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Wednesday, July 13, 2011

KLCI Stock - AFFIN / 5185 - 2011 Quarter 1

AFFIN HOLDINGS BHD

Company Description
Affin Holdings Berhad is an investment holding company. It operates in five segments: Commercial Banking and hire purchase, Islamic Banking, Investment Banking and stock-broking, Money-broking, Fund and unit trusts management. The principal activity of the jointly controlled entities are underwriting of life insurance business and property development while the associate is principally engaged in the underwriting of general insurance business. The Commercial Banking and Hire Purchase segment focuses on business of banking in all aspects which includes Islamic Banking operations. Investment banking segment includes business of a merchant bank, discount house, fund and unit trusts management. Stock-broking segment comprises institutional and retail broking business for securities listed on the Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad. The insurance segment includes general and life insurance businesses.

Company Info
Listing Date1991-11-04
Market Capital (Capital Size)5,096,503,498 (Very Large)
Par ValueRM 1.00
BoardMain
SectorFinance
Major IndustryBanking
Sub IndustryOther Financial Services
Websitehttp://www.affin.com.my/

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(3.41-0.09)/0.296 = 11.22 (Moderate)
Target Price4.14+0.09 = 4.23 (PE 14.0, EPS 0.296, DPS 0.09)
DecisionWatching, buy when MACD histogram lower
Comment
Revenue increased 0.2% and is continuous increasing since FY09Q2(higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 19.6%), eps decreased 16.2% and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 21.6%, cash generated from operating more than enough to cover financing activities but not for investing activities, investment banking division profit decreasing, lower commercial banking division profit and insurance division recorded loss again
First Support Price3.26
Second Support Price3.1
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
RHB Target Price4.3 (2011-03-15)
CIMB Target Price4 (2011-03-22)
HLG Target Price3.73 (2011-05-25)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity8.87%
Dividend Yield2.64%
Profit Margin22.54%
Tax Rate24.30%
Asset Turnover0.0487
Net Asset Value Per Share3.54
Net Tangible Asset per share2.87
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.22
Cash Per Share5.62
Liquidity Current Ratio1.1018
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.8554
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.1979
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio8.2096
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.8914
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale181.9%
Days to sell the inventory5804
Days to collect the receivables4270
Days to pay the payables23558

My notes based on 2011 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- Compared to FY10Q1, the increase in net interest income and Islamic banking income was not sufficient to cushion the drop in other operating income and share of profit in associate as well as the share of loss in jointly controlled entity. Both the overhead expenses and allowance for loan impairment were also higher

- Insurance division recorded increase in both earned premium and investment income but not sufficient to cushion the increase in net claims, overhead expenses and net commission

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = (0.071+0.077)*2 = 0.296, estimate PE on current price 3.41 = 11.22 (DPS 0.09)

AFFIN latest news (English)

AFFIN latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdateprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2011-05-2420111N/AN/A-2.00%2.00%6217136217131401111401111060671060670.07100.07104874817043454979-52931918254811326389100884862119150090860179280193991494576149457652310162011-03-3122.54%24.30%0.0487-3.542.871.225.621.10180.85540.19798.20960.8914181.9%5804427023558
2011-02-24201043.623.15-2.43%9.39%62054422729951559926321121265724886250.08470.32704700390841802875-5201033246804317496400761746512450547244654086211911494570149443949021892010-12-3125.14%18.86%0.048410.03173.482.81.176.01.11280.88610.22068.03740.8893201.7%5253432523177
2010-11-26201033.733.080.092.23%7.00%59782116524511491124761201150153620530.07700.24234496995139800903-51690481339148256263400761746511595411159140477660551494570149443947377862010-09-3024.94%22.87%0.0481-3.462.781.145.421.10660.88370.20927.69990.8851190.9%4996440322364
2010-08-20201023.313.03-2.21%4.89%53460510546301496853270081117062470380.07480.16534280395737755942-50480152050684667464225617465167181466758968422401494374149437345578402010-06-3028.00%25.37%0.0485-3.382.71.134.81.10980.88080.19517.47940.8821194.4%4986441721750
2010-05-31201013.132.9-2.74%2.74%5200255200251773231773231353321353320.09060.09064083061635900257-493035918854179507895266617465160653751127166859221494317149431743335192010-03-3134.10%23.68%0.0497-3.32.621.114.681.10840.87940.19987.28150.8792187.1%4804426220954
2010-02-25200943.292.63-1.78%7.85%5104092008858114002493752841703718430.05630.24883995414335218854-473528915960411833947399986681254323790663789261746511494367149436739451282009-12-3122.34%26.17%0.050310.60973.172.481.064.331.10710.84920.18897.43750.8815182.6%5335410220683
2009-11-20200932.682.270.0852.25%6.08%50886714984491398823797501062682876730.07110.19253874512334015785-47293381459292109183340000068125433674593254167800021494367149436735565932009-09-3027.49%24.03%0.0519-3.162.480.964.791.10620.87010.2167.19250.8779175.1%4817392620388
2009-08-20200922.661.85-1.95%3.95%490606989582119603239868898171814050.06010.12143738594532788075-4597870249170452707200000681254320353740353764090061494367149436727645782009-06-3024.38%24.90%0.054-3.082.390.774.491.11340.89030.21167.13110.877178.1%4406388319721
2009-05-15200912.041.61-2.03%2.03%49897649897612026512026591588915880.06130.06133727560032762981-451261913038551036815000006812543140753690753677200791494371149437124806552009-03-3124.10%23.84%0.0555-3.022.330.715.351.09780.89290.25017.26030.8789151.3%4114362220047
2009-02-24200841.861.23-1.91%6.64%5125752115438115540401821841072927620.05630.19583682813132416826-441130512287071922427829483387681247931152622568125431494367149486219127892008-12-3122.54%27.21%0.05746.53582.952.260.575.141.11410.89180.24757.34860.8802167.5%4288344519262
2008-11-18200831.531.220.051.23%4.76%516630160286375167286281538952086550.03610.13973702574332639927-43858162051358266022300283387682054018227702060617481493693149369318969902008-09-3014.55%28.30%0.0578-2.942.240.574.681.11450.8710.22317.44220.8815167.6%4660344319081
2008-08-14200821.91.14-1.44%3.57%539071108623386700211114623651547600.04180.10373723187232898993-4332879244547325921223002833876857046834746686862341492338149233828354422008-06-3016.08%28.07%0.0591-2.92.210.866.441.11890.91510.3057.59290.8836170.3%3783317118519
2008-05-15200812.141.66-2.13%2.13%54716254716212441412441492395923950.06190.06193733411532996085-43380306641053899721898278338768105407786425092030181492338149233830294462008-03-3122.74%25.74%0.0595-2.912.210.926.941.11610.91720.32757.60620.8838165.2%3819304719178
2008-02-29200742.261.920.031.34%5.94%537541218487370510350621567952517730.03900.18993613288231895904-4236978100384494129242677770234639374563642283387681455182132608432596072007-12-3113.12%19.45%0.060511.7983.22.410.936.841.12380.90630.32827.5280.8827171.7%4139291619019
2007-11-23200732.782.040.021.62%5.26%576811164733284651280111600391949780.04630.15183597595332272077-370387685612103965012238177023461125262100288187052271295757128467733171372007-09-3014.68%29.07%0.0601-2.882.071.247.841.11410.91520.33278.71310.897161.0%4010298820141
2007-08-29200723.082.54-1.99%3.71%5609621070521106613195460724271349390.05530.10363801598634375388-3640598241612810012031338207702346341733132835111098585713103651302521N/A2007-06-3019.01%32.07%0.0417-2.81.99N/A9.611.10980.92680.3879.44220.9042225.0%5642402130812
2007-05-1420071N/AN/A-1.74%1.74%509559509559888478884762512625120.04850.04853682313933235756-35873831165619223816117474770234694180382432985266751289158128915830295212007-03-3117.44%29.64%0.0279-2.781.971.198.151.10920.88410.3349.26460.9026334.9%10048611944622
2007-02-2620064N/AN/A0.032.77%6.53%5164981988029117705310579962642269180.07670.18293548399232007149-347684342008612161944091333262044417055437614277023461254878124087724093652006-12-3122.79%18.22%0.014610.49932.81.960.987.081.11610.88870.29519.20580.902676.7%198621255087307

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtDeferred tax assets (A-0)Intangible assets (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment in jointly controlled entity (A-0)Land held for sales (A-0)Other assets (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Amount due from associated companies (A-1)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Deposits with licensed banks (A-1)Derivative financial assets (A-1)Financial assets held-for-trading (A-1)Financial investments available-for-sale (A-1)Financial investments held-to-maturity (A-1)Loans, advances & financing (A-1)Statutory deposits with Bank Negara Malaysia (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Other liabilities (L-0)Bills payables (L-1)Deposits & placements of banks & other financial institutions (L-1)Deposits from customers (L-1)Derivative financial liabilities (L-1)Obligations on securities sold under repurchase agreements (L-1)Provision for taxation (L-1)Recourse obligations on loans sold to Cagamas Berhad (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)
20111153771009655154116109953-527519-17875590624809103779706328324313989921741530842273199522736733692411823239062461181413717867997533478969156842-5736283618361491
20104101801011867152779113311-305813-1768979062486733417629118088432541498538528907533458265740662751672700122508239062473802511016168376313309843257560-188286370258802
2010395006101353715032310575527332539178-165705906247824868401322381-9971806045856359825736002279630265451166390624666585114528597679232014752--91264289085257107
201024351101462014483710852661332535550-171524906246901053919007017-6982677640845768672489035125801811347727000390624607243115483516578531009647--38324291763110073
201015607101976513514411260562354499547-175546-6740156964051817-1373974276237042352276625631118144927176300000550304112847518090829230463--34785294523169251
2009457430102333012922810764262354452794-196774-622354418756181724315150000816666451821622496936244982793611763000006621049426551470942859925141684-273429721674330
2009359029102791912184810554566247512695-186421-682860247194102800-42729846752727921535970228043970222424300000568285118523414116828620186--2230914861894272
2009269480103313312028210545766571483867-192734-6466690509131800-70652437155022421299223244096177034975500000568196124473313411928108014--55430150000146868
2009164715103567211820310372585269556398-198014-775983647733--9504259088565496102047730324044534779152620000057577886330456759727248537--52320-30893
200846393810377021136619603087412626772-203153-685160241465--403813589660860266519927677835628400051257700000658783136243388870726934976--488311108836941
200836136210389951169399913081512508291-204455-610171210733313328-1194818580804662758119260418874981926842363700000612332112964504114325147300--8113224103920590
200825148910347921152109374981620383983-223503-872597810419336062-37300254235136252291825834684442985677436370000069789490411434171126114975--6224731060860332
200814042210376071123359766181620442967-227019-925213995636292080-3279245307319652619177492128117278058282979700000669425157836410437526322706--51032186617801115
200743287110369291099769733092835470044-226159-838611372834721548-2803265868465443307172776398416471748594316900000676595126697407907425558739--25317361510163656
200734214810409331094981074919932432447317322224403-876441773280576943-63940446163768147291688471381387782662217268102000070771691728338478425815567--32924430878771212
2007253589104336210795210740310081424951617461225706-1104124078838750751-49930645464269079641676817680122071626233182102000078318678415412736925647998-150897524626517556634081
2007167975104490099806107250100814262896-249365-85865151014321142180-4882485401385119313116470803776986729453309861020000730640112170117975326842776-2096505-567340655586
2006487430104814898342107913100814223319-228750-7734134104196326482-5338055245310106597217356971820755401651228091162644727693281177135152725688093-17603135457637758369678

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesFinance/interest incomeShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesImpairment lossNet income from Islamic banking businessWrite back/(Allowances) for losses on loans, advance & financingZakatProfit equalisation reserveGain/loss on dilution of equity investment in associateShare of net profit of jointly controlled entity
20111621713340442500468053116712745609414518004711225159191--3354
201046205442942023891499987165170444045124940464449632867710-5017421
2010359782134097219670868411675834384772961379545247303148527103238
20102534605379791918027275615749939740722904414453819192462627179622319
20101520025419911685358815314990936588055041044350212435---5059
2009451040929832160123949981558593809974062568342630861640776-1632
2009350886733614153955842731524913606671566492842119402021002845-88
20092490606297861570527656315121335481820792373397903781233083621-1732
20091498976286771902696239814493137217345429043809820887---45
20084512575314332122693765714435640137131823192401871959030--3100
2008351663021272221067577961455313981921729415637405469420--2259
2008253907124335212094815071465983873972875284134511549182359--6462
200815471623201921845888485151096389061235940953603118204---331
200745375411371522310082728154479401950339897633425254230850-10161
20073576811246122560458587216745743034715461338032229288390290-88
200725609623418625947493082127875410313814615739296843042022651008-153
20071509559263352441427213513149838846843846073306131494-797-663
2006451649821441245414110623125789394343934918099331773554914990-3437

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersElimination/AdjustmentInsuranceInvestment BankingCommercial Banking
2011128882889-67611552431
2010441752385-67136551618
2010342862423-68305527653
2010235481650-48506484201
2010123811299-63172455771
2009418483211-56117455655
2009318683699-62972447726
2009218783412-57558434582
2009119824381-54108447267
20084362711631-40056480523
2008335183331-45714470729
2008242041596-39970496493
200813520914-58882485674
2007430882800-60671476582
2007336011668-75953498925
200723672875-70096488069
200713157987-77830429559
200647101210-85728428850

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersElimination/AdjustmentInsuranceInvestment BankingCommercial Banking
201117534590-17325123435
201045764554-18363129167
201035974294-28521119999
201025213908-12309133744
201014833189-27881138994
200943343170-11463101186
200933253196-19768118907
20092903347-16933104523
200914022552-16399100531
200849952904-17779137042
200835922425-1916397107
2008213382641-18861112315
200816022785-15384108164
2007490543153-989462670
20073836954-877082292
20072174521071-20101105815
200711792217677-2320971226
200644843370-5437667926

Financial Quarter Segments Associate
yearqrtInsurance
201111903
201048670
20103277
2010229
2010110563
200942430
200931654
200923811
200914587
200843418
20083530
200823587
200812690
200746763
200731634
200728299
200713721
200645912


Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables






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