0.1481, estimate PE on current price 2.03 = 13.03(DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.187, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.07/8.88 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = (0.0442+0.0354)*2*1.1 = 0.1751, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.57/7.48 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0354*4*1.2 = 0.1699, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.89/9.3 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0326(17927/550000)*4*1.1 = 0.1434, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.06/12.9 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0526*4*1.1 = 0.2314, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.22/12.14 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.1239*1.1 = 0.1363 (0.1239 is recent 4Q cum_eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.94/14.16 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.129/4(average eps from recent 4Q)*0.9 = 0.1161 (10% drop year-to-year), estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.67/12.79 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.1237*0.9 = 0.1113(10% drop year-to-year), estimate highest/lowest PE = 19.14/14.82 (DPS 0.05, correction to last Q estimated)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.1246, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.21/9.71 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.1548, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.98/6.91 (DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.1338, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.67/3.73 (DPS 0.14)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.15, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.87/ (DPS 0.14)

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Wednesday, January 4, 2012

KLCI Stock - DAYANG / 5141 - 2011 Quarter 3

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)990,000,000 (Medium)
Par ValueRM 0.50

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(1.8-0.1)/0.187 = 9.09 (Moderate)
Target Price2.24+0.1 = 2.34 (PE 12.0, EPS 0.187, DPS 0.1)
DecisionBUY if MACD moving back to uptrend
Comment
Revenue increased 2.5% and was seventh consecutive quarter increasing(higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 39.6%), eps increased 24.9% and was second consecutive quarter increasing but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 14.2%, cash generated from operating not enough to cover financing expenses hence generated cash from disposal and financing activities to cover, weaker liquidity ratio at high level now, higher gearing ratio at below moderate level now, receivables and payables ratio still acceptable but pay attention to higher payables, high profit division still growth
First Support Price1.8
Second Support Price1.7
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
OSK Target Price2.7 (2011-10-05)
HwangDBS Target Price2.7 (2011-11-16)
ECM Target Price2.27 (2011-11-23)
RHB Target Price1.73 (2011-11-23)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity18.83%
Dividend Yield5.56%
Profit Margin37.88%
Tax Rate20.80%
Asset Turnover0.5435
Net Asset Value Per Share0.97
Net Tangible Asset per share0.97
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.87
Cash Per Share0.36
Liquidity Current Ratio3.0511
Liquidity Quick Ratio3.0404
Liquidity Cash Ratio1.6335
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.3254
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.2455
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale67.4%
Days to sell the inventory2
Days to collect the receivables168
Days to pay the payables140

Technical Analysis
SMA 201.826 (Downtrend 1 day)
SMA 501.815 (Uptrend)
SMA 1001.755 (Downtrend)
SMA 2001.854 (Same)
MACD0.013949 (Downtrend 13 days)
MACD Histogram-0.006396 (Downtrend 10 days)

My notes based on 2011 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue and pbt mainly due to higher value of work orders received and performed and slightly higher profit margin contribution

- The Group has on-going contracts exceeding RM1.5 billion to last at least until 2016

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.187, estimate PE on current price 1.8 = 9.09(DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = (0.0442+0.0354)*2*1.1 = 0.1751, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.57/7.48 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0354*4*1.2 = 0.1699, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.89/9.3 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0326(17927/550000)*4*1.1 = 0.1434, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.06/12.9 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0526*4*1.1 = 0.2314, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.22/12.14 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.1239*1.1 = 0.1363 (0.1239 is recent 4Q cum_eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.94/14.16 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.129/4(average eps from recent 4Q)*0.9 = 0.1161 (10% drop year-to-year), estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.67/12.79 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.1237*0.9 = 0.1113(10% drop year-to-year), estimate highest/lowest PE = 19.14/14.82 (DPS 0.05, correction to last Q estimated)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.1246, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.21/9.71 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.1548, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.98/6.91 (DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.1338, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.67/3.73 (DPS 0.14)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.15, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.87/ (DPS 0.14)

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Thursday, October 6, 2011

KLCI Stock - DAYANG / 5141 - 2011 Quarter 2

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)836,000,000 (Medium)
Par ValueRM 0.50

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(1.52-0.1)/0.1751 = 8.11 (Moderate)
Target Price2.10+0.1 = 2.20 (PE 12.0, EPS 0.1751, DPS 0.1)
DecisionBUY if stock price sustain at next uptrend
Comment
Revenue increased 18.4% and is sixth consecutive quarter increasing(higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 74.7%), eps increased 24.9% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 34.8%, cash generated from operating not enough to cover financing expenses hence generated cash from investment and financing activities to cover other expenses, weaker liquidity ratio from strong to high level now, lower gearing ratio at below moderate level now, receivables and payables ratio got slightly high
First Support Price1.5
Second Support Price1.4
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
HwangDBS Target Price2.7 (2011-04-19)
OSK Target Price2.8 (2011-06-10)
ECM Target Price2.16 (2011-08-24)
RHB Target Price1.55 (2011-10-04)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity19.27%
Dividend Yield6.58%
Profit Margin30.58%
Tax Rate19.40%
Asset Turnover0.5262
Net Asset Value Per Share0.99
Net Tangible Asset per share0.99
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.85
Cash Per Share0.34
Liquidity Current Ratio3.9288
Liquidity Quick Ratio3.9142
Liquidity Cash Ratio2.1297
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.2677
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.2112
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale76.7%
Days to sell the inventory2
Days to collect the receivables170
Days to pay the payables104

My notes based on 2011 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue mainly due to higher value of work orders received and performed

- Compared to FY10Q2, 63% in view of the fact that the work orders in the current quarter have a slightly lower profit margin contribution

- Compared to FY11Q1, 36% in view of the fact that the work orders in the current quarter have a higher profit margin contribution

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = (0.0442+0.0354)*2*1.1 = 0.1751, estimate PE on current price 1.52 = 8.11(DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0354*4*1.2 = 0.1699, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.89/9.3 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0326(17927/550000)*4*1.1 = 0.1434, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.06/12.9 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0526*4*1.1 = 0.2314, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.22/12.14 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.1239*1.1 = 0.1363 (0.1239 is recent 4Q cum_eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.94/14.16 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.129/4(average eps from recent 4Q)*0.9 = 0.1161 (10% drop year-to-year), estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.67/12.79 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.1237*0.9 = 0.1113(10% drop year-to-year), estimate highest/lowest PE = 19.14/14.82 (DPS 0.05, correction to last Q estimated)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.1246, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.21/9.71 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.1548, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.98/6.91 (DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.1338, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.67/3.73 (DPS 0.14)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.15, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.87/ (DPS 0.14)

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Friday, June 10, 2011

KLCI Stock - DAYANG / 5141 - 2011 Quarter 1

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,138,500,000 (Large)
Par ValueRM 0.50

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(2.07-0.1)/0.1699 = 11.60 (Moderate)
Target Price2.21+0.1 = 2.31 (PE 13.0, EPS 0.1699, DPS 0.1)
DecisionBUY
Comment
Revenue increased 0.3% and is fifth consecutive quarter increasing(higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 93.6%), eps decreased 7.1% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 19.6%, cash generated from operating is right enough to cover all expenses and still got cash generated from financing activity, stronger liquidity ratio at strong level now, lower gearing ratio at below moderate level now, receivables and payables ratio quite high but offset by higher working capital
First Support Price1.9
Second Support Price1.7
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
RHB Target Price2.6 (2011-02-09)
HwangDBS Target Price2.7 (2011-04-19)
ECM Target Price2.04 (2011-05-25)
OSK Target Price2.8 (2011-06-10)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity18.55%
Dividend Yield4.83%
Profit Margin26.63%
Tax Rate25.04%
Asset Turnover0.4237
Net Asset Value Per Share1.08
Net Tangible Asset per share1.08
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.85
Cash Per Share0.69
Liquidity Current Ratio4.5461
Liquidity Quick Ratio4.5338
Liquidity Cash Ratio3.1723
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.3687
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.2694
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale123.3%
Days to sell the inventory2
Days to collect the receivables172
Days to pay the payables129

My notes based on 2011 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue mainly due to higher value of work orders received and performed in the current quarter

- Lower pbt due to the work orders in the current quarter have a lower profit margin contribution and the mobilisation costs of the new contract from Petronas Carigali Sdn Bhd for its Sarawak Operations

- The Group has on-going contracts exceeding RM1.5 billion to last at least until 2016

- The Group has commenced mobilisation for the new contract from Petronas Carigali Sdn Bhd for its Sarawak Operations beginning March 2011. The Group would see contributions from this new contract from the second quarter onwards

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0354*4*1.2 = 0.1699, estimate PE on current price 2.07 = 11.6(DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0326(17927/550000)*4*1.1 = 0.1434, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.06/12.9 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0526*4*1.1 = 0.2314, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.22/12.14 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.1239*1.1 = 0.1363 (0.1239 is recent 4Q cum_eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.94/14.16 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.129/4(average eps from recent 4Q)*0.9 = 0.1161 (10% drop year-to-year), estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.67/12.79 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.1237*0.9 = 0.1113(10% drop year-to-year), estimate highest/lowest PE = 19.14/14.82 (DPS 0.05, correction to last Q estimated)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.1246, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.21/9.71 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.1548, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.98/6.91 (DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.1338, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.67/3.73 (DPS 0.14)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.15, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.87/ (DPS 0.14)

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