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Thursday, August 18, 2011

KLCI Stock - LEADER / 4529 - 2011 Quarter 2

LEADER UNIVERSAL HOLDINGS BERHAD

Company Description
Leader Universal Holdings Berhad (Leader) is a Malaysia-based investment holding company of the LEADER Group. It has three divisions: cable and wire division, power generation division, and propery and others. The Company is a cable and wire producer in Malaysia and in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) region. It produces a range of communication cables, such as copper and optical fiber cables and energy cables, such as bare conductors, cross linked polyethylene (XLPE) and polyvinyl chloride (PVC) insulated power cables ranging from low, medium to high voltage. It is also involved in the power transmission and distribution business based on Build-Operate-Transfer model. Leader projects includes residential development, commercial development, and mix development ranging from shop lots, retail units, terraces houses, bungalows, and condominiums. In September 2009, the Company incorporated a wholly owned subsidiary, Leader Infrastructure (Labuan) Limited.

Company Info
Listing Date1978-08-25
Market Capital (Capital Size)349,166,921 (Small)
Par ValueRM 1.00
BoardMain
SectorIndustrial Products
Major IndustryCable & Wire
Sub IndustryPower Generation
Websitehttp://www.leaderuniversal.com

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(0.8-0.015)/0.1547 = 5.07 (Moderate)
Target Price1.24+0.015 = 1.25 (PE 8.0, EPS 0.1547, DPS 0.015)
DecisionBUY
Comment
Revenue increased 10.8% and was second consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 47.1%, eps increased 25.8% and was second consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 3.5%, no cash generated from operating after deduct the expenses to increased assets but cash from borrowing is more than enough to cover all expenses, weaker liquidity ratio at low level now, higher gearing ratio at high level now, all accounting ratio are good, if the under construction power division back to operation then expect higher profit
First Support Price0.82
Second Support Price0.79
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
OSK Target Price1.2 (2011-05-23)
TA Target Price1.2 (2011-08-16)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity7.75%
Dividend Yield-
Profit Margin2.46%
Tax Rate11.97%
Asset Turnover1.7467
Net Asset Value Per Share1.36
Net Tangible Asset per share1.36
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.58
Cash Per Share0.42
Liquidity Current Ratio1.3063
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.8667
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.2366
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio1.892
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.6202
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale7.4%
Days to sell the inventory40
Days to collect the receivables54
Days to pay the payables36

My notes based on 2011 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- The Cable and Wire division marked a higher revenue mainly due to the increase of sale volume coupled with the surge in metal prices in the current reporting quarter. And with the adoption of IC Interpretation 12, a subsidiary in the Power - Under Construction division has also recognised higher Construction Revenue

- Higher pbt in line with the higher revenue

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.1547, estimate PE on current price 0.8 = 5.07(DPS 0.015)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.119*1.3 = 0.1547, estimate highest/lowest PE = 5.75/4.69 (DPS 0.015)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0564*2*0.8 = 0.0902, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.09/8.59 (DPS 0.015)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.034*4*0.9 = 0.1224, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.52/6.41 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0575*2 = 0.115, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.87/6.78 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.1041, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.5/7.4 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0261*4 = 0.1044, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.77/7.71 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0363*4 = 0.1452, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.44/4.92 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.032*4 = 0.128, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.29/5.35 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.0281*4 = 0.1124, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.38/5.2 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.0289*4 = 0.1156, estimate highest/lowest PE = 5.97/3.16 (DPS 0.03)

LEADER latest news (English)

LEADER latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdateprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2011-08-1520112N/AN/A-2.26%4.05%9984251899496245614582315546279160.03560.0640181412011251259430868899552044213985300040147922266029340111819334364594364593469842011-06-302.46%11.97%1.7467-1.361.360.580.421.30630.86670.23661.8920.62027.4%405436
2011-05-20201110.9050.74-1.80%1.80%901071901071212622126212370123700.02830.028317132721025666107502687606135387972614439614793893264511321990704364594364593600782011-03-312.36%19.47%1.663-1.331.330.620.461.37480.87130.2661.76810.59879.9%505651
2011-02-28201040.9250.79-1.20%7.37%62426924940257305669938100496800.01860.113813830257088071040356742188381193567145241205819201948567071491124364594364593666252010-12-311.17%-1.80337.37971.311.310.640.341.45370.90710.28081.24310.51259.7%444835
2010-11-26201030.950.815-2.50%6.30%6450211869756193155968816480415800.03780.09531357942698016983116599262100912707678832203469148085692531342164364594364593709902010-09-302.99%-1.7608-1.291.290.660.311.47981.00480.24561.24290.51411.0%416245
2010-08-23201020.9350.81-2.25%3.76%6788581224735234374037315008251000.03440.05751318609650829121832667780252979385345969208300119150731811351194364594364593731722010-06-303.45%11.01%1.7107-1.251.250.680.311.53641.10830.27031.19210.493612.0%366645
2010-05-21201010.9150.80.0151.51%1.51%545877545877169361693610092100920.02310.023112247265545641313946701623408027633207721038261713596361507464364594364593753542010-03-313.10%6.62%1.6746-1.231.230.70.351.66411.13650.33861.02930.452814.5%446146
2010-02-23200941.050.835-1.70%7.97%5212691949800146287684111412534460.02610.1225125249958209912904667040027734865242175324177119212106367822139014364594364593949952009-12-312.81%-1.55677.39061.241.240.730.491.47491.00020.4021.07530.464813.0%505956
2009-11-30200930.9650.7450.0152.49%6.60%5097751428531201686221315831420340.03630.096312167775803651013256364122341493438718991617813819976298461879844364594364593426202009-09-303.96%0.43%1.6012-1.231.230.640.431.60451.0690.39171.08460.47715.0%516156
2009-08-21200920.8350.715-2.25%4.23%474035918756205994204513945262030.03200.060011664695472379837761923219801320502151919178963177511255922045554364594364593295262009-06-304.35%11.84%1.836-1.191.190.630.471.75991.24990.49271.05070.469114.8%385339
2009-05-29200910.860.6150.0151.95%1.95%444721444721214462144612258122580.02810.028112195145907491102426287659493863535861618200988585299692119784364594364592793332009-03-314.82%19.69%1.9234-1.191.190.540.491.72841.27680.46421.13930.484414.3%345831
2009-02-20200840.720.395-2.08%10.73%51977825408021735110202412609649350.02890.1488129110268582010530960528213702722177147814211270114850329641783064364594364591854952008-12-313.34%-1.96792.85661.151.150.370.411.58881.10550.32891.37170.531212.7%406035
2008-11-21200830.490.42-3.19%8.89%7030512021024298878467318754523260.04300.119913827027941129712358859010182726068799602152367575942012110354364594364591920412008-09-304.25%16.70%1.9758-1.131.130.390.481.53471.05890.33141.61580.574312.5%426141
2008-08-22200820.630.38-3.22%5.98%6780691317973275365478618061335720.04140.076913827118213349183256137739714105648170421149029150525541589364364594364592596932008-06-304.06%15.27%2.0574-1.081.080.550.361.44351.00710.23191.74920.59410.7%406745
2008-05-23200810.90.545-2.80%2.80%639904639904272502725015511155110.03550.03551333339779330103461554009385178840387332099982967790562009424364594364593906302008-03-314.26%24.82%2.1569-1.031.030.870.461.51051.08850.32221.72970.584511.1%355937
2008-02-28200740.990.815-0.66%10.02%710908282173517686945333599542460.00820.12431340892799448984955414441564071475274581141171141655670742082454364594364594037242007-12-312.49%60.05%2.10447.44251.011.010.920.481.4711.06060.32791.80480.596210.7%355935
2007-11-20200731.230.890.0154.39%9.86%8159052110827331557684822550506480.05170.116014472159336489770451356710093392836615114341591650254991689144364594364594582812007-09-304.06%13.93%1.8739-0.950.951.110.391.50181.10490.23652.24510.645113.2%408254
2007-08-21200721.171.01-3.17%5.63%7091421294922257454369315852280980.03630.06441420274920831106121499443104016159887290914339588028151191585144364594364593709902007-06-303.63%15.69%1.335-0.90.90.940.361.46451.04490.22752.34120.648317.1%5910875
2007-05-3120071N/AN/A-2.52%2.52%585780585780179481794812246122460.02810.028113744138882061027344862074232424322882114386239892110711549334364594364592924272007-03-313.06%11.63%0.8635-0.880.880.760.361.47211.00370.23212.31620.646226.6%100156100
2007-02-1320064N/AN/A0.0151.79%7.29%601089236501614000657648681353150.01990.080913513378667691133414845687199924198609216472023521631443274364594364592465992006-12-312.33%14.83%0.44486.98280.850.850.660.331.48431.010.22372.33490.641452.0%194303179

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtDeferred tax assets (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Land held for property development (A-0)Other assets (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Receivables (A-0)Amount due from associated companies (A-1)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current asset classified as held for sales (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Derivative assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Property development costs (A-1)Redeemable preference shares (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Other liabilities (L-0)Retirement benefits obligations (L-0)Amount due to associated companies (L-1)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Derivative liabilities (L-1)Dividend payable (L-1)Firm commitment (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Progress billings (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
201122403352224684214591553296454747469367220225-181933-452481403374051015228472301848333727663203293-3426--6242454042-30604394308
201113284334184714914589560796644802410580154305-199070-3524121653761671015228437705875825994745453293-4142--9418350336-385227107502
201041728206004727014552568297264856503040--149112-416823732905521053673327640694216389511613293-21272-429298024-232934104035
201033002012066675143846371929116530410391-26109134216-30908101260228105387638020710596134069-3368-2579--6265257036-28410398311
201023051991067020142766981980043601383737-12579135119-27898794214359105387639741013983130383-3368-1613--12025224327-265130121832
201013042617867422145436810983043945310656-15962150746-3828993023513910538763275041412389348-3368-1090--10469188240-247926131394
2009441926079480371454396671007445153310314-13816213901-6974-25266410539532988521551328814-336862972382---244358-281367129046
20093-26710483301454385881024121425311544--187984-4094-257733105313113232211862075006-348423071777---197579-281592101325
20092-25763463111454386631054721572303807-13224204555-2592-2119901053131130053818616107340-3484-1013---198745-21803998377
20091-25483465421454387391086121720297519-34150211978-2096-2064601053131133705915768112058-3484-1989---264580-192870110242
20084-25180467731454389131039321867295726-32382178306-4077-2628861053131138769217143119067-3484-3088---308361-234677105309
20083-280095902714543-890415235279603-227662110358595--28965713338-43199017698139541---1759---34241723629246197123
20082-269675137114543-867415346274444-188001592278534--28031019388-50510716344118231---677---34931161233615991832
2008174251145162014543-894115457275414-179232009719363--24067222515-45073217015138549---3276---34259444277852103461
200747424088468331454310065776715568279147-112162082779888--23935123723188844846413088141218-4222-2446---3754017926299498495
20073446240542485714713-1051118463281669-462311689148991--25419829223-56494528266191241---7562---31908143138706797704
200721927228062495914713-1049518606306338-520071585148977--26043431925-50857332081191995---4266---31971258372719106121
200712249211312506114713-1030418745299273-466241549978691--27780334944-45987833024187453---695-287-353479162313106102734
200641269199432516314713-1003918890302697-491021444808648--27062135696-45007634072186849---1276---36194617282609113341

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestShare of profit/ (loss) of associates
201129984252939951331559632492275660762570
201119010714140860702277525432051047521635
2010462426952185981136171023196824423425
2010364502114726015791562958237384307215
201026788582580630421348474322205584954
2010154587711225100922871726168065722102
200945212698714854874859128317642408764
200935097758646723241591599207634251948
2009247403524384315083933723190034216285
2009144472142224068615472588118274966297
20084519778479485612962414629219225221102
2008370305149916480971199110681517861421034
200826780694206625647805633212200352691852
200816399046764590146618916551900249751028
200747109081062067266383065100178933467540
200738159054619747496878448213253859861247
2007270914240406511907944222596258531677
200715857802087547310894255771834736151190
2006460108920765645378176202612309324341

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersPowerPropertyCable & Wire
20112116496532-900729
2011144272567-828062
20104102124878-598370
2010347425309-619238
20102372332089-643046
2010160229518-515757
2009487224704-495693
20093101130020-478744
2009295336942-436140
20091109235957-407672
200841305341949-464776
20083755667759-627736
20082538950454-622226
20081372545717-590462
2007427418097768661304
20073621422384016769030
20072764384096901663068
20071307364783964545031
20064350347716293559675

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersPowerPropertyCable & Wire
20112274210979-19350
2011118168605-15613
2010467276711-7513
201038405253-16249
20102466010086-21549
20101185010089-11466
2009417249915-11232
200932419600-14020
20092148475-15758
200915899615-17595
20084197214210-10691
2008392015986-23938
2008213098358-24073
20081158811891-22108
2007453587187155125173
200733294987516234273
20072211002712021844
20071298110101712625
200643148856370612146

Financial Quarter Segments Associate
yearqrtCable & Wire
201122570
201111635
20104425
20103215
2010254
20101102
2009464
20093948
20092285
20091297
20084102
200831034
200821852
200811028
20074540
200731247
200721677
200711190
2006437


Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables






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