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Wednesday, June 20, 2012

KLCI Stock - SUPERMX / 7106 - 2012 Quarter 1

SUPERMAX CORPORATION BERHAD



Company Description
SUPERMAX CORPORATION BERHAD is an investment holding company engaged in the manufacturing, distribution and marketing of medical gloves. The Company's subsidiaries are engaged in manufacturing and selling of latex gloves. The Company operates in three segments: manufacturing of gloves, trading of gloves and investment holding. The Company's products are exported to over 145 countries, such as the United States, European Union, Middle East, Asia and South Pacific countries. Its wholly owned subsidiaries include Supermax Latex Products Sdn. Bhd., Supermax Glove Manufacturing Sdn. Bhd., Maxter Glove Manufacturing Sdn. Bhd., Supermax Incorporated, Seal Polymer Industries Berhad., Aurelia Disposable Products Sdn. Bhd. and Supermax Energy Sdn. Bhd.

Company Info
Listing Date2000-08-07
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,421,523,699 (Large)
Par ValueRM 0.50
BoardMain
SectorIndustrial Products
Major IndustryGloves
Sub IndustryGloves Manufacturing & Sales
Websitehttp://www.supergloves.com

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(2.09-0.06)/0.1987 = 10.22 (Moderate)
Target Price2.19+0.06 = 2.25 (PE 11.0, EPS 0.1987, DPS 0.06)
DecisionBUY if stock price uptrend with Bolinger upper band and strong volume or wait rebound when stock price around SMA20
Comment
Revenue decreased 10% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 3%, eps decreased 0.7% and was second consecutive quarter decreasing but still higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 14.6%, cash generated from operating more than enough to cover all expenses, operating margin decreasing and still low, stronger liquidity ratio from low to moderate level now, lower gearing ratio at moderate level now, lower debt ratio and is far from historical high, all collection/repayment period is good, inventory still high can indicate demand of products still good, benefit from strengthening of USD against RM and latex price decreasing
First Support Price2.0
Second Support Price1.85
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
Alliance Target Price1.95 (2012-05-29)
CIMB Target Price2.43 (2012-05-29)
JF Apex Target Price2.13 (2012-05-29)
Kenanga Target Price2.06 (2012-05-29)
OSK Target Price2.5 (2012-05-29)
Jupiter Target Price2.15 (2012-06-18)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity15.47%
Dividend Yield2.87%
Gross Profit Margin0.00%
Operating Profit Margin9.81%
Net Profit Margin12.36%
Tax Rate8.73%
Asset Turnover0.8478
Net Asset Value Per Share2.34
Net Tangible Asset per share2.25
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.8
Cash Per Share0.32
Liquidity Current Ratio2.0689
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.2507
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.4268
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.5339
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.3481
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale26.1%
Days to sell the inventory81
Days to collect the receivables73
Days to pay the payables32

Technical Analysis
SMA 201.865 (Uptrend 12 days)
SMA 501.831 (Uptrend)
SMA 1001.896 (Downtrend)
SMA 2001.519 (Uptrend)
MACD (26d/12d)0.061268 ( 0.009825 )
Signal (9)0.031282 ( 0.007497 )
MACD Histogram0.029986 (Bullish trend 18 days)
Bolinger Upper Band2.114
Bolinger Lower Band1.616

My notes based on 2012 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue than FY11Q1 due to stronger demand for rubber gloves

- Higher pbt largely due to lower raw material costs (natural rubber latex prices fell by 27% during this period) as well as greater operating efficiency at all of its factories

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 795130*0.17/680155 = 0.1987, estimate PE on current price 2.09 = 10.22(DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 769038*0.17/680155 = 0.1922, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.46/8.17 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.0909*4 = 0.3636(cautious of RM8.9 million profit was from other income), estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.84/8.64 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.075*4*1.1 = 0.33(exclude RM4 million bond write off), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.68/6.62 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0718*4*1.1 = 0.3159, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.42/9.58 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0962*4 = 0.3848, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.55/9.94 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.1124*4*1.1 = 0.4946, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.31/7.77 (DPS 0.135)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.1351*4*0.9 = 0.4864(correction), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.82/7.43 (DPS 0.135)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.6576+0.0253 = 0.6829, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.38/8.77 (DPS 0.11)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.1644*4 = 0.6576, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.16/8.24 (DPS 0.11)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.1514*4 = 0.6056, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.15/5.3 (DPS 0.0325)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0972*4 = 0.3888, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.74/5.14 (DPS 0.0325)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.0743*4 = 0.2972, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.52/5.01 (DPS 0.0325)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.2499, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.67/3.07 (DPS 0.0325)

SUPERMX latest news (English)

SUPERMX latest news (Chinese)

Malaysia Daily Latexx Price

USD/MYR Chart



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdategros_moper_mprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2012-05-2820121N/AN/A-3.64%3.64%248522248522307063070627983279830.08230.08231219657424527-7951305113328766183641038352236740031078383400773400776087372012-03-31-9.81%12.36%8.73%0.8478-2.342.250.80.322.06891.25070.42680.53390.348126.1%817332
2012-02-28201142.071.630.01754.08%15.35%276200102690929311112950281841061250.08290.31211205430436392-769038564363813312291984701830360121044823400773400776563482011-12-31-10.06%10.61%4.28%0.85196.18472.262.180.890.311.94821.14470.37620.56750.36225.6%877634
2011-10-24201134.751.880.034.47%11.26%271419750709340888363830899778830.09090.22901121041368107-752934139971457883268597376941836149815887434007734007710950472011-09-30-11.00%12.56%9.36%0.8893-2.212.131.510.222.44151.43360.39040.48890.328427.9%787429
2011-08-22201123.62.26-3.28%6.80%237920479290239354955022666470100.06660.13821192954473595817193591511220167836297376205055785715523334007734007710576392011-06-30-8.03%10.06%5.36%0.8052-2.122.031.530.462.13811.41260.61210.65840.39730.0%787730
2011-05-13201114.03.10.053.53%3.53%241370241370256142561424415244150.07180.07181114825406475677083505113812834397169737663972242567312034007734007713467042011-03-31-7.64%10.61%4.72%0.8589-2.082.01.980.222.27291.54640.35050.57390.364627.7%669526
2011-02-14201044.523.90.0255.44%28.44%24620897728134424183835304091589400.08940.467410653733738505669152362296460653701411815816231207839737534007734007714453272010-12-31-10.03%13.98%11.69%0.87939.09352.031.952.180.292.02551.41980.44310.54070.350924.1%628328
2010-11-08201034.743.98-6.83%24.25%23510469058141448144563381691354980.11240.39921025086334832-69025433982149304763611799919052285848941533946333946314970312010-09-30-15.68%17.63%7.97%0.8653-2.031.952.260.262.8372.03980.5660.48510.326632.7%649620
2010-08-26201025.43.750.0258.21%17.42%2348254554774883110311445855973280.13510.28671021751369743-652008123877097401041179995290348148318533946333946318127322010-06-30-17.77%20.79%6.09%0.8705-1.921.842.90.252.26171.66690.42190.56710.361928.0%6010131
2010-04-19201017.24.94-9.21%9.21%220652220652542825428251473514730.18970.18971009114375414-633700118171176410516119079235811306510601427140527140518726942010-03-31-21.56%24.60%5.17%0.8355-2.332.233.090.392.16031.58550.53850.59240.37227.1%608942
2010-02-19200947.455.530.0410.59%31.16%19641781483650602152140441121297540.16440.4837945250386414-55883622586117245111468208512086169714811799926825026825014673272009-12-31-23.26%25.76%12.83%0.86211.30852.081.982.760.441.78381.240.55560.69150.408820.6%626639
2009-10-15200936.183.240.0259.64%20.57%2375626184194672210153740150856410.15140.3228888917391341-497576234415110331543102060122338269072896732652702652708700852009-09-30-16.64%19.67%14.07%0.9014-1.881.771.850.341.33750.99680.36110.78650.440210.5%447255
2009-07-10200923.432.03-6.19%10.93%188485380856313495481425783454900.09720.1715863380406068-457312171616104611151312060116115546024666252652702652705199292009-06-30-14.24%16.63%17.75%0.9358-1.721.621.210.251.17710.86750.25250.88790.47035.8%417344
2009-05-08200911.971.520.01754.73%4.73%192372192372234662346619707197070.07430.0743902878466750-4361281097372429641442060110730843164637652652702652704005572009-03-31-10.59%12.20%16.02%0.9002-1.641.540.980.271.24450.87960.24391.07020.5178.7%528252
2009-02-24200841.70.8-0.39%12.25%1828258118234092519981486469970.00560.1772946727530347-41638079723385454813227555411786954206012652702652702082362008-12-31-10.85%2.24%63.69%0.85754.43091.571.460.540.121.17250.78240.08931.27370.56027.4%6710854
2008-11-27200831.060.780.0154.03%11.73%244257628998158964579115478450080.05830.1697962499541727-42077240343270122280127917133319470184472652702652702520062008-09-30-7.83%6.51%2.63%0.8414-1.591.480.640.081.31950.95430.06231.28750.562812.8%5813056
2008-08-22200821.180.895-3.52%7.75%193286384741142373130413525297390.05100.1121926185518899-407286480621309824858279163496410106380222652702652702944492008-06-30-7.81%7.37%5.00%0.7709-1.541.430.780.151.34850.92550.13311.2740.560314.6%7012155
2008-05-29200811.621.08-4.22%4.22%191456191456170681706816215162150.06110.0611891851493751-39810014275121361223627916213910097178192652702652704244322008-03-31-8.43%8.91%5.00%0.7289-1.51.391.150.071.35150.9330.07261.24030.553614.7%7013160
2008-02-28200741.781.40.01756.07%23.32%180881574260156605855014568559460.05490.2109868529484740-38378973906451532875027914287533279172652402652404641702007-12-31-7.04%8.66%6.97%0.66128.29681.451.341.310.111.38830.97150.11451.2630.558117.3%7513969
2007-11-21200732.211.680.0155.93%17.02%148338393379145134289014237408260.05370.1541839796464765-375031777783387711493280964390132408605042649342649345802052007-09-30-9.70%9.78%1.90%0.6018-1.421.31.680.231.48971.12050.26431.23930.553422.2%6814174
2007-08-29200722.272.17-5.88%11.08%129419245041151062837714117265890.06220.1171545935276393-2695423740517926303528675194792251451189227009227009N/A2007-06-30-11.57%11.67%6.55%0.6541-1.191.19N/A0.231.99351.63540.43541.02540.506332.7%4814446
2007-05-1720071N/AN/A-5.20%5.20%115622115622132711327112472124720.05490.0549545313288882-256431284085260152280972314822996510932270092270095243902007-03-31-11.28%11.48%6.02%0.4175-1.131.132.040.231.74181.46690.3731.12650.529844.6%66240106
2007-02-1520064N/AN/A0.0325N/AN/A11203038914011480472429612408390.08560.3637521973282069-2399042912329787173454593266418009279231122761122764693132006-12-31-6.96%10.25%16.27%0.214611.49182.142.141.950.261.79691.45570.23231.17580.540487.8%147492193

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtDeferred tax assets (A-0)Goodwill on consolidation (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment in bond (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other receivables (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Bonds and debts (L-0)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Bonds and debts (L-1)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Deposit received from sales (L-1)Dividend payable (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Payables and accruals (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
2012165428716237282-430266107838-20672718027190147-15025156835-330428603-1669801178841992-
20114-28716228358-407302104483-22314018736194695-18206140464--12651-1904631463759971-
20113653228716223819-39143775237-1942405632195428-10325165054-604028812-1149251183031121-
20112653228716218999-396501155233-18397110093192909-19116200884-50469302-17863385325208281
2011165322871620801240003933387312033515158412125237733-17167180667-420413243-144162304421659067
20104961287161935224000393091973767661330886505207348-13581140529-431810516-155146112103855056
20103493428716180507400035872689415221259505707227109-7267169582-36416107-1154531148721295-
2010264992871617217940003644708318420411727214275230952-8966163632-59796347-1416521368241443-
20101649928716161794400038279310601419211316712922193017-8966169568-83998332-1262251788752835-
200942902287161550494000373404118724-1162004964141291-6899165824-12217467-1285523417438281-
2009364992871614165540003759278967376684588672315037056292867478052277761444011916-1009442385669391-
2009264992871613007540003835476662572981679718015433055736771178801-125441393145451590901860755103-
20091598828716120752400038344370556679105561739417578985180832883994-619413931-1777292570365691-
200846499287161119814000388218310107891355085784234222846258070902692777635281449939792030302671867853-
20083115802871610523040003839952024595211874496272794101118441226292520-723--2095964121273570-
200821041128716102837400037713839801622126424110462251901112881226296427-26--2007203611962057-
2008110173287169797540003833771975252411385085342249501107321226298761-498--1739043002767567-
200741135028716917094000378528292074391063601006320815711017612821106594-772-39791523373289165170-
20073118352942385187400036832660504135184510705518760510962017223109003-383--1359103370058926-
20072--134820-17675251189-420974092136985109062895740812-1667--75633846931793-
20071--132577-17416251093-376493151146681108507807235331-5165--719481273347126-
20064--126914-17323228675-4211620111490251079521069939968-871--675221188143176-

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseFinance/interest costsAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestFinance/interest incomeShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesInvestment gain/lossAllowances and write-offs
201212485222680258722415343-8924--
2011427620012552850248410128-4371-0
2011327141931894764241557--8990-0
201122379201283216421880714-10986-4000
201112413701210331622292811-10488--
20104246208402433572215089-12789292-
201032351043305373419824926-8327--
2010223482529763282193097--10385--
2010122065228093744173077--10451--
2009419641764903082150722-537013359--
2009323756265724115198024--11299--
2009218848555664503161641--9008--
2009119237237595042172004--8140--
2008418282526065415162994--10324--
200832442574185630225124--2393--
200821932867125723178188--4862--
200811914568534281175315--5208--
2007418088110925296168151--8226--
200731483382761927133946--2048--
200721294199894015114447--4149--
200711156227993737102585--3971--
2006411203018683206104233--6889--

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersInvestment holdingManufacturingTrading
20121--95011153511
2011436827-23281680210
2011336827165425172211075
20112-229630276209940
20111-395043363194057
20104--20646212023

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersInvestment holdingManufacturingTrading
2012182174200573938
2011468122717183547285
2011389211716216262823
2011218593744331068390
201111903773220212657
201041066253224118979

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
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