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Showing posts with label ARMADA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ARMADA. Show all posts

Wednesday, July 11, 2012

KLCI Stock - ARMADA / 5210 - 2012 Quarter 1

BUMI ARMADA BERHAD



Company Description
BUMI ARMADA BERHAD engages in the ownership and operation of offshore support vessels in Malaysia. It owns/operates accommodation workbarges/workboats and mooring launches, as well as safety standby/utility, topographic survey, oil terminal support, anchor handling towing support, and platform support vessels to provide logistic support, anchor handling, towing, mooring, rig moving, emergency response, and rescue, as well as fire fighting operations in Malaysia, Brunei, Congo, Nigeria, Mexico, Venezuela, and Caspian. The company also operates floating, production, storage, and offloading (FPSO) systems that offer solutions in remote or deepwater locations in Nigeria and Vietnam. In addition, Bumi Armada provides pipe laying, FPSO/FSO hook up, EPIC contract management, and heavy lifting, as well as flexible, umbilical, structure, mooring, subsea, and floater installation services; and seismic services and light well intervention vessels. Further, the company designs and manages new builds and conversions, such as FPSOs and drill barges; and offers project, safety, and environmental management, as well as quality assurance, quality control, project control, engineering, procurement, construction, commissioning, installation, and start-up services. It also serves clients in South East Asia, India, and Africa. Bumi Armada was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia with shore-bases around the globe.

Company Info
Listing Date2011-07-21
IPO Price3.03
Market Capital (Capital Size)11,772,415,632 (Very Large)
Par ValueRM 0.20
BoardMain
SectorTrading/Services
Major IndustryFloating Production Storage Offloading
Sub IndustryOffshore Support Vessels
Websitehttp://www.bumiarmada.com/

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(4.02-0.025)/0.1573 = 25.40 (Moderate)
Target Price4.33+0.025 = 4.35 (PE 27.5, EPS 0.1573, DPS 0.025)
DecisionBUY if stock price strong sustain above 4.03
Comment
Revenue decreased 8.2% and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 0.1%, eps increased 28.8% and was second consecutive quarter increasing but still lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 15.3%, cash generated from operating not enough to cover financing expenses hence got generated more cash from financing activities to cover other expenses, very high margin, stronger liquidity ratio from low to moderate level now, slightly higher gearing ratio at above moderate level now, strong cash, benefit from strengthening of USD against RM, most segment business got high profit
First Support Price4.0
Second Support Price3.7
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
MIDF Target Price3.7 (2012-02-28)
Alliance Target Price5.3 (2012-05-29)
HwangDBS Target Price4 (2012-05-29)
AMMB Target Price4.65 (2012-06-21)
ECM Target Price5.1 (2012-06-21)
Maybank Target Price4.88 (2012-06-21)
OSK Target Price4.16 (2012-06-21)
CIMB Target Price4.8 (2012-07-02)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity34.26%
Dividend Yield0.62%
Gross Profit Margin49.14%
Operating Profit Margin38.16%
Net Profit Margin32.22%
Tax Rate16.62%
Asset Turnover0.2211
Net Asset Value Per Share1.21
Net Tangible Asset per share1.21
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share3.3
Cash Per Share0.37
Liquidity Current Ratio2.4775
Liquidity Quick Ratio2.4751
Liquidity Cash Ratio1.3884
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.9197
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.478
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale77.0%
Days to sell the inventory1
Days to collect the receivables204
Days to pay the payables132

Technical Analysis
SMA 204.009 (Uptrend 2 days)
SMA 503.969 (Uptrend)
SMA 1004.103 (Uptrend)
SMA 2003.948 (Uptrend)
MACD (26d/12d)-0.001672 ( 0.002569 )
Signal (9)0.000396 ( 0.000517 )
MACD Histogram0.002068 (Bearish trend 4 days)
Bolinger Upper Band4.114
Bolinger Lower Band3.904

My notes based on 2012 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- Higher pbt than FY11Q1 due to:
i) The FPSO segment secured two new FPSO contracts towards the end of the second quarter 2011 - Apache in Australia for the Balnaves field and ONGC in India for the D1 field. The ONGC contract is accounted under share of results of a jointly controlled entity
ii) The OSV segment revenue increased as a result of improved average fleet utilisation
iii) The T&I segment revenue mainly comprises guaranteed days only in the current year to date from the Group’s Armada Installer in Turkmenistan
iv) The OFS segment revenue relates to variation orders from the completed Sepat FSO project comprised conversion and sale of an FSO to Petrofac on a percentage of completion basis

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 3548897*0.12/2930704 = 0.1453, estimate PE on current price 4.02 = 25.4(DPS 0.025)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 3542715*0.13/2928462 = 0.1573, estimate highest/lowest PE = 28.64/24.13 (DPS 0.025)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.0332*4*1.15 = 0.1527, estimate highest/lowest PE = 27.47/25.05
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0264*4*1.15 = 0.1214, estimate highest/lowest PE = 33.11/26.69

ARMADA latest news (English)

ARMADA latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdategros_moper_mprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2012-05-2820121N/AN/A-2.53%2.53%33511233511210797810797889709897090.03060.030667985993249702153613548897108351209966463091234974101615147924108705029307042930704116935082012-03-3149.14%38.16%32.22%16.62%0.2211-1.211.213.30.372.47752.47511.38840.91970.47877.0%1204132
2012-02-27201144.533.820.02514.26%41.10%37085415438961535054358901247613596720.04260.14636936242339352714697354271533024611676151832163248257837369994794124305129284622457973117431322011-12-3149.95%45.12%41.39%17.30%0.222627.40411.441.432.80.432.69892.69691.55830.96190.489288.1%1213135
2011-11-21201134.223.85-10.58%26.84%4039211173042111249282385925782349110.03320.102665819883154936132083427052181001953555150769225040177255473513898553927884042288694110699632011-09-3044.43%31.77%27.54%14.37%0.2346-1.491.492.660.361.46741.46520.75960.92420.479339.6%1215180
2011-08-25201124.023.24-6.89%16.26%39296276912175663171136602591423330.02640.062353767114025253105231351458187982701156583236241347513174700623114092284200228420086799602011-06-3036.38%27.78%19.25%19.33%0.2733-0.590.596.440.140.44470.44280.14473.00180.7486-83.2%2157171
N/A20111N/AN/A-9.38%9.38%376159376159954739547382074820740.03640.0364N/AN/A-N/A10342336129546067724105225787220280544385722547952254795N/A2011-03-3140.70%30.16%25.38%14.03%N/A-N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A-N/AN/A
N/A20104N/AN/A-N/AN/A37116712413831213773874741114283549630.05030.160247954673920365567875102255367988384734834243081733017181724489822152302215230N/A2010-12-3145.46%35.65%32.70%8.20%0.2041-0.390.39N/A0.130.40520.40460.14634.48280.8175-115.3%1175339
N/A20103N/AN/A-N/AN/A3289018702161104072660971011312435350.04980.1199N/AN/A-N/A14686877052150906726285262365311458614826620307302030730N/A2010-09-3056.46%40.98%33.57%8.40%N/A-N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A-N/AN/A
N/A20102N/AN/A-N/AN/A27885454131581819155690747101424040.03670.0701N/AN/A-N/A11569454187530028725628242618112589413038820341642030723N/A2010-06-3046.66%38.40%29.34%8.69%N/A-N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A-N/AN/A

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtAccrued lease rentals (A-0)Deferred tax assets (A-0)Derivative financial assets (A-0)Goodwill on consolidation (A-0)Investment in jointly controlled entity (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Accrued lease rentals (A-1)Amount due from customers (A-1)Amount due from jointly controlled entity (A-1)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current asset classified as held for sales (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Derivative financial assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Derivative financial liabilities (L-0)Hire purchase liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Amount due to customers (L-1)Amounts due to Jointly Controlled Entities (L-1)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Derivative financial liabilities (L-1)Hire purchase liabilities (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Payables and accruals (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
2012142790942515592141115721074274253382398505527934669710879501640746822661914793742628102232484413332434994--73771231837247698315324613331415361
2011440945838111240141115125874274201167415898532052768212474161640894811021550823923206371741515774-2559826--276441074980444740419384312006814697
201133451855725-14119274955864213436432624630979420299282730657502287529575711926162811400-41836544-17789165962504289884626326390513649513208
201123009532995-14111041855854075685337582-3091631877430657502142904348551712080163253-111819248272315290120019511989178042426222410507110523
201042922564190-1411979937783714989218017-25123277684-9135121261123361931896431786-819201989030377-1082586994021397746222445227376567

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesSelling and distribution costsAfter tax effectShare of net profit of jointly controlled entity
2012133511217941170451316651606026356328-26492-11770
20114370854265491855992560618946227482195-14129-11787
2011340392115986224441332605718314092685-25456-16176
201123929621462524999733179830920237779-21885-310
201113761591339922305817141462017535--26739-833
201043711679949202423116421657944101-357889310525
20103328901927614321225077319221894-3573219410524
201022788547109148747259551324817061-3571921110524

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOffshore Support VesselsFloating Production Storage Offloading systemTransport and Installation
2012111422916591051295
2011413440217621953107
2011313356617752947517
2011211713812908467844
201119787612529673850
20104104812120328146027
2010310164814258784666
2010211017013111237572

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOffshore Support VesselsFloating Production Storage Offloading systemTransport and Installation
20121199385387935019
20114451666504233156
2011339575648528164
20112202133382041409
20111121633813653144
20104100163933266402
20103350793942357099
20102225574630724971

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING



Saturday, May 12, 2012

KLCI Stock - ARMADA / 5210 - 2011 Quarter 4


Company Info 
Market Capital (Capital Size)11,684,561,784 (Very Large)
Par ValueRM 0.20

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E now(3.99-0.025)/0.1573 = 25.21 (Moderate)
Target Price4.33+0.025 = 4.35 (PE 27.5, EPS 0.1573, DPS 0.025)
DecisionNot interested unless stock price cross SMA20 still up and and selling volume still low or wait stock price below Bolinger lower band
Comment
Revenue decreased 8.2% and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 0.1%, eps increased 28.8% and was second consecutive quarter increasing but still lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 15.3%, cash generated from operating not enough to cover financing expenses hence got generated more cash from financing activities to cover other expenses, very high margin, stronger liquidity ratio from low to moderate level now, slightly higher gearing ratio at above moderate level now, strong cash, benefit from strengthening of USD against RM, most segment business got high profit
First Support Price3.99
Second Support Price3.7
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
Kenanga Target Price3.88 (2011-07-21)
Credit Suisse Target Price4.4 (2011-09-09)
MIDF Target Price3.7 (2012-02-28)
Maybank Target Price4.88 (2012-04-30)
AMMB Target Price5.05 (2012-05-08)
CIMB Target Price4.8 (2012-05-08)
ECM Target Price5.1 (2012-05-08)
HwangDBS Target Price5.2 (2012-05-08)
OSK Target Price4.37 (2012-05-08)

Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity10.15%
Dividend Yield0.63%
Gross Profit Margin49.95%
Operating Profit Margin45.12%
Net Profit Margin41.39%
Tax Rate17.30%
Asset Turnover0.1684
Net Asset Value Per Share1.44
Net Tangible Asset per share1.43
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share2.8
Cash Per Share0.43
Liquidity Current Ratio2.6989
Liquidity Quick Ratio2.6969
Liquidity Cash Ratio1.5583
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.9619
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.4892
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale116.5%
Days to sell the inventory1
Days to collect the receivables281
Days to pay the payables180

Technical Analysis 
SMA 204.195 (Downtrend 14 days)
SMA 504.268 (Same)
SMA 1004.16 (Same)
SMA 200Not Available
MACD (26d/12d)-0.091357 ( 0.001296 )
Signal (9)-0.068594 ( 0.005691 )
MACD Histogram0.022763 (Bearish trend 22 days)
Bolinger Upper Band4.623
Bolinger Lower Band3.767


My notes based on 2011 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue and pbt in OSV segment as a result of improved average fleet utilisation

- Higher revenue and pbt in FPSO segment than FY10Q4 mainly due to secured two new FPSO contracts towards the end of the second quarter-Apache in Australia for the Balnaves field and ONGC in India for the D1 field however got partially offset by the weakening US dollar versus the Malaysian Ringgit

- Lower revenue and pbt in T&I segment than FY10Q4 due to lower FPSO installation works

- Higher T&I revenue than FY11Q3 mainly due to recognition of guarantee days on its Armada Installer. This was offset by lower revenue from the installation works carried out in relation to the Sepat and HLJOC projects during the previous quarter

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 3542715*0.13/2928462 = 0.1573, estimate PE on current price 3.99 = 25.21
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.0332*4*1.15 = 0.1527, estimate highest/lowest PE = 27.47/25.05
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0264*4*1.15 = 0.1214, estimate highest/lowest PE = 33.11/26.69

ARMADA latest news (English)

ARMADA latest news (Chinese)



Tuesday, December 20, 2011

KLCI Stock - ARMADA / 5210 - 2011 Quarter 3

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)12,006,692,560 (Very Large)
Par ValueRM 0.20

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now4.1/0.1527 = 26.85 (Moderate)
Target Price0.1527*30.0 = 4.58 (PE 30.0, EPS 0.1527)
DecisionBUY if stock price can maintaining the MACD uptrend
Comment
Revenue increased 2.8% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 22.8%, eps increased 25.8% but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 33.3%, cash generated from operating not enough to cover financing expenses hence got generated more cash from financing activities to cover other expenses, stronger liquidity ratio from weak to low level now, lower gearing ratio from high to above moderate level now, benefit from vessel utilisation increase and strengthening of USD versus RM
First Support Price3.95
Second Support Price3.65
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
Kenanga Target Price3.88 (2011-07-21)
Credit Suisse Target Price4.4 (2011-09-09)
MIDF Target Price3.25 (2011-10-03)
OSK Target Price3.65 (2011-10-03)
CIMB Target Price4.61 (2011-11-21)
ECM Target Price4 (2011-11-22)
HwangDBS Target Price5 (2011-11-22)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity6.85%
Dividend Yield-
Profit Margin27.54%
Tax Rate14.37%
Asset Turnover0.1211
Net Asset Value Per Share1.49
Net Tangible Asset per share1.49
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share2.66
Cash Per Share0.36
Liquidity Current Ratio1.4674
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.4652
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.7596
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.9242
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.4793
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale76.7%
Days to sell the inventory2
Days to collect the receivables416
Days to pay the payables308

Technical Analysis
SMA 203.95 (Uptrend 43 days)
SMA 503.766 (Uptrend)
SMA 1003.734 (Same)
SMA 200Not Available
MACD0.100524 (Uptrend 2 days)
MACD Histogram0.021303 (Uptrend 46 days)

My notes based on 2011 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue and pbt due to two new FPSO contracts - Apache in Australia for the Balnaves field and ONGC in India for the D1 field and improved fleet utilisation and new vessels

- Lower revenue from the T&I segment than FY11Q2 as Armada Installer entered into dry dock at Baku in Turkmenistan

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.0332*4*1.15 = 0.1527, estimate PE on current price 4.1 = 26.85
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0264*4*1.15 = 0.1214, estimate highest/lowest PE = 33.11/26.69

ARMADA latest news (English)

ARMADA latest news (Chinese)



Thursday, September 22, 2011

KLCI Stock - ARMADA / 5210 - 2011 Quarter 2

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)10,454,607,912 (Very Large)
Par ValueRM 0.20

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now3.57/0.1214 = 29.41 (High)
Target Price0.1214*20.0 = 2.43 (PE 20.0, EPS 0.1214)
DecisionNot interested unless stock price sustain above 3.7
Comment
Revenue higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 40.9%, eps lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 28.1%, cash generated from operating not enough to cover financing expenses hence got generated more cash from financing activities to cover other expenses, slightly higher liquidity ratio at weak level now, lower gearing ratio but still at high level now, benefit from vessel utilisation increase, USD620 million Balnaves FPSO project
First Support Price3.35
Second Support Price3.2
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
Kenanga Target Price3.88 (2011-07-21)
ECM Target Price3.91 (2011-08-26)
Credit Suisse Target Price4.4 (2011-09-09)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity%
Dividend Yield-
Profit Margin19.25%
Tax Rate19.33%
Asset TurnoverN/A
Net Asset Value Per Share0.59
Net Tangible Asset per share0.59
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share6.44
Cash Per Share0.14
Liquidity Current Ratio0.4447
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.4428
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.1447
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio3.0018
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.7486
Working capital per thousand Ringgit saleN/A
Days to sell the inventory-
Days to collect the receivables-
Days to pay the payables-

My notes based on 2011 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue than FY10 primarily driven by its:
i) new OFS segment currently comprising the ongoing conversion and sale of an FSO to Petrofac of RM158.0 million
ii) higher utilisation from its DLB, Armada Installer in Turkmenistan of RM104 million which commenced operation in May 2010

- Lower EBITDA margin than FY10 mainly due to the ongoing conversion and sale of an FSO for the Sepat project recognised in the new OFS segment and fair value charge of a call option granted to an Executive Director amounting to RM6.2 million, which was expensed off

- Higher revenue than FY11Q1 primarily driven by the increase in our OSV fleet utilisation at 83%;78%, as a result of new charter hire and renewal of existing charter hire contracts on some of our vessels

- Lower pbt than FY11Q1 mainly due to:
i) higher vessel operating cost in line with higher OSV segment which includes the relocation cost of vessels deployed to Nigeria of RM6.0 million
ii) fair value charge of a call option granted to an Executive Director amounting to RM6.2 million, which was expensed off
iii) higher finance cost of RM6.0 million mainly arising from a charge due to fair value changes on derivative financial instruments compared to a fair value gain of RM7.5 million in the first quarter
iv) additional depreciation charges mainly for Griffin Venture

- At end of June 2011, the utilisation of the Group’s vessels reached 83%

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0264*4*1.15 = 0.1214, estimate PE on current price 3.57 = 29.41

ARMADA latest news (English)

ARMADA latest news (Chinese)