Sponsor by Innity

Sponsor by cwyeoh

Sponsor by Nuffnang

Friday, April 20, 2012

KLCI Stock - YTLPOWR / 6742 - 2012 Quarter 2

YTL POWER INTERNATIONAL BERHAD


Company Description
YTL POWER INTERNATIONAL BERHAD is an investment holding company that provides administrative and technical support services to its subsidiaries. The Company operates in three business segments: investment holding, power generation and sale of electricity and sales of water and disposal of waste water. Its subsidiaries are engaged in the provision of wire line and wireless broadband access and other related services; developing, constructing, completing, maintaining and operating power plants, and sale of electricity. On June 18, 2009, the Company acquired a 60% interest in YTL Communications Sdn Bhd. They provide operating energy facilities and undertake oil trading activities and provide wire line and wireless broadband access respectively. In September 2009, the Company incorporated YTL DCS Pte Ltd. On February 18, 2010, the Company incorporated YTL Utilities Finance 5 Limited (YTLUF5) and YTL Communications International Limited.

Company Info
Listing Date1997-05-23
Market Capital (Capital Size)13,112,050,413 (Very Large)
Par ValueRM 0.50
BoardMain
SectorIPC
Major IndustryUtilities
Sub IndustryWater & Sewerage
Websitehttp://www.ytlpowerinternational.com/

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(1.79-0.0375)/0.1518 = 11.54 (Moderate)
Target Price2.13+0.0375 = 2.16 (PE 14.0, EPS 0.1518, DPS 0.0375)
DecisionBUY if stock price below Bolinger lower band
Comment
Revenue increased 12.5% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 14.4%, eps increased 28.8% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 23.8%, cash generated from operating not enough to cover financing expenses hence increased borrowings to cover all other expenses, gross profit margin decreasing, weaker liquidity ratio from low to weak level now, lower gearing ratio but still at very high level now, lower debt ratio and start far from historical high, all repayment period is good, mobile broadband segment got higher loss, water & sewerage segment got lower profit but other segments got higher profit
First Support Price1.75
Second Support Price1.6
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
Credit Suisse Target Price1.82 (2011-03-30)
ECM Target Price1.7 (2011-11-18)
UBS Target Price1.9 (2012-01-04)
RHB Target Price1.7 (2012-01-11)
TA Target Price2.12 (2012-02-17)
MIDF Target Price2.2 (2012-02-21)
AMMB Target Price2.05 (2012-02-24)
CIMB Target Price2.8 (2012-02-24)
HwangDBS Target Price2.2 (2012-02-24)
Maybank Target Price2.05 (2012-02-24)
HLG Target Price2.23 (2012-03-19)
Jupiter Target Price2.06 (2012-03-22)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity15.56%
Dividend Yield3.67%
Gross Profit Margin14.46%
Operating Profit Margin13.47%
Net Profit Margin9.78%
Tax Rate28.25%
Asset Turnover0.4191
Net Asset Value Per Share1.19
Net Tangible Asset per share0.34
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share5.59
Cash Per Share1.14
Liquidity Current Ratio0.9626
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.9118
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.7286
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio3.0044
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.7463
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale-2.9%
Days to sell the inventory18
Days to collect the receivables49
Days to pay the payables71

Technical Analysis
SMA 201.826 (Downtrend 1 day)
SMA 501.834 (Downtrend)
SMA 1001.821 (Same)
SMA 2001.847 (Downtrend)
MACD (26d/12d)-0.003978 ( 0.00256 )
Signal (9)-0.001383 ( 0.000649 )
MACD Histogram0.002595 (Bearish trend 2 days)


My notes based on 2012 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue and pbt in Power Generation segment principally due to higher generation of electricity sales in the current quarter arising from the improvement in gas supply and lower O&M cost incurred, partially offset by higher depreciation

- Higher revenue and pbt in Multi utilities business segment mainly due to overall higher volume of business, favourable fair value adjustments on fuel and savings in finance cost

- Lower pbt in Water & Sewerage segment mainly due to higher operating cost incurred

- Mobile broadband network segment loss was impacted adversely by the fair value loss on quoted investment and unrealised foreign exchange losses but still continuously grow its subscriber base

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced = 9277422*0.125/7637059 = 0.1518, estimate PE on current price 1.79 = 11.54(DPS 0.0375)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 0.027*4 = 0.108(exclude RM36 million minority interest), estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.9/15.42 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 0.0275*4*1.1 = 0.121(exclude profit from minority interest and if vat 24%), estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.5/12.85 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = (0.04+0.0332)*2 = 0.1464(exclude profit from minority interest), estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.54/14.52 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.1717*1.1 = 0.1889, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.65/10.85 (DPS 0.15)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.1717*1.1 = 0.1889, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.82/11.12 (DPS 0.15)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0404*4 = 0.1616, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.37/12.56 (DPS 0.15)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0356*4 = 0.1424, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.1/14.04 (DPS 0.15)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0328*4 = 0.1312, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.23/15.02 (DPS 0.15)
- No Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0335*4 = 0.134, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.45/14.48 (DPS 0.15)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0334*4 = 0.1336, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.6/12.72 (DPS 0.15)

YTLPOWR latest news (English)

YTLPOWR latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdategros_moper_mprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2012-02-2320122N/AN/A0.0093753.38%6.04%409131077271624000456978463137965599950.04110.073136571722272943001925659277422143708153378269386570708629032991597164866802676370597660670145104122011-12-3114.46%13.47%9.78%28.25%0.4191-1.190.345.591.140.96260.91180.72863.00440.7463-2.9%184971
2011-11-17201211.91.740.018752.71%2.71%363585236358522978012978012461992461990.03190.0319361211572703666016528490844978515083015534262237131314549955976178810749277070227707022138726392011-09-3017.02%12.54%8.19%29.43%0.4101-1.160.325.621.061.21171.15180.9093.03130.748512.8%165069
2011-08-25201141.951.630.018755.38%15.73%426486214662356377296151612145156213195960.05800.16893524578426854485-1219808391299207276314335708345257326721639193195332713138977813527812883147067552011-06-3017.91%11.99%8.85%-0.41611.19011.090.267.270.921.09771.04030.77483.15440.76196.2%165977
2011-05-26201132.231.760.018754.14%10.71%33366101039749440009211388253359118680340.04290.11103507526726967684-494578107583176808411047027756987326721663382112316721440578299227820126173824262011-03-3121.70%17.06%11.99%24.07%0.4034-1.040.239.650.931.15061.06080.81933.30610.76899.5%265181
2011-02-24201122.352.20.018753.26%6.69%357660570608843568227387332592155321230.03320.06803531820727368244-12050794996312421598558762745647326721386283660847798756878176587825338179806132010-12-3116.37%13.90%9.98%29.85%0.4011-1.020.2110.951.032.26162.10551.68713.43740.774942.6%245076
2010-11-25201112.542.30.03753.57%3.57%348427934842793819113819112729082729080.03500.03503490139327249580-314776518136380245082323748597326721129792504651783137277867567786756194668902010-09-3017.01%15.31%10.96%29.37%0.3932-0.980.1913.161.012.3072.15011.71313.55970.780843.9%245375
2010-08-19201042.762.250.018756.32%17.14%375339513442917651070171721245804712411350.05960.17583395123026708867-724236325801021386825226694590675111932771419971732672276790417059522175850032010-06-3021.23%19.38%17.35%29.65%0.395913.02541.030.1515.270.972.04871.92731.51953.68790.786738.1%205478
2010-05-27201032.312.180.03754.39%12.33%3351098968952240657411408723055598578180.04040.11343288098825923993-6956995167168761769434835859067511053993705635661238675645347564534165663292010-03-3119.27%16.47%12.13%24.85%0.381-0.920.121.90.881.99751.84731.40993.72630.788437.8%266083
2010-02-25201022.32.150.03753.48%6.69%313470263384243497646739632555524919240.03560.07043568835428339407-73489471218131462693130805959067517554382063497797024871728136987557154932762009-12-3117.29%15.96%11.16%26.94%0.2949-1.050.1316.621.122.1572.01211.63783.85630.794154.0%326491
2009-11-19201012.282.120.03753.73%3.73%320372232037223241993241992363722363720.03280.03283411726527777596-63396697027902961751264165906751406615280199618695072049787204978158509512009-09-3017.77%15.83%10.12%27.13%0.2417-0.88-0.02-110.00.871.77821.62961.25334.38160.814247.3%4683123
2009-08-20200942.252.10.018750.56%10.60%283678460933945484031386872344386466050.00480.09943468918028587130126610205082575582207643925843937591773950093469166590675171242426505311151033932009-06-3027.19%25.59%19.33%93.72%0.175721.32870.94-0.05-42.40.841.85911.69331.20544.68490.824169.6%77144218
2009-05-21200932.222.090.03753.87%10.78%135060932566103129288431122213766168100.03350.09653216210026441686-572041463006983960033897868937591677659343868066550785066136136391813138224512009-03-3139.30%32.31%23.17%29.26%0.1367-0.89-0.19-11.00.852.04951.85531.38714.62230.822196.3%124157288
2009-02-19200922.11.850.03753.73%6.86%85670119060012843865301842150573954340.03340.06282456556218801584-5763978253314115005134345493759168967371240191813572564420296296719119821732008-12-3152.96%50.80%33.20%24.38%0.1672-0.920.852.191.282.50222.46852.01643.26190.7654149.9%25165150
2008-11-20200911.991.70.0452.77%2.77%104930010493002457982457981803771803770.02900.02902803652621520837-6515689245440216663456791937591628777485568986148462170396217039106933072008-09-3044.70%42.05%23.42%26.62%0.1517-1.050.981.761.612.20842.17881.97783.30290.7676143.9%2587186
2008-08-19200841.91.620.03754.58%16.43%11405404242518380925139866129300510518060.04290.15672782687621426481-64003951052065110718734178156013224551223362693937591768241586712227116010682008-06-3055.90%47.89%33.40%23.08%0.152510.84880.950.891.911.392.03312.00391.80763.34770.77127.6%2689179
2008-05-22200832.221.680.03754.55%12.43%1060450310197835946010177362778217588010.04580.12942526443619157951-6106485934298791080144940660132241432181592624760584860660445863995130419942008-03-3146.49%46.79%33.90%22.71%0.169-1.040.972.221.262.81622.76712.4733.13730.7583131.9%2678197
2008-02-22200822.672.090.03753.88%7.71%100320520415283370246582762424314809800.04120.08192532630719085377-6240930759863425011127086260132243348521605714761893858906165872772147265402007-12-3145.65%46.64%33.59%28.07%0.1648-1.060.992.531.32.82952.78112.49723.05810.7536134.9%2676195
2007-11-22200812.872.45-3.76%3.76%103832310383233212523212522385492385490.04060.04062576262519412737-6349888477214138722137757660132243384921716068772929258773705877370149872932007-09-3046.51%44.43%30.94%25.74%0.161-1.081.012.521.333.33043.27122.96173.05720.7535148.3%2872189
2007-08-22200742.562.380.057.11%19.52%11674964068008344160129870142906311775930.07290.22092400289017969819-6033071130708239868742860646762239083951337001601322458890045330887135447092007-06-3062.23%44.36%29.48%-0.169510.4121.131.052.191.033.40713.33042.89682.97860.7487124.1%2982179
2007-05-2420073N/AN/A0.03755.16%12.62%96457829005123819069545413057187485300.05650.14132464307318712874-59301991003069177505145615946762238255642281723695794654079995297452125465572007-03-3143.78%54.47%39.59%19.95%0.1177-1.121.042.231.33.70043.62983.19073.15550.7594205.6%36122250
2007-02-0820072N/AN/A0.03753.55%7.07%97660119359342867105726352222324428120.04220.08442411020117845898-6264303704175222462101054646762234817131492259616848252661615246588109009532006-12-3145.51%40.77%29.36%22.49%N/A-1.191.111.861.193.423.35382.91322.84880.7402N/A-N/AN/A
2006-11-2320071N/AN/A-3.68%3.68%9593339593332859252859252205802205800.04240.04242381757017816693-600087747182712678496949946762333450431314542599077552026785202678118100792006-09-3048.08%42.72%29.80%22.85%N/A-1.151.072.121.173.59953.52023.03262.9690.748N/A-N/AN/A

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtAvailable-for-sale financial assets (A-0)Derivative financial assets (A-0)Development Expenditure (A-0)Intangible assets (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Derivative financial assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other investments (A-1)Other receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-1)Bonds (L-0)Deferred income (L-0)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Derivative financial liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Long term payables (L-0)Other long-term provisions (L-0)Bonds (L-1)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Derivative financial liabilities (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Payables and accruals (L-1)Provision for liabilities (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
20122-4275-64475641168026-714775-16740216336928675701104376605708-20773895782568252562251216820852665666420205141253-2760926291091703542397717955192565
20121---64745761124106-695691-16918775380008154831136966537472-204074058368142574752548124-92793504950139207-2833981294756364126217256421177165284
20114-2611-64843981138020-745976-1666234042228717874995904532380-23631787816189256834253854519989679940525877132770-239337941526482273242808321031121980
20113897524--6342671984383---1653352945292726496417060180113049396198577777747832312672586147-72806835268161952-237777114427613769024182991939149457
20112900508--63011791011454---162439164908180165626083974630949059193930076374432319302594250-119255925174193063-21000899788213391423185761850612050
20111849817--6197906961604---162073135219578465013372872317248717198044077390172286952634640-118422575290190953-16645912002421286042172575210663147
20104---61486461025204-6943006360815955022600667371542194959304148393198945977401682181402633592-110418915932185866813470142299237491586830229627020660-
20103741803--6176148937968--6501915424517620396638864-71245448088207408877535111908372553249-104800446170197471110809894670-1232888227051736538-
20102759085--64332461024553--6897816708330910428002969-71269147793183966783868662034432764787-1180833682622521251513565144740-1207865201168837730-
20101755392--6475481982778--7076916830480861166236911-74525947491188658892994551967312678947-103318148364248065717434161079-2097226200178236699-
20094654449--6408936977005--7118217337304578115906751-81887247201240966993059131982572796681-110845509320253145720665121667-1745220231259439118126
20093649881-123766935862951709--294415279548617395549004-78359246922188852393101071750442077744-106026079344232715-110915-2042392181768863130-
20092629688-21930441333920625--302012291742-8219145-13807046594185341581541571002881796200-44247078134218828149922580631-165956384569914152-
20091699293-91574413331016151--309514679246-9973605-15020046227101821994299481265722137994-443744510129312579192901292148-1908389111726119360-
20084711626--441333929872--317115089793-9423760-15266645872102878396497491339172199393-3878551106143153522014182123142-2017066106396920546-
20083669589-20853441333864974--324614532863-7621948-1520704552391203793983291322642056043-414118710370319251125000140590-1677069113819719651-
20082664851-11931441333877198--332214622578-7637590-1488534518287346997616951389592133509-362400211756338857125000135066-1679148111577921606-
20081683767-5856441333852424--339714985055-7772711-15617144850817061102927511460852207885-37291421230738500012500090511-1326114107487623066-
20074668284--441333863140--347314882278-6029825-1608504450790920092554141473632308389-37665651230838285312500049263-90801398662828023-
20073663157-14622441333828325300--14521939-7003459-1559554415896982591521491460782403470-44085831979037401612500057150-919062107801729559-
20072881677-10682441333844030300--14560198-6235711-1426204381394983782806581493212415131-44487711660337986187500071584-19415298064234175-
20071852551-3583441333829710---14448323-6058043-1595344346098103383563531496372390169-44701231656942186287475472822-9418793584934368-

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesAfter tax effect
20122409131011301834996812050947702480442676953852-
201213635852876463017205219073109631737093604460973-
2011442648621786350112322684453862578247248092839-
20113333661096301261243122672016231565103212057520-
20112357660510651229910761959931125499480890555512-
201113484279112151289150620097048044107502314849566-
201043753395193023295666217390388750157919097409-
2010333510981010152705350198883173751110570494863905
20102313470294212259277621401427440689700581675215
20101320372287953263446324196443848105967126537485275
2009428367845139772065492239610407248600212573574642
2009313506099155281977321527532112126506-91761-
20092856701693294030231942672955748060-43478-
2009110493006542158028422830727799--32888-
2008411405408792050295423073531168122545-5309412357
200831060450816395674601904775566352471-53523232
200821003205945935452161854776069550779-577073111
2008110383238270355542718913621555--455653482
2007411674968490344096621837938833247429-426611944
200739645787618854231319184815530252156-48343-
20072976601644785321131613561163257985-49931-
2007195933365345498127168101970461083-44199-

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtInvestment holding and othersPower generationMulti utilities businessWater & SewerageMobile broadband network
2012225496321830310820661810817670
2012124456275022274949157396712916
2011428223272682332230262928412371
201132497925319525054665436209350
201122625528508326977325628574678
20111259072763782624047557947-
20104271812720312807723646488-
20103303852896612488364542688-
20102251472790862226927603542-
20101258532870972227586663186-
20094267682843701814962710684-
2009329885269441454528596755-
2009276026282127-498548-
2009167180277419-704701-
2008489602299544-751394-
2008379686284313-696451-
2008273573278222-651410-
2008162514289182-686627-
20074101721289461-776314-
2007355296289820-619462-
2007253487289656-633458-
2007152963286503-619867-

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtInvestment holding and othersPower generationMulti utilities businessWater & SewerageMobile broadband network
2012212005119255249439145448102092
20121856638610321505717724894944
2011414654119126267272181955176403
20113106018099925548415021568154
20112177466149517520715767127656
2011114436725821861911454257851
2010411611120920274192244396-
201034020035117242759164993-
201022010193727128300141831-
20101179268290959863159018792
200941508773909203966250798-
200932664312724925943133093-
2009233037124557-126792-
200912471521473-199610-
2008433985101278-478916-
2008336759120281-339142-
2008230318133068-304519-
2008127444127993-305904-
200742596321245-565142-
20073112079145085-268247-
200721493125679-270963-
2007119082118781-271964-

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


Image

No comments:

Post a Comment