Sponsor by Innity

Sponsor by cwyeoh

Sponsor by Nuffnang

Tuesday, October 16, 2012

KLCI Stock - TSH / 9059 - 2012 Quarter 2

TSH RESOURCES BERHAD


Company Description
TSH RESOURCES BERHAD is a Malaysia-based company engaged in investment holding, marketing of cocoa beans and the operation of a forest management unit. The Company's segments are palm and bio-integration, wood product manufacturing and trading, and reforestation, and cocoa manufacturing and trading. The palm and bio-integration segment is engaged in the operation of oil palm plantations, manufacture and sale of crude palm oil and palm kernel, and generation and supply of electricity from a biomass plant. The wood product manufacturing and trading, and reforestation segment is engaged in the manufacturing and selling of sawn timber and downstream wood products, and operation of a forest management unit. The cocoa manufacturing and trading segment is engaged in the manufacturing, selling and trading of cocoa products. The Company has operations in Malaysia, Spain, Luxembourg, France, the United States, Indonesia and Singapore. In August 2008, it purchased TSH Sukuk Ijarah Sdn. Bhd.

Company Info
Listing Date1994-01-31
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,934,871,625 (Large)
Par ValueRM 0.50
BoardMain
SectorPlantation
Major IndustryOil Palm & Others Crop
Sub IndustryWood Product
Websitehttp://www.tsh.com.my/

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(2.3-0.035)/0.1064 = 21.29 (Moderate)
Target Price2.38+0.035 = 2.42 (PE 22.4, EPS 0.1064, DPS 0.035)
DecisionNot interested unless CPO price rebound or stock price sustain and uptrend above SMA5 and SMA10
Comment
Revenue increased 22.7% but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 15.4%, eps decreased 2.7% and was fourth consecutive quarter decreasing (lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 59.1%), cash generated from operating enough to cover financing expenses but not for investing expenses hence spent 20.1% of Group cash to cover, gross profit dropped below 24%, although low liquidity ratio but Group assets is very liquid to meet current obligation, high gearing ratio due to more investment but is more high risk during business decline, all accounting of inventory turnover, receivables collection and payables payment period is good, affect by CPO price downtrend and competition from Indonesia
First Support Price2.3
Second Support Price2.15
Risk RatingHIGH

Research House
Jupiter Target Price2.88 (2012-02-27)
Maybank Target Price2.35 (2012-08-23)
MIDF Target Price2.24 (2012-08-24)
HLG Target Price2.65 (2012-09-18)
OSK Target Price2.92 (2012-09-18)
HwangDBS Target Price2.25 (2012-10-05)
AMMB Target Price2.75 (2012-10-15)
Kenanga Target Price2.8 (2012-10-15)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity10.30%
Dividend Yield1.52%
Gross Profit Margin23.94%
Operating Profit Margin9.29%
Net Profit Margin7.27%
Tax Rate15.37%
Asset Turnover0.5247
Net Asset Value Per Share1.06
Net Tangible Asset per share1.0
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share2.59
Cash Per Share0.05
Liquidity Current Ratio0.8495
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.4245
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.0785
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio1.2372
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.5263
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale-6.8%
Days to sell the inventory97
Days to collect the receivables52
Days to pay the payables54

Technical Analysis
SMA 102.253 (Uptrend)
SMA 202.243 (Downtrend 1 day)
SMA 502.396 (Downtrend)
SMA 1002.419 (Uptrend)
SMA 2002.296 (Uptrend)
MACD (26d/12d)-0.025171 ( 0.005228 )
Signal (9)-0.046433 ( 0.005316 )
MACD Histogram0.021262 (Bullish trend 10 days)
Bolinger Upper Band2.438
Bolinger Lower Band2.048

My notes based on 2012 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- Lower revenue and pbt than FY11Q2 due to the Palm & Bio-integration segment arising from the lower FFB production and lower average CPO price, foreign exchange loss of RM5.4 million as compared to foreign exchange gain of RM5.5 million and jointly controlled entity was affected in the current quarter due to competition from Indonesia oil refineries based on their advantage of export tax structure

- Higher revenue than FY12Q1 mainly due to higher capacity utilisation of processing plants as FFB production and higher average CPO price but lower pbt mainly attributed to higher foreign exchange loss and lower contribution from jointly controlled entities

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced = 968254*0.09/818930 = 0.1064, estimate PE on current price 2.3 = 21.29(DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 949491*0.1/818930 = 0.1159, estimate highest/lowest PE = 24.46/17.56 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 949709*0.15/818617 = 0.174, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.97/11.87 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.0841*4/2 = 0.1682, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.32/10.49 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0876*4*0.9 = 0.3154, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.18/8.56 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0583*4*0.9 = 0.2099, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.2/13.29 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.2068*4*1.2 = 0.2482, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.2/10.44 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0444*4*1.1 = 0.1954, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.84/11.41 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.033*4 = 0.132, estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.21/13.94 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.1938*0.95 = 0.1841, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.59/8.8 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.1802*1.1 = 0.1982, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.65/8.78 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0568*4*0.95 = 0.2158, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.66/7.92 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.055*4*0.8 = 0.176, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.97/8.35 (DPS 0.05)

TSH latest news (English)

TSH latest news (Chinese)

Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdategros_moper_mprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2012-08-2220122N/AN/A-1.54%3.13%278984506362202704332414625296790.01790.03622044054107580098680968254921988566658976502097785318883313281893081893021210282012-06-3023.94%9.29%7.27%15.37%0.5247-1.061.02.590.050.84950.42450.07851.23720.5263-6.8%975254
2012-05-21201212.872.07-1.59%1.59%227378227378230542305415054150540.01840.01842005512105602198197949491962344999392296775954622153935236681893081893017361312012-03-3128.41%10.72%10.14%22.17%0.5602-1.040.982.160.070.85850.45710.12091.24050.5266-6.2%884852
2012-02-22201142.642.10.0353.09%14.26%292941114863530055162362261491205380.03190.1471200786110604789896794738315444915326517019787211184158356288681861781946217600262011-12-3125.48%10.87%10.26%11.21%0.572114.61651.040.972.220.080.7460.43140.11561.250.5282-13.0%804559
2011-11-17201134.081.8-4.08%11.17%2731488556944703413230734471943890.08410.23021947840100291210450694492812275380524635617909542229213325776340999240999214759712011-09-3030.79%17.83%17.22%19.10%0.5657-2.051.931.870.140.65980.35180.09641.19330.5149-18.7%834368
2011-08-19201123.92.76-4.26%7.09%329947582546516338527335964599180.08760.146018673419436721001699236696094740271645418558620676438654172141034941034912925992011-06-3026.92%16.66%15.65%21.32%0.5586-2.011.881.680.10.66430.340.07081.14590.5054-19.1%895061
2011-05-18201113.252.85-2.83%2.83%252599252599336403364023954239540.05830.0583185692798079495105876133566722164160738044016497325704787041056241056211577842011-03-3124.59%12.43%13.32%21.17%0.4957-1.91.781.580.130.58970.30180.0761.25580.5282-30.5%1025063
2011-02-23201042.842.650.065.33%10.34%2462109084274258510532543456842810.10570.20491866403102133492764845069120485200747928386605380262125767862941122941122911391042010-12-3117.79%15.07%17.30%-0.486713.51561.831.711.620.20.67930.36130.12791.35760.5472-22.7%1055472
2010-11-18201032.952.28-2.24%5.01%214265662217271316274618242408310.04440.099317944179764618974981795655293148634823225938793341110194836841105541105510605212010-09-3027.94%15.57%12.66%22.69%0.5319-1.771.651.560.120.78880.41370.09521.34090.5442-11.6%965555
2010-08-26201022.861.89-1.39%2.77%207476447952176973561511328225890.02760.0550179174496183390055829911413591236318628458957822724012629694109084109087930522010-06-3022.61%11.52%8.53%32.71%0.5268-1.81.681.150.160.92570.45790.13971.30.5368-3.6%1035154
2010-05-19201012.01.67-1.38%1.38%240476240476179181791811261112610.02740.027417239949045988763081939631030493092479660451182796517669684114504114507406102010-03-3118.92%8.18%7.45%30.87%0.5653-1.781.661.080.170.95430.48970.15061.23620.5247-2.1%965052
2010-02-25200942.161.790.053.04%10.09%292296988662300819221322367742070.05430.180217250949098648710281523013469019394397966200745925338713587874117224117228316782009-12-3116.48%12.12%10.29%14.51%0.531411.20751.771.651.220.140.99750.48160.13061.24960.5274-0.1%1135770
2009-11-05200932.351.76-3.18%7.05%203669696366268776213223433518400.05680.12571586974797329855447896456456816207678918350879750818590164974124094124097093432009-09-3022.97%15.53%13.20%7.44%0.4974-1.711.611.070.061.06670.51780.06361.13240.50243.2%1257453
2009-08-06200921.981.72-3.09%3.86%238141492697306193549822701284070.05500.06891547843765694890577821496504210083652177230173579416383394004124094124097175912009-06-3015.14%12.38%12.86%12.60%0.5864-1.681.581.10.121.34250.68460.15361.10480.494712.0%1056147
2009-05-20200911.941.52-0.78%0.78%18260418260453445344570657060.01380.013814984407580298162574041122861330644912149331102033892488254120964120967170472009-03-3119.05%5.78%2.93%10.65%0.673-1.61.51.160.141.52570.80750.19331.15060.505915.8%986339
2009-02-25200841.811.310.053.45%8.32%1649131109941296308227324903600000.06030.145314199526841488241573580415230187757169928179451725272599153464129194129195863442008-12-3135.23%12.90%17.97%-0.78179.77241.581.490.950.051.0680.44060.05111.04710.48182.4%994536
2008-11-06200831.61.26-3.41%11.78%3220359450283212711190324604849030.05930.204514571466696709404378747613313132933140254276041462465992216124151324151325479742008-09-3016.56%9.87%9.98%20.12%0.8155-1.671.590.830.071.42040.76130.07930.96570.459612.9%906935
2008-08-07200822.321.1-4.10%8.37%338857622993436628383529538603000.07110.145214157376253909428579034770452822591409672999415271111744182504152894152899634702008-06-3015.28%10.24%12.89%22.46%0.7803-1.681.591.460.061.54720.81440.0770.89850.441717.1%1037636
2008-05-21200813.342.27-4.27%4.27%284136284136401734017330762307620.07410.0741127389151904789575754844215873796155747290305954838012522941536241536213291582008-03-3118.91%11.85%14.14%14.56%0.7668-1.61.522.110.081.53780.84530.10920.78020.407516.0%967341
2008-02-15200743.362.570.0655.42%18.04%2432628615423549112196928506948810.07200.2397118811846727086327720848476611694571270412615312179652453139839582539582512903892007-12-3123.43%13.92%14.59%9.80%0.725113.60011.61.512.160.11.63010.88820.15660.73640.393317.6%986745
2007-11-15200733.882.96-4.87%12.62%238410618280330148647825603663750.06570.170410991584310548069666810454072127514897601395473442163183027238953038953012075432007-09-3020.65%12.85%13.85%9.81%0.7126-1.511.412.20.091.79651.00570.18670.73380.392219.2%926844
2007-08-16200723.142.98-4.39%7.75%211057379870305965346423081407720.06040.106610683444107707651665757443999978138992915259538143611551374382393382393N/A2007-06-3023.58%14.45%14.50%10.58%0.51-1.521.42N/A0.171.31320.82680.25480.70690.384514.7%1129360
2007-05-2420071N/AN/A-3.36%3.36%168813168813228682286817691176910.04720.0472880184354809733415253751065820932652615670102743748119223746573746579254022007-03-3122.92%12.32%13.55%9.55%0.3792-1.211.142.170.051.35370.76780.08550.78490.403122.3%18414679
2007-02-2820064N/AN/A0.05N/AN/A164958624652206156731222032637220.05940.17179007733748737131452590090814148926647238657581126611152683710553710554972132006-12-3130.81%14.24%12.50%-0.18317.80291.231.161.160.051.31350.7530.08020.82460.416242.8%404314251

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtBiological assets (A-0)Deferred tax assets (A-0)Intangible assets (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment in jointly controlled entity (A-0)Investment securities (A-0)Leasehold land use rights (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Receivables (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Derivative assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Investment securities (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred income (L-0)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Retirement benefits obligations (L-0)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Derivative liabilities (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
2012259157453915023557756610392255012734670651179883824416604-20693036151850666787465744427632221741213136820011489598680
2012155579739205023557433744542255012613468784078055903116154962196019421471366790774865421588322211929259835765611625698197
2011454486945185023557440683982255013057968297079346794917707273621848234514048269135767363237543222118002501041591413490798967
201135533753822507795726063608225501290146571339801585161650599311869064212859870364757482480101813132211714438890153152104506
20112509624241650679570575948522550124260637965945441963151041747192212501427757159372964204390181395921925449086132309100169
201114870522475506795674669298225501252826302179396519861567611857196812521268497282271402150994181395777755171612239395105
20104466264242750679591376081722550126854630270104078225915169171620451358133283740507110823109018136911574649043314018392764
201034435032778494425867248885226161276966162029776500631302810003197305-1444487527979273296005-548926440690111325089749
2010243117523264951358355494252261413127461292199536400614019300214353-1315107650879127347970-420552934158711190790055
20101413904257346815248255015517598-7199991482968379143217201210955-1324407773773680299147-10861-32989611327787630
20094403229294046789245144666817536-718959145055888816051-232650701422957839274004306403-9612-29662114483287102
2009336926423254136424095615511753617680847866580932427713630-209531541597817793868379269220-6470-2862688905485544
2009232829139204146023596616291758617834845893683314872215551-208577541528427774968522302293-5242-2187159317389057
20091288006373539916233095917115017539843728075855878812661-218314541740737589169972308108-2427-2157508588181625
20084272897224039975231486093815017454742704772481971212085-241826541380855606069964172592-2285-2951428810582415
200832518801993348302283864801150160347402645-2889625514-2400321602230605782466652180738-14119-2572859305294043
20082229365199234852486153210150157171386410-2657623300-2528621602313195746866143156508-11144-2453508877794285
20081212524199233145485217910150152160365614-3166418296-2007291601952305453062390112051-3724-1998858646789575
20074204502247134896484491310150152075345971-3777318779-1787501601576305534362841107945-5607-1532438229186327
2007317926214138136484278410150149421340216-352288089-1490661601464575500165118122232-3139-1131337243180696
2007216945463138134483755610150150893325418-652027875-124315160138508521676407438629-2738-1866306653276516
2007112712421262342448247841015093944314182-1795310072-122927160133290521675179340751-2375-1548615286273341
20064136712300223365483101610150104145296271-180869874-126179160141765500465635243073-3932-1430567841471314

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestFinance/interest incomeShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesForeign exchange (loss)/gainShare of net profit of jointly controlled entity
20122278984311621220675565847467062529-323-1584
20121227378511216277873813297435112888-7-6056
201142929413370218309723146242333536-808-4641
201132731488984189033598611769471703579-183-4123
201123299471100924113563148895427364660-290-2686
201112525997121190490636511674423902565-131-8481
201042462102962202401683912902196112091-392-11932
201032142656156154401596110856373642733-276-540
2010220747657881605635978896431977581-472-697
20101240476553119496655595766315981126-311-3488
200942922964366244140631623996432813348-2536547726
200932036691999156884517414781299371445-499-77
2009223814138592020922946201017954405963128793763166
200911826045691478143606566029894931-161-1767
20084164913155106806480915658765834882-310184493864
20083322035646426870832263354223851059-29025023269
20082338857980828706328151875189544316453--11309
20081284136584823041331261715217723563263--9370
20074243262347918626923474614265983506218-11493760
2007323841032381891732277467190604173697--3950
20072211057323616129729261200204674279526--2503
2007116881321841301212561488183772993114--4512
20064164958523611413444152011293433819953--585

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersPalm & Bio-IntegrationWood product manufacturing & forestationCocoa manufacturing
20122696926052211493-
201211015820695410266-
20114-27054675249544
20113-2571391024211094
20112-2991821501815747
20111-2090441680226753
20104-2030071487529561
20103-1793191707417872
20102-1677811594423751
20101-2075501950313423
20094-2526151565624025
20093-1586351635528679
20092-2469301878744376
20091-1326281756332413
20084-1237942070631699
20083-2310873473656212
20082-2617753209744985
20081-2086323629039214
20074-1766724115938146
20073-1618724150135037
20072-1346214633630100
20071-1002413702331549
20064-1150074589321018

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersPalm & Bio-IntegrationWood product manufacturing & forestationCocoa manufacturing
2012268634048536-
20121696313491-
20114-425153607230
20113-54421902977
20112-58806286252
20111-359354153053
20104-3717522678017
20103-323683694464
20102-2371714125505
20101-2952311285272
20094-321124572568
20093-2158325392036
20092-214454442469
20091-2042794447
20084-1837543555836
20083-2866813484242
20082-2902819336445
20081-2638749425580
20074-2707946777322
20073-2306754653284
20072-2293855393400
20071-1444652793047
20064-1889446851522

Monthly Business Data
yearmthCrude Palm OilPalm Kernel
20128156693760
20127161273791
20126147683488
20125133423290
20124129853220
20123130423310
20122124143069
20121138483424
201112153443758
201111151773503
201110165593930
20119161603702
20118150053549
20117175554194
20116189184568
20115188684581
20114175434313
20113160364036
20112121753093
20111106702655
201012113912828
201011149583574
201010155293875
20109153433895
20108156884261
20107145173751
20106146053273
20105152943663
20104150543536
20103166954244
20102150993859
20101185594598
200912217185185
20091121244.055371.33
20091022130.525588.71
20099183454343
20098161773803
20097168583963
20096169944005
20095202254781
20094189584702
20093191454981
20092168404339
20091206295279

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = average working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = average days to sell the inventory, rec_d = Average days to collect the receivables


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING

No comments:

Post a Comment