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Saturday, August 18, 2012

KLCI Stock - KELADI / 6769 - 2013 Quarter 1

KELADI MAJU BERHAD


Company Description

Keladi Maju Berhad is a property development and investment holding company. It operates in three business segments. The property development segment is engaged in the development of residential and commercial properties. The cultivation of oil palm segment is engaged in the cultivation and sale of oil palm fruits. The others segment is engaged in investment holding. The Company's wholly owned subsidiaries include Keladi Kulim Sdn. Bhd., Keladi Land Sdn. Bhd., Ikam Maju Sdn. Bhd., Perlis Resins and Chemicals Sdn. Bhd., Bunga Raya Inn Sdn. Bhd., Neraca Rancak Sdn. Bhd. and Kekalasia (M) Sdn. Bhd.

Company Info 
Listing Date1997-05-28
Market Capital (Capital Size)144,078,900 (Small)
Par ValueRM 0.10
BoardMain
SectorProperties
Major IndustryProperty Development
Sub IndustryOil Palm & Others Crop
Websitehttp://www.keladimaju.com/

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E now(0.19-0.0050)/0.0215 = 8.60 (Moderate)
Target Price0.19+0.0050 = 0.195 (PE 9.0, EPS 0.0215, DPS 0.0050)
DecisionBUY if stock price strong sustain above 0.185
Comment
Revenue increased 0.8% and was second consecutive quarter increasing but still lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 19.2%, eps increased 34.1% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 11.3%, cash generated from operating is more than enough to cover all expenses, margin still satisfactory, current liquidity ratio still indicate very strong financial strength, current gearing ratio still indicate very strong financial leverage, inventory turnover period very long time but offset by longer payables period, higher property development cost indicate on-going project still satisfactory
First Support Price0.185
Second Support Price0.175
Risk RatingMODERATE

Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity7.61%
Dividend Yield2.63%
Gross Profit Margin42.50%
Operating Profit Margin41.81%
Net Profit Margin41.78%
Tax Rate25.02%
Asset Turnover0.202
Net Asset Value Per Share0.26
Net Tangible Asset per share0.26
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.71
Cash Per Share0.11
Liquidity Current Ratio7.4183
Liquidity Quick Ratio5.5144
Liquidity Cash Ratio4.5462
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.0919
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.082
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale260.4%
Days to sell the inventory555
Days to collect the receivables132
Days to pay the payables291

Technical Analysis 
SMA 100.189 (Same)
SMA 200.188 (Uptrend 30 days)
SMA 500.185 (Uptrend)
SMA 1000.187 (Same)
SMA 2000.184 (Same)
MACD (26d/12d)0.001408 ( 2.1e-005 )
Signal (9)0.001168 ( 6e-005 )
MACD Histogram0.000240 (Bullish trend 6 days)
Bolinger Upper Band0.194
Bolinger Lower Band0.182

My notes based on 2013 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- Lower revenue from Property Development division than FY12Q1 due to lesser properties sold and lower progress billings recognised but higher pbt due to higher profit margin generated from the property sold despite a drop in sales revenue

- Lower revenue from Cultivation of oil palm division than FY12Q1 was mainly due to drop in production of fresh fruit bunches (FFB). This is due to certain areas with old palms were undergoing replanting activity and some area has been cleared for the development of a new project, namely Taman Desa Cinta Sayang and lower pbt mainly due to drop in FFB sales coupled with higher estate expenditures incurred for replanting activity

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2013 Q1 result announced = 203574*0.08/758310 = 0.0215, estimate PE on current price 0.19 = 8.6(DPS 0.005)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q4 result announced = 198954*0.075/758310 = 0.0197, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.15/9.14 (DPS 0.005)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q3 result announced = 0.0047*4 = 0.0188, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.37/8.51 (DPS 0.015)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced = 0.025(recent 4th qrt cum_eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.8/5.6 (DPS 0.015)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 0.0227, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.15/6.89 (DPS 0.015)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = (0.0212+0.018)/2 = 0.0196, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.44/8.16 (DPS 0.015)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.017(recent 4 quarters eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.06/9.41 (DPS 0.01)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0178*0.9 = 0.016, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.19/9.06 (DPS 0.01)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0178 (based on last year), estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.99/7.87 (DPS 0.01)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0155 (13% drop from 0.0178), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10/9.03 (DPS 0.01)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = (0.0218+0.0289+0.019)/3 = 0.0232, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.9/5.6 (DPS 0.015)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0031*4 = 0.0124, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.5/10.48 (DPS 0.015)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0042*4 = 0.0168, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.52/7.74 (DPS 0.015)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0031*4 = 0.0124, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.11/8.06 (DPS 0.015)

KELADI latest news (English)

KELADI latest news (Chinese)

Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdategros_moper_mprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2012-06-2720131N/AN/A-2.24%2.24%147481474861626162445444540.00590.00592217671819355682035746195498N/A7694456975697826417583107583101402872012-04-3042.50%41.81%41.78%25.02%0.202-0.260.260.710.117.41835.51444.54620.09190.082260.4%555132291
2012-03-29201240.2050.1850.00501.75%7.45%14636483164960202963364143390.00440.01892158871693354021989541994759968531595322594317412769447583107583101478702012-01-3139.62%33.96%33.89%29.82%0.223810.31250.260.260.750.17.67565.59784.54810.08750.0784233.7%482122232
2011-12-16201230.210.175-1.85%5.70%6450336814902153353565109760.00470.01452086551318352841954722573421758532595322355915027745597583107583101402872011-10-3177.16%76.09%76.00%24.28%0.2075-0.250.250.740.18.73496.38225.66210.06930.0632235.2%52771213
2011-09-29201220.210.155-1.77%3.85%897227231479010433340974100.00450.009821770517414513720029117832993N/A595321683916839763717583107583101213292011-07-3155.60%53.43%53.39%25.89%0.2576-0.260.260.620.17.22315.49684.38940.08920.08193.1%364121190
2011-06-24201210.20.15-2.08%2.08%182591825956425642400140010.00530.00532220482530749961967416728303N/A5953264256425659577583107583101402872011-04-3032.39%30.96%30.90%26.14%0.2486-0.250.250.740.095.18373.97662.60780.1320.114191.7%360224281
2011-03-25201140.20.1750.0152.86%8.85%9618536144930203215200160650.00690.0212204288117144830192574149842796568753031121886501595327583107583101440782011-01-3161.90%49.63%51.26%-0.26248.96850.250.250.760.089.73836.98455.08860.06240.0573190.7%383145128
2010-12-17201130.2150.17-3.49%5.98%19222439968779153906331108630.00830.0143203215159994674187216870928285687530775881194532717583107583101327042010-10-3147.27%45.36%45.67%25.03%0.2877-0.240.240.730.077.08994.99693.33210.08760.0787166.5%330164133
2010-09-27201120.2050.155-0.92%2.50%81062477525096611167145320.00220.00602067092038844231863218563625N/A5307779387938610157583107583101213292010-07-3140.29%30.96%30.95%30.13%0.2795-0.240.240.670.085.85954.09212.99450.11210.0986171.4%360138175
2010-06-17201110.170.15-1.58%1.58%166691666941034103286128610.00380.00381994581489043411845681057455N/A53031602602536337583107583101175382010-04-3027.63%24.61%24.61%26.98%0.3049-0.240.240.650.077.56255.28833.60790.08260.0747160.5%318148113
2010-03-26201040.1650.150.011.28%7.74%14461589453158192052247136180.00300.018019339511823420618157218534458531429831857910048530317583107583101251212010-01-3131.39%21.97%21.84%25.21%0.30489.18790.230.230.720.079.06276.20144.49390.06670.0611161.6%33712392
2009-12-17201030.1750.145-3.36%6.49%18548444838340160895909114140.00780.0151195184159744091179210192361238531430281911310582536107583107583101137462009-10-3147.70%44.96%44.96%25.80%0.3211-0.230.230.650.076.81154.45383.35860.09120.0818148.0%34599120
2009-09-25201020.170.145-1.33%3.13%111382593533627750234555060.00310.007320251720963381218155413826196N/A430281363013630566587583107583101137462009-07-3136.33%30.21%30.18%27.93%0.3052-0.230.230.650.075.54473.59352.70430.11790.1035154.1%354107165
2009-06-26201010.1750.145-1.80%1.80%147961479643884388316131610.00420.0042192531134003734179131694095N/A4302868456845498737583107583101213292009-04-3033.25%29.66%29.66%25.23%0.4035-0.230.230.70.077.94915.28353.72520.07640.0696119.8%2479779
2009-03-27200940.190.1150.0151.35%9.85%18193744484120236242253164750.00300.021718734911499361417585016289253614028433031375327543028758310758310834142009-01-3128.02%22.91%22.65%42.77%0.39745.06310.230.230.480.068.83215.65453.74580.06680.0614120.8%27410771
2008-12-19200930.1150.1-2.33%8.50%17672562555402195053898142230.00510.0188185354118573509173497527220238417433033249516838135758310758310834142008-10-3131.67%30.59%30.57%26.64%0.3705-0.220.220.50.058.46215.08743.21950.06980.064128.7%34211789
2008-09-24200920.1250.085-3.81%6.17%27027385838793141036369103250.00840.01361906412110734441695343426427N/A433032999299946302758310758310909972008-07-3134.39%32.55%32.53%24.83%0.3413-0.220.220.550.065.08763.08172.19490.12710.1107132.5%449103199
2008-06-27200910.150.115-2.36%2.36%115561155653105310395639560.00520.00521892741793332031713413158457N/A433033615361539688758310758310985802008-04-3050.94%46.01%45.95%23.58%0.3008-0.220.220.590.055.92753.19792.21460.10670.0947155.1%808106267
2008-03-28200840.1550.120.0151.78%14.68%12422567444051315782652219060.00350.0289186012187293101167283212312739073308722150412431433037583107583101175382008-01-3141.88%32.86%32.61%33.55%0.30515.36560.220.220.70.065.52663.02052.31360.11410.1007149.3%75879268
2007-12-17200830.2450.130.014.19%12.90%14060443229688275276258192550.00830.0254183976139583060170018238211629073308722398314910457827583107583101630362007-10-3173.34%68.90%68.90%24.93%0.3193-0.220.220.980.066.63373.81793.28280.08360.0759133.7%61240144
2007-09-24200820.2750.21-6.37%8.71%189043026212989178399513129970.01250.01711844591264128151718181400386N/A308721408914089449617583107583103109072007-07-3171.05%68.63%68.71%25.28%0.2423-0.220.221.860.067.35684.46543.56010.07480.0685179.6%67783118
2007-06-2520081N/AN/A-2.33%2.33%113581135848504850348434840.04590.0459175482226392622152843122893N/A30872132113212955175831758311546952007-04-3045.78%42.73%42.70%26.29%0.1469-1.981.981.030.394.14622.33621.46130.15070.129246.7%940233244
2007-03-2920074N/AN/A0.015N/AN/A14427498127324206545400144150.07120.19011703652109725311492685958451826233627550727553087275831758311289122007-01-3144.22%49.13%50.77%24.56%0.08478.9431.941.940.880.414.22142.31521.6530.14380.1238417.0%1615283380

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtAvailable-for-sale investment (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Land held for property development (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Completed development properties (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Other receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-1)Property development costs (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Payables and accruals (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
20131-991040015008440022522826411170013541624522910153-181755568
20124-991440224955840022138769441313515961616422016152-169165402
201234009924404357095-22172745591385310568426171271563812530-5284
201224009930406455834-218027637113974740185271606315168615713-5137
201214009933408654700-218236595714055732338881647415141423878-4996
201144009944410754179-21730595321432481221368178921592410775-4830
201134009787412853886-216685327114529295263201893112250913478-4674
201124009726415051342-216976101514726463219022128812284217534-4423
201114009727417150900-217455367914769424245771906612287911999-4341
201044009727419250251-21785530771489831319855188971225609251-4206
20103-9747421350288400218115361015654523169592197912284613116-4091
20102-9747423450318400216505665816265513181162461612187619075-3812
20101-9750425650029400216734987316617216206461907112194511443-3734
20094-975142774975640021711430281742411421811190771219889499-3614
20093-9804429849753400208653813517924140219852205012146310382-3509
20092-9808431949683400191094630213443305184022887012231118784-3444
20091-98114341493304001916639688144391093165293447712173916182-3203
20084-98184362489404001905043303153801018122143152712209816619-3101
20083-984943834682040030011457821601310406423232551246819265-3060
20082-9848440546802400300954496117122128810145193931262936336-2815
20081-9833442646784400301952955118059124116450185432417107179505-2622
20074-9836444746552400302913087215039119411172205622421102888388-2531

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesOther expenses
2013114748154284807468481664-
201241463614798837753158211710-
201236450119014737618301476-
201228972124039846818751414-
201211825914751234558584616611-
20114961842636645211702156157-
201131922221971013545882625160-
20112810675648403951151821-
2011116669110712064381883135--
201041446179699212951658115190
2010318548215297013408472790-
20102111389397092313994783-
2010114796110798773268561201-
2009418193176213096523145210548-
2009317672143912075422613654-
200922702721831773355210502413-
2009111556125256693048741027-
20084124221359722069518154031-
20083140602415374831894210150-
20082189043283547242188019316-
200811135812756158439786913-
20074144271799804820631354125236-

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersProperty developmentCultivation of Oil Palm
20131367133261055
2012436513430840
201233565114980
2012236569121695
20121353160581848
201143698293956
20113355177971069
2011234863451413
20111331149661372
2010432413305832
2010332717302919
2010232393341481
20101344130971355
2009434517072776
20093315163291028
20092265249001862
2009122190872248
20084201105621659
20083206125511303
20082201172771426
2008120397301425
2007424013385802

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersProperty developmentCultivation of Oil Palm
201313675296503
201241235609508
201233563490575
2012236528591124
2012135334781486
20114413630727
201133557215801
201123488041082
2011133124481113
201043242160495
201033277126636
2010232316161224
201013442853994
200943453106332
200933154022783
2009226569371225
2009122133041690
2008420120491360
2008320683731000
20082201115451031
2008120334431065
200742406214501

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


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CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
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