KLCI Stock - IRCB / 2127 - 2013 Quarter 2

INTEGRATED RUBBER CORPORATION BERHAD


Company Description

INTEGRATED RUBBER CORPORATION BERHAD is a Malaysia-based investment holding company. The Company operates in two business segments: manufacturing, which is engaged in the manufacturing and trading of latex gloves, and investment holding, which includes investment of ordinary and quoted shares. The activities of the Company are carried out solely in Malaysia. The United States, Canada, Japan and Europe are the major export markets for the manufacturing division, while the major market for the other divisions is principally in Malaysia. As of January 31, 2009, the Company’s production capacity stands at180 million gloves per month. The Company’s subsidiaries include Comfort Rubber Gloves Industries Sdn Bhd., PBT Sdn. Bhd. and Quality Gallant Sdn. Bhd.

Company Info 

Market Capital (Capital Size)	76,963,406 (Very Small)
Par Value	RM 0.20
Board	Main
Sector	Industrial Products
Major Industry	Gloves
Sub Industry	Investment Holding
Website	http://www.ircb.com.my/

My Analysis 

Forecast P/E now	N/A
Target Price	0.16
Decision	Not interested unless stock price strong sustain and uptrend above 0.14 or wait rebound at lower price
Comment	Revenue increased 16.5% but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 10.2%, eps reduced 75.9% loss and also reduced 83.2% loss compared to preceding year corresponding quarter, cash generated from operating not enough to cover financing expenses and got negative net cash now, gross margin turn little positive from negative, liquidity ratio indicate can meet current obligation but getting tight, gearing ratio indicate very high risk of borrowings, all accounting turnover period still not much improve as Group still short of cash, Group got increase in operational efficiency
First Support Price	0.14
Second Support Price	0.125
Risk Rating	HIGH

Accounting Ratio 

Return on Equity	-18.24%
Dividend Yield	-
Gross Profit Margin	2.00%
Operating Profit Margin	-2.04%
Net Profit Margin	-4.71%
Tax Rate	-
Asset Turnover	0.7222
Net Asset Value Per Share	0.09
Net Tangible Asset per share	0.09
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share	1.39
Cash Per Share	0.05
Liquidity Current Ratio	1.2727
Liquidity Quick Ratio	0.8929
Liquidity Cash Ratio	0.5947
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio	1.1873
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio	0.5428
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale	17.5%
Days to sell the inventory	85
Days to collect the receivables	70
Days to pay the payables	38

Technical Analysis 

SMA 10	0.154 (Downtrend)
SMA 20	0.165 (Downtrend 5 days)
SMA 50	0.15 (Same)
SMA 100	0.14 (Same)
SMA 200	0.141 (Same)
MACD (26d/12d)	-0.002469 ( 0.000248 )
Signal (9)	0.001413 ( 0.00097 )
MACD Histogram	0.003882 (Bearish trend 12 days)
Bolinger Upper Band	0.201
Bolinger Lower Band	0.129

My notes based on 2013 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- Lower loss mainly due to the increase in operational efficiency

- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2013 Q2 result announced but is reduce negative
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2013 Q1 result announced
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q4 result announced
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q3 result announced = 85631*0.03/741249 = 0.0035(ROE 3%), estimate highest/lowest PE = 51.43/41.43
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced due to loss, if use eps from FY2010Q3 to FY2011Q2 = 0.0066, estimate highest/lowest PE = 32.58/18.94
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced due to loss, if use eps from FY2010Q3 to FY2011Q2 = 0.0066, estimate highest/lowest PE = 27.27/17.42
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced due to loss, if use eps from FY2010Q3 to FY2011Q2 = 0.0066, estimate highest/lowest PE = 40.15/23.48
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced due to exclude other income will be a loss, if use eps from FY2010Q2 to FY2011Q1 = 0.0079, estimate highest/lowest PE = 32.28/2
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0021*2*1.05 = 0.0044(exclude gain from sale of land), estimate highest/lowest PE = 118.18/51.14
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0079(remain recent last 4Q cumulative eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 102.53/48.73
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0022*4 = 0.0088, estimate highest/lowest PE = 128.41/67.61

IRCB latest news (English)

IRCB latest news (Chinese)

Daily Latex Price


Financial Quarter Summary

a_date	year	qrt	h_price	l_price	div	roe	c_roe	rev	c_rev	pbt	c_pbt	prof	c_prof	eps	c_eps	asset	c_asset	liab	c_liab	mino	equi	cfo	cfi	cff	cash	fcf	net	final	share	c_share	m_cap	date	gros_m	oper_m	prof_m	vat	asset_t	pe	navps	ntaps	p/ntaps	cps	l_cur	l_qui	l_cash	g_de	g_da	avg_w	inv_d	rec_d	pay_d
2012-09-27	2013	2	N/A	N/A	-	1.88%	9.81%	33066	61451	1557	8077	1547	8063	0.0019	0.0097	162146	95468	88016	75011	-	74130	3369	1	7702	N/A	3370	4332	4332	828836	828836	103604	2012-07-31	2.00%	2.04%	4.71%	-	0.7222	-	0.09	0.09	1.39	0.05	1.2727	0.8929	0.5947	1.1873	0.5428	17.5%	85	70	38
2012-06-28	2013	1	0.15	0.12	-	7.93%	7.93%	28385	28385	6520	6520	6516	6516	0.0079	0.0079	166125	97446	90450	76035	-	75675	1096	6	2265	40482	1090	1175	39307	828836	828836	103604	2012-04-30	12.51%	19.77%	22.97%	-	0.7275	-	0.09	0.09	1.39	0.06	1.2816	0.8596	0.6249	1.1952	0.5445	17.7%	91	54	37
2012-03-30	2012	4	0.155	0.115	-	3.32%	20.64%	30814	117806	3448	21411	3438	21370	0.0041	0.0258	177996	107240	95805	79961	-	82191	17150	7313	3184	61761	24463	21279	40482	828836	828836	128469	2012-01-31	4.42%	7.86%	11.19%	-	0.6618	-	0.1	0.1	1.55	0.06	1.3412	0.8863	0.6084	1.1656	0.5382	23.2%	105	69	43
2011-12-29	2012	3	0.18	0.145	-	5.11%	17.31%	24830	86992	5305	17961	5295	17930	0.0071	0.0242	181899	110172	96268	79054	-	85631	17509	8233	5124	65203	25742	20618	44585	741249	741249	122306	2011-10-31	12.82%	16.81%	21.37%	-	0.6583	-	0.12	0.12	1.38	0.07	1.3936	0.9502	0.6199	1.1242	0.5292	26.0%	95	79	37
2011-09-29	2012	2	0.215	0.125	-	6.49%	12.20%	36832	62162	6730	12656	6719	12635	0.0113	0.0213	193289	119741	102364	83220	-	90925	12430	8053	8148	61761	20483	12335	49426	592026	592026	74003	2011-07-31	7.19%	15.76%	18.27%	-	0.6557	-	0.15	0.15	0.83	0.09	1.4388	1.036	0.6585	1.1258	0.5296	28.8%	89	90	40
2011-06-29	2012	1	0.18	0.115	-	5.71%	5.71%	25330	25330	5926	5926	5916	5916	0.0100	0.0100	193947	122503	96303	78916	-	97644	5047	4038	2463	61761	9085	6622	55139	592026	592026	106564	2011-04-30	14.96%	19.70%	23.40%	-	0.638	-	0.16	0.16	1.12	0.1	1.5523	1.0814	0.7667	0.9863	0.4965	35.2%	105	73	42
2011-03-31	2011	4	0.265	0.155	-	58.62%	53.85%	32760	139998	41340	38007	41330	37966	0.0698	0.0641	199058	129890	95498	79902	-	103560	13332	2695	77556	5158	10637	66919	61761	592026	592026	162807	2011-01-31	14.61%	123.26%	126.19%	-	0.7033	-	0.17	0.17	1.62	0.11	1.6256	1.1564	0.816	0.9222	0.4797	35.7%	99	70	50
2010-12-30	2011	3	0.34	0.225	-	4.08%	4.77%	31816	107238	2866	3333	2876	3364	0.0121	0.0142	167157	72787	93336	77512	-	73821	2062	860	2282	5157	2922	640	5797	236810	236810	59202	2010-10-31	3.22%	11.56%	9.01%	-	0.9187	-	0.31	0.17	1.47	N/A	0.939	0.3833	0.0049	1.2644	0.5584	-3.1%	110	70	48
2010-09-27	2011	2	0.52	0.225	-	0.23%	0.69%	33825	75422	151	467	162	488	0.0007	0.0021	161014	64260	90069	73730	-	70945	803	1585	140	5157	782	922	6079	236810	236810	106564	2010-07-31	7.12%	2.81%	0.45%	-	1.0005	-	0.3	0.16	2.81	N/A	0.8716	0.3068	0.0086	1.2696	0.5594	-5.9%	103	50	43
2010-06-29	2011	1	0.81	0.385	-	0.46%	0.46%	41597	41597	316	316	326	326	0.0014	0.0014	168558	70169	97775	80413	-	70783	2521	729	1717	5157	3250	1533	6690	236810	236810	184711	2010-04-30	7.10%	2.55%	0.76%	-	0.9617	-	0.3	0.16	4.87	N/A	0.8726	0.3152	0.0078	1.3813	0.5801	-6.3%	111	56	57
2010-03-30	2010	4	1.13	0.645	-	1.10%	8.03%	46327	147087	709	5201	720	5243	0.0030	0.0221	172527	72644	102027	86289	-	70500	4135	4913	6744	2364	778	7522	5158	236810	236810	251018	2010-01-31	9.21%	3.21%	1.53%	-	0.8525	47.8769	0.3	0.16	6.62	0.01	0.8419	0.3474	0.0141	1.4472	0.5914	-9.3%	117	71	83
2009-12-23	2010	3	1.87	0.595	-	0.54%	6.93%	39341	100760	345	4492	355	4523	0.0015	0.0191	170135	68748	100355	83626	-	69780	3471	4215	4906	2364	744	5650	3286	236810	236810	142086	2009-10-31	8.37%	2.79%	0.88%	-	0.7936	-	0.29	0.15	4.0	0.01	0.8221	0.3267	0.0413	1.4382	0.5899	-11.0%	123	65	79
2009-09-29	2010	2	0.9	0.53	-	0.74%	6.39%	34833	61419	472	4147	483	4168	0.0020	0.0176	166338	64514	96913	79151	-	69425	3402	2518	3083	2365	5920	9003	6638	236810	236810	136165	2009-07-31	10.47%	3.50%	1.36%	-	0.8054	-	0.29	0.15	3.83	N/A	0.8151	0.3362	0.0105	1.3959	0.5826	-10.9%	111	70	62
2009-06-23	2010	1	0.97	0.305	-	5.65%	5.65%	26586	26586	3675	3675	3685	3685	0.0156	0.0156	156660	54052	87718	69041	-	68942	277	1286	2857	2446	1009	3866	1420	236810	236810	72227	2009-04-30	8.38%	16.60%	13.82%	-	0.8676	-	0.29	0.15	2.03	N/A	0.7829	0.276	0.0078	1.2723	0.5599	-11.0%	98	50	49
2009-03-27	2009	4	0.375	0.2	-	1.12%	7.06%	34258	136418	773	5073	784	4960	0.0033	0.0209	158675	55212	93418	73779	-	65257	7319	7661	261	2967	342	603	2364	236810	236810	49730	2009-01-31	7.11%	4.40%	2.26%	-	0.8597	-	0.28	0.13	1.62	0.01	0.7483	0.289	0.0369	1.4315	0.5887	-13.6%	93	50	61
2008-12-19	2009	3	0.38	0.21	-	0.09%	8.18%	38289	102160	70	5846	60	5744	0.0003	0.0243	165362	61236	100890	79415	-	64472	5410	5525	930	2967	115	815	3782	236810	236810	87619	2008-10-31	3.57%	2.26%	0.18%	-	0.7525	-	0.27	0.13	2.85	0.02	0.7711	0.3104	0.0486	1.5649	0.6101	-14.6%	106	61	84
2008-09-23	2009	2	0.375	0.205	-	3.56%	8.10%	36787	63871	2509	5776	2498	5684	0.0105	0.0240	157876	53829	93344	71086	-	64532	6057	3953	581	2967	2104	2685	5652	236810	236810	88803	2008-07-31	0.08%	4.29%	6.82%	-	0.7374	-	0.27	0.13	2.88	0.02	0.7572	0.3326	0.0806	1.4465	0.5912	-14.8%	92	56	68
2008-06-24	2009	1	0.46	0.28	-	4.54%	4.54%	27084	27084	3267	3267	3186	3186	0.0135	0.0135	153666	50555	86635	63643	-	67031	330	1541	1488	2967	1211	277	3244	236810	236810	94724	2008-04-30	2.54%	8.77%	12.06%	-	0.6889	-	0.28	0.14	2.86	0.01	0.7944	0.3471	0.0522	1.2925	0.5638	-12.4%	97	65	51
2008-03-31	2008	4	0.45	0.31	-	15.54%	19.89%	22273	101393	15369	20196	13642	17460	0.0576	0.0737	150080	47117	79864	56460	-	70216	9230	2245	8102	6341	11475	3373	2968	236810	236810	101828	2008-01-31	12.64%	65.28%	69.00%	-	0.6756	-	0.3	0.15	2.87	0.01	0.8345	0.3751	0.0539	1.1374	0.5321	-9.2%	95	65	37
2007-12-28	2008	3	0.45	0.125	-	3.88%	4.35%	30281	79120	3420	4827	3404	3818	0.0144	0.0161	166592	55995	82629	59104	-	83963	10188	682	4188	6341	9506	5318	1023	236810	236810	98276	2008-10-31	1.01%	8.68%	11.29%	-	0.6375	-	0.35	0.17	2.44	0.01	0.9474	0.5805	0.0326	0.9841	0.496	-2.9%	80	111	53
2007-09-28	2008	2	0.46	0.365	-	0.62%	0.47%	26226	48839	64	1407	542	414	0.0023	0.0017	158494	47196	71127	47846	-	87367	3532	1536	3520	6341	1996	5516	825	236810	236810	110116	2007-07-31	11.49%	3.16%	0.24%	-	0.479	-	0.37	0.19	2.45	0.01	0.9864	0.6039	0.0388	0.8141	0.4488	-0.9%	97	130	58
2007-06-22	2008	1	N/A	N/A	-	1.09%	1.09%	22613	22613	1471	1471	956	956	0.0040	0.0040	159247	46510	72422	51206	-	86825	3619	1879	1232	6341	5498	6730	389	236810	236810	106564	2007-04-30	6.00%	3.30%	6.51%	-	0.312	-	0.37	0.19	2.37	0.01	0.9083	0.4538	0.0236	0.8341	0.4548	-9.5%	187	162	74
2007-03-27	2007	4	N/A	N/A	-	N/A	N/A	27077	104976	1065	7488	669	5631	0.0028	0.0238	165590	52656	77810	55426	-	87780	5094	8790	19052	1173	13884	5168	6341	236810	236810	93539	2007-01-31	10.70%	1.57%	3.93%	-	0.1635	-	0.37	0.19	2.08	0.03	0.95	0.4982	0.1158	0.8864	0.4699	-10.2%	378	286	222

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet

year	qrt	Goodwill on consolidation (A-0)	Other investments (A-0)	Property, plant and equipment (A-0)	Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)	Derivative assets (A-1)	Fixed deposits with licensed banks (A-1)	Inventories (A-1)	Trade receivables (A-1)	Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)	Hire purchase liabilities (L-0)	Loans & borrowings (L-0)	Bank overdraf (L-1)	Hire purchase liabilities (L-1)	Loans & borrowings (L-1)	Trade and other payables (L-1)
2013	2	-	-	66678	1606	43	43000	28487	22332	313	72	12620	8455	19	53963	12574
2013	1	-	-	68679	1518	3	46000	32087	17844	324	77	14014	8210	19	54902	12904
2012	4	-	-	70756	2646	-	46000	36368	22226	334	81	15429	8164	47	57030	14720
2012	3	-	-	71727	2997	78	52000	35058	26033	325	88	16801	-	102	65554	13398
2012	2	-	-	73548	2801	191	52000	33527	31222	355	4	18785	-	248	68345	14627
2012	1	-	-	71444	55503	87	5000	37161	24752	366	66	16955	-	248	64103	14565
2011	4	-	-	69168	65203	226	-	37493	26968	376	128	15092	-	248	61094	18560
2011	3	33728	178	60464	296	-	84	43075	29332	428	190	15206	-	248	58842	18422
2011	2	33728	178	62848	550	-	83	41640	21987	439	252	15648	-	248	56172	17310
2011	1	33728	178	64483	541	-	83	44826	24719	449	314	16599	-	248	57322	22843
2010	4	33728	178	65977	1132	-	82	42671	28759	418	257	15063	-	229	55967	30093
2010	3	33728	178	67481	3368	-	82	41427	23871	428	314	15987	-	229	56885	26512
2010	2	33728	178	67918	834	-	-	37900	25780	439	371	16952	-	229	58107	20815
2010	1	33728	178	68702	541	-	-	34997	18514	449	429	17799	-	229	51589	17223
2009	4	33728	178	69557	2645	-	81	33887	18599	460	486	18693	-	229	51328	22222
2009	3	33728	178	70220	3862	-	-	36588	20786	470	543	20462	-	229	50312	28874
2009	2	33728	178	70141	5730	-	-	30186	17913	480	600	21178	-	229	48832	22025
2009	1	33728	178	69205	3325	-	-	28467	18763	491	658	21843	-	229	48627	14787
2008	4	33728	178	69057	3045	-	-	25939	18133	572	715	22117	-	229	46430	9801
2008	3	42728	178	67691	1928	-	-	21684	32383	2299	772	20454	-	229	44579	14296
2008	2	42728	178	68392	1855	-	-	18301	27040	2309	830	20142	-	229	36896	10721
2008	1	42728	889	69120	1207	-	-	23272	22031	2793	887	17536	-	229	41957	9020
2007	4	42728	1245	68961	6417	-	-	25040	21199	3307	944	18133	-	229	40706	14491

Financial Quarter Income Statement

year	qrt	Revenue	Income tax expense	Cost of sales	Finance/interest costs	Other income	Administrative/Operating expenses	Selling and distribution costs
2013	2	33066	10	32406	881	840	1808	368
2013	1	28385	4	31936	908	61	1836	286
2012	4	30814	10	29452	1025	906	4368	323
2012	3	24830	10	28012	1130	978	1698	273
2012	2	36832	11	39482	925	427	3196	386
2012	1	25330	10	29120	937	831	1552	478
2011	4	32760	10	37546	961	540	35806	327
2011	3	31816	10	30790	811	5473	3360	538
2011	2	33825	11	31416	798	796	1662	594
2011	1	41597	10	38645	746	317	1554	653
2010	4	46327	11	42060	777	494	1999	288
2010	3	39341	10	36047	751	293	1930	561
2010	2	34833	11	31186	747	102	1741	585
2010	1	26586	10	24358	738	4050	1539	326
2009	4	34258	11	31821	733	1563	1724	770
2009	3	38289	10	36923	937	1456	1259	696
2009	2	36787	11	36756	929	419	1427	603
2009	1	27084	81	27772	893	66	1331	421
2008	4	22273	1727	25088	829	411	11344	792
2008	3	30281	16	30587	791	9	1571	743
2008	2	26226	478	23212	764	163	1397	626
2008	1	22613	515	21256	725	178	1549	376
2007	4	27077	396	24179	640	624	3327	620

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue

year	qrt	Others	Investment holding	Manufacturing
2013	2	-	-	33066
2013	1	-	-	28385
2012	4	-	-	30814
2012	3	1145	-	25975
2012	2	892	-	35687
2012	1	253	-	25330
2011	4	940	457	31363
2011	3	1278	-	30538
2011	2	313	6	33509
2011	1	1358	-	40236
2010	4	2995	-	43332
2010	3	1303	-	38038
2010	2	2348	-	32485
2010	1	1797	-	24789
2009	4	419	10	33829
2009	3	2378	-	35911
2009	2	2460	-	34327
2009	1	3598	-	23486
2008	4	2755	80	19439
2008	3	1641	-	28640
2008	2	1474	2342	22410
2008	1	1153	1051	20409
2007	4	1053	-	26024

Financial Quarter Segments Profit

year	qrt	Others	Investment holding	Manufacturing
2013	2	5	459	1783
2013	1	7	305	3217
2012	4	21	284	9826
2012	3	15	268	9671
2012	2	10	399	5534
2012	1	4	293	4925
2011	4	36	33932	6516
2011	3	107	3007	774
2011	2	21	262	1232
2011	1	71	145	1264
2010	4	108	170	1761
2010	3	29	199	1320
2010	2	99	208	2009
2010	1	8	3522	416
2009	4	149	126	1230
2009	3	22	152	988
2009	2	4	387	1200
2009	1	183	241	1960
2008	4	464	9058	4999
2008	3	292	279	2645
2008	2	3	2111	1284
2008	1	34	748	1473
2007	4	33	173	608

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables

CURRENT

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●CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
●ANNUAL REPORTS

HISTORICAL

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●CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING

ARCHIVES

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●CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING

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●CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING

KLCI Stock - IRCB / 2127 - 2012 Quarter 3

Company Info 

Market Capital (Capital Size)	100,644,454 (Small)
Par Value	RM 0.20

My Analysis 

Forecast P/E now	0.17/0.0035 = 48.57 (High)
Target Price	0.0035*6.0 = 0.02 (PE 6.0, EPS 0.0035)
Decision	Not interested unless stock price back to bullish trend or moving from bearish to bullish trend
Comment	Revenue decreased 32.6% and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 22%, eps reduceed 37.2% loss but largely turned into loss compared to preceding year corresponding quarter, not enough cash generated from operating hence increased bank borrowing and spent 31.6% of Group cash to cover all expenses, weaker liquidity ratio at low level now, slightly lower gearing ratio at high level now, all accounting ratio are good, affecting by recent surge of latex price and RM against USD
First Support Price	0.16
Second Support Price	0.14
Risk Rating	HIGH

Accounting Ratio 

Return on Equity	-60.85%
Dividend Yield	-
Profit Margin	-21.37%
Tax Rate	-
Asset Turnover	0.6583
Net Asset Value Per Share	0.12
Net Tangible Asset per share	0.12
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share	1.38
Cash Per Share	0.07
Liquidity Current Ratio	1.3936
Liquidity Quick Ratio	0.9502
Liquidity Cash Ratio	0.6199
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio	1.1242
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio	0.5292
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale	26.0%
Days to sell the inventory	73
Days to collect the receivables	79
Days to pay the payables	28

Technical Analysis 

SMA 20	0.167 (Downtrend 3 days)
SMA 50	0.168 (Same)
SMA 100	0.166 (Same)
SMA 200	0.169 (Same)
MACD (26d/12d)	0.000681 ( 5.3e-005 )
Signal (9)	0.000387 ( 7.3e-005 )
MACD Histogram	0.000294 (Bullish trend 12 days)

My notes based on 2012 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Lower revenue and loss mainly due to the drop in production output caused by the shortage of manpower and volatility of latex price. In addition, the stock write down of RM1.46 million which was non-recurring in nature caused further deterioration of the Group's results

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q3 result announced = 85631*0.03/741249 = 0.0035(ROE 3%), estimate PE on current price 0.17 = 48.57
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced due to loss, if use eps from FY2010Q3 to FY2011Q2 = 0.0066, estimate highest/lowest PE = 32.58/18.94
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced due to loss, if use eps from FY2010Q3 to FY2011Q2 = 0.0066, estimate highest/lowest PE = 27.27/17.42
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced due to loss, if use eps from FY2010Q3 to FY2011Q2 = 0.0066, estimate highest/lowest PE = 40.15/23.48
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced due to exclude other income will be a loss, if use eps from FY2010Q2 to FY2011Q1 = 0.0079, estimate highest/lowest PE = 32.28/2
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0021*2*1.05 = 0.0044(exclude gain from sale of land), estimate highest/lowest PE = 118.18/51.14
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0079(remain recent last 4Q cumulative eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 102.53/48.73
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0022*4 = 0.0088, estimate highest/lowest PE = 128.41/67.61

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KLCI Stock - IRCB / 2127 - 2012 Quarter 2

Company Info

Par Value	RM 0.20
Board	Main

My Analysis

Forecast P/E now	0.18/0.0066 = 27.27 (High)
Target Price	0.0066*6.0 = 0.04 (PE 6.0, EPS 0.0066)
Decision	Not interested unless stock price next uptrend above 0.16
Comment	Revenue increased 45.4% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 8.9%, eps increased 13% loss and largely turned into loss compared to preceding year corresponding quarter, no cash generated from operating and cash from bank borrowing also not enough to cover all expenses hence spent 20% of Group cash to cover, slightly weaker liquidity ratio at low level now, higher gearing ratio from above moderate to high level now, all accounting ratio are good, lower inventory can indicate slow down in sales, benefit from latex price decreasing, benefit from strengthening of USD against Ringgit
First Support Price	0.145
Second Support Price	0.125
Risk Rating	HIGH

Accounting Ratio

Return on Equity	-49.91%
Dividend Yield	-
Profit Margin	-18.27%
Tax Rate	-
Asset Turnover	0.6557
Net Asset Value Per Share	0.15
Net Tangible Asset per share	0.15
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share	0.83
Cash Per Share	0.09
Liquidity Current Ratio	1.4388
Liquidity Quick Ratio	1.036
Liquidity Cash Ratio	0.6585
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio	1.1258
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio	0.5296
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale	28.8%
Days to sell the inventory	68
Days to collect the receivables	90
Days to pay the payables	30

My notes based on 2012 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- Higher loss before tax mainly due to the high latex prices and weakening of the USD. In addition, the provision for doubtful debts of RM1.42 million and stocks write down of RM0.58 million which were non-recurring in nature had cause further deterioration of the Group's result

- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced due to loss, if use eps from FY2010Q3 to FY2011Q2 = 0.0066, estimate PE on current price 0.18 = 27.27
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced due to loss, if use eps from FY2010Q3 to FY2011Q2 = 0.0066, estimate highest/lowest PE = 27.27/17.42
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced due to loss, if use eps from FY2010Q3 to FY2011Q2 = 0.0066, estimate highest/lowest PE = 40.15/23.48
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced due to exclude other income will be a loss, if use eps from FY2010Q2 to FY2011Q1 = 0.0079, estimate highest/lowest PE = 32.28/2
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0021*2*1.05 = 0.0044(exclude gain from sale of land), estimate highest/lowest PE = 118.18/51.14
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0079(remain recent last 4Q cumulative eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 102.53/48.73
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0022*4 = 0.0088, estimate highest/lowest PE = 128.41/67.61

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KLCI Stock - IRCB / 2127 - 2012 Quarter 1

Company Info

Par Value

RM 0.20

My Analysis

Forecast P/E now	0.18/0.0066 = 27.27 (High)
Target Price	0.0066*6.0 = 0.04 (PE 6.0, EPS 0.0066)
Decision	Not interested unless revenue and profit increase more
Comment	Revenue decreased 22.7% and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 39.1%, eps reduced 80.8% loss but compared to preceding year corresponding quarter still largely increased loss, no cash generated from operating, mainly depend on bank borrowing to cover all expenses, weaker liquidity ratio at low level now, higher gearing ratio at above moderate level now, all accounting ratio are good, benefit from latex price decreasing, benefit from strengthening of USD against Ringgit
First Support Price	0.175
Second Support Price	0.16
Risk Rating	HIGH

Accounting Ratio

Return on Equity	-41.84%
Dividend Yield	-
Profit Margin	-23.40%
Tax Rate	-
Asset Turnover	0.638
Net Asset Value Per Share	0.22
Net Tangible Asset per share	0.22
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share	0.82
Cash Per Share	0.14
Liquidity Current Ratio	1.5523
Liquidity Quick Ratio	1.0814
Liquidity Cash Ratio	0.7667
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio	0.9863
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio	0.4965
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale	35.2%
Days to sell the inventory	79
Days to collect the receivables	73
Days to pay the payables	32

My notes based on 2012 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- The decline in the Group's result were mainly due to record high latex prices that caused the sharp drop in sales of natural latex gloves and the continuous weakening of US Dollar which had significantly eroded the Group's profit margin

- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced due to loss, if use eps from FY2010Q3 to FY2011Q2 = 0.0066, estimate PE on current price 0.18 = 27.27
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced due to loss, if use eps from FY2010Q3 to FY2011Q2 = 0.0066, estimate highest/lowest PE = 40.15/23.48
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced due to exclude other income will be a loss, if use eps from FY2010Q2 to FY2011Q1 = 0.0079, estimate highest/lowest PE = 32.28/2
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0021*2*1.05 = 0.0044(exclude gain from sale of land), estimate highest/lowest PE = 118.18/51.14
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0079(remain recent last 4Q cumulative eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 102.53/48.73
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0022*4 = 0.0088, estimate highest/lowest PE = 128.41/67.61

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KLCI Stock - IRCB / 2127 - 2011 Quarter 4

Company Info

Market Capital (Capital Size)	106,564,716 (Small)
Par Value	RM 0.20

My Analysis

Forecast P/E now	0.18/0.0066 = 27.27 (High)
Target Price	0.0066*6.0 = 0.04 (PE 6.0, EPS 0.0066)
Decision	Not interested unless revenue and profit increase more
Comment	Revenue increased 3% but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 29.3%, eps decreased 224.5%(exclude RM37.74 million written down) and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 608.3%, no cash generated from operating but still got cash generated from right issue left, stronger liquidity ratio at low level now, lower gearing ratio at above moderate level now, all accounting periods are good, high latex price, USD dollar against Ringgit still weak
First Support Price	0.18
Second Support Price	0.13
Risk Rating	HIGH

Accounting Ratio

Return on Equity	-36.66%
Dividend Yield	-
Profit Margin	-126.19%
Tax Rate	-
Asset Turnover	0.7033
Net Asset Value Per Share	0.17
Net Tangible Asset per share	0.17
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share	1.62
Cash Per Share	0.11
Liquidity Current Ratio	1.6256
Liquidity Quick Ratio	1.1564
Liquidity Cash Ratio	0.816
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio	0.9222
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio	0.4797
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale	35.7%
Days to sell the inventory	76
Days to collect the receivables	70
Days to pay the payables	38

My notes based on 2011 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- The drop in revenue was mainly due to the modification of production lines in Factory 2 since the middle of 3rd quarter. The modification will give a higher level of flexibility to the production lines to switch among the production of powder, powder free natural rubber gloves and nitrile gloves

- The significant loss before taxation was mainly due to the written down of its goodwill of RM33.73 million. The Group feels it is prudent to write down the goodwill in the year under review as this does not have any negative impact on the cash flow or operation of the Group

- The high latex price and weakening US dollar have also affected the performance of the Group. Moreover, the stocks write-down of RM2.39 million and quality claims of RM1.62 million had an additional negative impact on the Group performance. However, these factors were deemed to be one-ff items

- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced due to loss, if use eps from FY2010Q3 to FY2011Q2 = 0.0066, estimate PE on current price 0.18 = 27.27
- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced due to exclude other income will be a loss, if use eps from FY2010Q2 to FY2011Q1 = 0.0079, estimate highest/lowest PE = 32.28/2
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0021*2*1.05 = 0.0044(exclude gain from sale of land), estimate highest/lowest PE = 118.18/51.14
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0079(remain recent last 4Q cumulative eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 102.53/48.73
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0022*4 = 0.0088, estimate highest/lowest PE = 128.41/67.61

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KLCI Stock - IRCB / 2127 - 2011 Quarter 3

Company Info

Market Capital (Capital Size)	150,966,681 (Small)
Par Value	RM 0.20

My Analysis

Forecast P/E now	0.255/0.0079 = 32.28 (High)
Target Price	0.0079*6.0 = 0.05 (PE 6.0, EPS 0.0079)
Decision	Not interested unless revenue and profit increase more
Comment	Revenue third consecutive quarter decreasing and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter, eps decreased(exclude other income) and turn into loss compared to preceding year corresponding quarter, free cash flow more negative, net and final cash flow still negative, liquidity ratio increasing but still weak, gearing ratio decreasing but still high, all accounting periods are acceptable, high latex price, USD against MYR still weak
First Support Price	0.24
Second Support Price	0.225
Risk Rating	HIGH

Accounting Ratio

Return on Equity	5.58%
Dividend Yield	-
Profit Margin	9.01%
Tax Rate	-
Asset Turnover	0.9187
Net Asset Value Per Share	0.31
Net Tangible Asset per share	0.17
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share	1.47
Cash Per Share	0.0
Liquidity Current Ratio	0.939
Liquidity Quick Ratio	0.3833
Liquidity Cash Ratio	0.0049
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio	1.2644
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio	0.5584
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale	-3.1%
Days to sell the inventory	104
Days to collect the receivables	70
Days to pay the payables	45

My notes based on 2011 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- The Group's profit before taxation for the quarter ended 31 October 2010 was RM2.87 million as compared to the preceding year corresponding quarter's profit before taxation of RM0.35 million. The higher current year's quarter profit was mainly due to the gain on disposal of land

- The Group recorded a profit before taxation of RM2.87 million on a revenue of RM31.82 million for the current quarter as compared to a profit before taxation of RM0.15 million on a revenue of RM33.83 million for the immediate preceding quarter ended 31 July 2010. The higher profit in the current quarter was mainly due to the disposal of land

- No estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced due to exclude other income will be a loss, if use eps from FY2010Q2 to FY2011Q1 = 0.0079, estimate PE on current price 0.255 = 32.28
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0021*2*1.05 = 0.0044(exclude gain from sale of land), estimate highest/lowest PE = 118.18/51.14
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0079(remain recent last 4Q cumulative eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 102.53/48.73
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0022*4 = 0.0088, estimate highest/lowest PE = 128.41/67.61

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KLCI Stock - IRCB / 2127 - 2011 Quarter 2

Market Cap : 236810480*0.45 = 106,564,716 (Small)
NTA per share : (70945-33728)/236810 = 0.16
P/BV : 0.45/0.16 = 2.8125
Forecast P/E now : 0.45/0.0044 = 102.27 (Very high)
ROE : 2.22% (Low)
DY : Not applicable
Fixed Asset Turnover(3 year) : (1.0005+0.8054+0.7374)/3 = 0.8478 (Moderate)
Liquidity Ratio : 64260/73730 = 0.8716 (Weak)
Receivables Collection Period : (21987+25780)/2/(161090/365) = 54 days (Acceptable)
My Target Price : Not interested unless profit increase more
My Decision : NOT BUY
My Comment : Revenue and profit decreasing, bad cash flow, high debt but decreasing, high latex price, US dollar depreciation
Technical Support Price : 0.44
Risk Rating : HIGH

My notes based on 2011 quarter 2 report (number in '000):

- The Group's pbt for the quarter ended 31 July 2010 was 68.1% lower as compared to the preceding year corresponding quarter's. The lower current year's quarter profit was mainly due to expenses on right issue listing and provision for doubtful debt

- The Group recorded a 53.1% lower pbt and 18.7% lower revenue for the current quarter as compared to the immediate preceding quarter ended 30 April 2010

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0021*2*1.05 = 0.0044(exclude gain from sale of land), estimate PE on current price 0.45 = 102.27
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0079(remain recent last 4Q cumulative eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 102.53/48.73
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0022*4 = 0.0088, estimate highest/lowest PE = 128.41/67.61

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