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Monday, May 30, 2011

KLCI Stock - YTLPOWR / 6742 - 2011 Quarter 2

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)15,790,380,607 (Very Large)
Par ValueRM 0.50

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(2.17-0.075)/0.1464 = 14.31 (High)
Target Price2.05+0.075 = 2.12 (PE 14.0, EPS 0.1464, DPS 0.075)
DecisionNot interested unless revenue and profit increase more
Comment
Revenue decreased 6.7% and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 0.4%, eps increased 29.2% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 6.2%, cash generated from operating still more than enough to cover financing activities but not enough for investing activities, weaker liquidity ratio at low level now, lower gearing ratio but still at very high level now, all accounting periods are good, better profit margin, issue new warrants
First Support Price2.15
Second Support Price2.0
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
RHB Target Price2.57 (2011-03-21)
HwangDBS Target Price2.75 (2011-03-29)
Credit Suisse Target Price1.82 (2011-03-30)
HLG Target Price2.7 (2011-04-05)
AMMB Target Price2.42 (2011-05-13)
ECM Target Price2.36 (2011-05-27)
MIDF Target Price2.8 (2011-05-27)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity16.66%
Dividend Yield4.32%
Profit Margin11.99%
Tax Rate24.07%
Asset Turnover0.4034
Net Asset Value Per Share1.04
Net Tangible Asset per share0.23
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share9.65
Cash Per Share0.93
Liquidity Current Ratio1.1506
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.0608
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.8193
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio3.3061
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.7689
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale9.5%
Days to sell the inventory24
Days to collect the receivables51
Days to pay the payables77

My notes based on 2011 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- The increase in Group pbt were principally attributable to better performance recorded by the foreign subsidiaries

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = (0.04+0.0332)*2 = 0.1464(exclude profit from minority interest), estimate PE on current price 2.17 = 14.31(DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.1717*1.1 = 0.1889, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.65/10.85 (DPS 0.15)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.1717*1.1 = 0.1889, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.82/11.12 (DPS 0.15)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0404*4 = 0.1616, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.37/12.56 (DPS 0.15)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0356*4 = 0.1424, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.1/14.04 (DPS 0.15)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0328*4 = 0.1312, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.23/15.02 (DPS 0.15)
- No Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0335*4 = 0.134, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.45/14.48 (DPS 0.15)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0334*4 = 0.1336, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.6/12.72 (DPS 0.15)

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