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Friday, August 5, 2011

KLCI Stock - KGB / 0151 - 2011 Quarter 2

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)65,661,300 (Very Small)
Par ValueRM 0.10

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(0.83-0.03)/0.12 = 6.67 (High)
Target Price0.72+0.03 = 0.75 (PE 6.0, EPS 0.12, DPS 0.03)
DecisionNot interested unless revenue and profit increase more
Comment
Revenue increased 89.2% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 135.9%, eps increased 330.3% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 33.5%, cash generated from operating enough to cover financing activities and still got private placement cash to cover investing activities, stronger liquidity ratio at moderate level now, lower gearing ratio at above moderate level now, receivables and payables ratio also slightly high
First Support Price0.79
Second Support Price0.76
Risk RatingHIGH

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity22.70%
Dividend Yield3.61%
Profit Margin9.78%
Tax Rate6.18%
Asset Turnover1.3667
Net Asset Value Per Share0.6
Net Tangible Asset per share0.6
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.38
Cash Per Share0.31
Liquidity Current Ratio2.2323
Liquidity Quick Ratio2.1859
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.7542
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.7253
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.4204
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale36.3%
Days to sell the inventory5
Days to collect the receivables154
Days to pay the payables100

My notes based on 2011 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue and pbt mainly due to the higher revenue contribution from all 4 countries i.e Malaysia, Singapore, China and Taiwan as well as a new project in Vietnam

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.12, estimate PE on current price 0.83 = 6.67(DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.12, after private issues eps = 0.108, highest/lowest PE = 7.59/6.94 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.12, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.5/5.17, after private issues eps = 0.108, highest/lowest PE = 8.33/5.74 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.095, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.16/6.42 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.095, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.63/7.05 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.03*3+0.01 = 0.1, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.6/6.6 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.03*3+0.01 = 0.1, estimate PE on current price 0.77 = 7.4(DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.1, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.7/6.65 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.1, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9/5.8

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