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Tuesday, August 2, 2011

KLCI Stock - SEG / 9792 - 2011 Quarter 2

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,044,561,328 (Large)
Par ValueRM 0.25

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(1.91-0.05)/0.2236 = 8.32 (Moderate)
Target Price2.68+0.05 = 2.73 (PE 12.0, EPS 0.2236, DPS 0.05)
DecisionBUY
Comment
Revenue increased 21.4% and is continuos increasing since FY10Q1 (higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 30.9%), eps increased 47.9% and is continuos increasing since FY10Q1 (higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 45.6%), cash generated from operating not enough to cover all financing expenses but managed to generated cash from issuance of new shares, weaker liquidity ratio at low level now, higher gearing ratio at below moderate level now, payables ratio slightly high, dividend policy is 50%
First Support Price1.9
Second Support Price1.7
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
Kenanga Target Price1.92 (2011-04-19)
TA Target Price2.76 (2011-04-29)
RHB Target Price2.3 (2011-06-22)
OSK Target Price2.23 (2011-07-08)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity29.61%
Dividend Yield10.99%
Profit Margin32.82%
Tax Rate19.66%
Asset Turnover1.0097
Net Asset Value Per Share0.61
Net Tangible Asset per share0.52
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share3.71
Cash Per Share0.18
Liquidity Current Ratio2.542
Liquidity Quick Ratio2.5413
Liquidity Cash Ratio1.4511
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.2463
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.1967
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale25.2%
Days to sell the inventory-
Days to collect the receivables58
Days to pay the payables72

My notes based on 2011 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- The improvement in performance is generally due to the increase in student enrolments of the Group’s institutions

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0559*4 = 0.2236, estimate PE on current price 1.91 = 8.32(DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0559*4 = 0.2236, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.12/8.05 (DPS 0.05)

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