Company Info
My Analysis
Research House
Accounting Ratio
Technical Analysis
My notes based on 2012 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue and pbt mainly attributable to the increase in local and export sales from the Group's Fast Moving Consumer Goods business
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q3 result announced = 185972*0.08/300000 = 0.0496(ROE 8%), estimate PE on current price 0.515 = 9.58(DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced = 0.0085*4 = 0.034, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15/12.79 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 0.0407*1.05 = 0.0427, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.76/10.19 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 0.0407*1.05 = 0.0427, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.47/11.83 (DPS 0.02)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = (0.0323+0.0038)*1.1 = 0.0397, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.74/11.08 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0285*2*0.95 = 0.0542, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.56/8.67 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0338*1.1 = 0.0372(10% increase from 0.0338), estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.55/13.98 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0338(follow 2010 cumulative eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.57/13.46 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.04, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.25/11.13 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0395, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.68/12.03 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.034, estimate highest/lowest PE = 17.94/12.35 (DPS 0.03)
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Market Capital (Capital Size) | 154,500,000 (Small) |
Par Value | RM 0.20 |
My Analysis
Forecast P/E now | (0.515-0.04)/0.0496 = 9.58 (Moderate) |
Target Price | 0.50+0.04 = 0.54 (PE 10.0, EPS 0.0496, DPS 0.04) |
Decision | BUY for dividend |
Comment | Revenue increased 5.9% and was fourth consecutive quarter increasing(higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 43.6%), eps increased 81.2% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 305.3%, cash generated from operating more than enough to cover all expenses, lower liquidity ratio but still at high level now, higher gearing ratio at below moderate level now, higher inventory can indicate stronger demand of Group products |
First Support Price | 0.505 |
Second Support Price | 0.48 |
Risk Rating | MODERATE |
Research House
JF Apex Target Price | 0.61 (2011-01-26) |
Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity | 7.82% |
Dividend Yield | 7.77% |
Profit Margin | 10.88% |
Tax Rate | 23.71% |
Asset Turnover | 0.8514 |
Net Asset Value Per Share | 0.62 |
Net Tangible Asset per share | 0.6 |
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share | 0.82 |
Cash Per Share | 0.12 |
Liquidity Current Ratio | 3.1895 |
Liquidity Quick Ratio | 2.5135 |
Liquidity Cash Ratio | 0.7481 |
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio | 0.2799 |
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio | 0.2187 |
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale | 51.5% |
Days to sell the inventory | 125 |
Days to collect the receivables | 143 |
Days to pay the payables | 157 |
Technical Analysis
SMA 20 | 0.517 (Uptrend 22 days) |
SMA 50 | 0.501 (Uptrend) |
SMA 100 | 0.498 (Uptrend) |
SMA 200 | 0.509 (Same) |
MACD (26d/12d) | 0.004463 ( 0.00047 ) |
Signal (9) | 0.005725 ( 0.000315 ) |
MACD Histogram | 0.001262 (Bearish trend 6 days) |
My notes based on 2012 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue and pbt mainly attributable to the increase in local and export sales from the Group's Fast Moving Consumer Goods business
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q3 result announced = 185972*0.08/300000 = 0.0496(ROE 8%), estimate PE on current price 0.515 = 9.58(DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced = 0.0085*4 = 0.034, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15/12.79 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 0.0407*1.05 = 0.0427, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.76/10.19 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 0.0407*1.05 = 0.0427, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.47/11.83 (DPS 0.02)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = (0.0323+0.0038)*1.1 = 0.0397, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.74/11.08 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0285*2*0.95 = 0.0542, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.56/8.67 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0338*1.1 = 0.0372(10% increase from 0.0338), estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.55/13.98 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0338(follow 2010 cumulative eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.57/13.46 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.04, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.25/11.13 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0395, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.68/12.03 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.034, estimate highest/lowest PE = 17.94/12.35 (DPS 0.03)
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