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Showing posts with label MUHIBAH. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MUHIBAH. Show all posts

Sunday, June 17, 2012

KLCI Stock - MUHIBAH / 5703 - 2012 Quarter 1

MUHIBBAH ENGINEERING (M) BERHAD



Company Description
Muhibbah Engineering (M) Bhd is engaged in investment holding, infrastructure, civil and structural engineering contract works. The infrastructure construction segment is engaged in the construction of petroleum hub and bunkering facilities, oil and gas terminals, airport terminals runway and facility support buildings, heavy concrete foundations and other similar construction works. The Cranes segment is engaged in the design, manufacture, supply, trading, leasing and service provider of offshore oil and gas pedestal cranes, shipyard cranes and other heavy lifting equipment cranes. The Marine ship building and ship repair segment is engaged in the design, engineering, building and service provider of accommodation ships and marine vessels for the offshore oil and gas exploration and production works. Concession segment is engaged in privatization of international airports in Cambodia and maintenance work for the federal roads in the central region of Peninsular Malaysia.

Company Info 
Listing Date1994-02-25
Market Capital (Capital Size)485,773,767 (Small)
Par ValueRM 0.50
BoardMain
SectorConstruction
Major IndustryShip Repair & Ship Building
Sub IndustryInfrastructure Construction
Websitehttp://www.muhibbah.com

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E now(1.19-0.05)/0.1707 = 6.68 (Moderate)
Target Price1.37+0.05 = 1.42 (PE 8.0, EPS 0.1707, DPS 0.05)
DecisionBUY if BUY if stock price can sustain and uptrend above SMA20/50 or wait rebound signal at lower price
Comment
Revenue decreased 20.1% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 6.3%, eps increased 32% but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 11.4%, negative net cash from operating due to payables repayment hence increased borrowings to cover other expenses, operating margin remaining low, slightly better liquidity ratio at low level now, lower gearing ratio but still at very high level now, debt ratio decreasing but still not far from historical high, all collection/repayment period still as usual, higher inventory can indicate more construction works amount and better cranes demand, marine ship repair & ship building division weakening but other division still good
First Support Price1.15
Second Support Price1.07
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House

Jupiter Target Price1.45 (2012-05-10)
CIMB Target Price1.5 (2012-06-01)
Kenanga Target Price1.97 (2012-06-01)



Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity10.30%
Dividend Yield4.20%
Gross Profit Margin0.00%
Operating Profit Margin4.37%
Net Profit Margin5.89%
Tax Rate14.51%
Asset Turnover0.6872
Net Asset Value Per Share1.25
Net Tangible Asset per share1.25
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.97
Cash Per Share0.75
Liquidity Current Ratio1.0096
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.8942
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.1658
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio4.1854
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.7709
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale0.9%
Days to sell the inventory43
Days to collect the receivables259
Days to pay the payables264

Technical Analysis 
SMA 201.183 (Uptrend 1 day)
SMA 501.235 (Downtrend)
SMA 1001.29 (Uptrend)
SMA 2001.198 (Same)
MACD (26d/12d)-0.01388 ( 0.001469 )
Signal (9)-0.018731 ( 0.001213 )
MACD Histogram0.004851 (Bullish trend 7 days)
Bolinger Upper Band1.268
Bolinger Lower Band1.098

My notes based on 2012 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- Lower revenue and pbt than FY11Q4 mainly due to higher revenue generated by cranes and shipyard divisions with the completion of more cranes and vessels during the forth quarter of the year 2011

- As at 25 May 2012, the total outstanding secured order book in hand of the Group is RM2.96 billion, comprises of RM2.16 billion from Infrastructure Construction Division, RM702 million from Cranes Division and RM95 million from Shipyard Division. These outstanding order books will take us into 2014

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 660394*0.11/425529 = 0.1707, estimate PE on current price 1.19 = 6.68(DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 639976*0.12/413767 = 0.1856, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.44/5.93 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.1425*1.05 = 0.1496, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.99/6.52 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0336*4*0.85 = 0.1142(~8% ROE), estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.06/8 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = (0.0438+0.0226)*2*1.05 = 0.1394, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.45/6.85 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0843*1.1 = 0.0927, estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.93/13.65 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0481*2 = 0.0962(although revenue decrease but offset by high tax rate), estimate highest/lowest PE = 20.06/12.79
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0266*4 = 0.1064, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.35/7.99
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0135*4 = 0.054, estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.43/15.74
- No estimate for 2009 Q4 result
- No estimate for 2009 Q3 result
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0362*4 = 0.1448, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.29/6.94 (DPS 0.025)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.039*4 = 0.156, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.17/4.04 (DPS 0.025)

MUHIBAH latest news (English)

MUHIBAH latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdategros_moper_mprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2012-05-3120121N/AN/A-2.58%2.58%419203419203246972469716526165260.03880.03882881975222158112960166039411127120910495231583411148065283093064255294255295148902012-03-31-4.37%5.89%14.51%0.6872-1.251.250.970.751.00960.89420.16584.18540.77090.9%43259264
2012-02-29201141.431.150.052.25%10.98%52441019555703329911492812580613800.02940.148328889232248947124583639976168207153069108629192342151381237673161094277604137676031412011-12-31-6.33%6.35%31.38%0.67699.50491.251.251.130.761.00450.90060.16554.36360.77850.4%40267284
2011-11-24201131.531.01-3.00%8.73%5237221431160332588162916783488000.04040.1189271906221042291157976148331771941598573072019090117337480572389584158724104044449832011-09-30-5.55%6.35%31.30%0.7492-1.221.180.910.660.98470.88010.15334.21660.7739-1.3%35232213
2011-08-26201121.30.9-2.47%5.73%513102907438232884837113817320170.03360.07802738179213387611443460430317650214858394901197842279191228203206624112204104744564542011-06-30-4.26%4.54%25.29%0.6583-1.191.160.960.810.98630.88340.18264.3560.7793-1.4%39254243
2011-05-25201111.910.99-3.26%3.26%394336394336250832508318200182000.04380.0438254411819650641060135790543327992158174919247242494392552317274155614155616856752011-03-31-5.43%6.36%22.41%0.6889-1.141.11.50.581.06340.95760.1464.15410.77245.9%37269256
2011-02-25201041.791.30.0351.74%6.98%60589317688843698532778226329440.02050.08222708805214974010755155906525574218451212241254295274193619521923434013584009805899962010-12-31-2.08%0.61%-0.65317.89221.131.091.350.51.04530.9470.11044.76120.79364.7%38305284
2010-11-26201031.931.23-1.83%5.24%289134116299121309495798635247180.02150.06172472440203134510295544109517542421274127818255490196698688801866104008284006004970262010-09-30-7.89%7.37%40.88%0.7187-0.840.791.570.551.03090.93010.1286.00740.82163.0%37283247
2010-08-30201021.440.86-2.29%3.41%463280873857194352827010785160830.02660.039824902092051474999614387351052738727130259245619114000162592618784059474040563470842010-06-30-4.80%4.20%27.67%0.8428-0.840.781.10.661.03390.930.15426.05560.82382.8%32232221
2010-05-31201010.9950.85-1.12%1.12%41057741057788358835529852980.01310.013124404342017457952464229773919027401984924784741930617791860684034414034413550282010-03-31-0.92%2.15%23.75%0.9081-0.810.761.160.540.95590.85670.11926.15580.8267-3.6%30220204
2010-02-25200941.140.83-1.20%2.64%61396821867115489585006333139680.01580.0358246241619904319652747198529400334465221413209117259538381252472424015523902023754512009-12-31-0.05%0.89%52.21%0.88826.11960.960.911.030.620.97870.86640.13995.30130.8083-1.7%34212225
2009-11-30200931.210.91-1.70%3.84%61094915727435000530118998203010.02300.0521255880319987399925056006427725441340264214214901235914283001866013907323897704024532009-09-30-0.30%0.82%226.02%0.8899-1.181.130.910.51.00780.88820.10734.33740.78110.6%35222215
2009-08-27200921.390.995-2.67%5.54%580600961794245014801014138292990.03620.0749253936519690509602857031518910240322174599210955148780258191851363910093909615044012009-06-30-3.62%4.22%36.50%0.8486-1.211.161.110.50.98060.85850.1074.15160.7754-1.6%38229231
2009-05-29200911.671.17-2.87%2.87%381194381194235112351115162151620.03890.0389272823621764739209655176357300178574289020338139443823332857143898183898185028652009-03-31-4.94%6.17%21.72%0.7436-1.181.121.150.760.98170.87460.14554.73490.7978-1.8%40263252
2009-02-27200841.360.6450.0257.59%4.65%7043082033535365924493035546218000.08820.0556260993820808918762952904791604121486274056147556213090609662085224029223919203324102008-12-31-6.02%5.20%-0.779214.83181.131.070.770.540.98360.87240.11184.71410.7973-1.6%39262257
2008-11-27200831.170.8-3.32%12.25%4887731329227237318152215543573460.03900.1467257970520567228245952298361030830293729721444631440592289133733763986343908134026202008-09-30-4.31%4.86%24.33%0.6735-1.131.040.970.951.02690.89040.1994.66880.79732.9%58275257
2008-08-28200821.980.645-4.60%8.93%454477840454312975779221529418030.05350.105220682271554006824045142217338456696106854154660130080232261314344024403972757686602008-06-30-5.91%6.89%19.61%0.7987-1.091.01.910.341.02060.86780.09523.59880.75141.8%51245250
2008-05-29200812.561.88-4.33%4.33%385977385977264942649420273202730.05030.050319753051490335780254849701292543338798877153097162641637648933340317040317010280832008-03-31-5.03%6.86%13.26%0.782-1.010.922.770.291.02140.88220.08423.66230.75451.9%48256244
2008-02-29200743.02.040.0455.11%18.52%40809014115333387410300519374701800.04810.176517571201288806746924683145074240958872645219197849704814923940299739769012331702007-12-31-7.08%8.30%11.47%0.803317.34010.990.993.090.451.08650.94990.15493.27420.73357.2%44238238
2007-11-30200734.222.95-4.80%13.40%4032671003443216136913118186508060.04570.1284178343413476706793843576412574146613023854537402099002914456639773939576813682222007-09-30-4.06%5.36%0.81%0.738-0.930.933.70.431.06880.92750.143.66390.75576.3%50263234
2007-08-29200723.943.34-4.75%8.61%347358600176282434751817988326200.04480.081215985481181320644124172284601043638623435347023726471511818540153540154313652192007-06-30-7.61%8.13%21.01%0.571-0.880.883.860.341.02320.89290.12823.34830.7392.7%59329323
2007-05-2920071N/AN/A-3.86%3.86%252817252817192751927514632146320.03670.03671508671111344459647395227608615098676915275790125867911143639907339907310575432007-03-31-5.36%7.62%13.51%0.3748-0.840.843.150.351.02890.89910.13783.3180.7385.2%87492437
2007-02-2820064N/AN/A-N/AN/A312663108641413140650918760338000.02290.089813789209999085757537901221356943365575880313078934786532453817393764684962602006-12-31-1.16%4.20%36.19%0.226714.47950.850.851.530.261.04540.9040.11293.11070.725112.8%148810679

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtAmount due from associated companies (A-0)Deferred tax assets (A-0)Development Expenditure (A-0)Goodwill on consolidation (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Land held for property development (A-0)Other assets (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Amount due from customers (A-1)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Derivative assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other investments (A-1)Other receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-1)Prepaid lease payments (A-1)Advance from shareholder (L-0)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Payables and accruals (L-0)Amount due to customers (L-1)Bills payables (L-1)Commercial papers (L-1)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Derivative liabilities (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Payables and accruals (L-1)Provisions (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
20121----145310-19852--76561148632432033412292957223029-917329--4644822800814560343074814748-7470617223522543134-129601
20114----141853-20714--76438153687632324113816438202965-891074--4649223426414970289936698705-9499-215523739558-124583
20113---14872148728-31443--75972850994427469127122773187345-786826--4901824837415070426337638994-152551634196158513389-115797
20112---14864140871-30833--760047488322331689491413174186888-766577--4835825461514377428741633520-13537-210065530663-114434
20111---14400142359-30200--613875386637239327345136681173535-903653--4830926303814384256617631133-10275-179553561755-106013
20104---14400135817-30946--623099583071201106337441312179118-896562--4824026415415324278022540596-106353509182069807191-107551
20103---21600134770-29314--5108165159992204955554-173646-860246--2236527095115305400026517301-22263-129292653842-102955
20102---21600136055-28681--5165524347242666034385-179498-902111--2522428132016151393665528032-20011-57163729908-99961
20101---21600128453-25359--5268172867672167854919-180430-1049304--2273716019016155444688441148-17363-132952782224-95246
20094---21600124967-26969--545016353857249309116820283200166-919081--2171617001516905351635466356-19447-86050858307-96527
20093---22171137820-26618-3140552298154205519353125409-215741-841072--1372616580115515351911445219-21648-88260896659-99250
20092---22171138185-28063-3190252089656994819624525323-223975-782657--1415210353017692346119559090-16532-119268792667-96028
20091---22171134976-28739-3204650875063594829656325009-218447-825587--884911054118290479652714039-22647-155058667397-92096
20084---22171124209-28069-3218949599573820721673015738-215617-721013--765811662517449372912679212-15415-135882735738-87629
20083-1482208339561250521618357294315314188587622603780804327-259344-5467753171721918230121327-3812515620942700002495-83403591789891482459
20082-14826053411011919015539577104317013966066929831368991288-219712-416448317164451716282430-295658615365-6039-56947454190977082404
20081--27223417311409815471607-31871381122491195115081--190130-5934295406161372163086609-264057552676-6924-112883420951846878025
20074100001483127852107631-586114321053303915407311800753239-1598951257380624634516795859492508-157464431914-10811-127232434567892174692
20073100002043814914125989654759167333013051334606841684326712-17146614924876424461714116650100502-218058385122-6636-175768419716807767938
20072100002044427978122245662662688335243152503894481384421817-140602-433825446173331487169559-177447383506-8913-116250386091735064412
200711000020449231040120051662662967336202935393500291387894936-130905234412633446173341273774536-165129331569-9945-170307325097679059647
20064100002045561110312096667756356733706275840354795995305069-124938234339051446177001166486581-114322252763-6702-180829322436691157575

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestFinance/interest incomeShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesExceptional items
20121419203358450503808404706458799210450-
20114524410104481400391655004061027150869047-
201135237221041044643402498059606540884569-
20112513102589075331774493038358117337250-
2011139433656204295350537642912638327134-
201046058939195119553496238684667391211217-
20103289134871241374299270613396211651461-
2010246328053781079796844200832725607432-
2010141057720981987105440784514395196517-
20094613968286610785463608223895628263459-
20093610949113011065239761517226975267365-
2009258060089422891482256441514212046181-
2009138119451072670266036503732423247040-
2008470430853651744766773900843197506769-
200834887735773252455046823924157784393-
20082454477613829529387437003363010146374-
2008138597735132679545337199927085879155-
200744080903884395823933815781061614747453-
20073403267176233051838739632519296625-
2007234735859353776652832743643206204949-
2007125281726053547472524399820385998679-
20064312663475528231114310164375512118380

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtElimination/AdjustmentInfrastructure ConstructionCranesMarine ship repair & ship buildingConcession
2012112733538018612910137251-
2011457302082381918169691915-
2011338800352335108341101846-
20112164193378398109879189018-
2011111805029605685181131149-
201043924287267100366233231077
20103134575199449116684107576-
2010211929938111793186108276-
201014296526457874951114013-
20094-39870616995145311-
20093-345030156781109138-
20092-4051699329582136-
20091-20566911426661259-
20084-53115218716185702-
20083-28815113437866244-
20082-25445412987870145-
20081-18039412428481299-
20074-22408013506259416-
20073-20372412403175512-
20072-17303212388950438-
20071-1439177213936761-

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtElimination/AdjustmentInfrastructure ConstructionCranesMarine ship repair & ship buildingConcession
2012112829777811115101608473
20114591123368223301305074921
2011331496626415578374275485
201121852782919133199064485
201111579684004183206837613
2010440562299341195392733943
20103403172710511455185424614
2010234517197667231197547201
201015967116753785154507242
20094-142891210448682806
20093-371089517267285864
20092-6900803261533414
20091-6388556753576199
20084-521011522452305223
20083-8600302591033002
20082-13722403681635377
20081-8310471053548120
20074-16894740525505472
20073-14064590120013616
20072-12162625446565171
20071-3360405737478111

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


CURRENT


●CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
●ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


●CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


●CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


Image


Thursday, March 1, 2012

KLCI Stock - MUHIBAH / 5703 - 2011 Quarter 4

MUHIBBAH ENGINEERING (M) BERHAD

My notes based on 2011 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- Higher pbt is derived from the cranes and shipyard divisions which generated higher revenue with better profit margins

- As at 23 February 2012, the total outstanding secured order book in hand of the Group is RM3.05 billion. These outstanding order books will take us into 2014

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 639976*0.12/413767 = 0.1856, estimate PE on current price 1.37 = 7.11(DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.1425*1.05 = 0.1496, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.99/6.52 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0336*4*0.85 = 0.1142(~8% ROE), estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.06/8 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = (0.0438+0.0226)*2*1.05 = 0.1394, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.45/6.85 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0843*1.1 = 0.0927, estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.93/13.65 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0481*2 = 0.0962(although revenue decrease but offset by high tax rate), estimate highest/lowest PE = 20.06/12.79
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0266*4 = 0.1064, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.35/7.99
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0135*4 = 0.054, estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.43/15.74
- No estimate for 2009 Q4 result
- No estimate for 2009 Q3 result
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0362*4 = 0.1448, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.29/6.94 (DPS 0.025)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.039*4 = 0.156, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.17/4.04 (DPS 0.025)

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Saturday, January 14, 2012

KLCI Stock - MUHIBAH / 5703 - 2011 Quarter 3


Company Info 
Market Capital (Capital Size)477,609,502 (Small)
Par ValueRM 0.50

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E now(1.17-0.035)/0.1496 = 7.59 (Moderate)
Target Price1.50+0.035 = 1.53 (PE 10.0, EPS 0.1496, DPS 0.035)
DecisionBUY if stock price got strong buying volume than selling while stock price still above SMA20
Comment
Revenue increased 2.1% and was second consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 81.1%, eps increased 20.2% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 87.9%, cash generated from operating and financing more than enough to cover all expenses, slightly weaker liquidity ratio at weak level now, lower gearing ratio at very high level now, receivables and payables ratio improving, cranes and marine division got higher than usual profit, higher inventory can indicate works amount still at satisfactory level
First Support Price1.13
Second Support Price1.0
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
CIMB Target Price1.83 (2011-08-10)
Kencana Target Price1.5 (2011-10-03)

Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity9.56%
Dividend Yield2.99%
Profit Margin6.35%
Tax Rate31.30%
Asset Turnover0.6793
Net Asset Value Per Share1.22
Net Tangible Asset per share1.18
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.91
Cash Per Share0.66
Liquidity Current Ratio0.9847
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.8801
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.1533
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio4.2166
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.7739
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale-1.5%
Days to sell the inventory38
Days to collect the receivables256
Days to pay the payables236

Technical Analysis 
SMA 201.129 (Uptrend 15 days)
SMA 501.116 (Downtrend)
SMA 1001.109 (Downtrend)
SMA 2001.286 (Downtrend)
MACD0.013998 (Uptrend 18 days)
MACD Histogram0.016512 (Uptrend 14 days)

My notes based on 2011 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue and pbt is derived from the cranes and shipyard divisions which generated higher revenue with better profit margins

- As at 18 November 2011, the total outstanding secured order book in hand of the Group is RM2.79 billion, comprises of RM1.98 billion from Infrastructure Construction Division, RM609 million from Cranes Division and RM200 million from Shipyard Division

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.1425*1.05 = 0.1496, estimate PE on current price 1.17 = 7.59(DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0336*4*0.85 = 0.1142(~8% ROE), estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.06/8 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = (0.0438+0.0226)*2*1.05 = 0.1394, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.45/6.85 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0843*1.1 = 0.0927, estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.93/13.65 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0481*2 = 0.0962(although revenue decrease but offset by high tax rate), estimate highest/lowest PE = 20.06/12.79
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0266*4 = 0.1064, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.35/7.99
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0135*4 = 0.054, estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.43/15.74
- No estimate for 2009 Q4 result
- No estimate for 2009 Q3 result
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0362*4 = 0.1448, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.29/6.94 (DPS 0.025)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.039*4 = 0.156, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.17/4.04 (DPS 0.025)

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Thursday, October 6, 2011

KLCI Stock - MUHIBAH / 5703 - 2011 Quarter 2

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)436,788,177 (Small)
Par ValueRM 0.50

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(1.07-0.035)/0.1142 = 9.06 (Moderate)
Target Price1.14+0.035 = 1.18 (PE 10.0, EPS 0.1142, DPS 0.035)
DecisionBUY if stock price sustain above 1 when MACD downtrend
Comment
Revenue increased 30.1% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 10.8%, eps decreased 23.3% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 26.3%, cash generated from operating and financing more than enough to cover all expenses, weaker liquidity ratio from low to weak level now, higher gearing ratio at very high level now, receivables and payables ratio also high, all division growth
First Support Price1.0
Second Support Price0.9
Risk RatingHIGH

Research House
CIMB Target Price1.83 (2011-08-10)
Kencana Target Price1.5 (2011-10-03)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity8.88%
Dividend Yield3.27%
Profit Margin4.54%
Tax Rate25.29%
Asset Turnover0.5889
Net Asset Value Per Share1.19
Net Tangible Asset per share1.16
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.96
Cash Per Share0.81
Liquidity Current Ratio0.9863
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.8834
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.1826
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio4.356
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.7793
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale-1.5%
Days to sell the inventory44
Days to collect the receivables284
Days to pay the payables274

My notes based on 2011 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- Higher pbt than FY10Q2 mainly due to better results from the Infrastructure Construction Division and the Cranes Division

- Lower pbt than FY11Q1 main reason is because of normal low season with lesser passenger arrivals for the Cambodia Airports for the second quarter of the year

- As at 19 August 2011, the total outstanding secured order book in hand of the Group is RM3.08 billion, comprises of RM2.21 billion from Infrastructure Construction Division, RM675 million from Cranes Division and RM194 million from Shipyard Division. These outstanding secured order books will until 2014

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0336*4*0.85 = 0.1142(~8% ROE), estimate PE on current price 1.07 = 9.06 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = (0.0438+0.0226)*2*1.05 = 0.1394, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.45/6.85 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0843*1.1 = 0.0927, estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.93/13.65 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0481*2 = 0.0962(although revenue decrease but offset by high tax rate), estimate highest/lowest PE = 20.06/12.79
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0266*4 = 0.1064, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.35/7.99
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0135*4 = 0.054, estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.43/15.74
- No estimate for 2009 Q4 result
- No estimate for 2009 Q3 result
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0362*4 = 0.1448, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.29/6.94 (DPS 0.025)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.039*4 = 0.156, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.17/4.04 (DPS 0.025)

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Monday, June 13, 2011

KLCI Stock - MUHIBAH / 5703 - 2011 Quarter 1

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)716,514,177 (Medium)
Par ValueRM 0.50

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(1.79-0.035)/0.1394 = 12.59 (High)
Target Price1.39+0.035 = 1.43 (PE 10.0, EPS 0.1394, DPS 0.035)
DecisionNot interested unless revenue and profit increase more
Comment
Revenue decreased 5.2% and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 4%, eps increased 93.8% and is second consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 234.4%, no cash generate from operating after deduct liabilities expenses however cash generated from financing is more than enough to cover the rest of expenses, stronger liquidity ratio but still at low level now, lower gearing ratio but still at very high ratio now, receivables and payables ratio still very higher, better profit margin
First Support Price1.65
Second Support Price1.45
Risk RatingHIGH

Research House
CIMB Target Price2.53 (2011-01-27)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity9.03%
Dividend Yield1.96%
Profit Margin6.36%
Tax Rate22.41%
Asset Turnover0.6142
Net Asset Value Per Share1.14
Net Tangible Asset per share1.1
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.5
Cash Per Share0.58
Liquidity Current Ratio1.0634
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.9576
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.146
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio4.1541
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.7724
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale6.7%
Days to sell the inventory42
Days to collect the receivables301
Days to pay the payables290

My notes based on 2011 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- Higher pbt mainly due to better results from all divisions

- As at 19 May 2011, the total outstanding secured order book in hand of the Group is RM2.86 billion, comprises of RM2.0 billion from Infrastructure Construction Division, RM496 million from Cranes Division and RM358 million from Shipyard Division

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = (0.0438+0.0226)*2*1.05 = 0.1394, estimate PE on current price 1.79 = 12.59 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0843*1.1 = 0.0927, estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.93/13.65 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0481*2 = 0.0962(although revenue decrease but offset by high tax rate), estimate highest/lowest PE = 20.06/12.79
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0266*4 = 0.1064, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.35/7.99
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0135*4 = 0.054, estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.43/15.74
- No estimate for 2009 Q4 result
- No estimate for 2009 Q3 result
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0362*4 = 0.1448, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.29/6.94 (DPS 0.025)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.039*4 = 0.156, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.17/4.04 (DPS 0.025)

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Tuesday, May 17, 2011

KLCI Stock - MUHIBAH / 5703 - 2010 Quarter 4

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)664,017,015 (Medium)
Par ValueRM 0.50

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(1.66-0.035)/0.0927 = 17.53 (High)
Target Price0.93+0.035 = 0.96 (PE 10.0, EPS 0.0927, DPS 0.035)
DecisionNot interested unless most segment got stable profit
Comment
Revenue increased 43.9% but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 32.3%, eps increased 5.1% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 243%, no cash generated from operating hence still increase borrowing, better liquidity ratio but still at low level now, better gearing ratio but still at very high ratio now, receivables and payables still increasing to higher ratio
First Support Price1.45
Second Support Price1.3
Risk RatingHIGH

Research House
CIMB Target Price2.53 (2011-01-27)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity5.49%
Dividend Yield2.11%
Profit Margin4.15%
Tax Rate20.86%
Asset Turnover0.5756
Net Asset Value Per Share1.27
Net Tangible Asset per share1.23
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.2
Cash Per Share0.49
Liquidity Current Ratio1.0562
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.9604
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.1081
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio4.1856
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.7754
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale6.5%
Days to sell the inventory42
Days to collect the receivables347
Days to pay the payables287

My notes based on 2010 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- The Group reported an increase of 63% consolidated profit after tax to RM47.0 million for the current year ended 31 December 2010 under review as compared to RM28.9 million for the last corresponding period ended 31 December 2009 mainly due to better results from the Infrastructure Construction Division and Concession Division has also registered higher contribution from the Cambodia Airports with increasing airport passenger arrivals

- The Group reported a higher consolidated profit after tax for the current quarter of RM13.65 million as compared to RM12.6 million reported in the previous quarter was mainly due to improved results from the Infrastructure Construction Division and Cranes Division

- As at 22 February 2011, the total outstanding secured order book in hand of the Group is RM3.10 billion, comprises of RM2.29 billion from Infrastructure Construction Division, RM453 million from Cranes Division and RM360 million from Shipyard Division. These outstanding secured order books will take us into 2013

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0843*1.1 = 0.0927, estimate PE on current price 1.66 = 17.53 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0481*2 = 0.0962(although revenue decrease but offset by high tax rate), estimate highest/lowest PE = 20.06/12.79
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0266*4 = 0.1064, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.35/7.99
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0135*4 = 0.054, estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.43/15.74
- No estimate for 2009 Q4 result
- No estimate for 2009 Q3 result
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0362*4 = 0.1448, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.29/6.94 (DPS 0.025)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.039*4 = 0.156, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.17/4.04 (DPS 0.025)

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Tuesday, January 25, 2011

KLCI Stock - MUHIBAH / 5703 - 2010 Quarter 3

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)665,314,222 (Medium)
Par ValueRM 0.50

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now1.67/0.0962 = 17.36 (High)
Target Price0.0962*10.0 = 0.96 (PE 10.0, EPS 0.0962)
DecisionNOT BUY
Comment
Revenue decreased and lower than preceding year corresponding quarter, eps decreased but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter, neither got free nor positive net cash flow, liquidity ratio increasing to low level now, gearing ratio very high, receivables and payables period are high
First Support Price1.2
Second Support Price1.0
Risk RatingHIGH

Research House
CIMB Target Price2 (2010-11-11)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity4.12%
Dividend Yield-
Profit Margin7.37%
Tax Rate40.88%
Asset Turnover0.7187
Net Asset Value Per Share0.84
Net Tangible Asset per share0.79
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.57
Cash Per Share0.55
Liquidity Current Ratio1.0309
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.9301
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.128
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio6.0074
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.8216
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale3.0%
Days to sell the inventory37
Days to collect the receivables283
Days to pay the payables247

My notes based on 2010 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- The Group reported a marginal lower consolidated profit before tax of RM49.58 million for the current period ended 30 September 2010 under review as compared to RM53.01 million for the last corresponding period ended 30 September 2009. The Shipyard and Cranes Divisions continue to be the main earnings contributor to the Group

- The consolidated profit before tax is higher by 9.7% from RM19.43 million for the second quarter of the current year to RM21.31 in the third quarter of the current year. This is mainly contributed by the Shipyard Division

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0481*2 = 0.0962(although revenue decrease but offset by high tax rate), estimate PE on current price 1.67 = 17.36
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0266*4 = 0.1064, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.35/7.99
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0135*4 = 0.054, estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.43/15.74
- No estimate for 2009 Q4 result
- No estimate for 2009 Q3 result
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0362*4 = 0.1448, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.29/6.94 (DPS 0.025)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.039*4 = 0.156, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.17/4.04 (DPS 0.025)

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