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Friday, October 19, 2012

KLCI Stock - BHIC / 8133 - 2012 Quarter 2

BOUSTEAD HEAVY INDUSTRIES CORPORATION BERHAD


Company Description
Formerly known as PSC Industries Berhad. Boustead Heavy Industries Corporation Berhad is a Malaysia-based investment holding company. The Company is engaged in heavy engineering segment within Malaysia. The Company's subsidiaries includes Boustead Penang Shipyard Sdn. Bhd., which is engaged in heavy engineering, ship repair and shipbuilding, fabrication of steel structures and platforms, marine engineering, oil and gas fabrication, hook up and commissioning; Sedap Development Sdn. Bhd., which is engaged in investment property, and BHIC Petroleum Sdn. Bhd., which is engaged in provision of engineering services for oil and gas industry. In April 2009, the Company commenced the winding-up of the wholly owned sub-subsidiaries of the Company, which included PSC SriJeluda Sdn Bhd, PSC Welding Sdn Bhd, Marine Technology Industrial Park Sdn Bhd, Alpha Shanghai (M) Sdn Bhd and Johor Riau Ferry Services Sdn Bhd.

Company Info 
Listing Date1990-10-18
Market Capital (Capital Size)631,082,339 (Medium)
Par ValueRM 1.00
BoardMain
SectorIndustrial Products
Major IndustryHeavy Engineering
Sub IndustryShipping Services
Websitehttp://www.bhic.com.my/

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E nowN/A
Target Price~ SMA 200
DecisionNot interested unless stock price sustain and uptrend above 2.5 or wait strong rebound at lower price
Comment
Revenue increased 35.7% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 17.8%, eps increased 18.3% loss and also was profit to loss from preceding year corresponding quarter, cash generated from operating, disposal and borrowings more than enough to cover all expenses, liquidity ratio indicate financial strength is weakening to recent year low and this is signal some worry on ability to meet current obligation, gearing ratio is very high hence also significant high risk during business decline, higher receivables and payables but revenue and profit was not in line, Group main segment business still loss
First Support Price2.5
Second Support Price2.3
Risk RatingHIGH

Research House
Kenanga Target Price2.9 (2012-08-08)
AMMB Target Price2.9 (2012-10-03)
HwangDBS Target Price2.6 (2012-10-03)
HLG Target Price2.1 (2012-10-04)

Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity-6.38%
Dividend Yield-
Gross Profit Margin-
Operating Profit Margin-9.60%
Net Profit Margin-11.55%
Tax Rate-
Asset Turnover0.4199
Net Asset Value Per Share1.53
Net Tangible Asset per share1.52
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.76
Cash Per Share1.3
Liquidity Current Ratio1.0475
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.0132
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.3816
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio2.3445
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.6763
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale7.3%
Days to sell the inventory18
Days to collect the receivables346
Days to pay the payables307

Technical Analysis 
SMA 102.417 (Uptrend)
SMA 202.231 (Uptrend 11 days)
SMA 502.243 (Downtrend)
SMA 1002.546 (Downtrend)
SMA 2002.961 (Downtrend)
MACD (26d/12d)0.091992 ( 0.007551 )
Signal (9)0.042607 ( 0.012346 )
MACD Histogram0.049385 (Bullish trend 23 days)
Bolinger Upper Band2.679
Bolinger Lower Band1.783

My notes based on 2012 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue mainly recognised from the Group’s manufacturing segment arising from a defence related project

- Higher loss due to a lower profit contribution from the heavy engineering segment in subsidiaries involved in maintenance, repair and overhaul(MRO), as well as commercial shipbuilding losses. The chartering segment continued to experience tough economic conditions and also contributed to the current year losses

- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 475517*0.05/248458 = 0.0957(very low operating profit margin, estimate highest/lowest PE = 38.66/28.94 (DPS 0.06)
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced, but if based on ROE of 2.14% per quarter then eps = 0.0405*4 = 0.162, estimate highest/lowest PE = 25.06/15.74 (DPS 0.065)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0405*4 = 0.162, estimate highest/lowest PE = 20.15/14.41 (DPS 0.065)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = (0.0405+0.046)*2*1.1 = 0.1903, estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.97/16.5 (DPS 0.065)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.3098*1.2 = 0.3718, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.57/10.46 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0636*1.1*4 = 0.2798 (10% increase due to many new contract received), estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.69/14.44 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0631*4 = 0.2524*0.9 = 0.2272 (10% drop from 0.2524), estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.13/15.58 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0749*4 = 0.2996, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.75/12.65 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0996*4 = 0.3984, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.66/11.16 (DPS 0.055)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0709*4 = 0.2836, estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.67/16.24 (DPS 0.055)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.0616*4 = 0.2464, estimate highest/lowest PE = 19.99/12.68 (DPS 0.055)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.0602*4 = 0.2408, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.89/9.7 (DPS 0.055)

BHIC latest news (English)

BHIC latest news (Chinese)

Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdategros_moper_mprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2012-08-0720122N/AN/A-3.61%6.66%142217247014164302852117157316660.06910.127513186728917534655642691932365120591180728961444424326173222312484582484586633822012-06-30-9.60%11.55%-0.4199-1.531.521.761.31.04751.01320.38162.34450.67637.3%18346307
2012-05-15201213.092.67-3.05%3.05%104797104797120911209114509145090.05840.0584108769364002249867447671750228402025028930175862961121931892484582484587056202012-03-31-8.18%11.54%-0.4893-1.61.591.790.781.09091.02210.3291.60890.588410.1%27272171
2012-02-23201143.762.830.060.79%2.70%1566675441331438917003747127820.01510.051411584496829324846047551719510514275713745899819523481898062896252484582484589143252011-12-31-2.49%9.18%-0.469771.53231.721.72.161.171.12721.06220.45921.59920.589514.8%28249208
2011-11-15201134.122.61-0.51%1.91%150015387466526416089243490350.00980.0364119559771678355620478814414241356391588279981094215646121644222484582484587056202011-09-30-4.78%3.51%-0.5158-1.71.691.680.671.15761.10630.24951.69370.599516.9%21336204
2011-08-12201123.332.4-0.29%2.42%1207602374512737213531397114690.00560.0462121289873519552023477703374951105521547159981914804766681064872484582484588099732011-06-30-4.87%2.27%-0.5725-1.711.71.920.431.19841.14940.15911.72710.606119.4%20353203
2011-05-26201114.243.2-2.13%2.13%116691116691186161861610072100720.04050.04051214323742766472444715576563010483614832799819170466221397768024845824845810509772011-03-31-17.79%15.95%27.06%0.5584-1.711.692.50.321.14691.10440.1111.75050.611715.4%19380219
2011-02-21201044.93.760.0652.97%18.10%229205649797199779505411434698060.04600.281010122365386494328347358778437274691533435238210590647437998192484582484589938322010-12-31-5.34%8.72%11.63%0.641914.23711.731.722.330.411.42091.35370.20041.25180.532132.6%22326207
2010-11-22201034.363.95-6.98%15.14%227709420592370217507726900583720.10830.2349892177436345370234558321430112936714587352336172378265052583124845824845810460082010-09-30-15.24%16.26%18.07%0.6548-1.691.672.520.11.45541.38980.06211.04190.489132.5%20345170
2010-08-17201024.734.1-4.10%8.16%104475192883185363805615804314720.06360.12676587842549281198040385610045028968020252493103346231442934924845824845811429062010-06-30-15.04%17.74%11.94%0.76-1.581.582.910.121.6921.68920.12540.65050.38732.4%1267101
2010-05-18201014.863.6-4.06%4.06%8840888408195201952015668156680.06310.06315902691876291169840264070701171039881525717241132530200412484582484589863782010-03-31-18.48%22.08%21.37%0.875-1.571.572.530.081.99571.9910.12090.47990.317932.0%121990
2010-02-22200944.783.850.065.81%23.83%163582543851219989487618601762800.07490.307057987119425010390385621337891800596029476351794421925257124845824845811453912009-12-31-9.68%13.45%17.58%0.937915.01561.511.513.050.211.79071.78610.28910.51770.33526.4%1183121
2009-11-12200935.14.5-7.73%18.02%144206380269280317287824750576790.09960.2321507546134104906137344255312909521689547164407622393323224845824845811801752009-09-30-14.37%19.44%11.16%1.0829-1.471.473.230.132.23862.23010.2760.3680.264227.1%115676
2009-08-06200925.354.66-5.50%10.29%120294236063227454484717617329290.07090.1325499518151574831134794493836218187779496115601343786058324845824845812075052009-06-30-15.07%18.91%19.43%1.0409-1.371.373.550.241.79191.78670.40120.44630.303423.0%1147114
2009-05-15200914.983.18-4.78%4.78%115769115769221022210215312153120.06160.061645952411632275693432021331843375050950761765522705723712484582484588199112009-03-31-15.40%19.09%30.80%1.1121-1.351.352.440.292.03982.03480.62580.34660.253123.5%-11689
2009-02-17200843.42.390.0556.99%53.75%16934349625926099134699149611151090.06020.46334649171448347554320083271124498611067791272011859949202484582484586683522008-12-31-10.54%15.41%44.13%1.06745.80631.261.262.130.381.72651.72330.65860.46340.311521.1%-113120
2008-11-11200833.042.59-16.14%46.76%11453632691638527108600345601001480.13910.4031426642113668780531297441612506441421067134667650818558952484582484587379202008-09-30-22.17%33.64%7.85%0.8734-1.231.232.410.221.86791.86330.49640.37250.266426.2%1151140
2008-08-12200824.22.3-16.08%30.63%111399212380383007007334446655880.13860.2640364743872616866277482546242072392710660856696606234598524845824845810683692008-06-30-22.50%34.38%7.56%0.7877-1.091.093.940.191.88091.87160.5340.32250.239226.4%1146137
2008-05-05200815.03.9-14.54%14.54%100981100981317733177331142311420.12530.12533356338982459102458095466712004510660855867559125069624845824845811925982008-03-31-19.89%31.46%1.04%0.6062-0.970.974.950.21.62441.61580.57190.37440.267627.2%2166195
2008-02-27200746.154.20.0159.96%100.20%4570011715336687474890482534854690.32223.241934106712691555242141526031430296926819840572851265531067131497491497499059812007-12-31-43.43%80.28%-0.34351.86621.391.394.350.711.28421.27860.84940.60830.372130.5%3168483
2007-10-30200737.755.9-90.00%90.24%29215714534360264382034360314372162.33822.34462985061329465202165560290071908108226198613091577311574501864791864796825132007-09-30-8.97%1492.47%-0.3334-0.860.864.260.311.13221.12150.43580.82910.445417.5%5332445
2007-08-2020072N/AN/A-0.31%0.24%275484223817112177150211850.00860.00681400976766126421-536515896184221131985881191023296261740831740835831782007-06-30-6.21%6.21%7.95%0.5019--3.12-3.12-1.070.160.12580.12350.0407-1.24624.8296-840.0%7274610
2007-05-3020071N/AN/A-0.07%0.07%14690146904664663173170.00180.00181756287136806364-53805246371485792215431523073190811740831740833916862007-03-31-5.61%3.17%112.02%0.2435--3.13-3.13-0.720.130.16870.16580.0314-1.31094.0636-1385.2%15330848
2007-02-2620064N/AN/A-N/AN/A2808280476166148991419993942180.11480.54122558927403796074-48448744253586312919875839229022165174083174083452612006-12-31-31.79%59.16%-0.1097--2.82-2.82-0.090.10.19770.19480.0239-1.50922.8933-2112.3%219003154

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtDeferred tax assets (A-0)Goodwill on consolidation (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current asset classified as held for sales (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other receivables (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Trade payables (L-0)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
20122157033849197399-214907323068-1054128987524218845397924477287134999149377746556
20121157033849197515-226252194322-12184406883971801367431394859281533271225513049867
20114157033849196780-228119290883-1144841150370517140948071-242332967030135948460
2011333113849198160-222647165484--34016568130135952284-579434121932771555620
2011216003849194144-199829107975--33321672180135555065-758232666334453052023
2011133113849195594-19701378806--30200705550130231242-1356333987735678247244
2010425363849196289-93553100996--33888581125129933449-1021217034232334743283
20103-3467187905-9494625831--2730855272073919320-952517355223320937023
20102--184493-7814329349--6573661422520770-970610491011951711980
20101--180838-7865420041--7843099522521860-92054726510927411698
20094--177344-7688652571--829272241-12394-87421679215632210390
20093--17107116697233232--102623524444713268-127738233993839061
20092--16376116519860583--773209202445136-12860961380378311
20091--15930496432072371--579162941499178-12189801033767569
20084--15522696086094920--462153440528187-548650941335397554
200839480-147130165967255895--514153935847211-3959941085577805
2008211000-134180165757545985--800115187910236-326997827496866
2008113000-121336165727850696--76492543965211-3258129852615910
2007413000-1102031656508106713--702539251048236-36351491218475524
20073--93628265538257532--141190527717209-353826431258395202
20072---2655098275113100-150052862817139-44355430551281666421
20071---26553712236757100-206238702804175-43725901071182226364
20064---53606561011767057100-213569280823201-40304155413197846074

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseFinance/interest costsAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestFinance/interest incomeShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesInvestment gain/lossWaiver by financial institutions pursuant to restructuring schemeRestructuring expenses
2012214221792842851558632011617116---
20121104797112252031133741296954735---
2011415666711873417416057162635986909---
201131500156464458915717936344975992---
20112120760345837481148834798373235---
20111116691503737799593135074621173---
2010422920523243763216963621941411084---
20103227709669011461930093431553412---
20102104475221389088757519533655---
2010188408417239972066320833494---
2009416358238682511477474711416273---
2009314420631273241234791543187310---
200921202944419361021707092004457---
2009111576968072797936172184078---
20084169343115171621514933793158096---
20083114536302338914594418912950---
20082111399289748633495739512844---
2008110098133188089830056511133---
20074457001187713258543112891657510-0
2007329215208172659420355540048-392819-
200722754813699258377399----
200711469052259413866261236----
200642808228863317370084932040106401--

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtManufacturingHeavy EngineeringChartering
2012245806933373074
2012113008889362853
201122085699904-
201112330693385-

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtManufacturingHeavy EngineeringChartering
20122132161725333
201216098510676
201125335344-
20111165419106-

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


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