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Monday, June 4, 2012

KLCI Stock - MAYBULK / 5077 - 2012 Quarter 1

MALAYSIAN BULK CARRIERS BHD



Company Description
Malaysian Bulk Carriers Berhad is an investment holding company engaged in international shipping. It operates in three segments: Bulk Carriers, Tankers and Ship Management. As of February 28, 2011, the Company’s total fleet was 10 owned and five controlled bulk carriers and three owned tankers. Its bulk carriers are involved in the transportation of dry cargoes comprising major bulks, such as iron ore, coal (steaming and coking coals), grains and minor bulks like sugar, coke and fertilizers, among others. Apart from its own vessels, the Company also charters-in third party vessels to service contracts of affreightment commitments. The tankers are engaged primarily in the seaborne transportation of clean petroleum products, chemicals and vegetable oils. Ship management involves marine operations, technical management of vessels, ship supplies and crewing which are undertaken by PSM Perkapalan Sdn Bhd (PPSB), a wholly-owned subsidiary of MBC

Company Info 
Listing Date2003-12-02
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,500,000,000 (Large)
Par ValueRM 0.25
BoardMain
SectorTrading/Services
Major IndustryTransportation
Sub IndustryShipping Services
Websitehttp://www.maybulk.com.my/

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E now(1.5-0.03)/0.0898 = 16.37 (High)
Target Price1.26+0.03 = 1.29 (PE 14.0, EPS 0.0898, DPS 0.03)
DecisionNot interested unless stock price got strong rebound or when sustain at a price with very low sell volume
Comment
Revenue increased 25.5% and was second consecutive quarter increasing but still lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 37.2%, eps increased 88.4% and was second consecutive quarter increasing but still lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 41.4%, net cash generated from operating enough to cover financing expenses and got strong cash from disposal activities, stronger liquidity ratio at very strong level now, lower gearing ratio at low level now, lower debt ratio at very low level now, all repayment period is good, affecting by lower charter rates
First Support Price1.5
Second Support Price1.36
Risk RatingHIGH

Research House
TA Target Price1.1 (2011-12-29)
MIDF Target Price1.68 (2012-02-29)
CIMB Target Price1.63 (2012-06-01)
OSK Target Price1.46 (2012-06-01)

Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity3.94%
Dividend Yield2.00%
Gross Profit Margin4.23%
Operating Profit Margin27.35%
Net Profit Margin43.34%
Tax Rate1.16%
Asset Turnover0.1264
Net Asset Value Per Share1.7
Net Tangible Asset per share1.7
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.95
Cash Per Share0.42
Liquidity Current Ratio5.6883
Liquidity Quick Ratio5.6135
Liquidity Cash Ratio5.0363
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.1042
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.0918
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale162.5%
Days to sell the inventory12
Days to collect the receivables58
Days to pay the payables69

Technical Analysis 
SMA 201.594 (Downtrend 3 days)
SMA 501.623 (Downtrend)
SMA 1001.766 (Same)
SMA 2001.74 (Downtrend)
MACD (26d/12d)-0.017739 ( 0.006171 )
Signal (9)-0.016537 ( 0.0003 )
MACD Histogram0.001202 (Bearish trend 1 day)
Bolinger Upper Band1.712
Bolinger Lower Band1.476

My notes based on 2012 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- Lower revenue and pbt than FY11Q1 due to lower level of charter rates and lower TCE rates earned and the loss of 26 days’ revenue due to unemployment of vessels but contribution from our associate (POSH Group) increased partly due to foreign exchange gain, vessel disposal gain and improvement in utilisation and charter rates in the offshore services sector

- Current quarter’s investment holding income includes gain on disposal of investments (RM3.0 million) and write-back of mark-tomarket provisions (RM8.7 million)

- Higher revenue and pbt than FY11Q4 as a result of revenue days increased due to the delivery of a new long term chartered in vessel although charter rates earned declined

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 1795850*0.05/1000000 = 0.0898, estimate PE on current price 1.5 = 16.37(DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 1795850*0.04/1000000 = 0.0718, estimate highest/lowest PE = 25.21/20.89 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.0219*4 = 0.0876, estimate highest/lowest PE = 30.59/15.3 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = (0.0219+0.0427)*2 = 0.1292, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.71/12 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0427(exclude RM10 million other income)*4 = 0.1708, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.23/10.42 (DPS 0.1)

MAYBULK latest news (English)

MAYBULK latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdategros_moper_mprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2012-05-3120121N/AN/A-1.72%1.72%7199171991312023120230936309360.03090.0309192558617668353111174890311058532061083828693064264534263403561000000100000016200002012-03-314.23%27.35%43.34%1.16%0.1264-1.71.70.950.425.68835.61355.03630.10420.0918162.5%125869
2012-02-28201141.841.530.030.94%5.24%57363256309172439480316393913090.01640.09131987715191865557171795850658471955110510631858185398197082988731000000100000017500002011-12-3128.89%19.09%30.06%2.53%0.143919.16571.741.741.010.425.60725.52365.04790.11030.0965134.3%134764
2011-11-23201132.731.39-0.02%4.30%44379198946106077560371749160.00040.07491865137180007528681685130575821927413924530756476856623892451751000000100000016600002011-09-3018.68%30.27%2.39%13.11%0.168-1.631.631.020.363.75013.66473.36010.11030.096594.8%1638113
2011-08-24201122.01.65-1.26%4.28%69653154567230207650021887745450.02190.07451869386185496566931683890279071961212266830687647519751492317271000000100000020100002011-06-3028.51%30.12%33.05%2.02%0.2022-1.631.631.230.364.12494.05463.53510.1140.099284.4%125196
2011-05-25201112.361.88-3.02%3.02%114575114575534805348052658526580.05270.0527196675619659256254177016442533571093631176353399424633542261000000100000022600002011-03-3134.32%42.48%46.68%0.73%0.2056-1.711.711.320.485.35095.24594.76760.11470.1109.2%174495
2011-02-23201042.892.260.13.64%12.81%8472540425069454244368677022383680.06770.2384199725425483556634174241922176012737306868414537209023978453166921000000100000027600002010-12-3143.27%78.30%81.98%1.07%0.202411.57871.691.691.630.443.73353.66113.00470.15120.1276100.0%1940181
2010-11-23201033.02.7-4.71%9.17%10902731952588069174914877451706660.08770.1707206963536014156248170949417611212833207324416332163279440453722871000000100000028700002010-09-3054.85%73.23%80.78%-0.1943-1.651.651.740.443.65853.60053.05440.21780.17495.7%1555167
2010-08-24201023.032.81-1.70%4.46%96067210498333698684531560829210.03160.0829222090350477873567171612519838972953174059436056125436486233874331000000100000028700002010-06-3045.93%21.50%34.74%1.58%0.1761-1.641.641.750.522.45292.42572.12550.30730.227390.0%1168349
2010-05-18201013.062.8-2.76%2.76%114431114431534765347651361513610.05140.0514226599639982973576186616750880102811613444728140599244654717461000000100000029900002010-03-3147.37%40.27%46.73%0.89%0.1613-1.791.791.670.639.33169.21828.37480.2230.1764170.2%1463115
2010-02-22200943.262.930.154.37%12.03%8261430370790049248257884472437990.08840.2438229618643511174001186107511408687185382945816473269013560444604291000000100000030800002009-12-3147.70%88.18%109.00%0.91%0.132312.63341.791.791.720.617.70567.63026.77730.24350.1895199.0%1292146
2009-11-25200933.32.89-3.43%7.67%9802422109370470158208695521553520.06960.15542234405427850732151806555393154266637738782326233513807384425241000000100000031600002009-09-3039.74%52.45%71.89%0.69%0.1608-1.731.731.830.599.62999.51938.27580.24680.1915170.4%119085
2009-08-26200923.322.96-3.51%4.24%70393123069734818773871097858000.07110.08582167220410913744501756307591936499372945823155424184153634077921000000100000031300002009-06-3027.71%66.42%104.39%1.40%0.2204-1.681.681.860.5411.650611.530910.27670.24430.1896116.3%75050
2009-05-27200913.423.02-0.73%0.73%5267652676142571425714703147030.01470.0147253151543337013983920981454571513548503885280332167372058155981000000100000033200002009-03-314.10%10.95%27.07%-0.2344-1.961.961.690.9317.999817.878916.58160.22130.1712160.1%74549
2009-02-25200843.42.720.30.18%25.97%138123721158442052575032384608620.00320.46092483705457822141945202588334204924103741703911215981010123160278055711000000100000027700002008-12-3123.38%0.23%3.20%-0.29046.01051.881.881.470.9410.12710.05869.25980.2430.1843128.1%73886
2008-11-19200832.822.13-8.09%25.79%2165455830351946605213301434724576240.14350.457624062124262081384501980004280805463210410099108376674401533391614176821000000100000023100002008-09-3052.35%92.14%89.89%0.70%0.3216-1.841.841.261.5823.629323.457822.07260.23140.1771209.9%134763
2008-08-20200823.582.060.112.51%17.71%1860263664902269723266702218953141520.22190.31422170847402262870941768585222239254224316123100662547646316034011669651000000100000034600002008-06-3046.63%123.60%122.01%0.23%0.3322-1.681.682.061.3622.324122.184420.34960.23920.1853197.4%114165
2008-05-21200814.343.36-5.20%5.20%180464180464996989969892257922570.09230.092321978563923068083718055507786082658150990054695956144510514991000000100000043800002008-03-3159.71%56.87%55.25%2.75%0.3099-1.721.722.551.2424.856424.671920.08750.22750.1785216.4%166572
2008-02-18200744.583.620.39.71%33.89%1909116081421600975802951560065445920.15600.5446218770841340479256177430445876235690643538564666381566838028310269461000000100000042600002007-12-3158.90%85.75%83.86%0.15%0.2787.82241.71.72.511.2421.173921.079817.84190.24390.189229.7%105897
2007-11-22200735.053.5-7.18%24.18%1636764172311316274201981154673885860.11550.38862105100414458796751690642241014268080415660681568509094934347750021000000100000049600002007-09-3059.11%81.92%80.42%0.24%0.2495-1.611.613.080.9215.96115.865313.27220.25730.1969197.1%1312599
2007-08-20200725.454.940.088.06%16.99%1461382535551405592885711294652731190.12950.27312021048407297619381613751167607166413079386762201842481236905525301000000100000037400002007-06-3068.70%95.59%96.18%0.22%0.1789-1.551.552.410.8513.252113.169710.39040.26250.2015277.3%21122194
2007-05-1720071N/AN/A-8.94%8.94%1074171074171480121480121436541436540.17960.17962144090403446515681740644728821060806498469118617896211397880516480000080000030560002007-03-3165.05%139.04%137.79%1.12%0.1005-2.112.111.811.1816.650616.530412.3790.23890.1882554.9%45169287
2007-02-2720064N/AN/A0.3N/AN/A10798944160095766313487927753005650.11600.37572088395481244160715116071512703801200861833117258111502943301769279480000080000020480002006-12-3166.20%108.12%88.68%0.14%0.05176.8138N/AN/AN/A1.097.09697.05415.9967N/A0.2304820.0%62397714

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtFixed assets (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment in jointly controlled entity (A-0)Leasehold property (A-0)Mining asset (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Consumable stores, at cost (A-1)Current asset classified as held for sales (A-1)Deposits with licensed banks (A-1)Other investments (A-1)Other receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Other payables (L-1)Provision for taxation (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
20121506394754883184555--21049263099883129864844131031528478-9234246799-3463719653111
20114-781743188910-549743149945697525261489281218261409223027-10852347834-3203518855717
20113535254747920176965--1023059213-1428701177081015722745-720094247665036486-52868
20112540565734590172941--824127183-1493151293191335639705-833634236458777992-56693
20111548514737221137747--6745910661-2867671298321574332812-950624253258309689-56254
20104562391746052136921--1921510699528632974771274761694727213-10701343148104050624-56634
2010360794376403615035017652-36168840418386336119699052616734505-2153685043293891450-56248
2010266613979090815135518025-553456609-3320881276804099131763-26242536761204768824-73567
2010160485779950614675818187-1066468464-3651001535104172021248-325170687666998785-73576
20094645975815654139948--537116797-4067181504974802528861-344968769581546902-74001
20093567158965458-18628-1097867845-3327381445756360824609-3569087666621761100-73215
20092575663965088-18485-166316245-3911611284984647718972-3587287569429331683-74450
20091612913893843-18893-340926760-7815061110135894513550-377488779048092--139839
20084581858858576-18548-13875692455957916961314014926325969-3566357346902053636-141945
2008363532756092-18539-1815712309-1399525166824529374650213383530847146607893851-138450
2008260786054706-18256-25169325422451164449191267446283559513383341797786562852674-87094
2008159301350996-18196-5129113951628161046370189525721534826313383291876416523513014-80837
2007465517547605-18508-381636517127999988783208716534444279813383428106589608451822-79256
2007395267047835---494256624-725577143517132416470365143447381763150818757-79675
2007289302743733---56896741106138546841297610929232834651332496417085636191116-61938
2007183256339968---47499185217227800415140185844461535251332656617129581891049-51568
20064100107236397-20240-161236216360626766711781038436333148-3360147330271451477-1607151

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesShare of net profit of jointly controlled entity
2012171991361689435722053838979581113974
201145736343740788486479183641335243257
201134437913936087427178413885550113873534
201126965346649792450579946786672642224
201111145753887525451313441409643418483479
20104847257434806763635871618710094903258
20103109027534922813962529752563778774851
201029606752851946286193744092128142448184
2010111443147860220524138254308163746647975
2009482614822432111853391885739780114727578
2009398024489590703616166384178429140728600
200927039310285088544133131140621356229348203
20091526761794505164055360843191348154678612
200841381235421058327989268835732172412733-
2008321654513631031796059931306973498251196-
20082186026518992746501149472630345593552-
2008118046427377270666333823894347043693-
2007419091123978458729360105885038523682-
20073163676315669356379447617411158453915-
20072146138310457463141453106006107844004-
20071107417166537542499986447697226933661-
20064107989130365012492050084480928613923-

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtShipping BulkersShipping TankersShip brokerage & management
2012157709125811701
20114461909883509
201133592266872551
201125966380381952
2011172636103851893
2010470451122642010
2010395351115522124
201028560181942272
2010197844139682619
2009470288103901936
2009380606155171901
2009254246133032844
200913681015196670
20084124626111002397
20083190462239881360
20082167701164892157
20081155642226892547
20074163900248142509
20073131417293053268
20072108141361332180
2007179723260112023
2006482701237721898

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtInvestment holding and othersShipping BulkersShipping TankersShip brokerage & management
201211464961022129580
201144400120212348538
201131740868553303172
201124263213785516610
201115378364775750698
2010452644538797816075
20103-6072017818577
20102-431072124013
20101-4564453055747
20094-42529399924485
20093-30548660312731
20092-15088228728129
20091-105458312544
20084-29665166837132
20083-2515181445275105
20082-176317408494538
20081-984511308019614
20074-103046452756819
20073-71259458468132
20072-79155501291581
20071-125435123161231
20064-582731089036465

Financial Quarter Segments Associate
yearqrtInvestment holding and others
2012112085
20114-
20113-
20112-
20111-
20104-
20103-
20102-
20101-
20094-
20093-
20092-
20091-
20084-
20083-
20082-
20081-
20074-
20073-
20072-
20071-
20064-

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING

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