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Sunday, February 24, 2013

KLCI Stock - GASMSIA / 5209 - 2012 Quarter 4

GAS MALAYSIA BERHAD


Company Description
GAS MALAYSIA BERHAD provides clean, efficient and uninterrupted supply of Natural Gas and Liquefied Petroleum Gas to homes, commercial businesses and industries. Our energy solutions include new power generation techniques such as cogeneration and distributed generation.

Company Info
Listing Date 2012-06-11
IPO Price 4.55
Market Capital (Capital Size) 3,479,640,000 (Large)
Par Value RM 0.50
Board Main
Sector Trading/Services
Major Industry Energy Supply
Sub Industry Innovative Energy
Website http://www.gasmalaysia.com/

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now (2.71-0.1269)/0.1395 = 18.52 (Moderate)
Target Price 2.72+0.1269 = 2.85 (PE 19.5, EPS 0.1395, DPS 0.1269)
First Support Price 2.6
Second Support Price 2.45
Risk Rating MODERATE

Research House
CIMB Target Price 3.07 (2013-02-20)
HwangDBS Target Price 2.95 (2013-02-20)
Kenanga Target Price 2.94 (2013-02-20)
Maybank Target Price 2.76 (2013-02-20)
MIDF Target Price 3.11 (2013-02-20)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity 16.13%
Dividend Yield 4.68%
Gross Profit Margin 12.33%
Operating Profit Margin 10.45%
Net Profit Margin 10.78%
Tax Rate 23.60%
Asset Turnover 1.4042
Net Asset Value Per Share 0.79
Net Tangible Asset per share 0.79
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share 3.32
Cash Per Share 0.27
Liquidity Current Ratio 1.7274
Liquidity Quick Ratio 1.7274
Liquidity Cash Ratio 1.0483
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio 0.5009
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio 0.3337
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale 11.3%
Days to sell the inventory -
Days to collect the receivables 38
Days to pay the payables 62

Technical Analysis
SMA 10 2.662 (Uptrend)
SMA 20 2.642 (Uptrend 3 days)
SMA 50 2.616 (Uptrend)
SMA 100 2.621 (Uptrend)
SMA 200 N/A
MACD (26d/12d) 0.01682 ( 0.003318 )
Signal (9) 0.012325 ( 0.001124 )
MACD Histogram 0.004495 (Bullish trend 3 days)
Bolinger Upper Band 2.724
Bolinger Lower Band 2.56

My notes based on 2012 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue mainly due to the increase in volume of gas sold and the upward revision in Natural Gas tariff which was effective beginning 1 June 2011

- Lower pbt than FY11Q4 mainly due to the reversal for an accrual of liability in relation to supply of gas to a new location made in fourth quarter 2011 and margin compression resulting from the revision in gas tariff

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q4 result announced = 0.1268*1.1 = 0.1395, estimate PE on current price 2.71 = 18.52(DPS 0.1269)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q3 result announced = 0.0327*4*1.05 = 0.1373, estimate highest/lowest PE = 19.3/17.41 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced = 0.0318*4*1.05 = 0.1336, estimate highest/lowest PE = 19.91/18.64 (DPS 0.1)

JOBST latest news (English)

JOBST latest news (Chinese)




Financial Quarter Summary Open in New Window
a_date year qrt h_price l_price div roe c_roe rev c_rev pbt c_pbt prof c_prof eps c_eps asset c_asset liab c_liab mino equi cfo cfi cff cash fcf net final share c_share m_cap date gros_m oper_m prof_m vat asset_t pe navps ntaps p/ntaps cps l_cur l_qui l_cash g_de g_da avg_w inv_d rec_d pay_d
2013-02-19 2012 4 N/A N/A 0.0769 4.51% 16.13% 551951 2125294 59527 210554 45479 162828 0.0354 0.1268 1513480 568731 505068 329238 - 1008412 213482 31478 163870 327004 182004 18134 345138 1284000 1284000 3364080 2012-12-31 12.33% 10.45% 10.78% 23.60% 1.4042 20.6603 0.79 0.79 3.32 0.27 1.7274 1.7274 1.0483 0.5009 0.3337 11.3% - 38 62
2012-11-07 2012 3 2.75 2.49 - 4.16% 11.63% 542448 1573343 54338 152195 41977 117350 0.0327 0.0914 1463775 520138 500841 322339 - 962934 168080 27016 163870 327004 141064 22806 304198 1284000 1284000 3364080 2012-09-30 11.20% 9.66% 10.02% 22.75% 1.4382 - 0.75 0.75 3.49 0.24 1.6136 1.6136 0.9437 0.5201 0.3422 9.4% - 37 63
2012-08-07 2012 2 2.76 2.56 0.05 4.05% 7.47% 524314 1030895 54120 99023 40833 75373 0.0318 0.0587 1473569 530456 488412 310943 - 985157 134015 14859 122175 327004 119156 3019 323985 1284000 1284000 3389760 2012-06-30 11.06% 9.96% 10.32% 24.55% 1.4114 - 0.77 0.77 3.43 0.25 1.706 1.706 1.0419 0.4958 0.3314 10.6% - 36 59
2012-06-07 2012 1 2.69 2.38 - 3.42% 3.42% 506581 506581 46069 46069 34539 34539 0.0538 0.0538 1505525 557870 461531 284983 - 1043994 45597 7839 10923 327004 37758 26835 353839 642000 642000 N/A 2012-03-31 10.19% 8.66% 9.09% 25.03% 1.3568 - 1.63 1.63 N/A 0.55 1.9576 1.9576 1.2416 0.4421 0.3066 13.4% - 36 56
N/A 2011 4 N/A N/A - N/A N/A 531814 2000170 72899 294730 63183 229154 0.0984 0.3569 1474426 523154 464972 288925 - 1009454 261654 25396 387250 477996 236258 150992 327004 642000 642000 N/A 2011-12-31 15.27% 13.30% 13.71% 13.33% 1.3566 - 1.57 1.57 N/A 0.51 1.8107 1.8107 1.1318 0.4606 0.3154 11.7% - 36 60
N/A 2011 3 N/A N/A - N/A N/A 517115 1468356 40657 221831 30470 165971 0.0475 0.2585 N/A N/A N/A N/A - N/A 229125 26388 387250 477996 202737 184513 293483 642000 642000 N/A 2011-09-30 9.34% 7.36% 7.86% 25.06% N/A - N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A - N/A N/A
N/A 2011 2 N/A N/A - N/A N/A 487177 951241 81998 181173 61086 135500 0.0951 0.2111 N/A N/A N/A N/A - N/A 236483 18164 316721 477996 218319 98402 379594 642000 642000 N/A 2011-06-30 18.09% 16.41% 16.83% 25.50% N/A - N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A - N/A N/A
N/A 2011 1 N/A N/A - N/A N/A 464064 464064 99177 99177 74416 74416 0.1159 0.1159 N/A N/A N/A N/A - N/A 116836 9058 301087 477996 107778 193309 284687 642000 642000 N/A 2011-03-31 22.57% 20.74% 21.37% 24.97% N/A - N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A - N/A N/A

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet Open in New Window
year qrt Deferred tax assets (A-0) Prepaid lease payments (A-0) Property, plant and equipment (A-0) Work in progress (A-0) Cash and cash equivalents (A-1) Trade receivables (A-1) Deferred tax liabilities (L-0) Current tax liabilities (L-1) Payables and accruals (L-1) Trade and other payables (L-1)
2012 4 3081 18433 861691 61544 345138 223593 175830 7447 81200 240591
2012 3 3358 18534 871396 50349 304198 215940 178502 3752 87018 231569
2012 2 3358 18634 877500 43621 323985 206471 177469 13192 67715 230036
2012 1 3358 18735 879519 46043 353839 204031 176548 13574 63533 207876
2011 4 3358 18836 886775 42303 327004 196150 176047 13468 71553 203904

Financial Quarter Income Statement Open in New Window
year qrt Revenue Income tax expense Cost of sales Finance/interest costs Other income Administrative/Operating expenses Finance/interest income Zakat
2012 4 551951 12882 483870 103 211 10623 1961 1166
2012 3 542448 11194 481714 68 139 8447 1980 1167
2012 2 524314 12120 466336 91 92 5840 1981 1167
2012 1 506581 11530 454945 61 166 7948 2276 -
2011 4 531814 9716 450581 18 331 10842 2195 -
2011 3 517115 10187 468813 98 70 10287 2670 -
2011 2 487177 20912 399034 81 57 8243 2122 -
2011 1 464064 24761 359321 55 165 8677 3001 -

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
year qrt Energy
2012 4 551951
2012 3 542448
2012 2 524314
2012 1 506581
2011 3 517115
2011 2 487177
2011 1 464064

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
year qrt Others Energy
2012 4 43 59483
2012 3 32 54370
2012 2 33 54153
2012 1 32 46102
2011 3 33 40691
2011 2 32 82029
2011 1 33 99209
Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


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