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Sunday, April 10, 2011

KLCI Stock - SUNWAY / 4308 - 2010 Quarter 4

SUNWAY HOLDINGS BERHAD

Company Description
SUNWAY HOLDINGS BERHAD, formerly Sunway Holdings Incorporated Berhad, is engaged in the business of investment holding and provision of management services. The principal activities of the Company include construction related design and build, civil engineering, building works, manufacturing and trading of building materials, trading and distribution of construction related products, quarrying, property development and trading of pharmaceutical products. It operates in six segments: construction, property development, trading and manufacturing, building materials, quarry, financial services and investment holding. In December 2007, SunCon acquired a 70% interest in ABS Development Sdn Bhd. On January 8, 2008, SunInc completed the acquisition of Ansa Teknik Holdings Sdn Bhd.

Company Info
Listing Date1984-02-16
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,429,579,624 (Large)
Par ValueRM 1.00
BoardMain
SectorConstruction
Major IndustryCivil Engineering
Sub IndustryTrading of Pharmaceutical & Construction Related Products
Websitehttp://www.sunway.com.my

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now2.35/0.1882 = 12.49 (Moderate)
Target Price0.1882*13.0 = 2.45 (PE 13.0, EPS 0.1882)
DecisionNOT BUY unless price below 2.2
Comment
Revenue increased 1.6% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 31.9%, eps decreased 51% and is second consecutive quarter decreasing but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 6%, cash generated from operating still not enough to cover financing activities hence still need generate cash from financing activities, liquidity ratio increased at low level now, gearing ratio decreasing but still at high level now, all accounting periods are improve, merges offer RM2.6/share with SunCity
First Support Price2.2
Second Support Price2.0
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
Maybank Target Price2.6 (2011-03-08)
OSK Target Price2.6 (2011-03-08)
ECM Target Price2.6 (2011-04-04)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity15.59%
Dividend Yield-
Profit Margin7.52%
Tax Rate28.22%
Asset Turnover0.8206
Net Asset Value Per Share1.47
Net Tangible Asset per share1.27
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.69
Cash Per Share0.37
Liquidity Current Ratio1.4163
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.0229
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.2687
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio1.4655
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.5712
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale19.8%
Days to sell the inventory72
Days to collect the receivables125
Days to pay the payables143

My notes based on 2010 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- The Group recorded revenue of RM496.7 million and profit before taxation of RM37.3 million during the quarter under review. These results include RM2.2 million gains arising mainly from the adoption of FRS 139

- During the 12-month period under review, the Group achieved revenue of RM1,996.6 million and profit before taxation of RM208.0 million, which includes RM14.5 million gains arising from the adoption of FRS 139 and also gain from disposal of its sole hotel asset of RM13.4 million

- Despite an increase in revenue, the lower profit before taxation in the current quarter was mainly attributed by the share of losses from associates as well as provisions for impairment losses made by certain subsidiaries in respect of properties, plant and equipment and inventories

- Outstanding order book of RM2.4 billion from construction division

- The property development division currently has unbilled sales of RM472 million

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.2091*0.9 = 0.1882(exclude RM27.9 million non-repeatable gain), estimate PE on current price 2.35 = 12.49
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.065*4 = 0.26, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.22/7.99 (DPS 0.02)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.058*0.85*4 = 0.1972(15% deduction adjustment due to segments result 20% lower than preceding quarter), estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.56/7.86 (DPS 0.02)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.058(exclude FRS 139)*4*1.1 = 0.2552(10% QbQ improvement adjustment), estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.54/5.09 (DPS 0.02)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q6 result announced = 0.041*4*1.1 = 0.1804, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.48/7.1 (DPS 0.02)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q5 result announced = 0.0318*4 = 0.1272, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.95/8.88 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0352*4*1.1 = 0.1549, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.36/8.26 (DPS 0.03)

SUNWAY latest news (English)

SUNWAY latest news (Chinese)

Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdateprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2011-02-2820104N/AN/A-2.45%15.59%496712199657737344207971256091626080.03730.252424330941389895947891043199238533470511208971735211914827058524410668568664412414742242010-12-317.52%28.22%0.82068.51661.471.271.690.371.41631.02290.26871.46550.571219.8%72125143
2010-11-24201032.422.1-4.90%13.86%489015149986561039170627484941369990.07620.21952407039141837393290988666179436176091065091730721970459053626360863645562423914065652010-09-3012.48%15.40%0.7796-1.431.231.80.461.11250.80710.23241.58410.58937.5%78133151
2010-08-24201022.31.57-5.19%9.45%50917010108505923110958848612885050.07830.14372331337139523089655936107674531272522606177516547283212220963862049361591510176082010-06-3011.63%10.58%0.7588-1.371.171.40.381.33970.96060.23161.64830.598519.4%82146142
2010-05-25201011.691.32-4.52%4.52%501680501680503575035739893398930.06540.06542259182137609787900883085518853133429861787204875257661844866100456100457991582010-03-3110.04%18.38%0.7576-1.31.091.20.321.35460.97290.20371.73050.609119.9%82147149
2010-02-24200961.731.30.02252.80%12.72%501566258987936702153944240811092780.04100.203523068831447694882298591892920002038001991111496788200682891832565867325369338214242009-12-317.32%25.78%0.7245-1.441.21.170.351.3260.93310.20081.87780.627619.9%89152157
2009-11-24200951.551.16-2.16%10.23%41149020883132348411724218003851970.03180.161322720011439239860438327621630131838203683111432620807160241303505655785280827522182009-09-305.71%20.07%0.7136-1.411.161.150.311.38850.94940.17931.92740.633523.3%99163153
2009-08-25200941.481.31-2.49%9.09%3766331676823222359375818408671940.03520.12842169809143065084841739159132623149109205241177881648640381218265232875234237692312009-06-305.90%14.12%0.772811.45091.250.991.480.281.34950.90870.15722.18650.659319.8%94150137
2009-05-26200931.581.02-2.14%6.74%3816361300190179407152315500487860.02960.09322172889144937284261723517887031435543519611967154851196551000165233765235695443112009-03-314.70%13.40%0.8651-1.220.961.080.231.35280.92640.12722.26730.66718.0%82143127
2009-02-26200921.070.625-2.13%4.60%451538918554267335358315434332860.02950.0636219181914683538420572346633003114500500481185028149731449870535233765236633506612008-12-315.92%22.39%0.8461-1.220.960.70.231.36330.93050.12232.2970.669919.4%89153135
2008-11-27200910.810.65-2.67%2.67%467016467016268502685017852178520.03410.0341214410314753345434466876937773850726598011960047299186811382815239505239503772442008-09-305.75%30.50%0.8629-1.170.920.780.311.33960.93030.16362.40120.688118.0%83144133
2008-08-26200840.9350.5250.0283452.67%15.52%579491182520324567128522172391001550.03070.169720223451377161467476451841700761561575365315722813919397341174945607345900924710162008-06-304.24%29.84%0.90254.94911.010.81.050.251.43391.0440.15722.30130.68121.5%75155135
2008-05-29200831.420.81-3.92%13.33%35645612457123049810395524388829160.04210.138920599131437666392386222475853466272799341578267738721962300225799315969238177022008-03-318.56%21.38%0.9087-0.980.761.860.451.15510.86050.21842.46590.69799.9%70141116
2008-02-25200821.561.23-5.10%9.47%447263889256362107345731488585280.05770.1002198487313670863623161778717610741118107836157927134989271531850805461075841857263222007-12-318.10%8.67%0.9506-1.00.791.680.411.17250.86120.19382.35070.688810.5%70139123
2007-11-29200812.01.12-4.66%4.66%441993441993372473724727040270400.04900.049021031061522365406055807411005791081044557158480897694521220369255154855154810203632007-09-308.43%25.01%0.9327-0.980.772.40.461.12990.8970.19032.81850.72398.8%59167140
2007-08-30200742.21.79-8.17%1.71%626143189654135803176784482393830.08290.01742043927149514140053548786103694101560177571740332134156231584105404915403238053312007-06-305.72%-0.7434-0.940.732.040.381.10660.86730.15832.9390.73159.1%74217165
2007-05-3120073N/AN/A-2.31%5.99%3714221270398185185348113659354400.02530.0656203249014408363698059165454326297024318417101424624185601524545402675402673619782007-03-314.99%23.12%0.4395-1.030.810.830.391.50291.13540.2092.59760.708956.7%160381311
2007-02-2820072N/AN/A-2.65%3.77%521953898976225843496315290217810.02830.040319527491375001341335777481209521577159551717869482254371463495402675402672215092006-12-314.33%21.99%N/A-1.010.790.520.361.65641.24120.22382.52940.7041N/A-N/AN/A

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtDeferred tax assets (A-0)Derivative assets (A-0)Goodwill on consolidation (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment in jointly controlled entity (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Land held for property development (A-0)Loan to jointly controlled entities (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Quarry development expenditure (A-0)Receivables (A-0)Rock reserves (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current asset classified as held for sales (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Derivative assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other receivables (A-1)Property development costs (A-1)ABS senior notes (L-0)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Derivative liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Other liabilities (L-0)Cumulative redeemable preference shares (L-1)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Derivative liabilities (L-1)Financial liabilities (L-1)Liabilities directly associated with assets classified as held for sale (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
2010411548-127842671982233183665833851560071710-381266-196699314255743-206091248428643968484488053-18009133419836--24524279--17982974728594789
2010313992428912784274766183163366583174971811667-391473-178239547292108-30131658228514268569698798-16443264144646--20517366--49512874100993290
2010212362236212784273527161591366582996939941414-385229-196189782234617-27669299028998370765994037-15048287367022-800016669592--32204766556589655
2010112767-12872870887144712366582546917111468-388740-21137100161959252081723980484129580369009771342-15290-399062-15000157692347-347325784766730987900
2009614611-12872869262135633366582247917161692-402290-16843102492044482189227179-30488869644595095-18139-411478-1500015610--367628147270231988229
2009514974-1349066548511867038765890292921174116392393533-205281759174127-23613-321153724223105198-14185-43399320000-15914---29653565861286043
2009415303-134906616038805938765960991132149116691388135-276191765149015-23803-32372168882194260-14700-467751--20761---32083560660384841
2009315613-1349065803384972387660125823431176116777388649-155011770122090-29638-32705573756782213-14553-474908--13668---31629262995184261
2009212301-1349065406174884387660660823431175916454369600-200131776121038-21840-34933777801578956-14307-464408--10752---32617965270784205
2009111798-1349065247166414387671437752321187616966361291-204731782160709-21080-33024273184871702-12651-480619--16380---32346764221754344
2008414853-1259914918555253387668988353081108016427328511-114681789142445-27863-29213277591661260-15204-455576--13134---25584963739846747
2008313226-127679502575923876104421340621141113509303146-919917952621652078325443-287380724725662449157513344-132174--14282---60224158405039238
2008213874-1216495616360938769051532592152813077300497-765318002216661975025279-291907718338641009133214002-117966--24915-50000-44293862593336231
2008112261-1160154427665238767767432583153113246282153-1131918102536452651519186-291118895970192769108914087-84552--24105-50000-51661874191440605
2007414139-116011399494527938765275731652161913251281201-77571810205216-17571-30416190154461349084614547-93357--18309-50000-54111068697240053
2007315241-11544243235--51642-1800-280015122084271810210455---356319933117137679060214987-328059--14660---27443471809436980
2007211518-11544241931--51627-1800-2923751134125051810192214---35365187377329699035913711-412101--25226---20203163157334133

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestFinance/interest incomeShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesDerivative (loss)/gainShare of net profit of jointly controlled entity
201044967121053911084150754836701196589230261222942451
201034890159399822015576464799314614171238576221050
20102509170626785782131549646943529662987199727843
201015016809254800475454663471210191162545889079
2009650156694628642918348530031596624143-15090
200954114904714697469774021257678993881-9336
20094376633314011039975436663868718374263-7425
200933816362404993611238379698366393972-10089
20092451538598512368839642609653147181590-2955
2009146701681891064091754489348098063284-6143
2008457949173301276281195615292854318-10076
20083356456652110420713032961241128804093-29
2008244726331391223919962421688158310691886-43
20081441993931511237983340889589212554328-30
200746261438271123222518767795774912901857-1
20073371422428211127325134755457712201306--
2007252195349661249110755495712232849446865--

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersProperty developmentConstructionInvestment holdingTradingFinancial ServicesBuilding MaterialsQuarry
20104962463662306763371344104793071452768
201031698193072859245321088876592803643972
201023459243072783072701302756543044841450
201012455400992812751581086445982749840953
200965010417172600131771133256153510045609
20095290995312219741591069676422787641432
20094230188541921971171004686122630645778
2009345998038182481117899364572201373821
20092582313759221928254950456632637787863
20091494226032433521211013216403217981858
2008449191240321905212211134417231440197592
2008367035129190168122907673142408739166

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersProperty developmentConstructionInvestment holdingTradingFinancial ServicesBuilding MaterialsQuarry
201043631576293091218470178101874343
2010313871762602917079439264200990
201024004451171723200120163272923142
20101599593126480113679714135602060
20096544431615944728636346159566
2009515831110770223362673841205515
2009473080311631435771752711163607
20093700763284935053928397135110921
200922446530310442297743874485813847
20091242942388410601079824311309344
2008468523273786029461127783757354478
20083117816042602419398147138264412

Financial Quarter Segments Associate
yearqrtOthersProperty developmentConstructionTrading
2010412231324057984-
20103127752351581539
201023027156561218740
2010116431274780518
20096210092987835-
2009519213176813818
200942303259667934
200938043685964674
20092300208821614
200911521517627333
20084690-845562
200831834-22322

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables






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