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Monday, July 2, 2012

KLCI Stock - UMCCA / 2593 - 2012 Quarter 4

UNITED MALACCA BHD



Company Description
UNITED MALACCA BERHAD is a Malaysia-based company engaged in cultivation of oil palm and investment holding. The Company is organized into three business segments: plantation, which is engaged in the cultivation of oil palms and palm oil milling; property development, which is engaged in the development of residential and commercial properties, and investment holding. The Company had planted an area of 18,316 hectares comprised of 74% of matured oil palms and 26% of immature palms of less than four years old. During the fiscal year ended April 30, 2010, the Company had produced 63,133 tons of crude palm oil, 14,472 tons of palm kernel and 255,037 tons of fresh fruit bunches. The Company’s subsidiaries are Leong Hin San Sdn. Bhd., Meridian Plantations Sdn. Bhd., Syarikat Penanaman Bukit Senorang Sdn. Bhd., South East Pahang Oil Palm Berhad and Masjid Tanah Properties Sdn. Bhd.

Company Info 
Listing Date1961-07-22
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,493,689,273 (Large)
Par ValueRM 1.00
BoardMain
SectorPlantation
Major IndustryTransportation
Sub IndustryOil Palm & Others Crop
Websitehttp://www.unitedmalacca.com.my/

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E now(7.34-0.26)/0.4175 = 16.96 (Moderate)
Target Price7.10+0.26 = 7.36 (PE 17.0, EPS 0.4175, DPS 0.26)
DecisionNot interested unless revenue and profit got significant increase
Comment
Revenue decreased 22.4% and was second consecutive quarter decreasing and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 27.5%, eps decreased 42.2% and was third consecutive quarter decreasing and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 46.1%, cash generated from operating more than enough to cover financing expenses and together with cash from disposal of assets enough to cover all expenses, margin decreasing but still very high, stronger liquidity ratio at very strong level now, slightly lower gearing ratio at very low level now, very low debt ratio, all repayment/collection period is good, CPO price uptrend in 1-month chart
First Support Price7.0
Second Support Price6.75
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
TA Target Price6.9 (2011-12-27)

Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity8.44%
Dividend Yield3.54%
Gross Profit Margin37.90%
Operating Profit Margin33.91%
Net Profit Margin32.53%
Tax Rate15.04%
Asset Turnover0.199
Net Asset Value Per Share5.22
Net Tangible Asset per share5.13
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.43
Cash Per Share0.82
Liquidity Current Ratio8.5714
Liquidity Quick Ratio8.0958
Liquidity Cash Ratio7.329
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.0989
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.09
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale74.5%
Days to sell the inventory34
Days to collect the receivables28
Days to pay the payables65

Technical Analysis 
SMA 207.286 (Uptrend 14 days)
SMA 507.336 (Downtrend)
SMA 1007.302 (Uptrend)
SMA 2006.941 (Uptrend)
MACD (26d/12d)0.01279 ( 0.002218 )
Signal (9)-0.000638 ( 0.003357 )
MACD Histogram0.013428 (Bullish trend 23 days)
Bolinger Upper Band7.424
Bolinger Lower Band7.148

My notes based on 2012 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- Lower revenue and pbt than FY11Q4 mainly due to higher FFB production cost (higher fertilizer cost) incurred, lower crude palm oil ("CPO") and palm kernel ("PK") prices as well as lower FFB production

- Lower revenue and pbt than FY12Q3 mainly as a result of lower FFB production due to unfavourable weather condition

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q4 result announced = 1058136*0.08/202765 = 0.4175, estimate PE on current price 7.34 = 16.96(DPS 0.26)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q3 result announced = 1043164*0.09/202765 = 0.463, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.07/14.64 (DPS 0.26)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced = (0.1156*3+0.1426)*1.05 = 0.5139, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.06/12.41 (DPS 0.275)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 0.1426*4*0.9 = 0.5134, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.66/11.2 (DPS 0.25)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 0.1125*4 = 0.45, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.27/12.89 (DPS 0.25)

UMCCA latest news (English)

UMCCA latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdategros_moper_mprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2012-06-2720124N/AN/A0.161.21%8.44%445412313821449010864712310858810.06060.42351162775104639-10581361072094586549636140353613441170815206120328120276514900492012-04-3037.90%33.91%32.53%15.04%0.19917.30615.225.131.430.828.57148.09587.3290.09890.0974.5%342865
2012-03-29201237.77.04-2.09%7.23%57422186841267429415721287735710.10490.36311153201110037-104316497171355975166714035361574990715026020287520259714931602012-01-3148.67%46.85%46.57%20.40%0.2153-5.155.061.450.826.91546.40325.90680.10550.095466.9%452064
2011-12-15201227.56.650.12.30%5.14%58909129419302156741523414522840.11560.25821148489111837-1036652729362264833805140353502881648315683620251720245813588892011-10-3156.22%51.62%51.29%22.51%0.2072-5.125.031.330.856.79186.26725.78570.10790.097472.5%532277
2011-09-29201216.756.0-2.84%2.84%7051070510372003720028870288700.14260.14261156479108587-10478923944312053265140353273902765516800820240020240012994082011-07-3154.43%52.05%52.76%22.39%0.2015-5.185.091.260.877.84827.35826.63150.10360.093977.6%463076
2011-06-29201147.126.050.1752.42%8.67%614652057152899810570922759814450.11250.40361120325103249-1017076854433060237945123457548411689614035320233820180914102952011-04-3052.13%47.81%47.18%21.52%0.183617.27075.044.951.410.698.21487.52636.55550.10150.092275.1%583469
2011-03-28201137.16.8-1.99%6.24%47076144250255507671118738586860.09260.29101105522112482-99304064439180503812012345746389826913172620230220163914282522011-01-3156.85%53.23%54.27%26.66%0.1747-4.924.831.460.655.51054.7424.27530.11330.101772.0%932786
2010-12-16201127.46.770.0752.52%4.25%5393297174300885116123680399480.11750.19841160196109886-105031041204250272325412345716177707711638020160620130714132582010-10-3159.36%54.68%55.79%21.30%0.1633-5.225.121.370.656.27095.5654.96340.10460.094774.0%733175
2010-09-272011111.326.95-1.73%1.73%4324243242210732107316268162680.12140.12141145088102912-1042176132149018N/A1234574196419612765313400513400514740552010-07-3149.89%48.22%48.73%22.80%0.157-7.787.641.441.058.65277.95217.20540.09870.089983.4%553062
2010-06-142010411.628.160.251.62%7.20%48860178527189788167714255633050.10640.47241041122101300-939822669452530824020134979518613722633812345713400513400510613192010-04-3041.24%40.57%38.84%24.89%0.171516.76527.016.871.150.927.57217.0186.04090.10780.097375.2%454165
2010-03-30201038.257.65-1.83%5.58%43434129667206076269916073490500.11990.366098123792269-88896846144256672402013497952105282507299906613400513400510452392010-01-3150.05%46.78%47.44%22.00%0.1684-6.636.491.20.846.7535.8925.22730.10380.09474.8%853267
2009-12-14201028.17.410.12.18%3.75%4424286233243634209219136329770.14280.246197643693701-88273563536198301513497951552999631979913400513400510720402009-10-3158.85%54.27%55.07%21.45%0.1579-6.596.451.242.4617.200416.568414.62780.10610.096237.0%6910475
2009-09-15201018.27.79-1.57%1.57%4199141991177291772913841138410.10330.103398243488894-89354095142861N/A349795123751237533742013400513400510733802009-07-3146.71%42.37%42.22%21.93%0.1669-6.676.531.232.5921.798321.381419.07450.09950.0905230.8%349361
2009-06-24200948.557.20.31.76%8.26%35600192652186269183715220713400.11360.532496725787769-8794888297318478552773405776449592183497951340051340059648362009-04-3053.06%59.83%52.32%18.29%0.199213.52456.566.421.122.6821.388720.860820.07060.09980.0907189.2%372751
2009-03-24200937.35.8-1.11%6.50%3235215705212057732119585561200.07150.418895662392355-8642686935717527552773405775183034473371301340051340057839292009-01-3144.58%41.22%37.27%20.50%0.2266-6.456.310.932.5816.295315.78115.20530.10690.0965160.3%422255
2008-12-16200926.05.50.12.21%5.39%54073124700252976115419040465350.14210.347396361598882-864733624761667745227340577457995723411491340051340057638282008-10-3154.27%46.97%46.78%24.73%0.244-6.456.310.92.6112.842912.48511.8640.11430.1026148.3%392865
2008-09-10200916.24.62-3.18%3.18%7062770627358573585727495274950.20520.205298560194681-890920325977478N/A34057725119251193656961340051340058308312008-07-3153.42%49.42%50.77%23.32%0.2498-6.656.510.952.7815.788215.366114.48570.10630.0961154.4%383359
2008-06-25200848.156.150.453.33%16.21%597172221862556411811119815965770.14790.720795369090265-863425955881469463437213241524253420816234057713400513400510720402008-04-3057.13%57.24%42.81%22.49%0.23311.10046.446.31.272.5717.209316.481315.65310.10450.0946160.8%613064
2008-03-26200838.07.3-5.36%12.89%50727162469366199254731930767620.23830.572868747749364-6381137002164953437213241563526291541615691340051340059849362008-01-3167.80%67.22%72.19%12.80%0.2805-4.764.621.591.2410.17729.40598.29620.07740.071895.5%654264
2007-12-17200828.656.950.14.66%7.53%65129111742337035592827737448320.20700.334666814952050-6160995139386172445613241542776183201507351340051340059380352007-10-3154.00%51.67%51.75%17.70%0.2705-4.64.461.571.27.43997.18716.34610.08450.077990.1%254379
2007-09-11200817.16.45-2.87%2.87%4661346613222252222517095170950.12760.127666814952050-616099267502859N/A1324152389123891156306134005134005N/A2007-07-3148.22%45.17%47.68%23.08%0.173-4.64.46N/A1.27.43997.18716.34610.08450.0779140.9%3767117
2007-06-2720074N/AN/A0.25N/AN/A30340129645158216307612771519030.09530.387363329637573-595723873772123513588798616614252554132415134005134005N/A2007-04-3044.93%49.92%52.15%19.28%0.1089-4.454.31N/A1.069.90149.56778.81720.06310.0593206.9%5064135
2007-03-2620073N/AN/A-N/AN/A3865599305235494725520081391320.14990.292062434042891-5814492932315026771979454142976578860321340051340056191032007-01-3142.37%57.59%60.92%14.73%0.0619-4.344.21.10.75.91995.64774.68750.07380.0687253.9%89181219

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtAvailable-for-sale investment (A-0)Biological assets (A-0)Deferred tax assets (A-0)Development Expenditure (A-0)Goodwill on consolidation (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current asset classified as held for sales (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other investments (A-1)Other receivables (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Dividend payable (L-1)Other payables (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)
2012441756427981--1862828403-4037446825152061-1082914798-17457818722131--20636
2012339992422006--1862829871-4086444391150260-1438615638-13943819517668--20418
2012239141417131--1862828150-4134439060156836-1561915451-14339820596983--22795
2012150587410873--1862828449-4182436442168008-129457170-19195821714926--21490
2011450264406144--1862828199-4231436981140353167514740--19110818393733--17677
2011350258400833--1862829333-4280432405131726-23678--14381816718997--21814
2011249064396898--1862828625-4329495939116380-1876815573-15992833017244--19341
2011135659394254--1862827206-4377495467127653-1372313494-14627833234164--15425
2010415822392229--1862824798-4426430467123457-11326--19969808634246--16191
20103-390135-129518628241841578221604417015599066-184891318675706703707956885-91265463
20102-275756-129518628222611578287669167039319799-1425510175361367641711437004-83447210
20101-275324-129518628208511596288054165547337420-75889774358856106706924648-74776077
20094-274831-129518628203761596288438165446349795-9436892677806344698964969-91503754
20093-274171-132018628208091596288822166650337130-11686836578605220696337522-111244076
20092-273623-1295186282048215962892061662343411491131053982117001111726943511756-123275364
20091-272850-129518628191951596289590162261365696113108516645448018035689778885-124814338
20084-272200-129518628168741596289962159458340577113160474433272915412682245290-120574694
20083-82096-1295186281725181596290022102719161569-154794920886613403292964779-104034886
20082-81630-1295186281695871544790371103051150735-63929746733213935267625016-130087264
20081-81630-1295186281695871544790371103051150735-63929746733213935267625016-130087264
20074-78152-1264186281666291544791379103009132415-5351898662985738215361569-104224046
20073--98012641862820181915494-26804186439-5431708610381877722939690586980935300

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesSelling and distribution costsReplanting expenditureGain/Loss on disposal of investment in an associateOther expenses
201244454121802766118632849284666898-124
201235742254552947429703013549881707-124
2012258909680125791205126718349031029-1185
2012170510833032133247130781135967632-106
2011461465623929422115131047336871124-14
2011347076681220311261331841206619713-518
20112539326408219173177482916518501053-23
2011143242480521669181217931130727908-14
2010448860472328708474221426147661457-2165
20103434344534216951149179321877561899-20
2010244242522718207630175714107281056-171
2010141991388822378190132812026471263-38
2009435600340616712482411994337032239-512
2009332352247217931179512837677702046-827
200925407362572472588156317389331839-1542
2009170627836232900154158023218061368-591
200845971757492560247451865873644132081732167
2008350727468916334166813443381583861-35
2008265129596629961553123812257511177-77
200814661351302413725195322595711091-146
20074303403050167073189102523434991669-151
2007338655346822275753789628517191565-39

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtPlantation
2012444541
2012357422
2012274733
2012170510
2011461465
2011347076
2011253932
2011143242
2010448860
2010343534
2010244342
2010142091
2009438038
2009332352
2009254073
2009170627
2008459717
2008350727
2008265129
2008165129
2007430340
2007338655

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtInvestment holdingPlantation
20124159512611
20123268423509
2012257428807
20121219733868
20114105727208
20113132223022
20112292925508
20111169118252
20104438414208
20103209916549
20102305620125
20101299013765
20094677412285
2009355465744
20092146322096
20091216131375
20084-26748
20083311130127
20082245330025
20081245330025
2007439039575
20073891511783

Financial Quarter Segments Associate
yearqrtPlantation
20124284
20123549
20122834
201211135
20114733
201131206
201121651
201111130
20104614
201032187
201021410
201011202
20094433
20093767
200921738
200912321
20084873
200833381
200821225
200811225
200742343
200732851

Monthly Business Data
yearmthCrude Palm OilFresh Fruit BunchesPalm Kernel
20125389126094890
20124365524352920
20123322922535839
20122283720561758
20121388026896965
2011125017317651211
2011116062340541374
2011106543367491476
201195470350741255
201185052313201192
201175178332021167
201165379349111213
201155889354341431
201144491270661135
201134298195901105
20112238419437606
20111334319948790
201012425422534987
2010114765262491133
2010105357328221286

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


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CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
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