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Saturday, May 12, 2012

KLCI Stock - DRBHCOM / 1619 - 2012 Quarter 3

DRB-HICOM BERHAD



Company Description
DRB-HICOM BERHAD is an investment holding company with investments in the automotive (including defense), services and property and construction segments. It operates in three segments: automotive, which is engaged in the manufacturing, assembly and sale of motor and military vehicles, including the sale of related spares and services; property and construction, which is engaged in property holding and development and construction work, and services, which is engaged in vehicle inspection, solid waste management, airport ground handling services and financial services. The Company provides defence-related work to the Malaysian Armed Forces. It wholly owns Defence Services Sdn. Bhd., which specialises in defence engineering works, including refurbishment, upgrading and upgrading of armoured vehicles. In March 2008, DRB-Hicom Berhad disposed of its entire equity interest in Drb-Hicom Information Technologies Sdn. Bhd., Hicom Network Services Sdn. Bhd. and Hicom Communications Sdn. Bhd.

Company Info 
Listing Date1992-09-04
Market Capital (Capital Size)4,659,101,292 (Large)
Par ValueRM 1.00
BoardMain
SectorIndustrial Products
Major IndustryDiversified business
Sub IndustryAutomotive Related Services
Websitehttp://www.drb-hicom.com

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E now(2.41-0.04)/0.1968 = 12.04 (Moderate)
Target Price2.76+0.04 = 2.80 (PE 14.0, EPS 0.1968, DPS 0.04)
DecisionBUY if stock price uptrend above 2.37 or wait stock price below Bolinger lower band
Comment
Revenue increased 14.7% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 5.6%, eps decreased 23.6% and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 27.7%, no cash generated from operating but got borrowing to cover financing expenses and spent 39.3% of Group cash to cover other expenses, weaker liquidity ratio at weak level now, higher debt ratio near to historical high, lower inventory can indicate lower demand of Group products, higher property development cost can indicate more property projects contribute in the future, automotive and property segment revenue increased
First Support Price2.37
Second Support Price2.3
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
AMMB Target Price4 (2012-03-05)
HwangDBS Target Price3.45 (2012-03-12)
CIMB Target Price4.6 (2012-04-19)
RHB Target Price3.45 (2012-04-19)
HLG Target Price3.43 (2012-05-08)

Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity5.51%
Dividend Yield2.49%
Gross Profit Margin3.98%
Operating Profit Margin6.59%
Net Profit Margin6.80%
Tax Rate19.11%
Asset Turnover0.2332
Net Asset Value Per Share2.67
Net Tangible Asset per share2.57
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.0
Cash Per Share4.14
Liquidity Current Ratio0.6329
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.5117
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.4171
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio4.3784
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.781
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale-104.4%
Days to sell the inventory132
Days to collect the receivables97
Days to pay the payables979

Technical Analysis 
SMA 202.51 (Downtrend 8 days)
SMA 502.585 (Downtrend)
SMA 1002.48 (Uptrend)
SMA 2002.247 (Uptrend)
MACD (26d/12d)-0.03976 ( 0.003224 )
Signal (9)-0.033555 ( 0.001551 )
MACD Histogram0.006205 (Bearish trend 15 days)
Bolinger Upper Band2.691
Bolinger Lower Band2.329


My notes based on 2012 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Lower pbt mainly due to lower share of results of certain associated companies which were affected by the automotive components supply constraints arising from the flood situation in Thailand and also higher finance costs incurred on additional borrowings to finance the acquisition of new investments and working capital

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q3 result announced = 6342070*0.06/1933237 = 0.1968, estimate PE on current price 2.41 = 12.04(DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced = (0.0471+0.0319)*2*0.9 = 0.1422(exclude RM80 million other income and revenue drop), estimate highest/lowest PE = 22.64/13.64 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = (0.0471+0.0374)*2*0.9 = 0.1521, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14/10.59 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = (0.057+0.0374)*2*1.05 = 0.1982, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.58/9.56 (DPS 0.045)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.057*4*0.8 = 0.1824, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.46/9.02 (DPS 0.045)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0684*4*0.8 = 0.2189, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.19/5.57 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.1873*0.95 = 0.1779, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.59/5.79 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0493*4*0.95 = 0.1873, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.09/5.02 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0428*4 = 0.1712, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.42/5.37 (DPS 0.04)

DRBHCOM latest news (English)

DRBHCOM latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdategros_moper_mprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2012-02-2420123N/AN/A0.021.25%4.33%16945724754013115171425544795762749210.04120.14222895814822616078117675163420701801799208686284937977367083888661303928246974261933237193323749684192011-12-313.98%6.59%6.80%19.11%0.2332-2.672.571.04.140.63290.51170.41714.37840.781-104.4%13297979
2011-11-24201223.261.98-1.66%3.11%147690030594411640593103731042781953450.05390.1010259554301967875111712196276679384645154230470822877368784388755368052740563511933237193323740211322011-09-302.90%9.25%11.11%26.04%0.2567-2.642.530.823.610.64230.50960.4143.85450.7582-90.5%12986862
2011-08-25201212.191.67-1.46%1.46%1582541158254114631414631491067910670.04710.0471268472492059628811715886250961215249025324629567377366721899244160357161331011933237193323740018002011-06-307.04%8.06%9.25%25.74%0.2545-2.632.520.824.570.72060.58750.49994.05490.7672-72.3%13482922
2011-05-26201142.341.940.041.18%7.70%19978906804064134598701524723964724680.03740.24442829591922163807115176861321121748626810243297647709591093838364073677366461933237193323743111182011-03-314.62%5.07%6.74%32.84%0.24059.12472.582.460.915.450.73140.61510.54234.45030.7833-76.7%129761036
2011-02-25201132.51.69-1.82%6.62%160491548061741572805669261100984000720.05700.20692558108019533189113141960478918079524048008677570958061212752129952757962791933237193323738278092010-12-316.56%8.09%9.80%20.76%0.25-2.542.430.813.840.76460.6220.51833.9730.7636-52.7%12484809
2010-11-25201122.271.260.022.22%4.86%164767632012591861714096461321912899740.06840.1500255390491957463111346565964418806216372304810870957901178520117041259253781933237193323725132082010-09-307.53%8.79%11.30%16.77%0.2492-2.52.380.553.870.75260.64020.54144.05290.7665-53.7%9678779
2010-08-26201111.391.07-2.71%2.71%155358315535832234752234751577831577830.08160.08162499855419172367111719558261871207713215995391670957801229312117539659203841933237193323720878952010-06-304.65%11.24%14.38%10.40%0.25-2.442.320.473.880.79870.650.55274.07140.7669-43.8%12577770
2010-05-25201041.180.980.0254.45%8.11%159008363141343187876578942593604722980.13420.24432599457920172069124277458225103646083101497313440845992242631110249670270959261933237193323718752392010-03-316.32%5.98%20.05%6.73%0.24293.97052.372.250.434.590.77770.66970.58454.40460.776-53.4%10075858
2010-02-25201031.310.960.0151.87%3.84%157307147240511754573391071035282129380.05360.11012519589619648777121551755471192548708123750111010945992331311207120109858003311933237193323719235702009-12-318.63%9.23%11.15%25.25%0.246-2.242.120.473.990.75510.65010.54474.53610.7798-55.9%9280811
2009-11-26201021.120.97-1.14%2.01%1531731315098076662163650617371094100.03190.05662330501017873411119504354315991788162894482128332459928289368076534853646301933237193323720105662009-09-302.65%4.48%5.00%29.20%0.262-2.192.070.53.660.7690.65960.54074.21890.7669-49.6%8985750
2009-08-28201011.251.02-0.88%0.88%16192491619249869888698847673476730.02470.02472139744816001734119816253957143911745809590092459924141897850907040901711933237193323722038902009-06-303.13%4.77%5.37%30.45%0.2887-2.172.030.563.040.75530.65380.5163.81220.7478-45.1%7185642
2009-05-28200941.330.9050.0251.13%12.32%1473665610142759297774943607366605070.04360.47412152286816162368119975653605006880344979508123362015413594291474305785445992131393286139328613793532009-03-314.60%3.12%4.02%-0.28352.08832.992.810.354.460.80850.67610.53783.88450.7509-36.2%9587653
2009-02-26200931.190.65-0.87%13.65%1482115462776288644834240458807212430.03780.5944228914831760864210632115282841404217538990311543361541366579412046397846181150121330312133038917772008-12-315.67%6.17%5.98%27.41%0.2618-3.483.330.226.490.87050.76810.63914.1730.7692-26.6%7989712
2008-11-26200920.830.72-1.44%15.67%1603470314564795152745596620196753630.06160.670388610194550130867342431088926955411740661101843154163314436203417771883410100760710076077154002008-09-303.36%4.47%5.93%19.26%0.6236-3.423.40.212.151.75061.40380.88491.32130.513533.2%578494
2008-08-29200911.120.675-13.68%13.68%154217715421776504446504446133446133440.60870.608710014690553239497229544822961565111284495634653154123711279844933312034568100760710076079975302008-06-302.17%3.37%42.18%3.42%0.4756-3.483.460.293.262.11761.79441.24921.57620.552461.7%66108115
2008-05-29200841.210.910.0351.00%7.55%1366065401237959194376073388942923950.03860.290293290415457896959777387114569780534026421343116245035754137888415413341007607100760711990522008-03-310.77%3.33%4.33%0.58%0.43014.10082.892.870.411.941.91081.5450.75851.87470.58558.5%88111132
2008-02-28200831.411.06-4.47%6.69%101441126463141872463168791693982535010.16810.251689499895158852945773379113753076727483166946116238525593618899013513751007607100760714005732007-12-311.74%17.51%18.46%1.64%0.3718-2.822.80.51.851.64911.36770.82291.81310.576444.2%73135136
2007-11-30200821.731.360.0151.30%2.47%83986916319036576112963344195841030.04390.083582705354864171739328340636453162526476372750116238326686219411213564951007607100760716625512007-09-303.15%6.11%7.83%19.55%0.3578-2.652.620.631.791.62871.37540.87471.82380.588143.9%67127128
2007-08-30200811.951.65-1.18%1.18%792034792034638726387239908399080.03960.0396824099048487287521883392262231153919326876711620621392217045412325161007607100760717532362007-06-303.38%8.28%8.06%12.65%0.2572-2.622.610.671.71.58211.29010.81261.83660.588457.8%110172175
2007-05-3020074N/AN/A0.0250.51%2.85%68159229054216108718713117072950730.01690.0944823221848931447376783339074693698233889347744105015745980911206511622221007607100760719648332007-03-317.58%9.34%8.96%19.47%0.161320.66662.582.570.761.541.58731.23480.75091.8810.594491.6%209274292
2007-02-2320073N/AN/A0.011.45%2.41%64604622238295658612604446759780010.04660.0778841028051768746693113233406395205155978128298104907923922711092911600081002730100273016845862006-12-310.23%10.46%8.76%2.84%0.0768-2.562.550.661.581.59951.24730.73872.0190.6155199.1%428592606

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtAvailable-for-sale securities (A-0)Biological assets (A-0)Deferred tax assets (A-0)Financial assets at fair value through profit and loss (A-0)Financing of customers (A-0)Intangible assets (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment in jointly controlled entity (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Land held for property development (A-0)Other assets (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Securities Held-to-Maturity (A-0)Statutory deposits with Bank Negara Malaysia (A-0)Available-for-sale securities (A-1)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current asset classified as held for sales (A-1)Derivative assets (A-1)Financial assets at fair value through profit and loss (A-1)Financing of customers (A-1)Held-to-maturity securities (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Property development costs (A-1)Reinsurance assets (A-1)Short term funds (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred income (L-0)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Deposits & placements of banks & other financial institutions (L-0)Deposits from customers (L-0)Insurance contract liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Other long-term provisions (L-0)Bank overdraf (L-1)Bills payables (L-1)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Deposits & placements of banks & other financial institutions (L-1)Deposits from customers (L-1)Derivative liabilities (L-1)Dividend payable (L-1)Insurance contract liabilities (L-1)Liabilities directly associated with assets classified as held for sale (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Provision for liabilities (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
201235329749-13222913246528549020522310910003341025560241023638320-1606218717065013944397211232977218786312649181373610712499142868224971702581252530232965041178622482350657008874267451815115140718680113631412199-2878901417669110812-659669-1263571271923821251176751
201224151142-122369-50012332114301077500345673559490946864320-162131852861444076400221113682814136963189438973365942453388622985415912365332591052774260156465982420591188874272321754603890227103116002305660-1363512725022784357997642770-1229533269118540931171219
201213857039-152642-4943929214022424774350231560780947260320-1930218621824801752982211216017144549427302350444118203897629351629951229428247272490814115425447837163595-24207181545993772413211124199234-12547139867245229-627342-859817311620703611171588
201144126131-155629-4813029219021484515336709554452946560320-194591840697491085941211221162135031633902342443209229808214712523545230727270290644729514091217900065757-2708217325658252417615997291375-14993158128194880-708582-515180344520761301151768
201133790935-161275-5727990218604448101347447557058988540320-8834181217747073491621115573812167092730877147296410861078000679726200042-465150414751537816566123-2430134173651889073990126068371418-631391084941413924-392809-602878321820077411131419
201124335086-158821-5683128223597454468349610554375992917320-89101812375478450896215967461157946130106814700821004765-762019194829-484669313534807815564296-30497121683555883263100025339382478-62907103188231778836248416347-658837325418926291134656
201113624527-174318-5450958228725413831354855551189992711320-89871812198446911886211017836122958713019543978131125961-803658198683-475468713200947804664508-3039691152176388320965727180407227-1636199687207493-436158-662031396220553611117195
201043292058-130635-5166102233750409691331925542571931200-11919619065184003228224878217207471386735--3871681319096-657065260624-577538312927267817746357-239829315281249471536902954692224-1636112049941--519838-551080453619097491242774
201033545973-127642-5110367237188408030341064592934981335-117896573438180420328224851216490471085567130384-5163011311353-651415184990-479144313609127908139518-28861441485906101228376640396402782-8489110418449-21749473523-487532503522107221215517
201023527419-137468-4803080242256377053327251595263251921-96375573791182439628224790716208071261189130384-5354681099414-628158183932-418664314280677451134112-2295038142172294716888247668415918-855919935410-36248474780-486317568416123621195043
201013483431-126327-4470059265017367508345855591961250624-88527074151183738728346767713351201256325130384-48221812216532545635349181266-291176214381197470452467-21775081343733972674103142473280328-1919478282911--415629-491145660316685811198162
200942638068-139465-4672622251614417321334083585515249418-88948274511183606128346728716633851065711140674-46286411110312545681807180185-356910514561847494035653-2323244125296593035783025525538901-1258158295458--433067-5882561000515273521199756
200932521220-99326-4674911181004427901341266612967256140-937515758601750846283462517713703241144504123329-36319113070852545686173203201-506429614677627672457261-29325171217269990100565724512652427-2504258966595--391913-563523802814716911063211
20092-1969063298--22605776315-607702317369-957284765791740425---1943820380-219454--646220201833--12680457525457626--1232514733967610416310-----26450381937-62142186181389929867342
20091-1971658998--22826426744359820610255330057-818077784661720316---271687618412-568603--651878198346--14153007535353059--12601491507067676019986------3654941938774911286491467378972295
20084-1974399510--23036390967350695609286329304-790802770251713953---1570714803393-384197--742351200439--12236267431061866--12479031488042842125010------3504351841875458457491423158959777
20083-1977066188--286021138585333000588842325439-822389724411816543---13786927488-486684--55757880232--12275167334677096--12950891445216125023829-----11184331490-677772324891190091945773
20082-1970862804--289401282767228269469278321710-726476622371704408---13918453800-414821--43078492363--10303257024559867--12315041435820128123305-----18389327688-67551922720997833739328
20081-1958966937--98811347148234678460359317674-693217609701702324---13751966044-334288--513371100937--9983776970062282--11722451439702113422582------321458-75913923247977239752188
20074-1961671662--97151339434228100466827311933-722331680861709084---13086636044-245534--619669110037--9954836947869032--1087947159596294727079-----7356330938-658536246251021244737678
20073--76207--89091455770261495387084342618-714087-1732283---132029944184-264580--66652189242--10470017100766659--969908192291881243134-19548---7356337275-640080275491070628669311

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesGain/loss on disposal of subsidiariesImpairment lossGain/Loss on disposal of investment in an associateShare of net profit of jointly controlled entityGain on disposal of estates
201231694572220141627128309384730830791358119120---15316-
20122147690042717143402532724128353346561706433907---26304-
201211582541376551471206264472390576241759225034---20111-
2011419978904419619055091893485524765791800636611---15595-
2011316049153265214996901882642903182581453035170---11066-
2011216476763121815235402141337682169082276242388---20286-
2011115535832325214812691891511221599754244044324---23512-
2010415900832145114896331633372943783103797613962---14642211433
2010315730714430914373541650026357168472762031210---15520-
20102153173122382149106616673344056458745710520-----
2010116192492648715685901906038446118221282816880---11885-
2009414736651531414059341943615031128730167531626--04481-
200931482115242941398078176774275135327184703128--017988-
2009216034701832815495313028156466386771480553705--0--
2009115421772225415087362826135219166251484638172567567--20931-
20084136606534413556062890981533464841995623988---18607-
200831014411306599673828800213689537161478327140---11260-
20082839869128548134232992924891-871244353-----
20081792034808176529032338391773561588324067---6578-
200746815921189162995133682223466804593212414663-131000-16458-
20073646046160664456934863672231125822120009---3865-

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtAutomotiveProperty & InfrastructureServices
20123103046967149596954
2012279719945575634126
2012181949246728716321
20114130019737741659952
2011390041631125673374
2011294727736725663674
2011188982117202646560
2010490284458046629193
2010389805733862641152
2010282990929600672222
2010197101630843617390
2009486091443289569462
2009389369035426552999
20092115021444544408712
20091108649243002412683
2008490847581834375756
2008357527974968364164
2008240594474959358966
2008141297659227319831
20074241423120750319419
2007327116580456294425

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtAutomotiveInvestment holdingProperty & InfrastructureServices
201232609968162683255
201226054398501062788304
20121384928600166086230
201146305611999572058617
20113498069361948384577
201124359312915394688180
20111400393111610246109395
201042161847405181538114522
20103558981293977139928
20102643011908459856864
20101103025905146375954
200944709011820216501848031
2009380682633978439
200921858226335606122547
2009132235693001039928437
2008420414934254733434
20083519911906801263827828
200821794623281396615381
20081358429286919021678
200749981913670814891415176
2007316991370101697625031

Financial Quarter Segments Associate
yearqrtAutomotiveProperty & InfrastructureServices
201232240836888340
201224708146748456
20121404993798848
20114486172926663
20113432512627358
2011258546419668
20111642983093445
201042664535261567
20103421455126541
20102190105272441
20101231035450212
20094682611730
2009351699190501
20092474916418204
200914822710876-
200843049145067598
2008316241630515854
2008226695483112827
200811754343728730
200741711114552542
200731177941907905

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING




CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING

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