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Saturday, January 14, 2012

KLCI Stock - KURASIA / 5097 - 2011 Quarter 3

KURNIA ASIA BERHAD

Company Description
Kurnia Asia Berhad (KAB) is a Malaysia-based investment holding company. The Company's segment includes investment holding and general insurance. General insurance segment includes underwriting of all classes of general insurance business. The general insurance business is operated mainly in Malaysia, as well as Indonesia, whilst investment holding are carried out in Malaysia and Singapore. Its subsidiaries include Kurnia Insurans (Malaysia) Berhad (KIMB), PT. Kurnia Insurance Indonesia, Kurnia Auto Assist Sdn. Bhd. and Kurnia Asia Pte. Ltd. Its associate include Kurnia Insurance (Thailand) Co., Ltd. The Company acquired 25% equity interest in PT. Kurnia Insurance Indonesia (KII) and Kurnia Insurance (Thailand) Co., Ltd. (KIT) in December 2008.

Company Info 
Listing Date2005-01-27
Market Capital (Capital Size)900,000,000 (Medium)
Par ValueRM 0.25
BoardMain
SectorFinance
Major IndustryUnderwriting of General Insurance
Sub IndustryInvestment Holding
Websitehttp://www.kurnia.com

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E nowN/A
Target Price0.598 to 0.65
DecisionBUY if sell volume reduce and got strong buy volume
Comment
Revenue increased 2.8% and was third consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 2.8%, eps decreased 51.5% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 296%, no cash generated hence spent 24% of Group cash to cover, weaker liquidity ratio at moderate level now, securities holding decreasing which could lead to lower income
First Support Price0.59
Second Support Price0.56
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
RHB Target Price0.51 (2011-12-19)
OSK Target Price0.68 (2011-12-20)
TA Target Price0.65 (2011-12-20)

Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity6.77%
Dividend Yield-
Profit Margin3.06%
Tax Rate19.49%
Asset Turnover0.4279
Net Asset Value Per Share0.26
Net Tangible Asset per share0.26
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.83
Cash Per Share0.07
Liquidity Current Ratio2.8668
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.1096
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.1466
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio5.816
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.8533
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale108.8%
Days to sell the inventory354
Days to collect the receivables195
Days to pay the payables61

Technical Analysis 
SMA 200.585 (Uptrend 24 days)
SMA 500.514 (Uptrend)
SMA 1000.487 (Uptrend)
SMA 2000.453 (Uptrend)
MACD0.037384 (Uptrend 26 days)
MACD Histogram0.007568 (Uptrend 24 days)

My notes based on 2011 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Higher pbt than FY10Q3 mainly due to the stronger underwriting performance. Gross premium income rose by 1.9% year-on-year, driven by non-motor segment which posted a growth rate of 18.0%

- Lower pbt than FY11Q2 mainly due to higher charge in unearned premium reserve resulting from higher gross premium income as well as lower investment income

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = (0.0049+0.0101)*2*1.05 = 0.0315 but due to disposal, estimate price = NTA*2.3 to NTA*2.5 = 0.598 to 0.65
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0101*4*1.01 = 0.0408, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.24/11.27
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.021*1.01 = 0.0212, estimate highest/lowest PE = 27.36/17.69
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0055*4 = 0.021(profit margin 3% per quarter), estimate highest/lowest PE = 23.1/15.48
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0081*4 = 0.0324(profit margin 4% per quarter), estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.96/10.49
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0182*2 = 0.0364, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.23/10.16
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0233*2 = 0.0466, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.23/9.33
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q6 result announced = 0.0753, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.9/6.71
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q5 result announced = 0.0216*4 = 0.0864, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.32/7.29
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0287*4 = 0.1148, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.88/4.53
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0177*4 = 0.0708, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.4/4.87

KURASIA latest news (English)

KURASIA latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdateprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2011-11-2420113N/AN/A-1.85%9.37%2950628690449027509607268367310.00490.02472671427227949063919379610538315860128565149933085397712148842314884237070002011-09-303.06%19.49%0.4279-0.260.261.830.072.86681.10960.14665.8160.8533108.8%35419561
2011-08-16201120.540.46-3.84%7.54%287131573982206564193315012294630.01010.019826447962253880639091660744532110389129360660657645452906148842314884236995582011-06-307.19%27.32%0.4291-0.260.261.810.042.97791.06820.0835.76570.8522111.1%36519157
2011-05-25201110.580.375-4.23%4.23%286851286851212772127714451144510.00970.00972577859223603163418283854034545039129477419944703382444148842314884235879272011-03-317.42%32.08%0.4335-0.230.231.720.063.3031.19330.14046.54150.8674121.0%37119151
2011-02-28201040.4850.325-2.60%4.51%27408410691789230294078516147830.00570.00992584350225655363277975037278206083957103425521828738816148842314884235432742010-12-313.37%-0.421836.74990.220.221.660.093.35551.3250.22296.88410.8732125.6%36320445
2010-11-30201030.420.34-1.10%6.84%2869208161112386386373747232990.00250.0157234252220017477340775458845910157061692985179467500101798148842314884235656002010-09-300.83%-0.4614-0.230.231.650.023.90660.23230.06595.87420.8545135.5%7782360
2010-08-30201020.4450.37-0.96%7.99%2697285291915978410233237270460.00220.0182237057720319705338607161064223101811691252032930510138615148842314884236474642010-06-302.22%45.85%0.4533-0.230.221.980.043.8650.29560.11626.00110.8572135.8%12102973
2010-05-11201010.570.435-7.18%7.18%259463259463350453504523809238090.01600.016023688592037173-33168616184180250211693561798623007146349148842314884237739792010-03-3113.51%32.06%0.4613-0.220.222.360.043.91880.26440.10836.14190.86133.5%251823137
2010-02-23200960.670.505-3.62%14.35%262578517544186985132110860430750.00730.028923511972051112-3000851673483108831579038424407574961488423148842310046852009-12-317.12%41.92%0.452-0.20.23.370.043.85080.29510.11456.83510.8724134.7%121253246922
2009-10-29200950.8050.63-14.76%14.76%254966254966326233262332215322150.02160.021622990482080788-218260759290639295797636657594503821488423148842311163172009-09-3012.80%1.25%0.4733-0.150.145.360.033.89630.30850.09629.53350.9051139.4%103227316793
2009-08-27200940.790.52-20.62%27.57%2646561137719245743906842655570500.02870.038322968962089991-20690539397225988383930941054199603603058075148842314884238632852009-06-309.29%-0.495315.13210.140.144.140.043.90740.32880.111410.10120.9099133.2%86238315608
2009-05-07200930.5950.345-16.03%8.75%280623873063264581449426391143950.01770.009723586342194026-16460838321922115388769941004053341656577535148842314884235358322009-03-319.43%0.25%0.5008-0.110.13.60.054.30180.38950.158713.32880.9302136.6%80216303718
2009-02-27200920.410.24-0.08%8.67%28794559244011611964112119960.00010.008123733952235033-13836240402619859394212941414238852967364468148842314884235432742008-12-310.04%3.45%0.5066-0.090.094.060.044.30460.42610.131416.15350.9417134.9%75802303614
2008-11-27200910.4250.18-8.64%8.64%304495304495120801208012108121080.00810.008124181382277965-14017338347413344000009585538480815192111047148842314884233051262008-09-303.97%-0.5032-0.090.092.280.074.47820.51490.229216.25110.942138.5%87559303844
2008-10-06200840.4750.185-199.41%198.55%30803812030923199273144053030933017890.20360.202621152891963292-1519974340333071197170016376472567695692148842314899367442112008-06-30103.86%-0.5688-0.10.095.560.0622.72132.89611.167312.91660.9281148.0%91871334620
2008-05-30200830.740.475-5.60%0.29%3019918950543380055222541613040.01710.000922383641784353-454011345487551197269804530117273525311488423149043810865482008-03-3111.19%-0.5423-0.30.32.430.0426.09562.63710.69593.93020.7972156.1%115578284914
2008-02-25200820.870.72-2.58%5.57%302312593063184043932212369267200.00830.017922715401792155-47938517757731197269852559617568522841488423149144012800432007-12-316.09%32.79%0.5328-0.320.312.770.0426.40652.48760.68993.73840.789159.1%155715296486
2007-11-14200811.00.84-3.08%3.08%290751290751209182091814351143510.00960.009622380661771950-466116161442701197170074588417855522191494491149449114944912007-09-307.19%31.39%0.5315-0.310.33.330.0324.39992.25130.64613.80150.7917159.0%164883287421
2007-08-29200741.020.985-19.54%0.54%3187841183975119557133819087025270.06060.001722232621758296-46496625131308492000095822571825718701041500000150000015900002007-06-3037.50%-0.5325629.20480.310.33.530.0523.51942.54940.8463.78160.7909157.6%145133346901
2007-05-0720073N/AN/A-5.86%16.80%2984698651914626913296832599934280.02170.062320815031525406-5560972841427596200009613481819182769521500000150000016650002007-03-3115.50%29.54%0.558-0.370.363.080.0523.97082.63421.01732.74310.7328149.6%191461278951
2007-02-0820072N/AN/A-7.07%11.61%281537566722528248666937038607990.02470.040520586121534771-5238412469972642000096401174352565938361500000150000016800002006-12-3118.76%29.88%0.4192-0.350.353.20.0621.94182.45311.14422.92980.7455199.0%2387972812253
2006-11-0820071N/AN/A0.018264.69%4.69%285185285185338453384523761237610.01580.015820194071512605-50680244054442N/A9640088478847875531500000150000015750002006-09-3011.87%29.79%0.2879-0.340.343.090.0625.53072.89291.26992.98460.749290.9%4561154220148
2006-08-2920064N/AN/A-14.23%6.17%2962731166335979924271668748298190.04580.019919759341492893-483041164176653309755395107988461293964001500000150000015900002006-06-3033.07%-0.149953.32170.320.323.310.0627.67874.07561.55423.09060.7555558.5%3002040145127188

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtDeferred acquisition cost (A-0)Deferred tax assets (A-0)Goodwill on consolidation (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Reinsurance assets (A-0)Available-for-sale securities (A-1)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Held-for-trading securities (A-1)Held-to-maturity securities (A-1)Insurance receivables (A-1)Investments in debt and equity securities (A-1)Loan receivables (A-1)Other receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Insurance contract liabilities (L-0)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Financial liabilities (L-1)Insurance payables (L-1)Other payables (L-1)Retirement benefit obligations (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
20113263131235-14276771323129448023897415797712316141337166307446422-47277090893619116069222734648338345889054287596
20112247201208-135727713233112466210100723752906338151469716315348079-46386882232833916080892514473308856573514277926
20111243611195-129307500202126389690100293782444327001730276322944752-49880842160574316429332504156886767577212265306
20104362751172-132797500202236372759975928129632306131414826327852851-52215835187592816691522494353222963090728255446
20103-29464579155487500207155137170-3318214331--179881850639819643288-14980842343600004007576190271647
20102-50764899158307500208851159934-591806053--174391817942897958894-15226532034000002603157075260085
20101-63884951159707500210367164976-541328781--253451826578958334288-1537356139400000320924251425072-
20096-89195061165377500213108166283-5749619386--3388017855801011427333-1548937237400000263045184923785-
20095-170664686164427500212466--5038218542---18792991061182054-1556983128400000-10118822489-
20094-170254654164037500214328--5807517941---18655821134884040-1568680-400000-10011921192-
20093-39311359164317500221292--7753515369---19113501192485481-170547348400000-6848420117-
20092-46111364170507500224316--6446847433---19035711315584077-174423051400000-7173719015-
20091-53211367-7500228693--11104739889---19205441441784149-1793389262400000-6651417800-
20084-51611362-7500233263--9569234066---16252351387793778-1881314248--6428217448-
20083-40311273-7500249411--5253153628---1770720150777782169541701916203--5986015420-
20082-24011301-7500251284--5228441577---1812689163697829669541709416279--6073014776-
20081--11301--254567--5221937205---1790227176207492769541684168254--6626714307-
20074-44411301-7500255153--7010432084---1737617180569100369541668480245--6884313774-
20073--10381--257804--7695235288---16140461929267740128761436883187--6182513635-
20072-----259122--9383640738---159830319754468591287614398832--6902012990-
20071-----259167--8755344446---156078919711477411287614307832--5651712427-
20064-----259136--9640038756---1464005200399759899231420944---5014511881-

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesFinance/interest incomeShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesUnearned premium reservesNet claims incurredUnderwriting surplus before management expensesGross written premiumsGross written premiums ceded to reinsurers
201132950621759-3789281856-50517469129258-28290182678
201122871315644-4588079073-1573518135178-26144475778
201112868516826-3950487840-3564705140838-27031354801
20104274084714-5587090054-24641370179106-25932951435
201032869201361-4352385305-48214114181640-27558139949
201022697282741-2340982356-4720370151399-26903032289
2010125946311236-3905775162-21315617134824-25481433436
2009626257878385012251370122195--24738--
2009525496640841089962123146--37707--
2009426465618081468350601535122254--35984--
20093280623675348181508164577--33709--
20092287945457512702640398---8379--
2009130449528763472213409---9466--
20084308038168342966912336100---317296--
2008330199183843041371977107---32097--
200823023126035307221480140---19459--
200812907516567340328664187---21383--
20074318784286873981281471221---118833--
20073298469136703580634297---46248--
20072281537157861993421194508---52969--
20071285185100841871191071464---34146--
2006429627329244862516178528---98688--

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersUnderwriting
201136969288093
201125705281426
201116394280457
2010414003190121
201036271294345
201026379283099
201016405268555
2009612980269692
2009512113242853
200949679254977
2009311526269097
2009217441270504
2009113777290718
20084396307642
20083411301580
20082447301865
20081527290224
20074619318165
20073655297814
20072707280830
20071651284534
200641435299709

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersUnderwriting
20113939617169
20112742322592
20111826823075
201041635910307
2010372023937
20102811411398
20101667430270
20096613016795
20095641838779
200941865461563
20093198228950
2009217631875
2009123489760
200842631317296
20083170332097
20082105519459
2008146521383
20074724118833
200732146248
2007214552969
2007130134146
2006469698688

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables



6-Months Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING

Image



1-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

5-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

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