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Thursday, June 14, 2012

KLCI Stock - 3A / 0012 - 2012 Quarter 1

THREE-A RESOURCES BERHAD



Company Description
Three-A Resources Berhad is a Malaysia-based investment holding company. The Company operates through its wholly owned subsidiaries, San Soon Seng Food Industries Sdn. Bhd. (SSSFI) and Three-A Plantation (Pahang) Sdn. Bhd. The Company operates in the food and beverage industry through SSSFI. SSSFI is a food and beverage ingredients manufacturer, which offers products, such as Caramel Colour (Full Range) and Glucose Syrup; Maltose Syrup and Soya Protein Sauce (Hydrolyzed Vegetable Protein; hydrolysed vegetable protein (HVP)) and Natural Fermented Vinegar; Distilled Vinegar; Rice Vinegar and Caramel Powder; HVP Powder; Soya Sauce Powder and Maltodextrin. It offers positive caramel color, which is used in sauces and seasonings, as well as negative caramel color, which is used in beverages industry, such as soft drinks and cordials, pharmaceutical industry, canned foods and dairy products. Its powdered products are used in non-dairy creamer, flavours, seasonings, sauces and beverages.

Company Info
Listing Date2002-08-13
IPO Price0.25
Market Capital (Capital Size)444,768,021 (Small)
Par ValueRM 0.20
BoardMain
SectorIndustrial Products
Major IndustryFood & Beverages
Sub IndustryFood & Beverage
Websitehttp://www.three-a.com.my

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(1.13-0.012)/0.0468 = 23.89 (High)
Target Price0.47+0.012 = 0.48 (PE 10.0, EPS 0.0468, DPS 0.012)
DecisionNot interested unless stock price can sustain and uptrend above SMA20 or wait got strong rebound from lower price
Comment
Revenue increased 9.6% and was second consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 8.7%, eps decreased 16% and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 2.9%, cash generated from operating enough to cover all expenses, gross margin improved, stronger liquidity ratio from moderate to high level now, lower gearing ratio at below moderate level now, lower debt ratio and is far from historical high, all collection/repayment period is good, benefit from raw material decreased
First Support Price1.1
Second Support Price1.0
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
AMMB Target Price1.7 (2012-04-20)
Jupiter Target Price1.32 (2012-04-23)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity7.85%
Dividend Yield1.06%
Gross Profit Margin16.03%
Operating Profit Margin8.67%
Net Profit Margin6.91%
Tax Rate20.19%
Asset Turnover0.9782
Net Asset Value Per Share0.52
Net Tangible Asset per share0.52
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share2.23
Cash Per Share0.07
Liquidity Current Ratio3.3956
Liquidity Quick Ratio2.373
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.6588
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.3712
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.2707
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale36.8%
Days to sell the inventory67
Days to collect the receivables93
Days to pay the payables15

Technical Analysis
SMA 201.145 (Downtrend 23 days)
SMA 501.174 (Same)
SMA 1001.21 (Downtrend)
SMA 2001.196 (Downtrend)
MACD (26d/12d)-0.011996 ( 0.000372 )
Signal (9)-0.011783 ( 5.3e-05 )
MACD Histogram0.000213 (Bearish trend 1 day)
Bolinger Upper Band1.228
Bolinger Lower Band1.062

My notes based on 2012 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue and pbt than FY11Q1 mainly due to higher demand for the Group's products and lower raw material costs

- Lower pbt than FY10Q4 due to even lower raw materials recorded in the preceding quarter

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 204670*0.09/393600 = 0.0468, estimate PE on current price 1.13 = 23.89(DPS 0.012)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 200988*0.09/393600 = 0.046, estimate highest/lowest PE = 29.09/24.09 (DPS 0.012)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.0342, estimate highest/lowest PE = 41.75/31.81 (DPS 0.012)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0107*4*0.8 = 0.0342, estimate highest/lowest PE = 39.12/30.94 (DPS 0.012)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0153*2 = 0.0306, estimate highest/lowest PE = 60.46/45.42 (DPS 0.01)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.015*4 = 0.06(base on 3% roe per quarter), estimate highest/lowest PE = 30.8/23.13 (DPS 0.012)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0286*3 = 0.0858(0.0286 is recent 2Q cum_eps, FYQ1-11 & FYQ2-11 to double as current), estimate highest/lowest PE = 22.31/17.88 (DPS 0.016)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.076, estimate highest/lowest PE = 26.89/20.32 (DPS 0.016)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.076 (~30% EPS grow), estimate highest/lowest PE = 30.05/20.32 (DPS 0.016)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0191*4 = 0.0764, estimate highest/lowest PE = 30.68/15.63 (DPS 0.016)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0178*4 = 0.0712, estimate highest/lowest PE = 23.74/7.09 (DPS 0.01)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.0069*4 = 0.0276, estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.56/11.96 (DPS 0.01)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.0079*4 = 0.0316, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.55/9.34 (DPS 0.01)

3A latest news (English)

3A latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdategros_moper_mprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2012-05-2520121N/AN/A-1.96%1.96%714397143949374937394039400.01000.010028065275982-2046709982269822571821572849541277563936003936004565762012-03-3116.03%8.67%6.91%20.19%0.9782-0.520.522.230.073.39562.3730.65880.37120.270736.8%679315
2012-02-27201141.351.12-2.46%8.04%651662688065716153524673152550.01190.038828518084192-2009881450292412613820867237432395184723936003936004801922011-12-3117.46%9.50%8.77%18.25%0.942631.47770.510.512.390.052.87211.80570.39410.41890.295236.0%879529
2011-11-16201131.441.10.0121.22%5.57%64940203640452696342325105800.00590.026927093169967-20096493646813198522042525511730131243936003936004644482011-09-3015.77%8.43%6.97%48.63%0.9909-0.510.512.310.053.48142.4480.4690.34820.258236.3%6310123
2011-08-24201121.351.07-2.21%4.35%7298713870027915108420482550.01070.021027236574260-1981052592308880452042556801372567003936003936005038082011-06-3011.57%5.31%3.82%-0.9886-0.50.52.560.062.76041.95820.43080.37490.272633.2%6310114
2011-05-19201111.61.18-2.13%2.13%657136571323172317405140510.01030.010328929295486-19380689601601146472042524971203241013936003936006258242011-03-3111.03%5.02%3.53%-0.8757-0.490.493.240.092.3451.47740.53670.49270.330136.9%1019124
2011-02-25201041.861.4-2.69%12.39%648182489403618209053661168870.00930.0444290359100535-18982411649699527229029736816019311204253933393807126057422010-12-3112.89%6.90%5.58%-0.857434.71880.50.53.080.132.30721.59990.67230.52960.346239.5%9410142
2010-11-29201031.841.540.0121.95%9.71%657401841223328172872656132260.00680.035325517264293-19087928324257611575229736256318315480513896873746636079112010-09-3014.48%6.37%5.06%20.19%0.9379-0.510.513.060.133.81622.89971.28950.33680.25246.8%69985
2010-08-17201021.931.55-3.39%7.76%570561183826583139594623105700.01250.028622692680122-14680414267149062784429736291731329284073696003696006763682010-06-3019.65%12.81%11.54%29.77%0.9638-0.40.44.580.082.45991.65290.520.54580.353136.5%9510320
2010-05-25201012.061.56-4.36%4.36%613266132673767376594759470.01610.016120258160389-14219281489299960029736174477847218893696003696005802722010-03-3122.38%13.07%12.03%19.37%1.021-0.380.384.130.063.33722.27580.64550.42470.298139.2%861009
2010-02-23200942.31.56-5.67%22.65%551971785826493237074515180390.01320.057019549859253-13624577735147258011309262628427297363408093162707804522009-12-3123.30%12.96%11.76%30.46%0.913540.14960.430.435.330.093.10292.34270.82370.43490.303143.2%7511447
2009-10-22200932.361.210.0167.41%16.98%451361233857055172145898135240.01910.043914713557049-900868027325811013094769465959683080003080004435202009-09-3026.74%16.91%15.63%16.40%1.0573-0.290.294.970.021.96651.33920.17170.63330.387721.6%669517
2009-08-13200921.70.515-6.89%9.58%4517578249726510159548876260.01780.024814087256684-841883996238426813091612134426533080003080001848002009-06-3026.79%17.38%16.08%24.46%1.0567-0.270.272.220.011.83161.19630.07840.67330.402418.9%679219
2009-05-28200910.6050.34-2.68%2.68%330743307428932893213721370.00690.006912802249323-78699809384083561309725311032063080003080001047202009-03-3120.63%10.65%8.75%26.13%1.1543-0.260.261.31N/A1.91911.35660.03760.62670.385316.1%458119
2009-02-25200840.3750.305-3.49%17.38%32177152252234126892439121350.00790.039413847058828-79642117921595051349544158364513093080003080001062602008-12-3114.10%3.17%0.73%-1.09958.75650.260.261.330.011.71121.13950.07630.73870.424816.4%608721
2008-11-19200830.3550.30.014.29%13.12%38430120075386211919299791600.01160.038713801661137-7687957141303739804954732333431611258771236761879822008-09-3022.26%11.86%10.05%22.40%1.1137-0.320.321.060.011.51670.94610.08660.79520.44314.3%738722
2008-08-01200820.380.29-6.69%9.60%440988164560858593466866990.02230.033413963065747-73883104973969752949541446669371983209000200750627002008-06-3023.21%15.36%13.80%23.29%1.0242-0.370.370.810.011.47780.97870.03110.88990.470916.8%8212123
2008-05-14200810.630.25-2.80%2.80%375473754724352435195819580.01020.010213672967051-6967859933975109044954996893658901925001925001174252008-03-3118.53%8.15%6.49%19.59%0.8938-0.360.361.690.031.43950.9220.11680.96230.490418.1%10112138
2008-02-19200740.650.55-2.99%18.66%336391071182759123191620101120.00860.055812201252195-698173651136114637131310996364149541875541811131144072007-12-3120.02%9.76%8.20%41.28%0.877910.92550.390.391.560.031.60341.03490.1350.74760.427820.7%9511228
2007-11-14200730.660.5650.0125.47%15.67%277237347934039560296284920.01610.047510139137783-6360810186867636641312151021548421839751787791159042007-09-3025.25%14.07%12.28%12.96%0.9361-0.360.361.750.011.7411.27570.07650.5940.372617.9%5710614
2007-07-31200720.6450.56-5.99%10.20%232964575636416157324655300.01820.03139945338808-60645952361244140131233997415711779171764581005232007-06-3029.72%17.37%15.63%10.85%0.9054-0.340.341.660.021.68171.1520.17380.63990.390217.9%719420
2007-05-2920071N/AN/A-4.21%4.21%224602246025162516228422840.01310.01319298138606-5437531613507125813133461604291175000175000717502007-03-3126.77%13.22%11.20%9.22%0.9443-0.310.311.32N/A1.46640.93430.00340.710.415212.7%739322
2007-02-2720064N/AN/A-N/AN/A214368401534819400347886310.01990.04939434940158-5419199968619136212981377151313175000175000463752006-12-3130.07%18.51%16.24%0.09%0.89055.37310.310.310.850.011.51010.97990.05030.7410.425615.8%8110527
2006-11-2120063N/AN/A0.012N/AN/A228546257929185919267751530.01530.02948575135039-5071211513875653401297275725831286175000175000358752006-09-3027.12%14.37%12.77%8.26%0.7298-0.290.290.71N/A1.47151.11470.01410.69090.408616.2%5913826
2006-08-0920062N/AN/A-N/AN/A210503972522373001190924760.01090.01418332133905-49416648034934826129729871839542175000175000341252006-06-3025.03%12.41%10.63%14.66%N/A-0.280.280.7N/A1.34320.92270.02360.68610.4069N/A-N/AN/A
2006-05-2420061N/AN/A-N/AN/A18675186757647645675670.00320.00328841940912-47507168513452440129734027804077175000175000376252006-03-3118.63%6.02%4.09%25.79%N/A-0.270.270.80.021.250.80090.12610.86120.4627N/A-N/AN/A

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtDeferred tax assets (A-0)Investment in jointly controlled entity (A-0)Leasehold land use rights (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Deposits with licensed banks (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other investments (A-1)Other receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Dividend payable (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Payables and accruals (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)
20121-73664436125796277562274-43082--69942835125502--32673-9456
20114-80524488124180203712897-55125--70067800024502-472328591-18376
20113-8056453912160831243108-4058615294-74616719123502--24824-14450
20112-7689459111989667003187-4074215178-74382510518369--41764-9022
20111-7690464311393119792084-6031435334-633176606193586-55345-14171
201041684066491110774320425741-5318030122-6900386321671640-51462-23685
20103-2384166098440651283--36448-3323607198587159351323-356222719107
20102--150997744528407--44084-3115587768088174052376-4301121587084
20101--138797305822367--36780-1486550117482182541765-2883123841673
2009493-13468033130189--27865--55674803514566923-18460-17269
20093--11355674125968--21809-83439757699915283272-2876137391995
20092--11393675282653227-21487-52837056675816103--2778334682572
20091--11432669449731263-14550-100131859650416949--1961517884467
20084--114716704726741091-20029-106135097613117661--2785850542124
20083--9765639373671--24194-1415350346764119681158-3397829334336
20082--9765557151562--25040-339144157628492861269-4169530434170
20081--9765543585890--26102-729033324619010423108-4038711648779
20074--9726534334954136-20867-337929517616593245-3058230953024
20073--9765516821755--10676-2222729150769764279-1995111841529
20072--9695499754112--12532-22222917487010282280-1990315431930
20071--91554864082--12769-2662206947589854125-2004418391986
20064--9119458461313--13829-1273229694754932448-2145922742299
20063--91544487130494-7692-1892344750258453--1815710252379
20062--737442096595328-10596-7032162936735030--2164110752486
20061--7240407601277376280014523-6972074634995079--2772117502863

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesShare of net profit of jointly controlled entity
201217143999759988825955355429
2011465166104353789397764595276
20113649402201546997814025169167
2011272987141364539988352492596
2011165713173458466936267421249
20104648184356463772618449984
201036574067256222859455376-
20102570561960458467262854186-
20101613261429475996401095820-
20094551971978423356591845526-
2009345136115733067579214456-
2009245175177733073586424293-
2009133074756262526314903788-
2008432177220527639785273546-
20083384308652987469664004-
200824409814173386468983468-
20081375474773058862663904-
2007433639113926903525733379-
2007327723441207224981193219-
2007223296395163734061313007-
200712246023216448453-3043-
20064214363149914861062372-
2006322854241166563671363049-
200622105032815782376222677-
200611867519715195360152371-

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


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