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Sunday, June 20, 2010

KLCI Stock - TOPGLOV / 7113 - 2010 Quarter 3

TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BERHAD

Listing Date: 16.05.2002
IPO Price: 2.700
Market: MAIN
Sector: INDUSTRIAL
Par Value: 0.50
Major Industry: Apparel & Textiles
Sub Industry: Apparel Manufacturers
Market Cap : 308447831*12.92 = 3,985,145,976.52 (Large)
NTA per share : (1016767-22457)/303824 = 3.27
P/BV : 12.92/3.27 = 3.95
Forecast P/E now : (12.92-0.29)/0.9337 = 13.53 (Moderate)
ROE : 25.97% (High)
DY : 0.29/12.92*100 = 2.24% (Low)
Fixed Asset Turnover(3 year) : (1.4647+1.352+1.2718)/3 = 1.3628 (High)
Liquidity Ratio : 736084/256281 = 2.8722 (Moderate)
Receivables Collection Period : (283512+171558)/2/(1965392/365) = 42 days (Good)
My Target Price : 14.94+0.29 = 15.23 (PE 16, EPS 0.9337, DPS 0.29)
My Decision : BUY
My Comment : Revenue increasing, profit QbQ increasing stop but still higher than preceding year corresponding quarter, good cash flow, low debt and decreased, navps increasing
Technical Support Price : 12, 11.2
Risk Rating : LOW
OSK Target Price : 15.15 (17 Jun 10)


Top Glove Corporation Berhad is a Malaysia-based investment holding company providing management services. The Company’s subsidiaries are engaged in the manufacture and trading of gloves; producing and selling latex concentrate, and property investment and trading of machinery. It operates in Malaysia, Thailand and People’s Republic of China. The Company's subsidiaries include Top Glove Sdn. Bhd., TG Medical Sdn. Bhd., Great Glove Sdn. Bhd., Top Glove Engineering Sdn. Bhd. and TG Medical (U.S.A.) Inc.

My notes based on 2010 Quarter 3 report (number in '000):
- The Group sales revenue for the 9 months ended 31 May 2010 has increased by 39% from last year corresponding period. The profit before tax for 9 months and 3 months ended 31 May 2010 comparing to last year’s same period has increased by 85% respectively. The group 9 months net profit is 21% higher than the full year profit for financial year 2009
- The Group continues with its strong profit growth momentum as demand for gloves continue to increase, especially from the emerging markets and also benefiting from cost saving measures implemented at all factories, improvements in product quality, productivity, as well as aggressive marketing strategies to maintain its world number one market position
- The Group announced an interim dividend of 14 sen per share, which is 100% higher than last year’s interim dividend of 7 sen per share. The balance sheet position strengthened further with a net cash position of RM273.0 million and free cash flow of RM147.2 million for the period ended 31 May 2010. The Group had fully redeemed the RM35 million bonds before its maturity in December 2010, in view of the strong cash flow position
- The Group registered PBT of RM83.3 million for current quarter compared with RM93.9 million in quarter ended 28 February 2010. The 3 months ended 31 May 2010 has been a challenging quarter for the Group due to the head winds faced by the Group in which average latex price had increased by 24% and average US Dollar (USD) had weakened by 3%. This has an impact on the performance for the quarter due to the time lag of passing on the cost to the customers. However, as at 1st June 2010, the latex price has declined by 7% from the peak of RM7.76 per kg and USD has also strengthened by 3% from the low of 3.17
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.2122*4 = 0.8488*1.1 = 0.9337(10% adjustment), estimate PE on current price 12.92 = 13.53(DPS 0.29)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.235*4 = 0.94, estimate PE on current price 12.56 = 13.13(DPS 0.22)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.217*4 = 0.868, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.31/10.75 (DPS 0.22)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.191*4 = 0.764, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.23/10.2 (DPS 0.22)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.1424*4 = 0.5696, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.04/10.8 (DPS 0.15)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.1221*4 = 0.4884, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.21/9.89 (DPS 0.15)

TOPGLOV latest news (English)

TOPGLOV latest news (Chinese)

a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharemarketdateprof_mpedenavpsvat
2010-06-1620103N/AN/A0.140.06200.1925555851153804683324263852644842002180.21220.66261341883301896232201039987185552-38354-492011858481471989799728384530382430216439071762010-05-310.1499-0.29033.350.2154
2010-03-172010214.0211.18-0.07410.142650989598219593885180528705261357340.23500.4536128842533656422594951861137980-31789-143431858481061919184827769630008529921237690672010-02-280.1841-0.35363.10.2304
2009-12-162010112.649.55-0.07150.0715472300472300866438664365208652080.21700.217011973922859382266391145488543-18082-19250185848704615121123705930051630051628549022009-11-300.1834-0.31372.960.2319
2009-10-08200949.568.010.150.06720.2000427346153190978998221539568311691540.19100.5712113240928643221464845977327368-67342-1829381200942600267708819718229746729614024243562009-08-310.184914.33220.33862.770.3038
2009-06-23200938.156.30.070.05260.1402371965110456354338142541421671123230.14240.3796108664628551723229801129231485-55269-1235351204701762165268117315129609329593619246042009-05-310.1461-0.35642.630.2201
2009-04-07200926.64.98-0.04800.0935346522732598449058820335997701560.12210.2380108590333520022768750703164175-44697-572041204701194786227418274429475829475414678942009-02-280.1296-0.44652.470.194
2009-01-06200915.054.06-0.04700.0470386076386076432984329834159341590.11560.115611113283844672028172686163720-21518-20778120470422022142414189429553229553211880382008-11-300.1121-0.52892.390.2029
2008-10-22200844.043.480.060.03660.1603364534137793138286134627251091100650.08530.371811095454227561974168678990915-65826-6942516480625089-4433612047029444829600111130132008-08-310.10510.11230.61562.270.3494
2008-07-02200834.23.520.050.04010.13073561391013397300089634126093849560.08740.284610386673887211977964994686525-38709-8818516439747816-4036912402829867829852312544472008-05-310.0843-0.59812.110.1656
2008-04-03200825.23.94-0.04590.0917320775657258317736633329480588630.09900.196610170343750162063964201864039-22540-5927816439741499-1777914661829789729945011856302008-02-290.0991-0.58412.090.1071
2008-01-03200816.553.88-0.04550.0455336483336483345603456029383293830.09810.098110279023820352181464586725388-11460-4076316439713928-2683513756229949629949617520512007-11-300.1027-0.59152.080.1381
2007-10-19200746.65.250.060.02100.139730756312287783125311864413445895600.04470.3113105362841264921447640979108110-12105411848658855-1294410554216439730099328765221220002007-08-310.101623.69360.64382.060.5984
2007-07-0420073N/AN/A0.040.04290.1262301563921215294698739125902761150.08610.268510344664312791785160318763201-9204313926258757-2884211042016917730079928351026019112007-05-310.0977-0.7151.950.1304
2007-04-0420072N/AN/A-0.04450.0881311368619652290675792225368502130.09110.18271011920442146222056977448631-4533022013058757330122343128218827847927487124645392007-02-280.0934-0.7762.040.1271

yearqrtGoodwill on consolidation (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Dividend payable (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Payables and accruals (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
2010322457388214513727565588283845-1687273757924593342356325928466-759610397911624023220
20102224574063-14215563236277696-16978021577215401396713618313664509142888190913062122594
201012011389591285314020562722237059-1276131817119588236427379221518-112538148913145922663
200942011393661285314200564380185848-11905383331982633341389601472120781115731045549243021464
2009322378926914514786574450173151-1209091287515868336527315735568-58455555059788923229
2009222129988814514794579234183062-12780110899137951347995644860511766887065565317663822768
20091201131019914512035572836142287-1372221418520230630047810266676-992236232310517220281
20084201131003714511928559437121545-1577661437821419630047866253016147221003627477511320919741
2008321078943514511260544046124945-1167561631319468932124108789571414722589845211211627619779
2008221078899814511291541938146618-126154140971467153145911979826941541856832584689034720639
200812107888661459547546644137890-12507915491163162311891260341951-553325919010833921814
200742107887371459588548035165584-121256104411687642696812846761912013637267676410409221447
2007324795845914511943512615170140-1073912991116906733810144309384712010637486738010617517851
2007221078--4557442410282188162192020180391500073147117260414446-7632258790885132220

yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseFinance/interest costsOther income/expensesAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestShare of profit/ (loss) of associates
20103555851-17944-1013142-475736-896168
20102509895-21627-762658-417630-1732-962
20101472300-20095-3982106-387191-1340-174
20094427346-23996-14712340-3491171829-100
20093371965-11959-20131276-316655-212-235
20092346522-8712-23271428-300225-196-493
20091386076-8783-27181540-341444-356-156
20084364534-13378-24942439-326448201255
20083356139-4969-27142753-3263691054199
20082320775-3404-24191685-2885261111258
20081336483-4773-25242096-301692-404197
20074307563-18703-31424707-277770895-105
20073301563-3843-31452004-270939276-14
20072311368-3693-35621252-279991-6-






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