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Sunday, May 27, 2012

KLCI Stock - UEMLAND / 5148 - 2012 Quarter 1

UEM LAND HOLDINGS BHD



Company Description
UEM Land Holdings Berhad is a Malaysia-based investment holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the Company is engaged in property development and construction activities. The Company’s project portfolio include Kota Iskandar, Puteri Harbour, the Southern Industrial and Logistics Clusters (SiLC) and Nusajaya Residences, which comprise of East Ledang, Horizon Hills, Ledang Heights and Nusa Idaman. Its operations are carried out principally in Malaysia. As of December 31, 2009, the Company had two direct subsidiaries: Nusajaya Resort Sdn. Bhd., and UEM Land Berhad, which is engaged in project procurement and management and strategic investment holding. During the year ended December 31, 2009, the Company’s projects in Nusajaya span a total of 23,875 acres of freehold land zoned for residential, commercial and industrial development. On February 16, 2011, the Company announced that it has acquired the remaining offer shares of Sunrise Berhad, making Sunrise its wholly owned subsidiary.

Company Info 
Listing Date2008-11-15
IPO Price0.55
Market Capital (Capital Size)8,482,250,367 (Very Large)
Par ValueRM 0.50
BoardMain
SectorProperties
Major IndustryProperty Development
Sub IndustryConstruction & Project Management
Websitehttp://www.uemland.com/

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E now1.96/0.102 = 19.22 (Moderate)
Target Price0.102*23.0 = 2.35 (PE 23.0, EPS 0.102)
DecisionBUY if stock price sustain above 2 and got very strong buy volume than sell or wait stock price below Bolinger lower band
Comment
Revenue decreased 49.2% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 61.8%, eps decreased 59.7% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 227.3%, cash receipts from customers not enough to cover operating expenses hence increased borrowings and spent 11% of Group cash to cover all other expenses, higher gross margin, stronger liquidity ratio at strong level now, lower gearing ratio at moderate level now, lower debt ratio and is getting far from historical high, higher property development cost can indicate on-going grwoth
First Support Price1.9
Second Support Price1.8
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
Credit Suisse Target Price3.8 (2011-08-05)
UOB Target Price2.68 (2011-11-09)
RHB Target Price2.38 (2011-11-14)
CIMB Target Price2.56 (2012-02-29)
HwangDBS Target Price2.3 (2012-02-29)
Maybank Target Price2.05 (2012-02-29)
MIDF Target Price2.5 (2012-02-29)
OSK Target Price3.17 (2012-02-29)
Kenanga Target Price2.65 (2012-03-28)
Public Target Price2.8 (2012-04-03)
ECM Target Price2.25 (2012-04-10)
HLG Target Price2.35 (2012-04-10)
Jupiter Target Price2.35 (2012-05-07)

Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity9.27%
Dividend Yield-
Gross Profit Margin36.37%
Operating Profit Margin24.91%
Net Profit Margin22.84%
Tax Rate24.96%
Asset Turnover0.231
Net Asset Value Per Share1.02
Net Tangible Asset per share0.89
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share2.2
Cash Per Share0.12
Liquidity Current Ratio4.1251
Liquidity Quick Ratio2.4102
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.7935
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.5136
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.3195
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale120.9%
Days to sell the inventory351
Days to collect the receivables228
Days to pay the payables142

Technical Analysis 
SMA 201.996 (Downtrend 41 days)
SMA 502.119 (Downtrend)
SMA 1002.213 (Downtrend)
SMA 2002.106 (Downtrend)
MACD (26d/12d)-0.049722 ( 0.003368 )
Signal (9)-0.052757 ( 0.000759 )
MACD Histogram0.003035 (Bullish trend 2 days)
Bolinger Upper Band2.15
Bolinger Lower Band1.842

My notes based on 2012 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- Lower revenue and pbt than FY11Q4 mainly due to fewer strategic land sales as well as lower development revenue and fewer working days

- Higher revenue and pbt than FY11Q1 mainly due to contribution from the Group’s development from East Ledang, Nusa Bayu, Nusa Idaman, MK28 and Quintet as well as sale of inventories from Dutamas and Meridin

- Ongoing projects have an unbilled sales of RM1.85 billion as at 31 March 2012

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 5296613*0.09/4672449 = 0.102, estimate PE on current price 1.96 = 19.22
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 5296613*0.09/4672449 = 0.102, estimate highest/lowest PE = 23.33/18.73
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.08, estimate highest/lowest PE = 30.88/23.88
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0663*1.2 = 0.08, estimate highest/lowest PE = 28.63/19.25
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.051*1.3 = 0.0663, estimate highest/lowest PE = 43.89/30.17

UEMLAND latest news (English)

UEMLAND latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdategros_moper_mprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2012-05-2520121N/AN/A-0.98%0.98%303717303717693586935851906519060.01080.0108787455625159334603895358623111815144641330626825110369690395577864823398482339894538602012-03-3136.37%24.91%22.84%24.96%0.231-1.020.892.20.124.12512.41020.79350.51360.3195120.9%351228142
2012-02-28201142.381.91-4.11%8.77%59780217031721441573291791292512756450.02680.059077937572497144460186529661318156842420242912344350924263418648962999848260964672449107139332011-12-3129.13%25.05%24.11%9.74%0.218537.63111.040.92.470.133.92252.27940.87220.51630.3204124.4%367219159
2011-11-24201132.472.08-1.50%4.66%408282110537059836185022470161463940.01010.03177773453261603645932951574171151791786860905544371713304774210211858194676942462071697748082011-09-3029.08%16.15%14.66%20.56%0.1777-1.020.882.370.284.77953.13111.80930.55680.3365197.8%487252178
2011-08-25201122.291.54-2.68%3.16%50940369708810121312518684116993780.01770.0213741787626781614588134739715211091340963892504390791129875022379413164745087466899499646822011-06-3031.66%22.87%19.87%17.03%0.1401-0.920.782.690.24.77512.85141.49750.62560.361232.1%693304199
2011-05-25201112.912.0-0.49%0.49%187685187685239732397315262152620.00330.0033702170426909784544544330726135451142853282168440975740228957073054546095234609523128605692011-03-3134.35%17.03%12.77%36.35%0.088-0.840.694.040.164.7962.61421.2470.69420.3832370.3%1349487402
2011-02-25201043.012.58-5.83%8.55%2763374697131262391802101153311692400.03110.05103971133829183454456314195011950221542171813588811971730200143788937123623319862102461192010-12-3152.38%47.85%45.68%8.61%0.118354.1410.810.83.450.126.85983.73741.68510.30850.2088324.2%1141414317
2010-11-29201033.42.08-0.63%2.72%65674193376107865397112472539090.00340.016937244347183304544233006104684131929283094135838664842166103524483712362318759177588362010-09-3032.97%8.79%16.42%-0.1083-0.80.792.650.095.81032.99241.29270.28150.1929324.4%1171388377
2010-08-27201022.521.66-1.95%2.09%88003127702396144318538692414370.01160.014237417377517344536132990003171148139513462991358381571971891023249403338797292085754756272010-06-3035.31%44.83%45.01%2.32%0.1097-0.870.851.930.15.72423.34391.17320.29640.2009320.8%997508377
2010-05-25201011.821.32-0.14%0.14%396993969935713571274527450.00110.00113493668150968245361119839866166412297139381358757396160023758522498274249827432477562010-03-3132.23%5.08%9.00%14.59%0.1119-0.610.62.170.031.03630.5370.06160.98650.432111.9%978534946
2010-02-22200941.731.21-5.05%5.72%2099244079139373411232685968974410.03440.0390353301215538004533061979212215533951617122125732610691101521358842498274249827435475492009-12-3147.10%42.36%44.65%8.49%0.115536.40720.610.62.370.062.03971.09710.2081.01830.4398175.2%930515936
2009-11-11200931.741.39-0.34%0.67%727921979897928185405802114210.00230.00463196678131636545349818803138686876789825425728945463708294362498274249827442220832009-09-3034.10%9.74%10.89%20.96%0.1189-0.570.563.020.012.79981.17130.06830.92260.4118253.3%1066532612
2009-08-20200921.81.51-0.25%0.33%68686125197735010613430956200.00170.00223181606130895545303418726514869459334873825729546275889198402498274249827439472722009-06-3024.10%11.39%10.70%45.33%0.1212-0.570.552.870.012.67511.16970.04890.9220.4114239.1%969550595
2009-05-25200912.011.28-0.08%0.08%565115651132633263131113110.00050.00053113777125275945332518610183070168243126924819375256256185632498274249827440971692009-03-3123.59%8.33%5.77%30.86%0.1211-0.560.552.980.012.79791.22290.05240.88990.4023240.7%943544550
2009-02-26200841.70.635-0.20%3.51%1819805116471522589823208574710.00130.023630605521358017452380170253552650859351170004640413858521585248192462463243679518591592008-12-3114.95%0.76%0.84%-0.167232.01230.510.51.510.012.18240.98130.05371.08630.4437143.8%716391553
2008-11-13200830.90.5-0.04%3.20%78365329667243355620731524230.00030.021628399011137564451500170233764144811401120004805714528433284147732428177242817713354972008-09-3020.90%6.80%3.10%130.05%0.1945-0.520.51.10.013.12871.2140.05760.90940.4006156.5%728285346
N/A20082N/AN/A-0.15%3.25%601722513022068531872439531540.00100.0219N/AN/A-N/A12615717361120004663984351276497428824281772428177N/A2008-06-3020.65%3.68%3.44%-N/A-N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A-N/AN/A
N/A20081N/AN/A-3.40%3.40%191130191130552555525555593555930.02290.0229N/AN/A-N/A91440806197000466399950125014413824281772428177N/A2008-03-3138.98%34.72%28.91%-N/A-N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A-N/AN/A
N/A20074N/AN/A-N/AN/A222675187154810800324267105813961160.00440.18502717725108159045150016361351348001187181365933832891329283366504663924281772141455N/A2007-12-3126.56%10.33%4.85%2.62%0.1063-0.550.53N/A0.022.73231.14270.14950.9130.398226.2%981424539
N/A20073N/AN/A-N/AN/A662771648873689431479490783868620.00370.1894N/AN/A-N/A140336415942142908684310138742241664426462428177204229313354972007-09-3010.15%12.97%10.40%-N/A-N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A-N/AN/A

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtAmount Owing by Joint Venture Partner (A-0)Available-for-sale financial assets (A-0)Deferred tax assets (A-0)Fixed deposits (A-0)Goodwill on consolidation (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment in jointly controlled entity (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Land held for property development (A-0)Leasehold land use rights (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Receivables (A-0)Amount due from associated companies (A-1)Amount due from immediate holding company (A-1)Amount due from jointly controlled entity (A-1)Available-for-sale financial assets (A-1)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current asset classified as held for sales (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other receivables (A-1)Property development costs (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Liability component of RCPS (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Long term payables (L-0)Other long-term provisions (L-0)Amount due to immediate holding company (L-1)Current portion of long-term borrowings (L-1)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Liabilities directly associated with assets classified as held for sale (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Other payables (L-1)Provision for liabilities (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
2012130742-2592514186214091011262714435095092766060-274354162895206828898-3265-5584123470111261113005310954882588893908891162450----15064-65654487652135335460389
2011429696-2670514186214091047462652405110772751590-272190162334204380898-3228-632140-124494101583610663762606543884141123291----20274-51684515787137040460186
20113--1603114186214091023241225265030362572411317-176594201812898-1686801211071187027-1165647860791075220263008384308122090324822---27926-116253434188144628459329
20112--205911418621279933322120355074982593712323-184497133206898-789328703947763-10657278498911221282784455243941202349246839562--27211-111497353542146478458813
20111--173921418695803920702033493810722498257323-17324869238898-7788018248733070-9656974491412179551560636415471256899245459432--16394-10755039208386465454454
20104---14183922387063101383306151797695324-6203768766898-754847437889-42252456933769146136727-40818524407-69402-11890--15566922903454456
20103-32361-1418392233923967843302281814046333-6160058019898-7441573515353382010508353120755821143414-24100061966-91799-1313866-15468023292454423
20102-33636-1418392233505062225299711820386354-6008564223898-7930973269293382012457490886650860150196-29900023866-91889-77866290215922223716453613
20101-33636-1418392234519658797288481838502366-5915064223535-791957787133521415582492595622468150142-5800023595-339164632979302901381227768923098453611
20094---1418392234399755339288481840256372-5696864223535-7529271429903597853205499494594867150312-69097924960-319361-1195917914133262024315453306
20093---14183922346243--1534485372-1354064223101408--7365163578624120452613846724144880-636736--285120-22941023803721457523700453498
20092---1418392231568731430-1542870359-140486422327022-742767269213543527320480162801205147396-611159--247576-1225828803826073531998453034
20091-158-1418392231487926515-1540494330-141826422327022-743777264412851831355460920763715145218-602750--220837-620-792524260332806453325
20084-158-14183922340292--1544300334-1235964223101294--7334052851835905447472711644144997-590661--187872-938-863338954635370452380
20083-157--3922337446--1415284411-1130665641101566--7234023870526659329284750810151382-580120--182435-1742947958718674224609451500
20074-765-1418392231156310586-1546824407-107256552328574419244427563913870534797282527564829154787-549579--68389-13789471071026121734583451500

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesDiscontinued operationProfit/loss of subsidiaries from continuing operations attributable to minority interestShare of net profit of jointly controlled entity
2012130371717309193249101369429442381431202-22654898
201145978021404842365511700258845030085812062-113115375
201134082821230528954111273132806609551510348-75942429
20112509403172383481051506912981577881412693-48181916
20111187685871312321513360178625036421536-23446173
2010427633710875131602130722652351583313050-200302297
201036567424964401914003851197328105744-32163884
2010288003920569332539296942131121312-16543042
20101396995212690330433594143733052349-3972645
200942099247958111042280489411890019215441-125244698
20093727921662479711633302220750464195712717382376
200926868633325213013643884126202911208-15981284
20091565111007431781719184210467945698-1320896
200841819802566154783668581263948804262-5429637
2008378365316461990328787811925-47-18392278
2008260172365477492111971473661114-5341679
200811911303321166371637112192516412-10756873
2007422267528316353855296537108641612-13421167
200736627719375954831156816896247883-1327474

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING

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