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Sunday, June 17, 2012

KLCI Stock - MUHIBAH / 5703 - 2012 Quarter 1

MUHIBBAH ENGINEERING (M) BERHAD



Company Description
Muhibbah Engineering (M) Bhd is engaged in investment holding, infrastructure, civil and structural engineering contract works. The infrastructure construction segment is engaged in the construction of petroleum hub and bunkering facilities, oil and gas terminals, airport terminals runway and facility support buildings, heavy concrete foundations and other similar construction works. The Cranes segment is engaged in the design, manufacture, supply, trading, leasing and service provider of offshore oil and gas pedestal cranes, shipyard cranes and other heavy lifting equipment cranes. The Marine ship building and ship repair segment is engaged in the design, engineering, building and service provider of accommodation ships and marine vessels for the offshore oil and gas exploration and production works. Concession segment is engaged in privatization of international airports in Cambodia and maintenance work for the federal roads in the central region of Peninsular Malaysia.

Company Info 
Listing Date1994-02-25
Market Capital (Capital Size)485,773,767 (Small)
Par ValueRM 0.50
BoardMain
SectorConstruction
Major IndustryShip Repair & Ship Building
Sub IndustryInfrastructure Construction
Websitehttp://www.muhibbah.com

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E now(1.19-0.05)/0.1707 = 6.68 (Moderate)
Target Price1.37+0.05 = 1.42 (PE 8.0, EPS 0.1707, DPS 0.05)
DecisionBUY if BUY if stock price can sustain and uptrend above SMA20/50 or wait rebound signal at lower price
Comment
Revenue decreased 20.1% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 6.3%, eps increased 32% but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 11.4%, negative net cash from operating due to payables repayment hence increased borrowings to cover other expenses, operating margin remaining low, slightly better liquidity ratio at low level now, lower gearing ratio but still at very high level now, debt ratio decreasing but still not far from historical high, all collection/repayment period still as usual, higher inventory can indicate more construction works amount and better cranes demand, marine ship repair & ship building division weakening but other division still good
First Support Price1.15
Second Support Price1.07
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House

Jupiter Target Price1.45 (2012-05-10)
CIMB Target Price1.5 (2012-06-01)
Kenanga Target Price1.97 (2012-06-01)



Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity10.30%
Dividend Yield4.20%
Gross Profit Margin0.00%
Operating Profit Margin4.37%
Net Profit Margin5.89%
Tax Rate14.51%
Asset Turnover0.6872
Net Asset Value Per Share1.25
Net Tangible Asset per share1.25
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.97
Cash Per Share0.75
Liquidity Current Ratio1.0096
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.8942
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.1658
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio4.1854
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.7709
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale0.9%
Days to sell the inventory43
Days to collect the receivables259
Days to pay the payables264

Technical Analysis 
SMA 201.183 (Uptrend 1 day)
SMA 501.235 (Downtrend)
SMA 1001.29 (Uptrend)
SMA 2001.198 (Same)
MACD (26d/12d)-0.01388 ( 0.001469 )
Signal (9)-0.018731 ( 0.001213 )
MACD Histogram0.004851 (Bullish trend 7 days)
Bolinger Upper Band1.268
Bolinger Lower Band1.098

My notes based on 2012 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- Lower revenue and pbt than FY11Q4 mainly due to higher revenue generated by cranes and shipyard divisions with the completion of more cranes and vessels during the forth quarter of the year 2011

- As at 25 May 2012, the total outstanding secured order book in hand of the Group is RM2.96 billion, comprises of RM2.16 billion from Infrastructure Construction Division, RM702 million from Cranes Division and RM95 million from Shipyard Division. These outstanding order books will take us into 2014

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 660394*0.11/425529 = 0.1707, estimate PE on current price 1.19 = 6.68(DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 639976*0.12/413767 = 0.1856, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.44/5.93 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.1425*1.05 = 0.1496, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.99/6.52 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0336*4*0.85 = 0.1142(~8% ROE), estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.06/8 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = (0.0438+0.0226)*2*1.05 = 0.1394, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.45/6.85 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0843*1.1 = 0.0927, estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.93/13.65 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0481*2 = 0.0962(although revenue decrease but offset by high tax rate), estimate highest/lowest PE = 20.06/12.79
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0266*4 = 0.1064, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.35/7.99
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0135*4 = 0.054, estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.43/15.74
- No estimate for 2009 Q4 result
- No estimate for 2009 Q3 result
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0362*4 = 0.1448, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.29/6.94 (DPS 0.025)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.039*4 = 0.156, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.17/4.04 (DPS 0.025)

MUHIBAH latest news (English)

MUHIBAH latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdategros_moper_mprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2012-05-3120121N/AN/A-2.58%2.58%419203419203246972469716526165260.03880.03882881975222158112960166039411127120910495231583411148065283093064255294255295148902012-03-31-4.37%5.89%14.51%0.6872-1.251.250.970.751.00960.89420.16584.18540.77090.9%43259264
2012-02-29201141.431.150.052.25%10.98%52441019555703329911492812580613800.02940.148328889232248947124583639976168207153069108629192342151381237673161094277604137676031412011-12-31-6.33%6.35%31.38%0.67699.50491.251.251.130.761.00450.90060.16554.36360.77850.4%40267284
2011-11-24201131.531.01-3.00%8.73%5237221431160332588162916783488000.04040.1189271906221042291157976148331771941598573072019090117337480572389584158724104044449832011-09-30-5.55%6.35%31.30%0.7492-1.221.180.910.660.98470.88010.15334.21660.7739-1.3%35232213
2011-08-26201121.30.9-2.47%5.73%513102907438232884837113817320170.03360.07802738179213387611443460430317650214858394901197842279191228203206624112204104744564542011-06-30-4.26%4.54%25.29%0.6583-1.191.160.960.810.98630.88340.18264.3560.7793-1.4%39254243
2011-05-25201111.910.99-3.26%3.26%394336394336250832508318200182000.04380.0438254411819650641060135790543327992158174919247242494392552317274155614155616856752011-03-31-5.43%6.36%22.41%0.6889-1.141.11.50.581.06340.95760.1464.15410.77245.9%37269256
2011-02-25201041.791.30.0351.74%6.98%60589317688843698532778226329440.02050.08222708805214974010755155906525574218451212241254295274193619521923434013584009805899962010-12-31-2.08%0.61%-0.65317.89221.131.091.350.51.04530.9470.11044.76120.79364.7%38305284
2010-11-26201031.931.23-1.83%5.24%289134116299121309495798635247180.02150.06172472440203134510295544109517542421274127818255490196698688801866104008284006004970262010-09-30-7.89%7.37%40.88%0.7187-0.840.791.570.551.03090.93010.1286.00740.82163.0%37283247
2010-08-30201021.440.86-2.29%3.41%463280873857194352827010785160830.02660.039824902092051474999614387351052738727130259245619114000162592618784059474040563470842010-06-30-4.80%4.20%27.67%0.8428-0.840.781.10.661.03390.930.15426.05560.82382.8%32232221
2010-05-31201010.9950.85-1.12%1.12%41057741057788358835529852980.01310.013124404342017457952464229773919027401984924784741930617791860684034414034413550282010-03-31-0.92%2.15%23.75%0.9081-0.810.761.160.540.95590.85670.11926.15580.8267-3.6%30220204
2010-02-25200941.140.83-1.20%2.64%61396821867115489585006333139680.01580.0358246241619904319652747198529400334465221413209117259538381252472424015523902023754512009-12-31-0.05%0.89%52.21%0.88826.11960.960.911.030.620.97870.86640.13995.30130.8083-1.7%34212225
2009-11-30200931.210.91-1.70%3.84%61094915727435000530118998203010.02300.0521255880319987399925056006427725441340264214214901235914283001866013907323897704024532009-09-30-0.30%0.82%226.02%0.8899-1.181.130.910.51.00780.88820.10734.33740.78110.6%35222215
2009-08-27200921.390.995-2.67%5.54%580600961794245014801014138292990.03620.0749253936519690509602857031518910240322174599210955148780258191851363910093909615044012009-06-30-3.62%4.22%36.50%0.8486-1.211.161.110.50.98060.85850.1074.15160.7754-1.6%38229231
2009-05-29200911.671.17-2.87%2.87%381194381194235112351115162151620.03890.0389272823621764739209655176357300178574289020338139443823332857143898183898185028652009-03-31-4.94%6.17%21.72%0.7436-1.181.121.150.760.98170.87460.14554.73490.7978-1.8%40263252
2009-02-27200841.360.6450.0257.59%4.65%7043082033535365924493035546218000.08820.0556260993820808918762952904791604121486274056147556213090609662085224029223919203324102008-12-31-6.02%5.20%-0.779214.83181.131.070.770.540.98360.87240.11184.71410.7973-1.6%39262257
2008-11-27200831.170.8-3.32%12.25%4887731329227237318152215543573460.03900.1467257970520567228245952298361030830293729721444631440592289133733763986343908134026202008-09-30-4.31%4.86%24.33%0.6735-1.131.040.970.951.02690.89040.1994.66880.79732.9%58275257
2008-08-28200821.980.645-4.60%8.93%454477840454312975779221529418030.05350.105220682271554006824045142217338456696106854154660130080232261314344024403972757686602008-06-30-5.91%6.89%19.61%0.7987-1.091.01.910.341.02060.86780.09523.59880.75141.8%51245250
2008-05-29200812.561.88-4.33%4.33%385977385977264942649420273202730.05030.050319753051490335780254849701292543338798877153097162641637648933340317040317010280832008-03-31-5.03%6.86%13.26%0.782-1.010.922.770.291.02140.88220.08423.66230.75451.9%48256244
2008-02-29200743.02.040.0455.11%18.52%40809014115333387410300519374701800.04810.176517571201288806746924683145074240958872645219197849704814923940299739769012331702007-12-31-7.08%8.30%11.47%0.803317.34010.990.993.090.451.08650.94990.15493.27420.73357.2%44238238
2007-11-30200734.222.95-4.80%13.40%4032671003443216136913118186508060.04570.1284178343413476706793843576412574146613023854537402099002914456639773939576813682222007-09-30-4.06%5.36%0.81%0.738-0.930.933.70.431.06880.92750.143.66390.75576.3%50263234
2007-08-29200723.943.34-4.75%8.61%347358600176282434751817988326200.04480.081215985481181320644124172284601043638623435347023726471511818540153540154313652192007-06-30-7.61%8.13%21.01%0.571-0.880.883.860.341.02320.89290.12823.34830.7392.7%59329323
2007-05-2920071N/AN/A-3.86%3.86%252817252817192751927514632146320.03670.03671508671111344459647395227608615098676915275790125867911143639907339907310575432007-03-31-5.36%7.62%13.51%0.3748-0.840.843.150.351.02890.89910.13783.3180.7385.2%87492437
2007-02-2820064N/AN/A-N/AN/A312663108641413140650918760338000.02290.089813789209999085757537901221356943365575880313078934786532453817393764684962602006-12-31-1.16%4.20%36.19%0.226714.47950.850.851.530.261.04540.9040.11293.11070.725112.8%148810679

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtAmount due from associated companies (A-0)Deferred tax assets (A-0)Development Expenditure (A-0)Goodwill on consolidation (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Land held for property development (A-0)Other assets (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Amount due from customers (A-1)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Derivative assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other investments (A-1)Other receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-1)Prepaid lease payments (A-1)Advance from shareholder (L-0)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Payables and accruals (L-0)Amount due to customers (L-1)Bills payables (L-1)Commercial papers (L-1)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Derivative liabilities (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Payables and accruals (L-1)Provisions (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
20121----145310-19852--76561148632432033412292957223029-917329--4644822800814560343074814748-7470617223522543134-129601
20114----141853-20714--76438153687632324113816438202965-891074--4649223426414970289936698705-9499-215523739558-124583
20113---14872148728-31443--75972850994427469127122773187345-786826--4901824837415070426337638994-152551634196158513389-115797
20112---14864140871-30833--760047488322331689491413174186888-766577--4835825461514377428741633520-13537-210065530663-114434
20111---14400142359-30200--613875386637239327345136681173535-903653--4830926303814384256617631133-10275-179553561755-106013
20104---14400135817-30946--623099583071201106337441312179118-896562--4824026415415324278022540596-106353509182069807191-107551
20103---21600134770-29314--5108165159992204955554-173646-860246--2236527095115305400026517301-22263-129292653842-102955
20102---21600136055-28681--5165524347242666034385-179498-902111--2522428132016151393665528032-20011-57163729908-99961
20101---21600128453-25359--5268172867672167854919-180430-1049304--2273716019016155444688441148-17363-132952782224-95246
20094---21600124967-26969--545016353857249309116820283200166-919081--2171617001516905351635466356-19447-86050858307-96527
20093---22171137820-26618-3140552298154205519353125409-215741-841072--1372616580115515351911445219-21648-88260896659-99250
20092---22171138185-28063-3190252089656994819624525323-223975-782657--1415210353017692346119559090-16532-119268792667-96028
20091---22171134976-28739-3204650875063594829656325009-218447-825587--884911054118290479652714039-22647-155058667397-92096
20084---22171124209-28069-3218949599573820721673015738-215617-721013--765811662517449372912679212-15415-135882735738-87629
20083-1482208339561250521618357294315314188587622603780804327-259344-5467753171721918230121327-3812515620942700002495-83403591789891482459
20082-14826053411011919015539577104317013966066929831368991288-219712-416448317164451716282430-295658615365-6039-56947454190977082404
20081--27223417311409815471607-31871381122491195115081--190130-5934295406161372163086609-264057552676-6924-112883420951846878025
20074100001483127852107631-586114321053303915407311800753239-1598951257380624634516795859492508-157464431914-10811-127232434567892174692
20073100002043814914125989654759167333013051334606841684326712-17146614924876424461714116650100502-218058385122-6636-175768419716807767938
20072100002044427978122245662662688335243152503894481384421817-140602-433825446173331487169559-177447383506-8913-116250386091735064412
200711000020449231040120051662662967336202935393500291387894936-130905234412633446173341273774536-165129331569-9945-170307325097679059647
20064100002045561110312096667756356733706275840354795995305069-124938234339051446177001166486581-114322252763-6702-180829322436691157575

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestFinance/interest incomeShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesExceptional items
20121419203358450503808404706458799210450-
20114524410104481400391655004061027150869047-
201135237221041044643402498059606540884569-
20112513102589075331774493038358117337250-
2011139433656204295350537642912638327134-
201046058939195119553496238684667391211217-
20103289134871241374299270613396211651461-
2010246328053781079796844200832725607432-
2010141057720981987105440784514395196517-
20094613968286610785463608223895628263459-
20093610949113011065239761517226975267365-
2009258060089422891482256441514212046181-
2009138119451072670266036503732423247040-
2008470430853651744766773900843197506769-
200834887735773252455046823924157784393-
20082454477613829529387437003363010146374-
2008138597735132679545337199927085879155-
200744080903884395823933815781061614747453-
20073403267176233051838739632519296625-
2007234735859353776652832743643206204949-
2007125281726053547472524399820385998679-
20064312663475528231114310164375512118380

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtElimination/AdjustmentInfrastructure ConstructionCranesMarine ship repair & ship buildingConcession
2012112733538018612910137251-
2011457302082381918169691915-
2011338800352335108341101846-
20112164193378398109879189018-
2011111805029605685181131149-
201043924287267100366233231077
20103134575199449116684107576-
2010211929938111793186108276-
201014296526457874951114013-
20094-39870616995145311-
20093-345030156781109138-
20092-4051699329582136-
20091-20566911426661259-
20084-53115218716185702-
20083-28815113437866244-
20082-25445412987870145-
20081-18039412428481299-
20074-22408013506259416-
20073-20372412403175512-
20072-17303212388950438-
20071-1439177213936761-

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtElimination/AdjustmentInfrastructure ConstructionCranesMarine ship repair & ship buildingConcession
2012112829777811115101608473
20114591123368223301305074921
2011331496626415578374275485
201121852782919133199064485
201111579684004183206837613
2010440562299341195392733943
20103403172710511455185424614
2010234517197667231197547201
201015967116753785154507242
20094-142891210448682806
20093-371089517267285864
20092-6900803261533414
20091-6388556753576199
20084-521011522452305223
20083-8600302591033002
20082-13722403681635377
20081-8310471053548120
20074-16894740525505472
20073-14064590120013616
20072-12162625446565171
20071-3360405737478111

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


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