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Thursday, July 28, 2011

KLCI Stock - PWROOT / 7237 - 2012 Quarter 1

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)172,500,000 (Small)
Par ValueRM 0.20

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(0.575-0.04)/0.0427 = 12.53 (High)
Target Price0.30+0.04 = 0.34 (PE 7.0, EPS 0.0427, DPS 0.04)
DecisionNot interested unless revenue and profit increase more
Comment
Revenue increased 13.9% and is second consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 1.4%, eps increased 89.3% and is second consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 4.6%, cash generated from operating enough to cover all expenses, weaker liquidity ratio but still at high level now, higher gearing ratio at below moderate level now, all accounting ratio are slightly high
First Support Price0.55
Second Support Price0.52
Risk RatingHIGH

Research House
JF Apex Target Price0.61 (2011-01-26)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity6.61%
Dividend Yield13.91%
Profit Margin11.83%
Tax Rate19.90%
Asset Turnover0.8038
Net Asset Value Per Share0.62
Net Tangible Asset per share0.6
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.95
Cash Per Share0.1
Liquidity Current Ratio3.6787
Liquidity Quick Ratio2.9658
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.8048
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.2323
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.1885
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale56.4%
Days to sell the inventory114
Days to collect the receivables154
Days to pay the payables137

My notes based on 2012 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- The increase of revenue and profit mainly attributable to the increase in the sales from the Group's Fast Moving Consumer Goods business

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 0.0407*1.05 = 0.0427, estimate PE on current price 0.575 = 12.53(DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 0.0407*1.05 = 0.0427, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.47/11.83 (DPS 0.02)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = (0.0323+0.0038)*1.1 = 0.0397, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.74/11.08 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0285*2*0.95 = 0.0542, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.56/8.67 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0338*1.1 = 0.0372(10% increase from 0.0338), estimate highest/lowest PE = 18.55/13.98 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0338(follow 2010 cumulative eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.57/13.46 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.04, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.25/11.13 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0395, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.68/12.03 (DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.034, estimate highest/lowest PE = 17.94/12.35 (DPS 0.03)

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