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Sunday, February 13, 2011

KLCI Stock - INGRESS / 7112 - 2011 Quarter 3

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)59,136,000 (Very Small)
Par ValueRM 1.00

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now0.77/0.1142 = 6.74 (High)
Target Price0.1142*5.0 = 0.57 (PE 5.0, EPS 0.1142)
DecisionNOT BUY
Comment
Revenue fifth consecutive quarter increasing and is highest all the time, eps second consecutive quarter decreasing and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter, free and positive net cash flow increasing, liquidity ratio increasing from weak at preceding year to low level now, gearing ratio decreasing but still at very high level now, all accounting period are good, automotive division profit decreasing, power and engineering projects still minor loss
First Support Price0.75
Second Support Price0.7
Risk RatingHIGH

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity8.10%
Dividend Yield-
Profit Margin3.11%
Tax Rate12.51%
Asset Turnover1.2026
Net Asset Value Per Share2.03
Net Tangible Asset per share1.99
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.38
Cash Per Share1.07
Liquidity Current Ratio1.1404
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.912
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.3203
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio2.4935
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.6364
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale4.9%
Days to sell the inventory31
Days to collect the receivables75
Days to pay the payables67

My notes based on 2011 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- For the current quarter, the Group registered a revenue of RM196.1 million and profit before tax of RM6.1 million in comparison to previous financial year corresponding quarter revenue of RM158.5 million and profit before tax of RM8.1 million

- The Automotive Division recorded a revenue of RM170.7 million and profit before tax of RM6.3 million as against the previous financial year's corresponding quarter revenue of RM141.0 million and profit before tax of RM8.7 million

- The Power Engineering and Projects Division (PEP Division) recorded a revenue of RM25.5 million and loss before tax of RM1.9 million in comparison to the previous financial year corresponding quarter revenue of RM17.5 million and profit before tax of RM0.02 million. Together with its associate companies, PEP Division recorded loss before tax of RM1.4 million in comparison to previous financial year corresponding quarter profit before tax of RM0.3 million

- Automotive Division reported an increase of 21% in revenue

- Automotive Components Manufacturing (ACM) registered an increase in revenue by 14% whilst Premium Automotive Dealership (PAD) recorded 36% increase in revenue

- ACM Malaysia recorded 8% increase in revenue

- Supplies for door related parts, moulding and sash products for the Perodua Alza commenced delivery in Q4FY10 continued in this quarter. In comparison to the previous financial year corresponding quarter, Proton Savvy, Proton Satria Neo, Proton Exora, Perodua Viva and Perodua Myvi experienced decreases in volume

- ACM Thailand registered a 20% increase in revenue in comparison to the previous financial year corresponding quarter. All models recorded increases in volume except for Honda Civic, Honda City, AAT Ford Ranger and AAT Ford Everest

- ACM Indonesia recorded a 72% increase in revenue in comparison to the previous financial year corresponding quarter. All models registered increases in volume

- PEP Division recorded 46% increase in revenue in comparison to the previous financial year corresponding quarter

- For the current quarter, the Group recorded profit before tax of RM6.1 million in comparison to the immediate preceding quarter profit before tax of RM5.7 million

- Higher profit before tax recorded in the current quarter was mainly due to the bonus paid to employees and Sukuk Refinancing Exercise expenses recognised in the immediate preceding quarter despite a recognition of loss on disposal of 11.2% shares in a subsidiary during the quarter under review

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.0272*4*1.05 = 0.1142, estimate PE on current price 0.77 = 6.74
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.1288*1.05 = 0.1352, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.62/5.18
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0322*4 = 0.1288(0.0322 is eps after exclude 8 million from other income), estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.41/4.81
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0346*4 = 0.1384, estimate highest/lowest PE = 4.99/3.76
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0357*4 = 0.1428, estimate highest/lowest PE = 5.67/4.1
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.023*4 = 0.092, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.24/3.53

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