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Wednesday, May 9, 2012

KLCI Stock - KPJ / 5878 - 2011 Quarter 4

KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD



Company Description
KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD is engaged in the operation of specialist hospitals. The hospitals segment includes the support services companies which have been principally providing services and supports the operations of the hospitals. These support services companies mainly comprise of provision of management services and pathology and laboratory services, marketing and distribution of pharmaceutical, medical and surgical products and operating a private nursing college. Other operations of the Company comprise of import, export and distribution of pharmaceutical, medical and consumer healthcare product and retail pharmacy. The Company operates in Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia. The Company has a network of 18 hospitals in Malaysia, three in Indonesia, one in Bangladesh and two in Saudi Arabia. With more than 3,000 licensed beds, it offer a range of medical services and has treated more than 2 million outpatients and 170,000 inpatients during the year ended December 31, 2007.

Company Info
Listing Date1994-11-29
Market Capital (Capital Size)3,642,995,280 (Large)
Par ValueRM 0.50
BoardMain
SectorTrading/Services
Major IndustrySpecialist Hospitals
Sub IndustryPharmaceutical
Websitehttp://www.kpjhealth.com.my/

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(5.89-0.121)/0.2413 = 23.91 (High)
Target Price5.55+0.121 = 5.67 (PE 23.0, EPS 0.2413, DPS 0.121)
DecisionNot interested unless coming quarter report got significant good result
Comment
Revenue increased 6.4% and was fourth consecutive quarter increasing (higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 17.3%), eps increased 26.6% and was third consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 12.7%, cash generated from operating more than enough to cover financing expenses but still generated cash from financing activities and spent 10% of Group cash to cover investing expenses, maintaining very high gross margin, slightly weaker liquidity ratio at low level now, lower gearing ratio at above moderate level now, lower debt ratio and is far from historical high, all repayment period is good
First Support Price5.5
Second Support Price5.0
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
TA Target Price5.04 (2011-08-22)
RHB Target Price4.71 (2011-12-07)
Maybank Target Price5.1 (2012-02-27)
MIDF Target Price4.6 (2012-02-27)
AMMB Target Price6.15 (2012-04-09)
OSK Target Price5.84 (2012-04-20)
ECM Target Price4.96 (2012-05-07)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity13.30%
Dividend Yield2.05%
Gross Profit Margin32.65%
Operating Profit Margin10.01%
Net Profit Margin11.24%
Tax Rate25.42%
Asset Turnover1.0715
Net Asset Value Per Share1.43
Net Tangible Asset per share1.17
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share4.11
Cash Per Share0.29
Liquidity Current Ratio1.4194
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.3168
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.4026
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.8772
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.4388
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale9.8%
Days to sell the inventory13
Days to collect the receivables58
Days to pay the payables85

Technical Analysis
SMA 205.466 (Uptrend 37 days)
SMA 505.188 (Uptrend)
SMA 1004.927 (Uptrend)
SMA 2004.412 (Uptrend)
MACD (26d/12d)0.184612 ( 0.009509 )
Signal (9)0.142636 ( 0.010494 )
MACD Histogram0.041976 (Bullish trend 10 days)

My notes based on 2011 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- The others segment is contributed by marketing and distribution of pharmaceutical, medical and surgical products and pathology and laboratory services

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 990543*0.15/615631 = 0.2413, estimate PE on current price 5.89 = 23.91(DPS 0.121)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.0503*4*1.03 = 0.2072, estimate highest/lowest PE = 23.7/19.4 (DPS 0.12)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0497*4*1.03 = 0.2048, estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.63/17.77 (DPS 0.12)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0462*4*1.05 = 0.194, estimate highest/lowest PE = 23.56/20.21 (DPS 0.15)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0512*4*1.1 = 0.2253, estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.73/15.99 (DPS 0.15)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0512*4*1.1 = 0.2253, estimate highest/lowest PE = 17.18/15.71 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0506*4*1.1 = 0.2226, estimate highest/lowest PE = 17.34/13.7 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.2174, estimate highest/lowest PE = 17.25/13.02 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.1359*4 = 0.5436(after split 2.5 = 0.2174), estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.89/10.9 (DPS 0.2 or 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.1291*4 = 0.5164, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.24/6.29 (DPS 0.2)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.1188*4 = 0.4752, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.61/6.92 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.1046*4 = 0.4184, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.29/6.74 (DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.107*4 = 0.428, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.99/6.17 (DPS 0.07)

KPJ latest news (English)

KPJ latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdategros_moper_mprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2012-02-2420114N/AN/A0.0473.99%13.30%506629189130056936190665395441317080.06370.21391765031774488107626990543152453172835774196933203821960817732562078561563129859752011-12-3132.65%10.01%11.24%25.42%1.071522.4831.431.174.110.291.41941.31680.40260.87720.43889.8%135885
2011-11-29201135.034.140.0253.63%9.70%47602513846714758613372934494921640.05030.1502172733377700010470695033390094637604006197118263342232821944668576561348828664972011-09-3030.09%9.81%10.00%22.77%1.0516-1.381.163.60.321.49841.39720.50070.91880.449812.0%135988
2011-08-19201124.553.760.0253.32%6.34%470898908646452258677830160576700.04970.095117262098167961024479094131020081255419597197118235333313016398860657460657427720432011-06-3030.00%9.67%9.60%24.69%1.0294-1.331.114.120.271.31241.22360.34141.01220.47328.5%1364101
2011-05-20201114.724.070.0243.11%3.11%437748437748415534155327510275100.04620.046216900778044949854688558324651225902503719711820612297617414259598659598624793012011-03-3130.12%9.35%9.49%24.64%1.0155-1.321.093.820.290.89730.83390.24461.02220.476-4.3%1464101
2011-02-28201044.373.790.053.74%13.77%431843165461144232166689322551188940.05650.203116800398166519474186338818827620662566185143965183494783619180157088558553821750712010-12-3134.16%7.29%10.24%25.12%0.984918.76381.311.083.530.350.90420.84680.27191.06250.4861-4.2%1366109
2010-11-30201034.03.670.0353.62%10.37%43648412227684311112245730229866390.05120.14661572769737369923628354009057010148966878142198109195595919815759041059098922317492010-09-3029.21%9.56%9.88%22.85%1.0225-1.261.053.60.341.28311.18960.47710.99240.46887.4%126688
2010-08-30201023.993.180.03253.74%7.24%410237786284413057934629163564100.05060.09791539047760061910097789869115776249301314219886739627414847257634457620019883862010-06-3029.10%9.84%10.07%24.80%0.9961-1.190.983.520.271.4041.30070.36851.10480.493911.0%146287
2010-05-31201013.852.930.03253.81%3.81%376047376047380413804127247272470.04800.0480140294268819446957714748386432670623227142198653494212210007656717356717316958472010-03-3129.12%10.00%10.12%24.35%1.0647-1.180.973.080.191.54041.45420.30641.03060.490512.8%107192
2010-02-25200943.12.45-5.52%16.38%385344145635339387144919373581108800.17970.53351377901700819454276770821274611750469062101303109957408951421982078432078435009012009-12-3126.12%9.63%10.22%13.26%1.05694.51753.042.480.970.691.45171.37120.38991.10950.508611.4%1062106
2009-11-24200936.522.20.14.19%11.49%36148710710093702910450326807735220.12910.354013035256634294146764009629604478914139101303343932025412155720769520769510280902009-09-3030.02%10.06%10.24%19.07%1.069-2.882.322.130.61.41171.31670.32811.10820.508911.2%136197
2009-08-26200925.143.390.13.66%6.87%370786709522358116747424867467150.11880.2232133732865701351423680315518175285310671013031036311013342093392093397180322009-06-3029.78%9.61%9.66%25.26%1.0183-3.02.481.380.51.67411.58670.28621.04470.491318.0%125998
2009-05-20200913.542.89-3.35%3.35%338736338736316633166321848218480.10460.1046131484566206649526652779334643153325971013034649913902874012088312088316264932009-03-3129.37%9.63%9.35%24.70%0.9897-2.892.361.270.451.60711.52560.2531.09750.503517.2%126090
2009-02-25200843.062.71-3.57%13.63%32250112673052367611405222456856440.10700.408212784526498794753262857312395061258522949090562692103981013032098312098315665432008-12-3127.24%7.21%7.34%9.35%0.99136.61512.772.241.210.511.67281.58840.30151.11850.508318.7%1256101
2008-11-24200832.812.5-3.49%10.34%329736944804300879037721312631890.10160.3011127769266652049362611172757317470725109090510241486894192098502098505770872008-09-3029.81%9.05%9.12%24.60%0.9779-2.682.131.290.451.23661.12950.33151.18640.52175.4%1359103
2008-08-19200823.42.230.073.37%6.98%310342615068289316029020179418770.09630.199912370236374924856559953135640878482109090544424362141271192095302095307082112008-06-3029.65%8.92%9.32%25.45%0.9756-2.632.091.620.641.44541.33640.54921.1570.51539.0%115288
2008-05-28200813.73.2-3.79%3.79%304726304726313593135921698216980.10360.1036118317061105249051572118787533243110739090525368142951052002093942093947328792008-03-3129.59%10.86%10.29%24.77%0.9769-2.51.991.760.531.37671.27020.46491.16820.51657.8%115583
2008-02-28200743.73.08-5.38%13.39%3045921108024210798525529850742370.14290.355512046586500884574255457093002398424213335325316057373909052088442088446641232007-12-3128.14%7.68%6.92%-0.91988.9462.441.961.620.481.36221.27690.31481.27760.539610.4%1351100
2007-11-29200733.463.0-3.45%8.22%287223803432267926417618642443870.08740.2081119614265623548700539907871071307857503353274029797791133112133142133147295332007-09-3030.27%9.28%9.33%24.06%0.8572-2.31.821.880.551.15051.05110.44061.3360.54863.9%1354109
2007-08-27200723.443.140.12.76%4.96%259334516209212703738414329257450.06760.12141167290648540468345187504329044847151463353215571358947121212077212077N/A2007-06-3030.74%8.98%8.20%27.47%0.6323-2.231.75N/A0.541.14061.05020.4481.37430.55564.8%1671137
2007-05-3020071N/AN/A-2.28%2.28%256875256875161141611411416114160.05440.054411556656543894553550127632683260641569833532661922317558492099222099225541942007-03-3129.21%7.70%6.27%25.82%0.4143-2.171.691.560.571.09921.00380.4521.43590.56625.5%27105218
2007-02-2820064N/AN/A-2.43%8.41%221911831455171276006011826409620.05770.199911018856146034469248728257211337518541027980909625552335322049542049544099082006-12-3129.87%6.77%7.72%34.39%0.201410.0072.161.671.20.461.01970.93080.37771.38870.55782.2%52217414

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtAvailable-for-sale financial assets (A-0)Deferred tax assets (A-0)Intangible assets (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current asset classified as held for sales (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Long term deposits (L-0)Bank overdraf (L-1)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Deferred income (L-1)Dividend payable (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
2011430741768416561331067726205-6165561773259135110487452173008424305227414116822119227865438014494118751248870107626
2011334471725113631732421724810-5645952194468581811966443482951184070228386514156-11445637614175122653243929104706
2011234471869313631731815224810-58989916517710597411480429403093203661928069715712-18854702813071129068292716102447
2011134471586413631731155924810-559189174142105974123424510930132441204374591378218436476802108136041828241698546
2010434471586413631730735224810-5367731971181059741234241615298427412043674713782183318361441467336265830810794741
2010312721489512333430432225011-566278199943-9693391662888551578328733815207135836408791349812859323510092362
2010232751582112333423979625011-5463631536581170041298543082258718193233112991244735351988245321295313820623577891009
201013275140921155912430172321519106438812108577103765125623054229038819361301145133436850119827695-7907623952646957
2009432751389811559123948223215-4467851438641037659117296972492122251730281965041583928812-6596227335145427
20093426214263116486239072254884329364030124499132849744836036234763163822556651197265489815598-11212924672041467
200923980121651102442362962548843243352471042112464786043318482210041791926314111832-196712782-10326324610951423
200913980122101102442311942548843243355189317724647896473004121254417508264780114922899540613761-13288221333849526
20084398014889110244226963254884252303683106162246478112212973019536218571267879113591982176813761-9858223597747532
2008339801493611379522853117438769853971694256-2481830454202070148153560851129314187750510528792424624292949362
20082398013476113795231424174387698496394134057-21785266091703671477836776710850414169633582-2840220100948565
20081398013592106411226442174387658477318111555-18665255631745481561934489810589355835444138-4871617999049051
2007439801146710046616693517438769846360810006312324929283271191533521434130737710459636119574138151988019221006545742
200733980179701029581825561808513225552863116610-96122630915197431949349150104631709789131371114041621140948700
200723980171451007561861161808513324538228113758-8364229781445563101835449790848067424546811114732318951446834
200713980182911007561835321808513423528031119076-801925118137354312053498169931465736504886-5313619710845535
20064398018442100522179604180851352251211894688-700622278131640312083229399771258649543226205854584717348744692

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesZakatReversal of impairment in associate
201145066291447234120916911141012609529208240348-
20113476025108333327814569566410222022595784317-
20112470898111643296285385492610067839015092--
2011143774810238305884533137549470638055972--
20104431843111092843433145987122001868786912696460
201034364849852308996466444319020130306057--
2010241023710243290848438548168383918995324--
201013760479264266529423444077631915304669--
20094385344522328468322333876393631944508--
200933614877063252969436678398000931595047--
200923707869047260349493136807847818975103--
200913387367821239263519128976974619944230--
20084322501221323465861031059656479936524--
200833297367401231427346232307169813743708--
200823103427362218321354240936842313904782--
200813047267768214544542675826467118933692--
20074304592898321889545113320656392122212--
200732872236445200288339143926467217053528--
200722593345842179620551824285884910993495--
20071256875416018183267863349586185383126--
2006422191158901556199564235555075893063--

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersMalaysiaIndonesia
2011412905039693950
20113629924092253808
20112302374387691892
20111298444060131891
2010432394330172065
201037037336608526
2010223971385523743
20101278033482431

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersMalaysiaIndonesia
201143709973982033
201132618169004167
201121856558032196
201113011304992195
201043369312871857
201032764140373049
201021082516082121
20101298625941150

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


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ARCHIVES


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1 comment:

Intraday Nifty Tips said...

The blog is giving good indicator of stocks. I am thinking to invest in this market to earn more money and for that your guidance is very necessary to make money from stock and commodity market. Trading in Commodities

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