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Showing posts with label AHEALTH. Show all posts
Showing posts with label AHEALTH. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 1, 2013

KLCI Stock - AHEALTH / 7090 - 2012 Quarter 3

APEX HEALTHCARE BERHAD


Company Description
APEX HEALTHCARE BERHAD is a Malaysia-based investment holding company. The Company and its subsidiaries are engaged in manufacturing, distribution, marketing and retailing of pharmaceutical products. The Company is also engaged in providing management services. The Company’s segments include manufacturing of pharmaceutical products and marketing, distribution, and retailing of pharmaceutical products. On April 30, 2007, the Company completed the acquisition of 20% of Maritzberg Investments Limited (MIL). On April 15, 2008, the Company acquired 35% of Chastal Maketing Pte Ltd (CMPL). In December 2008, the Company divested its entire 35% interest in Chastal Marketing Pte Ltd.

Company Info
Listing Date2000-06-26
Market Capital (Capital Size)344,878,100 (Small)
Par ValueRM 1.00
BoardMain
SectorConsumer Products
Major IndustryDrugs, Cosmetics & Health Care
Sub IndustryPharmaceutical
Websitehttp://www.apexpharmacy.com/

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(3.68-0.18)/0.3109 = 11.26 (Moderate)
Target Price3.58+0.18 = 3.76 (PE 11.5, EPS 0.3109, DPS 0.18)
DecisionBUY if stock price around SMA50 or wait rebound around SMA100
Comment
Revenue decreased 2.9% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 6.5%, eps decreased 23% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 39.6%, cash generated from operating enough to cover all expenses, current assests maintain high which can further expand, gross margin lower a bit but still high at 24%, liquidity ratio indicate very firm can meet current obligation and possible higher dividend, gearing ratio indicate lowering liabilities risk especially borrowings, all accounting turnover period is good which can generate cash on hand, all segments growth
First Support Price3.6
Second Support Price3.4
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
OSK Target Price3.84 (2012-11-22)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity13.97%
Dividend Yield4.89%
Gross Profit Margin24.75%
Operating Profit Margin9.00%
Net Profit Margin8.97%
Tax Rate26.38%
Asset Turnover1.3805
Net Asset Value Per Share2.22
Net Tangible Asset per share2.21
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.61
Cash Per Share0.63
Liquidity Current Ratio2.7808
Liquidity Quick Ratio2.122
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.8107
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.3747
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.2725
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale32.7%
Days to sell the inventory60
Days to collect the receivables88
Days to pay the payables86

Technical Analysis
SMA 103.651 (Downtrend)
SMA 203.616 (Uptrend 14 days)
SMA 503.58 (Same)
SMA 1003.394 (Uptrend)
SMA 2003.08 (Uptrend)
MACD (26d/12d)0.028987 ( 0.001815 )
Signal (9)0.030313 ( 0.000331 )
MACD Histogram0.001326 (Bearish trend 5 days)
Bolinger Upper Band3.797
Bolinger Lower Band3.435

My notes based on 2012 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Higher pbt than FY11Q3 due to impairment loss of RM2.2 million which was accounted for in the third quarter of 2011 when the Group decided to divest its equity interest in Xiamen Maidiken Science & Technology Co Ltd, China

- Higher revenue from Manufacturing segment due to its market leading range of cough and cold syrups registered encouraging sales growth, and a new product for the treatment of hypertension, ADROTEN (bisoprolol5mg), was launched further strengthening Xepa's portfolio of cardiovascular products. Construction of the new Administration Block is on track to be commissioned by the 1st quarter of year 2013

- Higher revenue and pbt from Wholesale & Distribution segment than FY11Q3 due to core pharmaceutical wholesaling and distribution businesses performed steadily. AVO Diagnostics products continued to gain market share with sales growing Newly launched AVO products, antibiotic CLAVOMAX (amoxicillin/clavunalic acid 625mg) and AVONAC suppository (sodium diclofenac 12.5 mg suppository) secured excellent market penetration. AGNESIA medicated powder range was extended with the addition of two new fragrances, Lavender and Rose. Apex Pharma Singapore performed well with a 13% growth in revenue with strong margins due to successful execution of its marketing and selling strategies

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q3 result announced = 208142*0.14/93717 = 0.3109, estimate PE on current price 3.68 = 11.26(DPS 0.18)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced = 205900*0.135/93717 = 0.2966, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.47/10.01 (DPS 0.16)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 0.2717, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.02/9.59 (DPS 0.155)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 212212*0.12/93717 = 0.2717, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.25/9.59 (DPS 0.155)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.07*4*1.05 = 0.294, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.3/8.52 (DPS 0.145)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.38, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.33/6.14 (DPS 0.145)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.095*4 = 0.38, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.21/7.05 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.08*4*1.05 = 0.336(exclude non-recurring income RM10.1 million), estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.54/7.44 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0771*4*1.05 = 0.3238, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.18/7.38 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.1334*2*1.1 = 0.2935 (0.1334 is recent 2Q cum_eps, 10% increase), estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.7/7.85 (DPS 0.076)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.32 (add 5% adjustment from 0.3048 due to profit boosted), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.48/8.41 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.3048 (10% grow from 0.2771(after deducted 3.4 mil)), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.74/6.18 (DPS 0.1975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.2385, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.82/7.26 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.2365, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.83/6.44 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.2312, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.64/5.47 (DPS 0.095)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.2168, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.11/4.59 (DPS 0.095)

AHEALTH latest news (English)

AHEALTH latest news (Chinese)


Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetc_assetliabc_liabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdategros_moper_mprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2012-11-2120123N/AN/A-3.03%9.93%978073026118771324316440211220.06870.225428608820170977946725371372081422287129262161312280252133360025880493717937173336322012-09-3024.75%9.00%8.97%26.38%1.3805-2.222.211.610.632.78082.1220.81070.37470.272532.7%608886
2012-08-15201223.863.130.063.93%6.90%10067820480411333236608362146820.08920.15672889932043668309377594120205900149913065994062280245650362445904693717937172914592012-06-3025.54%11.29%11.26%26.11%1.3461-2.22.181.430.632.63382.01280.7610.40380.287532.6%619190
2012-05-23201213.152.76-2.97%2.97%1041261041261232712327632063200.06740.067428801920393882293763651082057267826322726042280240098394946229693717937172605332012-03-3127.18%11.87%11.84%48.59%1.31-2.192.181.280.662.67062.08620.81580.40020.285733.8%589493
2012-02-23201142.942.760.14.04%14.15%923303660029331358498017280750.08550.299628804920252575415671711333621263432650158661697922997167841952280293717937172652192011-12-3126.06%10.15%10.11%14.17%1.27069.44682.132.111.340.243.01512.37340.33950.37840.261837.0%588686
2011-11-15201132.882.65-2.32%10.08%918672736726125264644607200040.04920.213528342420234979454704971333720397021027972816367228641129950681779693717937172661562011-09-3025.07%6.75%6.67%24.52%1.2389-2.032.021.410.192.87032.18180.25240.41680.280337.6%689193
2011-08-19201122.932.480.0553.29%7.76%889831818058738203396523153970.06960.1643283237153595802546803713319202983115996558885622738504138151892393717937172736532011-06-3025.56%9.41%9.82%23.71%1.2035-2.022.011.450.22.25751.56760.27810.42310.283325.1%689492
2011-05-19201113.252.81-4.47%4.47%92822928221160111601887488740.09470.09472861731568448212669641134362040478424509670922738332826192535793717937172811512011-03-3127.19%11.69%12.50%21.42%1.1497-2.032.021.490.272.25221.63860.36410.43090.28726.5%659899
2011-02-24201043.02.630.097.67%19.11%77454313718193274509413215329410.14100.351526598813778967617548301530819837126634847615140197211815830182273993717937172511612010-12-3126.63%8.04%24.95%8.46%1.17947.62461.951.941.380.252.5131.80330.4240.36940.254226.4%628881
2010-11-23201032.732.47-4.19%11.44%816132362649092257677222197260.07710.210525749314459076835649341083218065821615647710675197311513844632419493717937172361662010-09-3026.59%9.55%11.14%15.51%1.1899-1.811.81.40.262.22671.5980.37260.45240.298426.0%669591
2010-08-18201022.632.380.043.36%7.25%771171546517827166755800125040.06190.133424957113908772491601731029817708013533389899451995096353101964093717937172399152010-06-3026.05%9.31%10.15%22.72%1.1907-1.781.771.450.212.31151.6130.32640.43460.290526.6%709590
2010-05-19201013.242.4-3.89%3.89%775347753488488848670467040.08940.08942511171423567184959071100491792688062165895019950640454542540474974749742399162010-03-3127.21%10.69%11.41%21.81%1.1547-2.262.241.430.342.40991.69620.43010.42460.286128.7%719491
2010-02-23200943.472.080.1455.82%14.75%7011828271912258300938733221440.11650.29542369801292166459751706983617238332820225116302568330569142671995074974749741484482009-12-3126.64%10.12%17.48%14.17%1.1936.70382.172.150.920.272.49911.69520.38580.39740.272627.4%728781
2009-11-18200932.21.83-3.31%8.93%724032126016313178354966134110.06620.1789232690132070740236019380481586672182516339507571120192106851639674974749741379522009-09-3024.89%7.99%8.72%17.76%1.1948-2.011.990.920.222.19411.47790.27240.49150.318125.9%759588
2009-08-19200921.951.620.05252.81%5.63%69920140198559111522421684450.05620.11262273911266277096457092782215642713785883621157111290266911240274974749741199582009-06-3023.73%6.97%8.00%18.40%1.2007-1.981.960.820.182.21791.47010.23050.47750.312125.5%759583
2009-05-20200911.631.36-2.82%2.82%702787027859315931422942290.05640.05642324921309597809663610747615439610774103816865711973680501376174974749741034642009-03-3124.71%8.47%8.44%27.92%1.1427-1.961.940.710.212.05881.40410.25070.53160.335925.4%7610193
2009-02-27200841.421.090.0452.67%10.88%654122592394701190193633147760.04850.1971218248116518681285380874301501201469210012654175724680186157117497474974862202008-12-3124.33%6.44%7.19%18.27%1.18785.83511.91.880.610.092.16541.38690.12860.47750.312224.2%789577
2008-11-19200831.350.9-2.91%8.20%674251938275080143183954111430.05270.1486225064123911805996520855001444651955599475112755496084496120507497474974974662008-09-3023.84%6.69%7.53%19.74%1.116-1.851.830.710.161.90021.25120.18480.580.358123.4%81101104
2008-08-20200821.71.30.052.38%5.29%6254712640242299238323271890.04310.09592079501182706828452717-139666117051196637775241050941321165674974749741274552008-06-3024.38%6.44%6.76%23.58%1.1613-1.861.840.920.162.24351.50630.22110.48890.328427.1%7710293
2008-05-21200811.751.54-2.91%2.91%638556385550095009395739570.05280.05282108821210247339455194-137488736931716347524705254181294274974749741297052008-03-3124.02%7.77%7.84%21.00%1.1378-1.831.810.960.192.19271.55440.26190.53380.34827.4%7010994
2008-02-27200741.751.560.0455.55%15.72%573412359374673194056795192330.09060.25652055211148356967053050-1358511808521202961968131172156752574974749741259562007-12-3124.68%7.89%8.15%-1.1486.5491.811.790.940.162.16471.39980.22010.51280.33926.2%829785
2007-11-21200731.771.65-3.20%10.16%577421785964254147323921124380.05230.16591992061113227015951952-1290471677818417127896811639361932074974749741289552007-09-3023.51%6.81%7.37%7.83%1.1771-1.721.71.010.142.14281.38710.20210.54370.352225.3%809686
2007-08-22200721.761.710.044.10%6.96%61014120854607810478502385170.06700.11361999331143297181753786-12811610117154616723967353441379110527497474974N/A2007-06-3023.52%6.73%9.96%17.36%0.884-1.711.69N/A0.172.12561.46420.23220.56060.359234.3%96137110
2007-05-2320071N/AN/A-2.86%2.86%598405984044004400349434940.04660.04661895721172276371754413-12585535602664241996988961523817574974749741312042007-03-3123.35%7.35%7.35%20.59%0.6105-1.681.661.050.162.15441.44470.22350.50630.336154.3%159210176
2007-02-2820064N/AN/A0.05N/AN/A558872242884340182152979133820.04340.19491877061170556533455941-1223721037672654456214231117567970968656686561208342006-12-3123.93%7.83%7.77%31.36%0.29779.02961.781.761.00.212.09251.40590.25350.53390.3481109.4%330421360

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtAvailable-for-sale financial assets (A-0)Deferred tax assets (A-0)Intangible assets (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current asset classified as held for sales (A-1)Derivative financial assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Derivative liabilities (L-1)Dividend payable (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
2012339289011166-34647492058803-2547784950975409-3858---68679137
2012239289051181-34827513159046-85481819705452872124167--226771160120
2012139288111199-35007464362295-18446239700251507782724--226771374108
2011439287481218-3518761122280250245-430988638068991345100512-22676388713336
2011339286141235-3810714881779648154-48540878597045191219516-22676627313337
20112392858512535035538106971118923-384693987695673854792360--22676341013319
20111392847312745051638106932825357-364272888723644060451808--22676556613436
20104392835912854959438106922323250-473891475578617566121144--28405084615308
20103392828813013483441066844624194-334082879535472271793037-374923895575910832
20102392824312913338941286750519640--4202577422450978093958--23955382010298
20101392816513443257537796697025404--421617479144028376269843-24985383210049
20094-5814053579138006671019950--4156267704394889431572--2798473369836
20093-22213283053337876475016396--431087256639759855918-29525628506958048
20092-25213782986838086545813162--42696707693450104221176--8983469337822
20091-16714282949238296661715950--4164373366318511301990--11371512497476
20084-1671479292963850669386919--4189367706270211618647--11541416207430
20083--15292724576906468912050--4232369538247712914965-27747431540385500
20082--15301657838716770111656--3886467750210913458923--537046424-
20081--15781565538856874014455--3523271337423513965648--751447032-
20074--16261533539006982511676--4057562584198714633270--1084841932-
20073--16301503528696835010499--3925861565463913568532-2999610742314-
20072--16971458728846643612489--35578662624463135681397--1168440705-
20071--17661041628995726412164--3861566448410851961196--1057742640-
20064--18351022729135567614182--384076446639095484988--1300241951-

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesSelling and distribution costsNegative goodwillGain/loss on disposal of subsidiariesImpairment lossOther expenses
201239780723147360030375401117-11549---221
20122100678295974969351610401412-11831---106
2012110412659907582437331434217-11914---13
20114923301322682684461743038012456--1870415
201139186715026883979404385216010961--2200215
201128898320726623583462375814344910951---129
201119282224856758481268351924283111053---83
20104774541636568298825948204476131889813---24
2010381613141059914941763606460139610295---184
20102771171778570258842333882497339933---12
20101775341930564398326334932146409433---141
20094701181737514421009873632178852597999---933
200937240311215438513430630602266659337---145
200926992010295332915722729823468768786---178
20091702781656529132173552910461968682---176
20084654128594950026257033132097488102---852
200836742510035135225128031371238218547---159
2008262547997473002322583022-4328338---116
20081638551052485162701952725-3207781---69
200745734121224319015213953125-3007787-0-109
2007357742333441691283362897-4486973-0-105
20072610141055466641524092684-3017847-1825-124
2007159840906458671902442850-1896867---99
20064558871361425132323603001-19460130--342

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtElimination/AdjustmentManufacturingWholesale, marketing & distributionCorporate & Others
2012328765222348919315145
201221536421772919322338
201212120027011960252290
2011424660209468550510539
2011310446149895343810887
2011226489256111099632897
201111007523172779941731
20104-13070633281056
20103-1494666312355
20102-1283063563724
20101-1304164362131
20094-1038859512218
20093-1183660417150
20092-1206157703156
20091-1208558054139
20084-1037154849192
20083-915358124148
20082-902253378147
20081-834155369145
20074-809749047197
20073-831749266159
20072-867152186157
20071-821551472153
20064-858447031180

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtElimination/AdjustmentManufacturingWholesale, marketing & distributionCorporate & Others
2012342260063878661
2012240577144401342
20121385997144211643
201141600578933211280
20113238361103126649
201123366186303867
2011137674924167399
20104-525623661070
20103-55283338338
20102-47253284451
20101-57533359482
20094-31764525304
20093-40852303352
20092-39571556336
20091-45052639892
20084-29071865184
20083-30832102439
20082-29931800411
20081-33822265378
20074-27621384734
20073-24801950158
20072-30851541255
20071-28012263264
20064-37911374756

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


CURRENT


●CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
●ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


●CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


●CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING



Tuesday, April 24, 2012

KLCI Stock - AHEALTH / 7090 - 2011 Quarter 4

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)268,030,262 (Small)
Par ValueRM 1.00

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(2.86-0.155)/0.2717 = 9.96 (High)
Target Price2.58+0.155 = 2.74 (PE 9.5, EPS 0.2717, DPS 0.155)
DecisionNot interested unless coming financial quarter report got significant good result
Comment
Revenue increased 0.5% and was second consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 19.2%, eps increased 73.8% but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 39.4%, cash generated from operating enough to cover financing expenses but investing expenses used 0.8% of Group cash to cover, gross margin still very high, stronger liquidity ratio from moderate to high level now, lower gearing ratio at below moderate level now, lower debt ratio and still far from historical high, all repayment period is good
First Support Price2.8
Second Support Price2.7
Risk RatingMODERATE

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity13.23%
Dividend Yield5.42%
Gross Profit Margin26.06%
Operating Profit Margin10.15%
Net Profit Margin10.11%
Tax Rate14.17%
Asset Turnover1.2713
Net Asset Value Per Share2.12
Net Tangible Asset per share2.11
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.34
Cash Per Share0.24
Liquidity Current Ratio3.0217
Liquidity Quick Ratio2.378
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.3406
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.3806
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.2629
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale37.0%
Days to sell the inventory58
Days to collect the receivables86
Days to pay the payables86

Technical Analysis
SMA 202.888 (Downtrend 8 days)
SMA 502.856 (Downtrend)
SMA 1002.795 (Uptrend)
SMA 2002.82 (Same)
MACD (26d/12d)-0.00176 ( 0.000729 )
Signal (9)0.004854 ( 0.001653 )
MACD Histogram0.006614 (Bearish trend 12 days)

My notes based on 2011 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- Lower pbt than FY10Q4 due to recognition of both non-recurring and operational income of RM15.9 million from Xiamen Maidiken Science and Technology Co (‘MDK’) in 2010. If performance were to be evaluated without contributions from MDK, profit before tax in 2011 grew 19% over 2010

- Higher pbt than FY11Q3 attributed to the subsequent revision to the estimated fair value less costs to sell of the Assets (or disposal group) as held for sale

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 212212*0.12/93717 = 0.2717, estimate PE on current price 2.86 = 9.96(DPS 0.155)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.07*4*1.05 = 0.294, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.3/8.52 (DPS 0.145)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.38, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.33/6.14 (DPS 0.145)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.095*4 = 0.38, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.21/7.05 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.08*4*1.05 = 0.336(exclude non-recurring income RM10.1 million), estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.54/7.44 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0771*4*1.05 = 0.3238, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.18/7.38 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.1334*2*1.1 = 0.2935 (0.1334 is recent 2Q cum_eps, 10% increase), estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.7/7.85 (DPS 0.076)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.32 (add 5% adjustment from 0.3048 due to profit boosted), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.48/8.41 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.3048 (10% grow from 0.2771(after deducted 3.4 mil)), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.74/6.18 (DPS 0.1975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.2385, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.82/7.26 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.2365, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.83/6.44 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.2312, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.64/5.47 (DPS 0.095)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.2168, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.11/4.59 (DPS 0.095)

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Monday, November 28, 2011

KLCI Stock - AHEALTH / 7090 - 2011 Quarter 3

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)253,972,731 (Small)
Par ValueRM 1.00

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(2.71-0.145)/0.294 = 8.72 (High)
Target Price2.50+0.145 = 2.64 (PE 8.5, EPS 0.294, DPS 0.145)
DecisionNot interested unless stock price next uptrend start above 2.8
Comment
Revenue increased 3.2% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 12.6%, eps decreased 29.6% and was third consecutive quarter decreasing and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 36.2%, cash generated from operating enough to cover financing expenses but investing expenses used 22.2% of Group cash to cover, stronger liquidity ratio at moderate level now, lower gearing ratio at below moderate level now, all accounting ratio are good, expect lower profit due to ceased of associates company, higher inventory which can indicate still strong demand of products
First Support Price2.7
Second Support Price2.5
Risk RatingMODERATE

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity16.49%
Dividend Yield5.35%
Profit Margin6.67%
Tax Rate24.52%
Asset Turnover1.2389
Net Asset Value Per Share2.03
Net Tangible Asset per share2.02
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.41
Cash Per Share0.19
Liquidity Current Ratio2.8703
Liquidity Quick Ratio2.1818
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.2524
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.4168
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.2803
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale37.6%
Days to sell the inventory64
Days to collect the receivables91
Days to pay the payables88

My notes based on 2011 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue mainly due to manufacturing unit, Xepa performed well, supported by strong sales in the domestic and Singapore markets, Apex Pharma wholesale, distribution and marketing unit

- The Group‟s own products under the AVEX, AVO, AGNESIA and KAP brands increased market share with a growing number of customers. AGNESIA and KAPS products were exported or the first time to Uganda. Revenue from Singapore operations under Apex Pharma Marketing Pte Ltd grew steadily, supported by newly acquired agencies

- Lower pbt attributed to the Group's decision to seek an exit for its investment in MDK because non-current Assets Held For Sale and Discontinued Operations, the Group re-measured its investment to the lower of carrying amount and fair value less cost to sell resulting in an impairment of RM 2.2 million arising from estimated capital gain tax and transaction costs

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.07*4*1.05 = 0.294, estimate PE on current price 2.71 = 8.72(DPS 0.145)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.38, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.33/6.14 (DPS 0.145)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.095*4 = 0.38, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.21/7.05 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.08*4*1.05 = 0.336(exclude non-recurring income RM10.1 million), estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.54/7.44 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0771*4*1.05 = 0.3238, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.18/7.38 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.1334*2*1.1 = 0.2935 (0.1334 is recent 2Q cum_eps, 10% increase), estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.7/7.85 (DPS 0.076)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.32 (add 5% adjustment from 0.3048 due to profit boosted), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.48/8.41 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.3048 (10% grow from 0.2771(after deducted 3.4 mil)), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.74/6.18 (DPS 0.1975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.2385, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.82/7.26 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.2365, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.83/6.44 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.2312, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.64/5.47 (DPS 0.095)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.2168, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.11/4.59 (DPS 0.095)

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Wednesday, September 7, 2011

KLCI Stock - AHEALTH / 7090 - 2011 Quarter 2

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)265,218,756 (Small)
Par ValueRM 1.00

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(2.83-0.145)/0.38 = 7.07 (Moderate)
Target Price3.23+0.145 = 3.38 (PE 8.5, EPS 0.38, DPS 0.145)
DecisionNot interested unless stock price sustain at 2.95
Comment
Revenue decreased 4.1% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 15.4%, eps decreased 26.4% and was second consecutive quarter decreasing but still higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 12.9%, cash generated from operating more than enough to cover financing expenses but investing expenses used 16.8% of Group cash to cover, stronger liquidity ratio at moderate level now, lower gearing ratio at below moderate level now, all accounting ratio are good
First Support Price2.8
Second Support Price2.6
Risk RatingMODERATE

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity18.27%
Dividend Yield5.12%
Profit Margin9.85%
Tax Rate23.63%
Asset Turnover1.2035
Net Asset Value Per Share2.02
Net Tangible Asset per share2.01
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.45
Cash Per Share0.2
Liquidity Current Ratio2.2575
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.5676
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.2781
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.4231
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.2833
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale25.1%
Days to sell the inventory64
Days to collect the receivables94
Days to pay the payables87

My notes based on 2011 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- Lower pbt than FY11Q1 attributed to a moderated demand for the Group’s products following an exceptionally strong first quarter

- The good performance than FY10Q2 is attributed to continued strong sales domestically in both the private and public sectors upon the successful outcome of its promotional launches and local trade fairs. Operating synergies were further enhanced with the streamlining of domestic distribution coverage under Apex Pharmacy Marketing Sdn Bhd

- Revenue and profit at Apex Pharmacy Marketing Sdn Bhd likewise grew steadily, with continued good market acceptance of newly launched own-brand products. These include AvoMeter Perfect, a combination blood glucose and total cholesterol meter under the Group’s Avo Diagnostics brand. Newly acquired agencies contributed to sustain growth in pharmaceutical distribution operations in Singapore

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.38, estimate PE on current price 2.83 = 7.07(DPS 0.145)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.095*4 = 0.38, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.21/7.05 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.08*4*1.05 = 0.336(exclude non-recurring income RM10.1 million), estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.54/7.44 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0771*4*1.05 = 0.3238, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.18/7.38 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.1334*2*1.1 = 0.2935 (0.1334 is recent 2Q cum_eps, 10% increase), estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.7/7.85 (DPS 0.076)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.32 (add 5% adjustment from 0.3048 due to profit boosted), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.48/8.41 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.3048 (10% grow from 0.2771(after deducted 3.4 mil)), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.74/6.18 (DPS 0.1975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.2385, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.82/7.26 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.2365, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.83/6.44 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.2312, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.64/5.47 (DPS 0.095)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.2168, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.11/4.59 (DPS 0.095)

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Thursday, June 9, 2011

KLCI Stock - AHEALTH / 7090 - 2011 Quarter 1

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)281,150,625 (Small)
Par ValueRM 1.00

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(3.0-0.13)/0.38 = 7.55 (Moderate)
Target Price3.23+0.13 = 3.36 (PE 8.5, EPS 0.38, DPS 0.13)
DecisionBUY
Comment
Revenue increased 19.8% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 19.7%, eps decreased 32.6% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 6.3%, cash generated from operating still got extra after deduct all expenses, weaker liquidity ratio at moderate level now, higher gearing ratio at below moderate level now, all accounting periods are good
First Support Price2.9
Second Support Price2.6
Risk RatingMODERATE

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity18.30%
Dividend Yield4.33%
Profit Margin12.53%
Tax Rate21.38%
Asset Turnover1.1497
Net Asset Value Per Share2.03
Net Tangible Asset per share2.02
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.49
Cash Per Share0.27
Liquidity Current Ratio2.2522
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.6386
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.3641
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.4309
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.287
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale26.5%
Days to sell the inventory61
Days to collect the receivables98
Days to pay the payables93

My notes based on 2011 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- Revenue at Xepa-Soul Pattinson (M) Sdn Bhd‟s („Xepa‟) exceeded budget and grew 18% quarter on quarter, driven by continued robust sales to private sector clinics, pharmacies and hospitals in the domestic sector. In anticipation of growing demand, Xepa has embarked on a fresh RM4 million capital expenditure program to increase capacity, automation and improve manufacturing efficiency

- Apex Pharmacy Marketing Sdn Bhd‟s revenue for the current quarter grew 22% compared to the same period last year due to good contributions from all four divisions; logistics, consumer, pharma & diagnostics and wholesale. Newly launched Avegesic 15mg under the Group‟s AVEX brand has been well received by the market. In Singapore, revenue grew by 23% year on year to RM17.3 million for the quarter, driven by newly acquired distribution agencies and wholesale

- Lower pbt than preceding quarter mainly because the Group recognized a deemed disposal gain of RM10.1 million in the last quarter of 2010 as a result of the issuance of shares at a premium to new investors by Xiamen Maidiken Science and Technology Co Ltd‟s intermediate holding company for its retail and distribution operations, Luyan (Fujian) Pharma Co., Ltd

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.095*4 = 0.38, estimate PE on current price 3 = 7.55(DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.08*4*1.05 = 0.336(exclude non-recurring income RM10.1 million), estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.54/7.44 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0771*4*1.05 = 0.3238, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.18/7.38 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.1334*2*1.1 = 0.2935 (0.1334 is recent 2Q cum_eps, 10% increase), estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.7/7.85 (DPS 0.076)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.32 (add 5% adjustment from 0.3048 due to profit boosted), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.48/8.41 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.3048 (10% grow from 0.2771(after deducted 3.4 mil)), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.74/6.18 (DPS 0.1975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.2385, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.82/7.26 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.2365, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.83/6.44 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.2312, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.64/5.47 (DPS 0.095)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.2168, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.11/4.59 (DPS 0.095)

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Thursday, March 17, 2011

KLCI Stock - AHEALTH / 7090 - 2010 Quarter 4

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)253,035,562 (Small)
Par ValueRM 1.00

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(2.7-0.13)/0.336 = 7.65 (Moderate)
Target Price2.69+0.13 = 2.82 (PE 8.0, EPS 0.336, DPS 0.13)
DecisionBUY
Comment
Revenue decreased 5.1% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 10.5%, eps increased 82.9% to highest record (higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 21%), positive free cash flow increasing but positive net cash flow decreased, liquidity ratio increased at moderate level now, gearing ratio decreased at below moderate level now, all accounting periods are good, expecting new income from JB new retail
First Support Price2.6
Second Support Price2.4
Risk RatingMODERATE

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity16.61%
Dividend Yield4.81%
Profit Margin24.95%
Tax Rate8.46%
Asset Turnover1.1794
Net Asset Value Per Share1.95
Net Tangible Asset per share1.94
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.38
Cash Per Share0.25
Liquidity Current Ratio2.513
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.8033
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.424
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.3696
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.2543
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale26.4%
Days to sell the inventory58
Days to collect the receivables88
Days to pay the payables76

My notes based on 2010 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- The Group's revenue for the final quarter of 2010 was RM77.5 million and its profit before tax was RM19.4 million. For the 12 months to December 2010, the Group achieved record revenues of RM313.7 million and profit before tax of RM45.1 million, representing increases of 11% and 50% respectively over the result for the previous financial year. After adjusting for non-recurring income, Group pre-tax profit for 2010 is RM 35.0 million, an increase of 31% over that achieved in 2009

- Xepa-Soul Pattinson(Malaysia) Sdn Bhd's(Xepa) full year performance exceeded budget with revenue growth of 14% over 2009, driven by continued strong sales in domestic markets, improved exports and contract manufacturing. During the quarter, Xepa entered into a licensing, manufacturing and supply agreement with GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Sdn Bhd in respect of six products for the treatment of cardiovascular and metabolic conditions. Additional production capacity for solid pharmaceutical products and a new Knowledge Centre was commissioned as interim upgrading works were completed

- In the same period, Apex Pharmacy Marketing Sdn Bhd('Apex') secured ISO 9001 certification for its distribution operations in Subang Jaya. Wholesale and Distribution performed well, with improved gross margins. This is attributed to a greater proportion of own brand products in the sales mix and better purchasing. New own brand products launched in the quarter by the Group include Avegesic(meloxicam 15mg) for pain management under the AVEX brand and the AvoMeter range of blood glucose monitoring meters

- Based on unaudited management accounts of the Group's associated company, Xiamen Maidiken Science & Technology Co Ltd('MDK'), China, total profit contribution rose 125% to RM15.9 million for year 2010, which includes a non-recurring component of RM10.1m. This non-recurring component is attributable to the issuance of shares at a premium to new investors by MDK's intermediate holding company for its retail and distribution operations, Luyan(Fujian) Pharma Co., Ltd. MDK's core business operations grew strongly, driven by strong domestic demand and sound business planning and execution, of which the Group‟s share is RM 5.8 million

- Profit before tax for the current quarter is RM19.3 million, an increase of 113% compared to RM9.1 million in the previous quarter. This is attributed mainly to the Group's recognition of non-recurring income of RM 10.1 million from its investment in MDK

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.08*4*1.05 = 0.336(exclude non-recurring income RM10.1 million), estimate PE on current price 2.7 = 7.65(DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0771*4*1.05 = 0.3238, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.18/7.38 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.1334*2*1.1 = 0.2935 (0.1334 is recent 2Q cum_eps, 10% increase), estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.7/7.85 (DPS 0.076)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.32 (add 5% adjustment from 0.3048 due to profit boosted), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.48/8.41 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.3048 (10% grow from 0.2771(after deducted 3.4 mil)), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.74/6.18 (DPS 0.1975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.2385, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.82/7.26 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.2365, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.83/6.44 (DPS 0.0975)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.2312, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.64/5.47 (DPS 0.095)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.2168, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.11/4.59 (DPS 0.095)

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