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Showing posts with label MBMR. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MBMR. Show all posts

Monday, November 12, 2012

KLCI Stock - MBMR / 5983 - 2012 Quarter 3

MBM RESOURCES BERHAD


Company Description
MBM RESOURCES BERHAD is an investment holding company. The Company’s operating businesses are organized into three business segments: investment holding; marketing and distribution of motor vehicles and other related activities, and manufacturing of automotive parts, trucks and vehicles body building and other related activities. It operates through several subsidiaries. Its subsidiaries include Daihatsu (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd (DMSB), which is engaged in the marketing and distribution of motor vehicles, spare parts and provision of related motor repair services; Summit Vehicles Body Works Sdn. Bhd., which is engaged in trucks and vehicles body building and general engineering works, and Galaxy Waves Sdn. Bhd. whichis engaged in investment holding. On March 31, 2007, it acquired a 16.35% interest in Federal Auto Holdings Berhad (FAHB), which increased its interest in FAHB to 86%. In August 2008, it disposed Auto Style Enterprise Limited and Sun Motors Limited to Med-Bumikar Mara Sdn. Bhd.

Company Info 
Listing Date1994-02-16
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,347,699,212 (Large)
Par ValueRM 1.00
BoardMain
SectorTrading/Services
Major IndustryAutomotive Manufacturing & Distribution
Sub IndustryAutomotive Parts Manufacturing
Websitehttp://www.mbmr.com.my

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E now(3.45-0.06)/0.3741 = 9.06 (Moderate)
Target Price3.93+0.06 = 3.99 (PE 10.5, EPS 0.3741, DPS 0.06)
DecisionBUY if stock price sustain and uptrend above 3.4 or wait rebound at lower price
Comment
Revenue decreased 4.8% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 38.8%, eps increased 4.1% but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 5.7%, not enough cash for operating but got enough dividend to cover financing expenses and cash from borrowings more than enough to cover all other expenses, not much different on gross margin which still low, liquidity ratio indicate good position to meet current obligation and is more efficiency to manage cash, higher gearing ratio than earlier year indicate the Group through higher leverage to expand the business, all accounting turnover period is good, higher inventory can indicate still good prospects in near future
First Support Price3.39
Second Support Price3.2
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
Jupiter Target Price4.3 (2012-07-19)
Affin Target Price3.6 (2012-10-01)
HLG Target Price3.7 (2012-10-01)
AMMB Target Price5.2 (2012-11-09)
HwangDBS Target Price3.7 (2012-11-09)
Kenanga Target Price3.68 (2012-11-09)
Maybank Target Price4.05 (2012-11-09)
MIDF Target Price4.53 (2012-11-09)
OSK Target Price4.23 (2012-11-09)
RHB Target Price3.55 (2012-11-09)
TA Target Price3.78 (2012-11-09)

Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity10.34%
Dividend Yield1.74%
Gross Profit Margin8.23%
Operating Profit Margin3.92%
Net Profit Margin8.62%
Tax Rate9.77%
Asset Turnover0.9768
Net Asset Value Per Share4.28
Net Tangible Asset per share3.54
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.95
Cash Per Share1.12
Liquidity Current Ratio2.2187
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.5062
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.7444
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.6093
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.3414
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale24.6%
Days to sell the inventory57
Days to collect the receivables54
Days to pay the payables52

Technical Analysis 
SMA 103.405 (Uptrend)
SMA 203.412 (Uptrend 1 day)
SMA 503.495 (Downtrend)
SMA 1003.57 (Uptrend)
SMA 2003.328 (Uptrend)
MACD (26d/12d)-0.021484 ( 0.005295 )
Signal (9)-0.031141 ( 0.002414 )
MACD Histogram0.009657 (Bullish trend 29 days)
Bolinger Upper Band3.478
Bolinger Lower Band3.346

My notes based on 2012 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue and pbt than FY11Q3 mainly attributable to increased vehicle sales from the passenger car segment as a result of additional dealerships and improved supply of vehicles. The Group also benefited from the first time consolidation of HHB's results this year

- Lower revenue than FY12Q2 as vehicle sales dropped in line with TIV but got higher pbt as a result of improved contribution from the manufacturing division as production volumes of major car makers recovered. Similarly, share of results of associate companies improved by 11.3% contributed mainly by the improved sales and production volume

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q3 result announced = 1538484*0.095/390637 = 0.3741, estimate PE on current price 3.45 = 9.06(DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced = 1504120*0.095/390637 = 0.3658, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.77/8.75 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 1362451*0.1/244774 = 0.5566, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.24/5.05 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 1307129*0.1/245429 = 0.5326, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.99/7.94 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.4606*1.05 = 0.4836, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.97/6.06 (DPS 0.14)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.2424*2*0.95 = 0.4606, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.64/5.8 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.571, estimate highest/lowest PE = 5.52/4.71 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.1154*4*0.9 = 0.4154, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.73/6.76 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.1399*4*0.9 = 0.5036, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.77/5.7 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.5049*0.9 = 0.4544, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.22/6.45 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.4772 (base on year 2008 eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.71/5.53 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0931*4 = 0.3724, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.4/6.69 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0916*4 = 0.3664, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.21/6.39 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0568*4 = 0.2272, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.65/8.98 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.0381*4 = 0.1524, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.37/12.6 (DPS 0.18)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.0672*4 = 0.2688, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.59/6.58 (DPS 0.18)

MBMR latest news (English)

MBMR latest news (Chinese)

Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetc_assetliabc_liabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdategros_moper_mprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2012-11-0820123N/AN/A-2.71%8.10%584951174289950407150412354681059400.11580.34602336114102009879763045978222942915384842589310344124374252201362378813734033830615730615710348102012-09-308.23%3.92%8.62%9.77%0.9768-4.283.540.951.122.21871.50620.74440.60930.341424.6%575452
2012-08-09201224.03.260.032.25%5.38%61428711579484381310000529451704720.11120.2661230618410172928020644467672194091504120258655737129152252201316029755034975126482626482610381172012-06-307.69%3.49%7.13%8.70%0.9186-4.854.00.981.332.2771.57650.78730.62430.347826.9%595959
2012-05-24201214.152.87-3.13%3.13%543661543661561925619241021410210.16760.1676209545280729873300137834621157213624513003616320218825220146356485442036572447742447746927102012-03-319.31%5.10%10.34%7.88%0.9001-4.73.790.750.862.13381.3740.55470.63690.349822.7%605959
2012-02-24201145.382.8-2.24%10.38%539020175233132061151099260461208770.10610.4925201988976444271119037281720082713086998022913273557271813882905256520224659024542924542911338812011-12-316.49%0.37%5.95%5.75%0.86759.38054.513.61.281.032.05041.29170.67870.64190.352122.3%644560
2011-11-10201134.963.07-3.03%8.15%42148112133114362211903835320948310.14390.3864143685556489321168117624214560312251742109338129618138924905248092061982454042454047656602011-09-307.85%3.35%10.35%9.75%1.1027-4.44.340.720.853.20522.11261.18270.19610.147324.5%483532
2011-08-11201123.192.80.061.81%5.11%382017791830290377541621106595110.08600.24241413423566764213319175554141555120010439436879559218138940315347232161122454972454977291262011-06-308.45%3.12%7.60%12.10%1.0978-4.314.250.70.913.22842.20911.26710.20150.150925.2%463638
2011-05-24201113.282.82-3.30%3.30%409813409813463794637938405384050.15640.1564140377155330521629219312515030411874797503791252281813894541297691516202454862454867290932011-03-317.89%3.41%11.32%7.41%1.1216-4.224.170.710.622.8651.7260.79350.20850.154122.9%563945
2011-02-17201043.342.940.082.83%13.79%371139152849434619173524291201421360.11870.5796134671952916318271515970514578211640041315737112748114995223955314361813882452252452257896242010-12-317.92%1.27%9.33%-1.1355.55544.154.110.780.753.31342.06711.14470.17940.135724.2%523236
2010-11-11201033.492.95-3.33%10.97%388704115735542324138905343001130160.13990.460912804934701461459621293461452391134531120319957112371499522116099231598752451852451857404582010-09-309.00%3.94%10.89%8.04%1.1322-4.033.990.760.733.63482.25581.38050.14750.11423.5%492628
2010-08-17201023.363.010.053.76%7.64%404816768651479809658138779787160.15800.320712312234465201247301083491405971106493158662014824214995236014362561862082454442454447756032010-06-308.09%4.11%11.85%9.54%1.1095-3.943.890.810.764.12112.78881.73250.12910.101324.8%422828
2010-05-24201013.262.7-3.88%3.88%363835363835486014860139937399370.16270.162712192554563301517211379291414591067534127751337514891499526008891508412455082455086628712010-03-318.24%4.02%13.36%6.70%1.0123-3.773.730.720.613.30842.36511.08440.16380.124425.8%422929
2010-02-11200943.192.550.032.12%6.79%2924561101638273539115620733665320.08560.2748115551939847912509410236113615110304255467620292719912044656705295061499522420732420736172862009-12-3110.31%2.88%9.35%15.32%0.96629.2783.693.630.70.633.89292.58441.47920.13990.108326.5%483431
2009-11-05200932.722.4-2.30%4.68%304995830867305876380322492457990.09160.18651114411372995106437841711348911007974393011872673412044639114123801328262455082455085892192009-09-3010.64%3.68%10.03%14.54%0.9819-3.563.50.690.554.43142.94381.61370.12190.095526.4%463425
2009-08-06200922.492.10.031.42%2.38%272913525872210763321613947233070.05680.0949107887035696887533689131334839913376077182220755120446425525010954362455082455085818532009-06-308.74%3.74%7.72%21.03%1.0234-3.493.430.690.45.183.05851.42240.1020.081126.1%543420
2009-05-14200912.42.1-0.96%0.96%2460552460551214012140936093600.03810.038110650583447898917070511131981975888161735982195021204462215541657787892455082455085548482009-03-317.06%2.04%4.93%11.33%1.0688-3.443.380.670.334.88992.58541.15510.10570.083724.1%582820
2009-02-24200842.491.950.061.86%13.21%270319120304419034149894164881171440.06720.4772107706336717797415775381305779796483687235961520779969072833207561204462454992454996112922008-12-3111.10%3.21%7.04%-1.0775.21833.463.40.730.524.73542.89451.64810.11470.090425.0%512619
2008-11-06200832.52.05-3.63%11.35%31486788968742646130860321521006560.13100.4100105319134829688062705591305299651295160031644487189994283244345261344682454802454805105982008-09-3011.32%7.31%13.54%11.92%1.1029-3.43.340.620.574.93623.53441.99440.10550.083623.9%353117
2008-08-07200822.591.910.062.90%7.73%307069574820367188821425687685040.10460.2791104796737137297017792161251189509502335541405218319969064760429291426192454902454905916302008-06-3011.10%5.95%11.96%13.96%1.1134-3.363.310.730.64.68813.31411.86470.11750.092625.0%383317
2008-05-08200812.982.33-4.83%4.83%267751267751514965149642817428170.17440.1744103063536050510721589290125319923420404924058159079969028107122001118902454912454916652802008-03-3111.02%7.77%19.23%7.67%1.0998-3.253.20.850.494.03752.72521.34330.13430.10423.9%423421
2008-02-26200743.042.640.062.90%14.17%271851108091030071140475226491105230.09270.452210013073422921147929804112057588651568399145925391710005153807110999412443922443927380632007-12-3111.62%5.83%11.06%10.83%1.11776.67793.133.080.980.453.49132.40641.13190.14990.114621.8%393522
2007-11-14200733.42.9-4.93%11.27%3200978473034926211040438464878740.15740.3597102439438567916956315876511924885483164211138332899810005150378213801214312443062443068355262007-09-3010.45%6.10%15.39%10.61%1.0328-3.012.961.160.512.42921.52770.77760.23050.165521.4%563337
2007-08-09200723.423.280.063.93%6.34%273791527206381636114230674494100.12520.201797491936646915635514486811365681856454007150302024710005138977187301187812449402449407985042007-06-3010.10%5.34%13.94%8.23%0.7568-2.882.821.160.492.52971.64640.83510.22180.160430.0%714647
2007-05-2420071N/AN/A-2.40%2.40%253415253415229792297918736187360.07650.07659318253435411449741345331134097868513523913451185631000512178832251032762448092448097344272007-03-318.32%3.00%9.07%8.80%0.498-2.752.71.110.432.55361.55980.77890.21530.155645.0%1206768
2007-02-2620064N/AN/A0.06N/AN/A21065011320121893612189913337920920.05480.37819546153847751746861643321188487799296347233879625566525697351347951000512435882435887137122006-12-3116.57%4.32%8.99%-0.22077.752.712.661.10.452.34141.39120.66070.26420.183104.6%324175185

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtDeferred tax assets (A-0)Development Expenditure (A-0)Goodwill on consolidation (A-0)Hire purchase receivables (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current asset classified as held for sales (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Property development costs (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Hire purchase liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Provision for retirement benefits (L-0)Amount due to holding company (L-1)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Hire purchase liabilities (L-1)Liabilities directly associated with assets classified as held for sale (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Non-cumulative redeemable preference shares (L-1)Provisions (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
2012337025096224325-79765414933590039188225218342280-12696292848347423375323523-33248418411862927--1477639807256300670229429
2012237024809224325-77109314975620639287224495351751-8973284509284533436063523-34993918352455122--1176129627266315560219409
2012130842262224325-77565015024651339430221866209879-7019262505249503029452905-34989118592854250--850689289432278383211572
2011437022321224325-7422291506076143957422062225303461036765261687212052156483620413328451867462314116-953019289334263635200827
20113--15124-6582771511710003962814281620843761034942192556-152855204-33616161910910--42857-4177128288145603
20112--15124-6371691263210003968914104522244761035694178950-153570204-359421619442837--24383-3919145973141555
20111--13025-6513891268210003941013296015324461035578219963-168417120-2142816193791148--11698-3775176125150304
20104--11435-6197831270310003959613303918281861036059199032-13515113656211991619646156815-17483-3751136242145782
20103--11435-6167101273910004000912845417855961032992178363-104129786-1452413064114845--21598-283699656145239
20102--11435-5922751277510004015012706818771761032422144360-105918786-142901305204442--4518-272896641140597
20101--11435-57056712826100042624124473149573752573582130112-97806787-11684132120252782393684521-277888633141459
20094--147991555408302156010004271313598315141661033264133936-10376017161801848123562041171110-12309-261685951136151
20093--147994052886322145-4308813248113582561033765125211-10209163736193302263197749233-11974-280368215134891
20092--1479919850986622188-430871317649801961035279146200-1013676374315726221480904185-11117-278153846133483
20091--1479945451215122438-432151272128144561037214162492-87535637501580221705051037344-10438-282355364131981
20084--1479983250604122475-4334812239112779161038537142743-820036371811691621431901441300-18354-286254391130577
20083--1396190950796922517-434881160511407216103375398915-98804543-1569412663954276--16287-318346418130529
20082--13961125748961722559-3562111358014771661034205108843-104505543-1602712313596033--19694-461548515125118
20081--13546151049205013887-35665113472119943148164200117168-104378543-16186119612704407--21208-460557800125319
20074--13546157648252913929-35783111652110972148163959106365-106180543-15051115713473005--30028-460759054120575
20073--13546442147006113978-33927102782123454148167594143137-96678493-9138116714307741--49237-533395024119248
20072--13546531043977514019-33424102376120979176485930127965-93947493-9651134315715768--49880-547782172113656
20071--13546634042045416907-29968101069104783148165109133695-85138680-8439132213703842--48778-548875055113409
20064--12878747440406416952-3007098402108567148214294156158-100935680-834613281357552--69093-550287828118848

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestFinance/interest incomeShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesSelling and distribution costsDiscontinued operationFair value gain on derivative financial instruments
20123584951492453681263819967190201001524893139616183--
20122614287381356702271869332193961054913462821115759--
20121543661442849305155131333920615107436023339015621--
20114539020184250401264785852517341739832973416429--
20113421481425338839047078181413540495832937512640--
20112382017351434973023578821683944174451692611429--
20111409813343737748520463991309045377393187211665--
20104371139207341744174822716322570675027377165701588-
201033887043403353729368501714108462159526610105500153
201024048164579372081305559611781462210863443999243866-
20101363835325433386725653531095754102493056497203400-
200942924564190262302281727013637243031617291153711611-
2009330499544472725405633684156943648311196279233--
2009227291344322490675674042118252697362110855867--
200912460551376228684298287410221140486161104995438-
20084270319220724031646048031486947536291018211254--
2008331486750832792285734873105195411-201886962--
2008230706951252729698353328119045906823184627256--
2008126775139502382576399081116974729787305526082--
2007427185132582402599356707128634164-151499579--
20073320097522628665710155041115735572-307457376--
20072273791314224614410015245114354347-245336826--
20071253415202223233310244229112102221-163906488--
2006421065087517575418132329107736474-1164317346--

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersMotor VehiclesAutomotive componentsVehicles body building
20123-4775691057001682
20122-516434963001553
20121-4407871005762298
20114-511194239563870
20113-391195259394347
20112-356516200755426
20111-387115190813617
201045373194136513029
2010369369867163802388
2010237384181172393433
2010160343975178171983
2009480274394154432539
2009326277865182832026
200923250823129261175
2009139228754131994063
20084181277986333341856
20083-277982336673218
20082-276874286751520
20081-239561264451745

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersMotor VehiclesAutomotive componentsVehicles body building
20123150659581840348
201221034927613324124
20121172963862310852
2011490517795321532
2011357810597417863
2011282592723072196
20111116311927330193
20104132559783319436
201031080121344538258
20102630116154359225
2010167010306518194
2009492855394017212
20093464774657643751
2009240464391785105
2009141832581909280
20084446983334718101
2008326170305056247
20082500519499370371
20081561111640358035

Financial Quarter Segments Associate
yearqrtOthersMotor Vehicles
20123-26415
20122-27092
20121-32503
20114-29734
20113-29375
20112-16926
20111-31872
20104-27377
20103-26610
20102-34439
20101-30564
20094-17291
20093-19627
20092-11085
20091-6110
20084-10182
20083-20188
20082-18462
20081115829394

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING



Saturday, April 28, 2012

KLCI Stock - MBMR / 5983 - 2011 Quarter 4

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,204,617,354 (Large)
Par ValueRM 1.00

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(4.94-0.06)/0.5326 = 9.16 (Moderate)
Target Price5.33+0.06 = 5.39 (PE 10.0, EPS 0.5326, DPS 0.06)
DecisionBUY if MACD start move toward to bullish trend and got strong buy volume than sell
Comment
Revenue increased 27.9% and was second consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 45.2%, eps decreased 26.3% and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 10.6%, cash generated from operating not enough to cover financing expenses but cash from borrowings more than enough to cover all expenses, gross margin slightly decreasing, weaker liquidity ratio from high to moderate level now, higher gearing ratio from below moderate to moderate level now, debt ratio increased to historical high, all repayment period is good, higher inventory can indicate better demand of sales of more car model
First Support Price4.9
Second Support Price4.6
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
Affin Target Price3.45 (2011-06-03)
OSK Target Price3.69 (2012-02-23)
HLG Target Price4.25 (2012-02-27)
MIDF Target Price5.25 (2012-02-27)
Maybank Target Price4.6 (2012-03-09)
Kenanga Target Price5.38 (2012-03-28)
AMMB Target Price5.8 (2012-04-06)
HwangDBS Target Price6.1 (2012-04-18)
RHB Target Price5.05 (2012-04-19)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity9.25%
Dividend Yield1.21%
Gross Profit Margin6.49%
Operating Profit Margin0.37%
Net Profit Margin5.95%
Tax Rate5.75%
Asset Turnover0.8619
Net Asset Value Per Share4.51
Net Tangible Asset per share3.58
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.29
Cash Per Share1.01
Liquidity Current Ratio2.2004
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.4881
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.7016
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.6566
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.3571
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale24.2%
Days to sell the inventory57
Days to collect the receivables55
Days to pay the payables65

Technical Analysis
SMA 204.906 (Uptrend 18 days)
SMA 504.698 (Uptrend)
SMA 1004.079 (Uptrend)
SMA 2003.554 (Uptrend)
MACD (26d/12d)0.095884 ( 0.007428 )
Signal (9)0.113918 ( 0.004508 )
MACD Histogram0.018034 (Bearish trend 5 days)

My notes based on 2011 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue mainly due to growth in sales of vehicles particular from the Perodua and Volkswagen dealerships

- Lower pbt mainly due to fee of take‐over exercise on Hirotako Holdings Berhad for which the acquisition related costs amounting to RM6.6mil

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 1307129*0.1/245429 = 0.5326, estimate PE on current price 4.94 = 9.16(DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.4606*1.05 = 0.4836, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.97/6.06 (DPS 0.14)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.2424*2*0.95 = 0.4606, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.64/5.8 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.571, estimate highest/lowest PE = 5.52/4.71 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.1154*4*0.9 = 0.4154, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.73/6.76 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.1399*4*0.9 = 0.5036, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.77/5.7 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.5049*0.9 = 0.4544, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.22/6.45 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.4772 (base on year 2008 eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.71/5.53 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0931*4 = 0.3724, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.4/6.69 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0916*4 = 0.3664, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.21/6.39 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0568*4 = 0.2272, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.65/8.98 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.0381*4 = 0.1524, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.37/12.6 (DPS 0.18)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.0672*4 = 0.2688, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.59/6.58 (DPS 0.18)

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Saturday, November 26, 2011

KLCI Stock - MBMR / 5983 - 2011 Quarter 3

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)755,470,834 (Medium)
Par ValueRM 1.00

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(3.11-0.14)/0.4836 = 6.14 (Moderate)
Target Price3.87+0.14 = 4.01 (PE 8.0, EPS 0.4836, DPS 0.14)
DecisionBUY if stock volume largely increase or price below 3
Comment
Revenue increased 10.3% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 8.4%, eps increased 67.3% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 2.9%, cash generated from operating not enough to cover financing expenses but cash from borrowings enough to cover all expenses, slightly weaker liquidity ratio at high level now, lower gearing ratio from below moderate to low level now, all accounting ratio are good, higher inventory can indicate better demand of sales, benefit from new launched of Myvi and strengthening of Japan currency
First Support Price3.0
Second Support Price2.9
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
HwangDBS Target Price4.15 (2011-01-10)
Affin Target Price3.45 (2011-06-03)
MIDF Target Price3.6 (2011-09-23)
Maybank Target Price3.1 (2011-10-28)
OSK Target Price3.35 (2011-11-11)
RHB Target Price2.7 (2011-11-11)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity10.17%
Dividend Yield4.50%
Profit Margin10.35%
Tax Rate9.75%
Asset Turnover1.1158
Net Asset Value Per Share4.4
Net Tangible Asset per share4.34
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.72
Cash Per Share0.85
Liquidity Current Ratio3.2052
Liquidity Quick Ratio2.1126
Liquidity Cash Ratio1.1827
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.1961
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.1473
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale24.2%
Days to sell the inventory46
Days to collect the receivables35
Days to pay the payables30

My notes based on 2011 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- The improved performance was a result of recovery in parts supply that had earlier impacted on production from the earthquake in Japan in March 2011

- The new Myvi launched in June 2011 also had a significant impact on lifting sales

- Unfavourable Yen rate movements impacted on results of the associates

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.4606*1.05 = 0.4836, estimate PE on current price 3.11 = 6.14(DPS 0.14)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.2424*2*0.95 = 0.4606, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.64/5.8 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.571, estimate highest/lowest PE = 5.52/4.71 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.1154*4*0.9 = 0.4154, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.73/6.76 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.1399*4*0.9 = 0.5036, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.77/5.7 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.5049*0.9 = 0.4544, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.22/6.45 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.4772 (base on year 2008 eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.71/5.53 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0931*4 = 0.3724, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.4/6.69 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0916*4 = 0.3664, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.21/6.39 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0568*4 = 0.2272, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.65/8.98 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.0381*4 = 0.1524, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.37/12.6 (DPS 0.18)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.0672*4 = 0.2688, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.59/6.58 (DPS 0.18)

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Sunday, August 28, 2011

KLCI Stock - MBMR / 5983 - 2011 Quarter 2

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)752,951,767 (Medium)
Par ValueRM 1.00

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(3.1-0.13)/0.4606 = 6.45 (Moderate)
Target Price3.68+0.13 = 3.81 (PE 8.0, EPS 0.4606, DPS 0.13)
DecisionNot interested unless stock price can sustain at 3.2
Comment
Revenue decreased 6.8% and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 5.6%, eps decreased 45% and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 45.6%, cash generated from operating and investing is more than enough to cover all expenses, stronger liquidity ratio at high level now, lower gearing ratio at below moderate level, all accounting ratio are good, impacting by uptrend of currency JPY and shortage of parts supply as a result of the earthquake in Japan, benefit from new launched of Myvi
First Support Price2.95
Second Support Price2.75
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
HwangDBS Target Price4.15 (2011-01-10)
Maybank Target Price5 (2011-01-24)
Affin Target Price3.45 (2011-06-03)
OSK Target Price3.8 (2011-06-08)
RHB Target Price3.75 (2011-06-08)
MIDF Target Price3.6 (2011-08-12)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity10.41%
Dividend Yield4.52%
Profit Margin7.60%
Tax Rate12.10%
Asset Turnover1.1111
Net Asset Value Per Share4.31
Net Tangible Asset per share4.25
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.7
Cash Per Share0.91
Liquidity Current Ratio3.2284
Liquidity Quick Ratio2.2091
Liquidity Cash Ratio1.2671
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.2015
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.1509
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale24.9%
Days to sell the inventory44
Days to collect the receivables36
Days to pay the payables36

My notes based on 2011 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- Subsidiary Federal Auto Holdings Berhad, recorded substantial increases in sales from its dealerships for European makes, Volvo and Volkswagen

- According to the Malaysian Automotive Association (MAA), the Malaysian motor total industry volume (TIV) of sales by registration declined in the second quarter of 2011 by 9.7% compared against the same period of 2010, which resulted in an overall decline in TIV for the six months by 1.3%. The Group's overall total vehicle sales also declined in the second quarter of 2011 and for six months by 13.4% and 4.8% respectively compared against the same period of 2010

- The Group’s overall performance was impacted by the shortage of parts supply as a result of the earthquake in Japan

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.2424*2*0.95 = 0.4606, estimate PE on current price 3.1 = 6.45(DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.571, estimate highest/lowest PE = 5.52/4.71 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.1154*4*0.9 = 0.4154, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.73/6.76 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.1399*4*0.9 = 0.5036, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.77/5.7 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.5049*0.9 = 0.4544, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.22/6.45 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.4772 (base on year 2008 eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.71/5.53 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0931*4 = 0.3724, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.4/6.69 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0916*4 = 0.3664, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.21/6.39 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0568*4 = 0.2272, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.65/8.98 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.0381*4 = 0.1524, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.37/12.6 (DPS 0.18)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.0672*4 = 0.2688, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.59/6.58 (DPS 0.18)

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Sunday, June 12, 2011

KLCI Stock - MBMR / 5983 - 2011 Quarter 1

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)779,281,001 (Medium)
Par ValueRM 1.00

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(3.21-0.13)/0.571 = 5.39 (Moderate)
Target Price4.57+0.13 = 4.70 (PE 8.0, EPS 0.571, DPS 0.13)
DecisionBUY
Comment
Revenue increased 5.1% and is second consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 12.6%, eps increased 35.5% but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 3.9%, no cash generate from operating after deduct increased assets expenses and also no cash generate from financing, lower liquidity ratio at moderate level now, higher gearing ratio at below moderate level, all accounting periods are good, since April USD and JPY currency also rebound which mind impact the Group, increasing branches for the dealerships
First Support Price2.95
Second Support Price2.75
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
HwangDBS Target Price4.15 (2011-01-10)
Maybank Target Price5 (2011-01-24)
MIDF Target Price3.2 (2011-05-25)
Affin Target Price3.45 (2011-06-03)
OSK Target Price3.8 (2011-06-08)
RHB Target Price3.75 (2011-06-08)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity12.17%
Dividend Yield4.05%
Profit Margin11.32%
Tax Rate7.41%
Asset Turnover1.135
Net Asset Value Per Share4.22
Net Tangible Asset per share4.17
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.71
Cash Per Share0.62
Liquidity Current Ratio2.865
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.726
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.7935
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.2085
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.1541
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale22.6%
Days to sell the inventory53
Days to collect the receivables39
Days to pay the payables42

My notes based on 2011 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- Total industry volume growth remained positive, growing by 4.3% over the preceding quarter and by 7.5% compared with the same period last year

- The gradual phase out of the Daihatsu Delta trucks are reflected in the decline in Daihatsu (Malaysia)'s truck sales, compared against last year, was partly compensated by the new Hino dealership sales

- The acquisition of Lion Motor Sdn Bhd was completed during the quarter

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.571, estimate PE on current price 3.21 = 5.39(DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.1154*4*0.9 = 0.4154, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.73/6.76 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.1399*4*0.9 = 0.5036, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.77/5.7 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.5049*0.9 = 0.4544, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.22/6.45 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.4772 (base on year 2008 eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.71/5.53 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0931*4 = 0.3724, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.4/6.69 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0916*4 = 0.3664, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.21/6.39 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0568*4 = 0.2272, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.65/8.98 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.0381*4 = 0.1524, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.37/12.6 (DPS 0.18)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.0672*4 = 0.2688, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.59/6.58 (DPS 0.18)

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