KLCI Stock - MITRA / 9571 - 2011 Quarter 4

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My notes based on 2011 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- Lower revenue than FY10Q4 due to lower revenue from almost all segment and lower pbt mainly due to lower profit from Property development segment

- Lower pbt than FY11Q3 mainly due to the reversal of liquidated ascertained damages cost in one of the construction project in the preceding quarter

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 352485*0.1/386283 = 0.0912, estimate PE on current price 0.6 = 6.03(DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = (0.021+0.0285)*2*0.9 = 0.0891, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.01/4.77 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.021*4*0.8 = 0.0672, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.66/4.99 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = (0.0796+0.0812)*2*1.1 = 0.3538, estimate PE on current price 2.43 = 6.53(DPS 0.12), after split & bonus & free warrants then eps = 0.1049, price = 0.81, PE = 7.34(DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.36(due to receivables increased), estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.69/4.94 (DPS 0.12)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.28, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.43/3.75 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.2*0.7*2 = 0.28, estimate highest/lowest PE = 3.25/3 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.12(average of 0.03 per quarter), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.5/7.5 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.08(average of 0.02 per quarter if no new big project secure for construction division), estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.13/7.63 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.08, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9/7
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.08, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.88/6.63
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.08, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.44/5.38

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