Sponsor by Innity

Sponsor by cwyeoh

Sponsor by Nuffnang

Showing posts with label OSK. Show all posts
Showing posts with label OSK. Show all posts

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

KLCI Stock - OSK / 5053 - 2011 Quarter 3

OSK HOLDINGS BERHAD

Company Description
OSK Holdings Berhad is an investment holding company. The Company operates in 10 business segments: Investment banking, Commercial banking, Equity, futures and options, Venture capital, Capital financing, Property development, Property investment, Unit trust, Holding entities and Others. Investment banking segment provides debt capital market, corporate advisory, treasury, derivatives and structured products, loans, advances, financing, offshore investment banking and Islamic banking services. Commercial banking segment provides commercial banking services. Equity, futures and options segment provides stockbroking, futures and options, nominee services and related services, both local and overseas services. Capital financing segment acts as a licensed money lender for initial public offers and share option schemes. In March 2009, the Company completed the disposal of 30% equity interest in UOB-OSK Asset Management Sdn. Bhd.(UOAM).

Company Info
Listing Date1991-05-31
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,715,819,292 (Large)
Par ValueRM 1.00
BoardMain
SectorFinance
Major IndustryStockbroking & Related Services
Sub IndustryLoans & Financing
Websitehttp://www.osk.com.my

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(1.78-0.075)/0.1034 = 16.49 (High)
Target Price1.24+0.075 = 1.32 (PE 12.0, EPS 0.1034, DPS 0.075)
DecisionNot interested unless stock price got strong uptrend above 1.83
Comment
Revenue increased 18.9% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 13.1%, eps increased 418.6% but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 14.5%, cash generated from operating more than enough to cover all expenses, slightly weaker liquidity ratio at low level now, higher gearing ratio, stronger cash level, higher loans
First Support Price1.7
Second Support Price1.55
Risk RatingMODERATE

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity6.91%
Dividend Yield4.21%
Profit Margin17.56%
Tax Rate31.04%
Asset Turnover0.0937
Net Asset Value Per Share1.58
Net Tangible Asset per share1.33
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.32
Cash Per Share2.57
Liquidity Current Ratio1.2104
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.7802
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.2562
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio6.9495
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.8522
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale174.8%
Days to sell the inventory2096
Days to collect the receivables1586
Days to pay the payables4861

My notes based on 2011 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue and pbt mainly due to higher contribution from Investment Banking activities and increase in fee income from Equities and Unit Trusts

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.1293*0.8 = 0.1034, estimate PE on current price 1.78 = 16.49(DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = (0.0495+0.0059)*2*0.7 = 0.0776(equity market recent dropping >20%), estimate highest/lowest PE = 23.26/15.53 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0495*4 = 0.198, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.21/6.34 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0993*1.1 = 0.1092(exclude RM20 million from property investment), estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.35/13.87 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0479*2*1.05 = 0.1006, estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.42/16.15 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0479*2 = 0.0958, estimate highest/lowest PE = 19.43/12.08 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.039*4 = 0.156, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.56/7.4 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0449*4 = 0.1796, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.21/6.38 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0525*4 = 0.21, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.38/6.9 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0570*4 = 0.228, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.62/5.83 (DPS 0.05)
- After 2009 Q1 loss result announced, no estimate
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.0240*4 = 0.096, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.32/7.86 (DPS 0.075)

OSK latest news (English)

OSK latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdateprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2011-11-1520113N/AN/A-1.61%4.51%2887798354955071814110628811810440.03060.086112147357103523293053671795028659021144500100230699672514521414291111396394111094117416563532011-09-3017.56%31.04%0.0937-1.581.331.322.571.21040.78020.25626.94950.8522174.8%209615864861
2011-08-25201121.881.280.0250.32%2.96%24288254671517181903885600522330.00590.05551149287497276452907581765229333034252347167867282430780023612290894694130894122813366572011-06-307.07%32.26%0.0961-1.571.321.082.271.22180.73220.24196.59740.8464177.7%226814064620
2011-05-27201111.71.33-2.67%2.67%304039304039732077320746633466330.04950.0495117497331000274824393917469851753715256160429662550170115968667223694130394130315719762011-03-3124.08%27.22%0.0911-1.61.361.232.011.20120.73650.20586.6550.8513172.9%232416154982
2011-02-23201041.861.590.052.40%6.95%302061101220655390194972406311176130.04320.119610019631832618024474116934514861674122939916779270852739612822966447994071098346016180212010-12-3118.34%13.10%0.10114.38231.471.251.381.721.26950.69740.22015.74730.831196.3%245912344283
2010-11-26201032.231.7-2.04%4.67%2553517102535749013958233601769820.03580.08401287211111224111234344164800051218622584538056788153534770328679143993947491653416628682010-09-3022.51%22.69%0.0737-1.541.311.352.071.51070.67170.37697.93980.872278.1%27695403281
2010-08-25201022.031.290.0250.69%2.67%209439454902239038208911135433790.01190.04791021895985958982247931623061333138945721410680017034259512848967168193915790500912678612010-06-3011.41%22.08%0.0901-1.551.311.031.791.52010.63040.37966.14750.8412250.8%26234122927
2010-05-25201011.411.23-1.97%1.97%245463245463581865818632244322440.03900.039097025888067092216283163549692290470425974804060969947102073304082682482682410087252010-03-3123.70%31.17%0.0963-1.721.460.842.021.42730.58920.35175.68420.8314217.6%26674103155
2010-02-25200941.551.220.052.46%7.45%23808682036859208191022371341126290.05620.1690988711783754302245461511687123706508352575510268741745412002968265786609066664868129142009-12-3124.87%24.49%0.0837.27861.931.620.762.591.44140.58290.37056.5070.8471248.1%29244153383
2009-11-25200931.811.14-2.34%5.12%2276625822826053513181334554754940.05250.114711028542955297821719214755641916004126278871102986015033822920912590696587176582239749012009-09-3026.59%26.43%0.0688-1.911.60.923.971.42270.7020.49227.59150.8662295.9%31515234357
2009-08-27200921.591.370.0252.15%2.38%222951354620613257127836981409400.05700.0631946085077381663042861722684655381347627771022185520625483910770246489426489429150082009-06-3027.51%31.93%0.0773-2.191.860.763.061.41950.63630.43615.45560.8179261.4%29584473768
2009-05-28200911.581.23-0.23%0.23%13166813166899529952395939590.00610.006174349755748038293109168693721034132509352101479020709119773912125296489216489218695542009-03-317.56%38.33%0.1042-2.151.820.743.041.53820.8370.5714.12390.7731240.4%19974232839
2009-02-26200841.50.830.0250.92%8.03%1769928121651887168186154241347740.02400.207361386754459291-29898316793845294027208519537374878645731726194410107306432916500795660962008-12-311.07%-0.14194.24473.042.720.322.631.63810.94320.59662.2540.7264207.6%14654022100
2008-11-27200831.10.865-1.17%7.13%19973763493929036166299195901193500.03020.18197823448614910132196016743479278187238216727381298885543668816315011516494516559956039892008-09-3014.54%18.53%0.1288-2.061.740.533.351.47890.86230.5744.54690.786179.9%14363952321
2008-08-29200821.50.910.053.12%5.27%2661864354217208713726259026997590.09070.1532800492961134893729001891440562692477912343980334755791343447412378216508536510689437362008-06-3027.08%10.32%0.1413-2.331.940.752.861.56820.95080.59234.02590.7637158.2%10963631760
2008-05-29200811.851.42-2.14%2.14%228454228454651756517540733407330.06260.0626823654163295893759331906952473844633331558741928467511435953117788165120265120211591392008-03-3128.53%29.57%0.1429-2.351.970.93.061.46880.89540.74124.13420.7685107.2%8381261445
2008-02-28200742.11.680.12.74%15.02%313103123658381018446642519902847430.07820.428484667106571301377261189540985437989928980617963185348056367474330566494066468112567362007-12-3125.88%24.84%0.14614.41192.281.910.992.221.90541.23380.64324.32850.7761167.8%8043581175
2007-11-27200732.71.87-4.04%13.24%322970923480112074365624710202327530.10410.3529833766165800533345271757608234017234552733716753325747223013539766868236365957816172002007-09-3034.70%26.48%0.13-2.161.781.334.391.24881.22160.5074.62380.7892135.6%11614014187
2007-08-28200722.852.3-4.95%9.33%312513600510136822253550858141617330.12580.2452867334269405543167931732788165359396701426421642011256891695318115468236365957820607362007-06-3043.78%24.47%0.0878-2.151.771.713.641.27371.260.40844.90150.8002218.7%-2449N/A
2007-05-2520071N/AN/A-4.56%4.56%28799728799711672811672875919759190.11870.118765607924894747303661166604537777399845388165968337791160915435963978863978818042022007-03-3140.53%27.01%0.0684-2.131.741.622.931.31211.29360.44033.59280.7461296.4%-2927N/A
2007-02-2720064N/AN/A-2.35%6.54%1606255499624214416163835739995010.05850.16313816941229582729886015211142810851873883936142442314684737485916937261109161011611977382006-12-3126.24%-0.042112.01822.01.61.221.541.78841.74370.59141.87840.6015783.3%-4145N/A

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtDeferred tax assets (A-0)Intangible assets (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Land held for property development (A-0)Other assets (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Security deposits and statutory funds (A-0)Accrued billings (A-1)Available-for-sale securities (A-1)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Deposits with licensed banks (A-1)Derivative financial assets (A-1)Held-for-trading securities (A-1)Held-to-maturity securities (A-1)Loans, advances & financing (A-1)Other investments (A-1)Other receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-1)Property development costs (A-1)Securities purchased under resale agreements (A-1)Statutory deposits with Bank Negara Malaysia (A-1)Stock (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Debt securities (L-0)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Finance lease payables (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Other liabilities (L-0)Subordinated notes (L-0)Amount due to associated companies (L-1)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Deposits & placements of banks & other financial institutions (L-1)Deposits from customers (L-1)Derivative financial liabilities (L-1)Dividend payable (L-1)Obligations on securities sold under repurchase agreements (L-1)Payables and accruals (L-1)Progress billings (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
20113537723346222372134000-113770--196256--3316909211828851375500048531459886038011633978----248795-3309371-3837-247739247340400000-24793672450465568031119-75976--3993395305367
20112190522805620308134000-103593--193604--348859317823776415195000789132737835697391537574----162788-2716226-4294-256568218158400000-23907466236488247388476----3387533290758
20111129922426922690134000-129165--185434--3229258166501978451550001364784334186135201300559----73362-3438417-1163-266600233377300000-359856907874219403142341-16580--4096512243939
2010448122388921146134000-94816--184441--279586615528806931-902976489966624271378376---11148669678-2043921-1812-362115288856300000-238786697693872805149749----2657196244741
20103145020956820378112600-4548106--179983--3136721181296311317700001085894365656990721401876---5986863055---3918-5093205251220296589-31047475703458376172553-----234344
20102192920952519335112600-2951258--175862--30124511579708987850000635462146897224761040109----55593---606-1556983699971300000-32876352632400408950026-----224793
20101264620882520999112600-2394678--173506--30843241566591942250000700712308216682041050193---328256426---993-1350803074400100000-40267302129436173952484-----216283
20094340220985320369112600-2720139-11903161359--27313011611189978950000371222036651024096932657----47673---1023-2169663445463100000-30198174222435569751861-----224546
20093190320735819627112600-2956346-11986157253--2678909221910378863550002054910547010358501087051---994141710---686-4333493704016100000-17963144916509990152147-----217192
200926903211880204165112600-2284120-11973159653--22660981837427111531165084868793031224037896425----33737---1582-287666280716184180-11332180520434337222353-----304286
2009116219211727210244112600-1388082-12008161339--1473005180767321799140512124130685922699897534----27608---9160-2092631969294100000-1169723171232094157497-----293109
200846366211780211884112600-777383-12043162982--129641815343642107476047232646870626679959025----80834---255-2075731316705100000-1017844791523706335783-249---298983
200831187620958023352142786-1552784-11082163673--1885281893688-1187220238174184311631091092----92046---5206-1771002081408100000-12990-37674084742-247---321960
2008211943252508209470427863065192068501-11538166073-82671610112739967-10558802643808101609891117419--91331-68173---27465-4336372505087--26786-307659029161-245-14518-372900
200812736250583210533427862953133304817-10958164924-59041390512856171-107400083305508910756400650--87204-65275---47119-4552073135254--30744-262789420059-592-12720-375933
200742013250181201592648962968343108962-11011163516-11973120431913608177460500001344291422441111221200007--81804-63530---34238-4338553810958--413998103851263213164757-241-12255-377261
2007389424857219844142786208251-866501104216139127153535-1028099526645570047210--87527145761240826160949-53701773240287624710932154669592960--308649506-20075617233947276-280835155013431057334527
2007280524812919694142786185652-766151107415992826931275-813907744739150056357--828312331784450882941-458701059650528574682426939838782136--230053591720501198321100889-383676193561122064067223316793
2007146524850022830942786186984-905661110615938524642826-707238863352130018347---6146993552778473-3271411099355937170611275411025534934--172631870-69750340475-31354117176589132994843303661
2006446524835222508442786190802-80439111461605903413--5089151277915600----4192322130571356--1787180289070139280991214600648--30429066102090----15507574511319003298860

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestFinance/interest incomeShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesImpairment lossNet income from Islamic banking businessWrite back/(Allowances) for losses on loans, advance & financingWrite back of impaired trade and other receivables
201132887791574156595196307165015616682215872750024341636364
20112242882554351051159983165024603872944803-22472831110
201113040391992744961226104181950664769659379-16372999660
20104302061725543796240155196037750476127966198981185329319
20103255351130453819318589815422110844628291043016641702172
2010220943952783040914459813929374905866038411213134715521723
2010124546318138281441742281367317804647196301540018893248243
20094238086145013151916743114071475736517474220001386535866
20093227662159973237016353313280299845923729113018634368353
200922229511958230703166938135315476252406439158366465321587
2009113166838152833476779854482178498434536126163810411177
20084176992231528875117253901441122254887191032123863111330194
20083199737538036817131071129532406663169242608873191507
20082266186743729134215450138310562450125918220001293722725
2008122845419274273871787081329135168497461242--5631174
20074313103201262759526327919257489024982439084483-2787738
20073322970296802510528011018346111374428601888524-10932601
20072312513334852121827399616350417523385173782--10346283
2007128799731533120202615941595549276264033640---3335
20064160625146491868916-7869-3996----

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersProperty developmentProperty investmentInvestment BankingLoans & FinancingEquities & FuturesWealth ManagementHolding EntitiesVenture Capital
201135268-18969497138887116589324931324-
201121987-185866130430029954329527629-
201111870-19491025463364113598927919125-
201041665-2012209054523174535305241846-
201031831-19855354418235154548217273481-
201021944-19923430322888130872201892749-
201011727-1841584411823514322021840159-
200942942-172515658142759673827543202-
200931964-15443869660691575042213516811431
200921913-15242562116811904571881444503325
200911590-1476399332106257194112541045204
2008415422971483263780160288114698483844480
20083164938828341356036351155414513942379919
2008217472881127742242724225100531206155141696
2008112782031115526415925873100266191933378800
2007422553607757882411343301987674473715921372
2007311262660413486419160391955322375222932085
200721815168691399445481045118499923223204927160
2007160016358133750947727916183748417709513
20064744180871338200717780938661363515054496

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersProperty developmentProperty investmentInvestment BankingLoans & FinancingEquities & FuturesWealth ManagementHolding EntitiesVenture Capital
201133730-2767213271607838779961071-
20112648-23871618137035562197383-
20111351-253439739169301481682911-
20104823-234401121114355260078871769-
201031959-21913281482811096210773084-
2010248-21509134144239824343556-
20101121-2279303188402149812297600-
20094495-2159297357412172342229797-
20093118-217025570495527328396427282069
20092159-2139158881125428807239630662009
2009160-2259253889139218821935679
20084492277498625973148091837519831569215082
20083501333921513355528071383141650637875
2008233146782254910290015903529923536942
20081190181205433047127472051226484038544
2007462847856709381727547211554783524202
200731072251184253698150244429306212062088
200723803821797248791138664022434170425910
200713438652113379314563636273236551151
2006467813641793447065061907227863673202

Financial Quarter Segments Associate
yearqrtOthersWealth ManagementVenture Capital
20113426446-
20112415388-
20111532153-
20104802164-
20103670373-
2010228995-
20101415215-
20094-285457
20093-2723183
200924123714433
200914123764500
20084-56918534
200832404462220
200822275101201
20081139092138
20074210-4118
20073371-1518
20072523-3258
20071273-3367
2006453-3943


Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables






CURRENT


●CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
●ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


●CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


●CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING




1-Year Historical Daily Chart


5-Year Historical Weekly Chart


Monday, September 26, 2011

KLCI Stock - OSK / 5053 - 2011 Quarter 2

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,329,779,727 (Large)
Par ValueRM 1.00

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(1.38-0.075)/0.0776 = 16.82 (High)
Target Price0.93+0.075 = 1.01 (PE 12.0, EPS 0.0776, DPS 0.075)
DecisionNot interested unless stock price sustain above 1.3 and sell volume is low
Comment
Revenue decreased 20.1% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 16%, eps decreased 88.1% and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 50.4%, cash generated from operating more than enough to cover all expenses, slightly stronger liquidity ratio at low level now, slightly lower gearing ratio, stronger cash level
First Support Price1.3
Second Support Price1.2
Risk RatingMODERATE

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity7.40%
Dividend Yield5.43%
Profit Margin7.07%
Tax Rate32.26%
Asset Turnover0.0961
Net Asset Value Per Share1.57
Net Tangible Asset per share1.32
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.08
Cash Per Share2.27
Liquidity Current Ratio1.2218
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.7322
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.2419
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio6.5974
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.8464
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale177.7%
Days to sell the inventory2268
Days to collect the receivables1406
Days to pay the payables4620

My notes based on 2011 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- Lower revenue and profit than FY11Q1 mainly due to lower contribution from Investment Banking and Equities & Futures division

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = (0.0495+0.0059)*2*0.7 = 0.0776(equity market recent dropping >20%), estimate PE on current price 1.38 = 16.82(DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0495*4 = 0.198, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.21/6.34 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0993*1.1 = 0.1092(exclude RM20 million from property investment), estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.35/13.87 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0479*2*1.05 = 0.1006, estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.42/16.15 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0479*2 = 0.0958, estimate highest/lowest PE = 19.43/12.08 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.039*4 = 0.156, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.56/7.4 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0449*4 = 0.1796, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.21/6.38 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0525*4 = 0.21, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.38/6.9 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0570*4 = 0.228, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.62/5.83 (DPS 0.05)
- After 2009 Q1 loss result announced, no estimate
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.0240*4 = 0.096, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.32/7.86 (DPS 0.075)

OSK latest news (English)

OSK latest news (Chinese)



Thursday, June 16, 2011

KLCI Stock - OSK / 5053 - 2011 Quarter 1

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,541,420,196 (Large)
Par ValueRM 1.00

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(1.6-0.075)/0.198 = 7.70 (Moderate)
Target Price2.57+0.075 = 2.65 (PE 13.0, EPS 0.198, DPS 0.075)
DecisionWatching, buy when sell volume low
Comment
Revenue increased 0.7% and is third consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 23.9% and in addition is highest since FY08Q3, eps increased 14.6% and is third consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 26.9%, cash generated from operating just right enough to cover all expenses, weaker liquidity ratio at low level now, higher gearing ratio
First Support Price1.55
Second Support Price1.4
Risk RatingMODERATE

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity7.80%
Dividend Yield4.69%
Profit Margin24.08%
Tax Rate27.22%
Asset Turnover0.0911
Net Asset Value Per Share1.6
Net Tangible Asset per share1.36
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.23
Cash Per Share2.01
Liquidity Current Ratio1.2012
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.7365
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.2058
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio6.655
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.8513
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale172.9%
Days to sell the inventory2324
Days to collect the receivables1615
Days to pay the payables4982

My notes based on 2011 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0495*4 = 0.198, estimate PE on current price 1.6 = 7.7(DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0993*1.1 = 0.1092(exclude RM20 million from property investment), estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.35/13.87 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0479*2*1.05 = 0.1006, estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.42/16.15 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0479*2 = 0.0958, estimate highest/lowest PE = 19.43/12.08 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.039*4 = 0.156, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.56/7.4 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0449*4 = 0.1796, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.21/6.38 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0525*4 = 0.21, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.38/6.9 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0570*4 = 0.228, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.62/5.83 (DPS 0.05)
- After 2009 Q1 loss result announced, no estimate
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.0240*4 = 0.096, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.32/7.86 (DPS 0.075)

OSK latest news (English)

OSK latest news (Chinese)



Saturday, May 21, 2011

KLCI Stock - OSK / 5053 - 2010 Quarter 4

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,627,871,160 (Large)
Par ValueRM 1.00

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(1.69-0.075)/0.1092 = 14.79 (High)
Target Price1.42+0.075 = 1.49 (PE 13.0, EPS 0.1092, DPS 0.075)
DecisionNot interested unless investment banking return profit
Comment
Revenue increased 18.3% and is second consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 26.9% and in addition is highest since FY08Q3, eps increased 20.7% and is second consecutive quarter increasing but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 23.1%, no cash generated from operating due to too many capital changes hence still need generate more cash from financing activities, weaker liquidity ratio at low level now, better gearing ratio, extra RM20 million gain from property investment segment, investment banking revenue largely increased but report loss, other segments revenue mostly better than FY09
First Support Price1.65
Second Support Price1.55
Risk RatingHIGH

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity6.95%
Dividend Yield4.44%
Profit Margin18.34%
Tax Rate13.10%
Asset Turnover0.101
Net Asset Value Per Share1.47
Net Tangible Asset per share1.25
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.38
Cash Per Share1.72
Liquidity Current Ratio1.2695
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.6974
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.2201
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio5.7473
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.831
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale196.3%
Days to sell the inventory2459
Days to collect the receivables1234
Days to pay the payables4283

My notes based on 2010 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- The Group revenue for the financial year ended 31 December 2010 ("FY10") increased by 23% to RM1,012.21 million from RM820.37 million as compared to financial year ended 31 December 2009 ("FY09"). The Group profit before tax ("PBT") increased by 2% or RM3.95 million to RM194.97 million for FY10 from RM191.02 million in FY09. The profit after tax of the Group of RM151.26 million for FY10 represented a growth of 10% as compared to RM137.13 million in FY09

- OSKIB Group is the main contributor which accounted for 68% of the Group's PBT. The remaining PBT of 32% is made up of profits from other subsidiaries

- Investment Banking which consists mainly of Treasury, Corporate Advisory and Capital Market activities contributed PBT of RM61.05 million or 31% of the Group’s PBT for FY10 as compared to RM73.73 million or 39% in FY09

- Earnings from Loans and Financing contributed RM45.46 million or 23% of the Group's PBT as compared to RM32.53 million or 17% in FY09

- Equities & Futures broking recorded PBT of RM52.93 million or 27% of the Group's PBT as compared to RM73.46 million or 38% in FY09

- The Group recorded PBT of RM55.39 million for the fourth quarter ended 31 December 2010 as compared to RM57.49 million in third quarter of 2010

- Estimate next Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0993*1.1 = 0.1092(exclude RM20 million from property investment), estimate PE on current price 1.69 = 14.79(DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0479*2*1.05 = 0.1006, estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.42/16.15 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0479*2 = 0.0958, estimate highest/lowest PE = 19.43/12.08 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.039*4 = 0.156, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.56/7.4 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0449*4 = 0.1796, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.21/6.38 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0525*4 = 0.21, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.38/6.9 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0570*4 = 0.228, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.62/5.83 (DPS 0.05)
- After 2009 Q1 loss result announced, no estimate
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.0240*4 = 0.096, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.32/7.86 (DPS 0.075)

OSK latest news (English)

OSK latest news (Chinese)


Tuesday, January 25, 2011

KLCI Stock - OSK / 5053 - 2010 Quarter 3

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,722,394,157 (Large)
Par ValueRM 1.00

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(1.79-0.075)/0.1006 = 17.05 (High)
Target Price1.31+0.075 = 1.38 (PE 13.0, EPS 0.1006, DPS 0.075)
DecisionNOT BUY
Comment
Revenue is highest since FY08Q3, eps increased but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter, no free cash flow but got little positive net cash flow, low liquidity ratio, high gearing ratio
First Support Price1.7
Second Support Price1.33
Risk RatingHIGH

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity7.13%
Dividend Yield4.19%
Profit Margin22.51%
Tax Rate22.69%
Asset Turnover0.0737
Net Asset Value Per Share1.54
Net Tangible Asset per share1.31
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.35
Cash Per Share2.07
Liquidity Current Ratio1.5107
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.6717
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.3769
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio7.9398
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.872
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale278.1%
Days to sell the inventory2769
Days to collect the receivables540
Days to pay the payables3319

My notes based on 2010 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- The Group revenue for the nine months ended 30 September 2010 ("9M10") increased by 22% to RM710.25 million from RM582.28 million as compared to nine months ended 30 September 2009("9M09"). The Group profit before tax ("PBT") increased by 6% or RM7.77 million to RM139.58 million for 9M10 from RM131.81 million in 9M09. The profit after tax of the Group of RM103.12 million for 9M10 represented a growth of 12% Y-o-Y from RM92.42 million in 9M09

- OSK Investment Bank Berhad ("OSKIB"), the wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company is the main contributor accounting for 45% of the Group's PBT. The balance PBT of 55% is made up of profits from all other subsidiaries

- Total PBT contribution by foreign subsidiaries amounting 33% or RM45.54 million in 9M10 as compared to 27% or RM36.06 million in 9M09

- PBT from Singapore operations increased in 9M10 with its PBT expanding 17% to RM45.23 million from RM38.70 million in 9M09. The Indonesian operations contributed a PBT of RM7.87 million in 9M10 compared to a loss before tax of RM2.72 million in 9M09

- Investment Banking which consists mainly of Treasury, Corporate Advisory and Capital Market activities contributed PBT of RM72.26 million or 52% of the Group’s PBT for 9M10 as compared to RM43.99 million or 33% in 9M09

- Earnings from Loans and Financing contributed RM31.11 million or 22% of the Group's PBT as compared to RM25.12 million or 19% in 9M09

- Equities & Futures broking recorded PBT of RM26.93 million or 19% of the Group's PBT as compared to RM56.23 million or 43% in 9M09

- The Group PBT for the third quarter ended 30 September 2010 surged by 141% or RM33.59 million to RM57.49 million from RM23.90 million in second quarter of 2010

- Estimate next Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0479*2*1.05 = 0.1006, estimate PE on current price 1.79 = 17.05(DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0479*2 = 0.0958, estimate highest/lowest PE = 19.43/12.08 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.039*4 = 0.156, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.56/7.4 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0449*4 = 0.1796, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.21/6.38 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0525*4 = 0.21, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.38/6.9 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0570*4 = 0.228, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.62/5.83 (DPS 0.05)
- After 2009 Q1 loss result announced, no estimate
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.0240*4 = 0.096, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.32/7.86 (DPS 0.075)

OSK latest news (English)

OSK latest news (Chinese)


Tuesday, September 14, 2010

KLCI Stock - OSK / 5053 - 2010 Quarter 2

Market Cap : 961494248*1.34 = 1,288,402,292.32 (Large)
NTA per share : (1398268-209525)/939157 = 1.27
P/BV : 1.34/1.27 = 1.0551
Forecast P/E now : (1.34-0.075)/0.0958 = 13.2 (High)
ROE : 7.47% (Low)
DY : 0.075/1.34*100 = 5.6% (Moderate)
Fixed Asset Turnover(3 year) : Not Applicable
Liquidity Ratio : Not Applicable
Receivables Collection Period : Not Applicable
My Target Price : Not interested unless revenue and profit increase more
My Decision : NOT BUY
My Comment : Revenue and profit decreased, cash decreasing, navps decreasing
Technical Support Price : 1.28
Risk Rating : HIGH

My notes based on 2010 quarter 2 report (number in '000):

- The Group's profit before tax ("PBT") for the six months ended 30 June 2010 increased by 15% as compared to the six months ended 30 June 2009. The Group's results have factored in impairment losses on private debt securities amounting to RM26.40 million. The Group also registered a 29% increase in revenue compared to the previous corresponding period. The improvement in financial performance was mainly due to improved earnings from investment banking activities

- OSK Investment Bank Berhad ("OSKIB"), the wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company is the main contributor accounting for 47% of the Group's PBT; followed by Singapore subsidiary, DMG & Partners Securities Pte. Ltd. 34%, Malaysian unit trust fund manager, OSK-UOB Unit Trust Management Berhad 10%. The balance PBT of 9% mainly contributed by Indonesian and Cambodian subsidiaries

- Investment Banking which consists mainly of Treasury, Corporate Advisory, Capital Market and
Derivative Structured Products contributed 48% of the Group’s PBT for 6M10 as compared to 26% in last year’s corresponding period

- Loan, Advances and Financing reported improved earnings which contributed about 28% of the Group's PBT. Equities & Futures broking recorded 19% of the Group's PBT

- Total PBT contribution from overseas businesses to the Group increased by 92% for 6M10 from 6M09, representing 31% of the Group's PBT (6M09: 19%)

- The Group’s Singapore operations increased its PBT contribution in 6M10 by 40% from 6M09. OSK Indochina Bank Ltd, which commenced business operations on 10 October 2008 contributed a PBT of RM234,000 and the Indonesian subsidiary contributed a PBT of RM1.88 million for the 6M10

- Estimate next Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0479*2 = 0.0958, estimate PE on current price 1.34 = 13.2(DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.039*4 = 0.156, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.56/7.4 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0449*4 = 0.1796, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.21/6.38 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0525*4 = 0.21, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.38/6.9 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0570*4 = 0.228, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.62/5.83 (DPS 0.05)
- After 2009 Q1 loss result announced, no estimate
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.0240*4 = 0.096, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.32/7.86 (DPS 0.075)

OSK latest news (English)


Wednesday, June 2, 2010

KLCI Stock - OSK / 5053 - 2010 Quarter 1

Market Cap : 961184123*1.28 = 1,230,315,677.44 (Moderate)
NTA per share : (1419213-208825)/826824 = 1.46
P/BV : 1.28/1.46 = 0.8767
Forecast P/E now : (1.28-0.075)/0.156 = 7.72 (Moderate)
ROE : 9.19% (Low)
DY : 0.075/1.28*100 = 5.86% (Moderate)
Fixed Asset Turnover(3 year) : Not Applicable
Liquidity Ratio : Not Applicable
Receivables Collection Period : Not Applicable
My Target Price : 1.56+0.075 = 1.64 (EPS 0.156, PE 10, DPS 0.075)
My Decision : BUY
My Comment : Revenue increased but profit drop, negative net cash flow, high debt, navps decreased
Technical Support Price : 1.22, 1.1
Risk Rating : MODERATE

My notes based on 2010 Q1 report (number in '000):
- The Group's profit before tax ("PBT") for the first quarter ended 31 March 2010 (1Q10) increased by more than 5.8 times year-on-year ("Y-o-Y"). The Group registered a 86% surge in revenue compared to the previous year corresponding quarter. The significant improvement in financial performance was mainly due to improved earnings from the business expansion particularly in investment banking activities
- OSK Investment Bank Berhad ("OSKIB"), the wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company is the main
contributor accounted for 61% of the Group's PBT; followed by Singapore subsidiary, DMG & Partners Securities Pte. Ltd. 25% and Malaysian unit trust fund manager, OSK-UOB Unit Trust Management Berhad 8%. Indonesian subsidiary, PT OSK Nusadana Securities Indonesia and Cambodian subsidiary, OSK Indochina Bank Limited, also contributed positive results and were able to offset the losses reported by Hong Kong subsidiary
- Investment Banking which consists mainly of Treasury, Corporate Advisory, Capital Market and
Structured Products contributed 51% of the Group’s PBT for 1Q10 as compared to 26% in last year’s corresponding period
- Loan, Advances and Financing and Fund Management reported improved earnings which contributed
about 15% or 5% of the Group's PBT respectively
- Equities & Futures broking recorded 25% of the Group's PBT. For Malaysian equities business, the Bank continued to maintain our dominant position as market leader
- Total PBT contribution from overseas businesses to the Group increased to 24% in 1Q10 from 15% in the previous year corresponding quarter
- Contribution from the Group’s Singapore operations surged in 1Q10 with its PBT expanding more than 3 times in the previous corresponding quarter. OSK Indochina Bank Ltd, which commenced business operations on 10 October 2008 started to contribute a PBT of RM324,000 in 1Q10 compared to a loss of RM365,000 in 1Q09. The Indonesian subsidiary contributed PBT of RM1.40 million
- The Group recorded a drop of revenue as compared to the immediate preceding quarter, 4Q09. The decline was mainly due to the impairment loss of RM15.40 million provided in 1Q10 for securities available-for-sale. Without the effect of the impairment loss, the Group would have achieved a PBT of RM73.58 million
- Estimate next Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.039*4 = 0.156, estimate PE on current price 1.28 = 7.72(DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0449*4 = 0.1796, estimate PE on current price 1.29 = 8.21/6.38 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0525*4 = 0.21, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.38/6.9 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0570*4 = 0.228, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.62/5.83 (DPS 0.05)
- After 2009 Q1 loss result announced, no estimate
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.0240*4 = 0.096, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.32/7.86 (DPS 0.075)

OSK latest news (English)