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Friday, November 26, 2010

KLCI Stock - DRBHCOM / 1619 - 2011 Quarter 2

DRB-HICOM BERHAD

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)2,513,208,166.30 (Large)
Par ValueRM 1.00

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(1.87-0.04)/0.2189 = 8.36 (Moderate)
Target Price2.19+0.04 = 2.23 (PE 10.0, EPS 0.2189, DPS 0.04)
DecisionBUY
Comment
Revenue increased and higher than preceding year corresponding quarter, eps second consecutive quarter decreasing but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter, negative free cash flow and negative net cash flow reduced a bit
First Support Price1.2
Second Support Price1.1
Risk RatingLOW

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity11.18%
Dividend Yield2.14%
Profit Margin11.30%
Tax Rate16.77%
Asset Turnover0.2492
Net Asset Value Per Share2.5
Net Tangible Asset per share2.38
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.55
Cash Per Share3.87
Liquidity Current Ratio0.7526
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.6402
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.5414
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio4.0529
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.7665
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale-53.7%
Days to sell the inventory94
Days to collect the receivables78
Days to pay the payables788

My notes based on 2011 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- The Group’s revenue rose marginally by 1.6% to RM3.20 billion for the six months ended 30 September 2010 compared to RM3.15 billion in the previous corresponding period ended 30 September 2009

- For the six months ended 30 September 2010, the Group achieved a higher pre-tax profit of RM409.65 million compared to RM163.65 million in the previous corresponding period ended 30 September 2009. The increase in profits were due to:

i)Improved performance of subsidiary companies
ii)Higher share of results of jointly controlled entities and associated companies
iii)Recognition of negative goodwill arising from accretion of equity interest in Edaran Otomobil National Berhad (EON) from 79.05% to 100.0%

- The Group recorded a lower pre-tax profit of RM186.17 million in the current quarter ended 30 September 2010 as compared to RM223.48 million in the preceding quarter ended 30 June 2010 which included the one-off gain being negative goodwill arising from accretion of interest in EON. Excluding the one-off gain, the pre-tax profits would have been as follows

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0684*4*0.8 = 0.2189, estimate PE on current price 1.3 = 5.76(DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.1873*0.95 = 0.1779, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.59/5.79 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0493*4*0.95 = 0.1873, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.09/5.02 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0428*4 = 0.1712, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.42/5.37 (DPS 0.04)

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