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Thursday, January 31, 2013

KLCI Stock - AJIYA / 7609 - 2012 Quarter 4

AJIYA BERHAD


Company Description
AJIYA BERHAD is a Malaysia-based investment holding company. The principal activities of the Company’s subsidiaries are manufacturing and trading of roofing materials, manufacturing and trading of all kinds of glass, trading of building materials and investment holding. The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates in three divisions: manufacturing, which includes glass base and metal base; marketing and trading, which includes glass base and metal base, and investment holding. Its major subsidiaries include Asia Roofing Industries Sdn. Bhd., Ajiya Marketing Sdn. Bhd., ARI Utara Sdn. Bhd., ABM Industries Sdn. Bhd., Ajiya Metal Industries Sdn Bhd, ASG Marketing Sdn. Bhd. and ASG Project Services Sdn. Bhd. In April 2007, Ajiya Safety Glass Sdn Bhd acquired the remaining 45% interest in Ajiya Glass Industries Sdn Bhd. During the fiscal year ended November 30, 2007, the Company acquired additional 45% equity interest in Ajiya Glass Industries Sdn. Bhd.

Company Info
Listing Date 1996-12-20
Market Capital (Capital Size) 117,680,495 (Small)
Par Value RM 1.00
Board Main
Sector Industrial Products
Major Industry Building Materials
Sub Industry Investment Holding
Website http://www.ajiya.com/

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now 1.7/0.2458 = 6.92 (High)
Target Price 0.2458*6.3 = 1.55 (PE 6.3, EPS 0.2458)
First Support Price 1.65
Second Support Price 1.55
Risk Rating MODERATE

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity 6.70%
Dividend Yield -
Operating Profit Margin 7.33%
Net Profit Margin 7.27%
Tax Rate 16.09%
Asset Turnover 1.0776
Net Asset Value Per Share 3.28
Net Tangible Asset per share 3.28
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share 0.52
Cash Per Share 0.5
Liquidity Current Ratio 3.3362
Liquidity Quick Ratio 2.4059
Liquidity Cash Ratio 0.5777
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio 0.3237
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio 0.2088
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale 36.5%
Days to sell the inventory 58
Days to collect the receivables 104
Days to pay the payables 48

Technical Analysis
SMA 10 1.725 (Downtrend)
SMA 20 1.733 (Uptrend 22 days)
SMA 50 1.702 (Same)
SMA 100 1.73 (Same)
SMA 200 1.686 (Same)
MACD (26d/12d) 0.001973 ( 0.002289 )
Signal (9) 0.007214 ( 0.00131 )
MACD Histogram 0.005241 (Bearish trend 5 days)
Bolinger Upper Band 1.818
Bolinger Lower Band 1.648

My notes based on 2012 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue and pbt than FY12Q3 mainly due to the deliveries of orders outstanding since previous quarters

- Lower pbt than FY11Q4 mainly due to stiff market competition which eroded the profit margin of certain products

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q4 result announced = 0.2458, estimate PE on current price 1.7 = 6.92
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q3 result announced = 0.23*1.01 = 0.2323, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.71/6.76 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced = 0.23, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.87/6.91 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 265402*0.06/69224 = 0.23, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.26/6.43 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 265072*0.06/69224 = 0.2298, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.44/6.88 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.0395*4*1.05 = 0.1659, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.19/9.4 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.157*2*0.9 = 0.2826, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.26/5.1 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0529*4*1.05 = 0.2222, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.46/7.11 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.07(average eps from recent 3 quarter)*4 = 0.28, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.46/6.25 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.08(average eps)*4*0.95 = 0.304, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.84/6.38 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.3427, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.19/5.46 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0816*4 = 0.3264+0.0163 = 0.3427 (5% grow from 0.3264 due to recovery from previous weak market), estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.16/4.99 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.312(2% drop from 0.3184), estimate PE on current price 2.14 = 6.67(DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.28, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.39/5.18 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.23, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.52/5.22 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.26, estimate highest/lowest PE = 5.15/4.46 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.26, estimate highest/lowest PE = 4.69/3.65 (DPS 0.06)

AJIYA latest news (English)

AJIYA latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary Open in New Window
a_date year qrt h_price l_price div roe c_roe rev c_rev pbt c_pbt prof c_prof eps c_eps asset c_asset liab c_liab mino equi cfo cfi cff cash fcf net final share c_share m_cap date oper_m prof_m vat asset_t pe navps ntaps p/ntaps cps l_cur l_qui l_cash g_de g_da avg_w inv_d rec_d pay_d
2013-01-30 2012 4 N/A N/A - 1.94% 6.70% 100141 379190 7276 29416 5136 17780 0.0742 0.2568 351871 197913 73471 59323 51458 278400 28842 20585 8371 34383 8257 114 34269 69224 69224 117680 2012-11-30 7.33% 7.27% 16.09% 1.0776 6.6187 3.28 3.28 0.52 0.5 3.3362 2.4059 0.5777 0.3237 0.2088 36.5% 58 104 48
2012-10-23 2012 3 1.85 1.63 - 1.32% 4.76% 92248 279049 6949 22140 3498 12644 0.0505 0.1827 352600 201945 73743 60655 56974 278857 27042 8758 14944 34383 18284 3340 37723 69224 69224 123218 2012-08-31 7.56% 7.53% 27.47% 1.0594 - 3.21 3.2 0.56 0.54 3.3294 2.2697 0.6219 0.3324 0.2091 37.8% 68 98 56
2012-07-24 2012 2 1.87 1.65 - 1.95% 3.45% 97665 186801 8993 15191 5172 9146 0.0747 0.1321 348090 200550 74187 61099 55429 273903 20456 3683 13282 34383 16773 3491 37874 69224 69224 114911 2012-05-31 8.99% 9.21% 24.39% 1.0561 - 3.16 3.15 0.53 0.55 3.2824 2.1698 0.6199 0.3396 0.2131 37.9% 73 94 57
2012-04-20 2012 1 1.73 1.54 - 1.50% 1.50% 89136 89136 6198 6198 3974 3974 0.0574 0.0574 337400 190060 67182 54094 53797 270218 10815 1737 8013 34383 9078 1065 35448 69224 69224 116296 2012-02-29 7.14% 6.95% 17.73% 1.0993 - 3.13 3.12 0.54 0.51 3.5135 2.2992 0.6553 0.3104 0.1991 36.7% 70 88 48
2012-01-18 2011 4 1.77 1.64 0.06 1.82% 7.44% 94496 362761 7450 30053 4527 18540 0.0654 0.2678 350343 202700 84941 71853 52709 265402 35766 40844 4468 35132 5078 610 34522 69224 69224 114911 2011-11-30 7.89% 7.88% 26.94% 1.0348 6.198 3.07 3.07 0.54 0.5 2.821 1.8696 0.4785 0.3994 0.2425 36.1% 75 101 60
2011-10-20 2011 3 1.75 1.62 - 1.10% 5.46% 86337 268055 5132 22675 2732 13601 0.0395 0.1965 325372 188963 60977 52933 57549 264395 19112 22354 5533 35132 3242 8775 26357 69224 69224 116296 2011-08-31 6.08% 5.94% 30.87% 1.0697 - 2.99 2.99 0.56 0.38 3.5699 2.2605 0.4979 0.2948 0.1874 39.1% 79 98 47
2011-07-19 2011 2 1.83 1.5 - 2.89% 4.36% 100949 181718 11001 17543 7204 10869 0.1041 0.1570 316927 190138 56103 48559 56729 260824 8472 10907 9413 35132 2435 11848 23284 69224 69224 121834 2011-05-31 10.77% 10.90% 12.71% 1.0964 - 2.95 2.95 0.6 0.34 3.9156 2.5408 0.4795 0.2749 0.177 40.7% 77 105 48
2011-04-22 2011 1 1.94 1.64 - 1.47% 1.47% 80769 80769 6542 6542 3665 3665 0.0529 0.0529 309602 183537 55335 47791 54291 254267 1740 5232 3295 35132 3492 6787 28345 69224 69224 133602 2011-02-28 8.27% 8.10% 18.02% 1.0786 - 2.89 2.89 0.67 0.41 3.8404 2.4735 0.5931 0.2767 0.1787 40.7% 79 98 42
2011-01-14 2010 4 2.15 1.81 0.06 1.85% 8.48% 80005 329690 5665 33759 4161 19076 0.0601 0.2756 313991 191279 64682 57138 52645 249309 16929 19232 393 37285 2303 2696 34589 69224 69224 145370 2010-11-30 7.20% 7.08% 7.26% 1.0504 7.6206 2.84 2.84 0.74 0.51 3.3477 2.2235 0.6149 0.3289 0.206 40.7% 79 102 49
2010-10-19 2010 3 2.14 2.0 - 2.06% 7.40% 85766 249810 8677 28410 4637 16657 0.0670 0.2406 305046 189707 59148 52927 51500 245898 11954 10208 6773 37285 1746 5027 32258 69224 69224 141909 2010-08-31 10.20% 10.12% 24.64% 1.0776 - 2.81 2.81 0.73 0.47 3.5843 2.3359 0.6095 0.3043 0.1939 41.6% 83 101 49
2010-07-14 2010 2 2.18 1.93 - 2.83% 5.34% 87394 164044 9806 19733 6371 12020 0.0920 0.1736 295156 184095 56521 50300 48804 238635 10978 4886 3857 37285 6092 2235 39520 69224 69224 138448 2010-05-31 11.47% 11.22% 13.21% 1.1047 - 2.74 2.74 0.73 0.57 3.6599 2.412 0.7857 0.2977 0.1915 41.0% 81 92 46
2010-04-23 2010 1 2.17 1.77 - 2.51% 2.51% 76650 76650 9927 9927 5649 5649 0.0816 0.0816 288609 178781 55352 49131 46671 233257 3247 1346 1010 37285 1901 2911 40196 69224 69224 148831 2010-02-28 13.10% 12.95% 17.16% 1.1049 - 2.7 2.7 0.8 0.58 3.6389 2.4472 0.8181 0.2967 0.1918 40.7% 77 92 43
2010-01-07 2009 4 2.32 1.65 0.06 3.00% 10.90% 78918 312399 10103 37058 5939 21602 0.0858 0.3121 286039 176031 61011 54790 44095 225028 38226 21240 8619 28917 16986 8367 37284 69224 69224 116988 2009-11-30 13.01% 12.80% 20.80% 1.0946 5.4156 2.61 2.61 0.65 0.54 3.2128 2.2101 0.6805 0.3372 0.2133 38.7% 73 98 52
2009-10-07 2009 3 1.85 1.51 - 3.78% 8.12% 83091 234182 11827 27203 7500 16103 0.1083 0.2326 274225 170528 56459 51174 42336 217766 28039 13545 9814 28917 14494 4680 33597 69224 69224 101067 2009-08-31 14.38% 14.23% 18.58% 1.1546 - 2.53 2.53 0.58 0.49 3.3323 2.3478 0.6565 0.3218 0.2059 37.7% 65 100 48
2009-07-07 2009 2 1.56 1.26 - 2.53% 4.34% 80217 151091 8818 15376 5019 8603 0.0725 0.1243 260435 160020 52316 47031 40199 208119 21439 8766 10745 28917 12673 1928 30845 69224 69224 87222 2009-05-31 11.10% 10.99% 16.47% 1.2306 - 2.43 2.43 0.52 0.45 3.4024 2.4817 0.6558 0.3116 0.2009 35.3% 55 98 45
2009-04-24 2009 1 1.4 1.22 - 1.81% 1.81% 70874 70874 6558 6558 3584 3584 0.0518 0.0518 259506 162500 55624 50339 37857 203882 11104 3968 215 28917 7136 6921 35838 69224 69224 83761 2009-02-28 9.69% 9.25% 13.89% 1.2367 - 2.4 2.4 0.5 0.52 3.2281 2.3381 0.7119 0.335 0.2143 34.9% 57 93 39
2009-01-22 2008 4 1.28 1.01 0.06 2.25% 13.17% 82435 318593 6748 37537 3828 22363 0.0553 0.3231 266466 171526 68228 60922 35792 198238 30735 24773 2770 20185 5962 8732 28917 69224 69224 76838 2008-11-30 9.63% 8.19% 12.20% 1.1954 3.436 2.35 2.35 0.47 0.42 2.8155 1.863 0.4747 0.42 0.256 34.7% 75 96 55
2008-10-23 2008 3 1.15 0.98 - 4.15% 10.49% 86976 236111 11541 29630 7047 17809 0.1018 0.2573 266492 178591 75184 66623 33479 191308 26358 15234 278 20185 11124 11402 31587 69224 69224 69916 2008-08-31 12.93% 13.27% 18.17% 1.1514 - 2.28 2.28 0.44 0.46 2.6806 1.7865 0.4741 0.4764 0.2821 36.5% 81 104 69
2008-07-10 2008 2 1.3 1.01 - 3.80% 6.34% 80656 149135 10388 18089 6455 10762 0.0932 0.1555 244142 164983 59140 50495 31107 185002 12114 5034 306 20185 7080 7386 27571 69224 69224 79607 2008-05-31 12.83% 12.88% 17.77% 1.2 - 2.22 2.22 0.52 0.4 3.2673 2.3201 0.546 0.3843 0.2422 39.1% 67 112 54
2008-04-25 2008 1 1.5 1.05 - 2.54% 2.54% 68479 68479 7701 7701 4307 4307 0.0622 0.0622 230150 152516 54336 45487 28218 175814 11533 2414 1419 20185 9119 7700 27885 69224 69224 101067 2008-02-29 11.23% 11.25% 22.57% 1.2408 - 2.13 2.13 0.69 0.4 3.353 2.4127 0.613 0.3681 0.2361 37.5% 61 105 52
2008-01-24 2007 4 1.5 1.2 0.06 N/A N/A 70732 274490 7668 29220 4693 17442 0.0678 0.2520 223268 146640 53417 44342 26562 169851 13664 10446 4592 12679 3218 7810 20489 69224 69224 93452 2008-11-30 10.58% 10.84% 10.92% 1.2294 5.3579 2.07 2.07 0.65 0.3 3.307 2.3985 0.4621 0.3728 0.2393 37.3% 60 114 50
2007-10-18 2007 3 1.57 1.3 - N/A N/A 73103 203758 7607 21758 4475 12457 0.0646 0.1800 214953 138728 50784 45603 25865 164169 4669 8219 2932 12679 3550 618 12061 69224 69224 112835 2007-08-31 10.18% 10.41% 20.68% 0.9479 - 2.0 2.0 0.81 0.17 3.0421 2.0903 0.2645 0.3672 0.2363 45.7% 87 149 63
2007-07-24 2007 2 N/A N/A - N/A N/A 73259 130655 8786 14151 4884 7981 0.0706 0.1153 213392 136624 55258 50077 24306 158134 4299 7312 1796 12679 3013 1217 11462 69224 69224 107989 2007-05-31 11.80% 11.99% 21.22% 0.6123 - 1.93 1.93 0.81 0.17 2.7283 1.7863 0.2289 0.4129 0.259 66.2% - 218 N/A
2007-04-27 2007 1 N/A N/A - N/A N/A 57396 57396 5365 5365 3097 3097 0.0447 0.0447 193848 121492 39256 34075 22616 154592 4546 1026 1750 12679 3520 5270 17949 69224 69224 77530 2007-02-28 9.19% 9.35% 14.28% 0.2961 - 1.91 1.91 0.59 0.26 3.5654 2.3878 0.5267 0.2974 0.2025 152.3% - 403 N/A

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet Open in New Window
year qrt Intangible assets (A-0) Investment in associated companies (A-0) Investment properties (A-0) Land held for property development (A-0) Leasehold land use rights (A-0) Other investments (A-0) Property, plant and equipment (A-0) Cash and cash equivalents (A-1) Current asset classified as held for sales (A-1) Inventories (A-1) Property development costs (A-1) Trade receivables (A-1) Deferred tax liabilities (L-0) Loans & borrowings (L-0) Current tax liabilities (L-1) Loans & borrowings (L-1) Trade and other payables (L-1) Minority interest (M-1)
2012 4 165 - 5256 - 4955 6545 137037 34269 - 55188 - 108456 8948 5200 579 12353 46391 51458
2012 3 165 - 5505 - 4406 6545 134034 37723 - 64279 - 99943 8616 4472 1247 6365 53043 56974
2012 2 165 - 5524 - 4432 6845 130574 37874 - 67976 - 94700 8616 4472 197 7903 52999 55429
2012 1 165 - 5543 - 4459 7345 129828 35448 - 65689 - 88923 8616 4472 826 10078 44842 53797
2011 4 165 - 5562 - 4672 7345 129899 34383 - 68367 - 99950 8616 4472 616 17786 54683 52709
2011 3 - - 6417 - - 5345 124647 26357 - 69310 - 93296 8044 - 900 12257 41576 57549
2011 2 - - 8316 - - 5345 113128 23284 - 66760 - 100094 7544 - 1721 8378 41902 56729
2011 1 - - 7683 - - 5345 113037 28345 - 65328 - 89864 7544 - 1576 14714 34653 54291
2010 4 - - 7704 - 4781 5345 104882 35132 - 64233 - 91914 7544 - 689 17791 40036 52645
2010 3 - - 7724 - 3433 5345 98837 32258 - 66073 - 91376 6221 - 1824 12124 38979 51500
2010 2 - - 7744 - 3398 5345 94574 39520 - 62772 - 81803 6221 - 1086 13781 35433 48804
2010 1 - - 7764 - 2911 5345 93808 40196 - 58549 - 80036 6221 - 1090 15532 32509 46671
2009 4 - - 7784 - 2929 5345 93950 37285 - 54940 - 83806 6221 - 720 14522 39548 44095
2009 3 - - 7922 - 2271 5345 88159 33597 - 49913 468 86550 5180 105 660 13302 37212 42336
2009 2 - - 7022 - 2284 5345 85764 30845 193 41168 2136 85678 5180 105 319 12370 34980 40199
2009 1 - - 7038 - 2297 5345 82326 35838 438 43116 1686 81422 5180 105 216 19786 30769 37857
2008 4 - - 7054 - 2310 3345 82231 28917 438 56855 1172 84144 4993 2313 645 17793 42484 35792
2008 3 - 3553 10268 - 2322 345 71413 31587 - 59171 399 87434 4498 4063 2071 13551 51001 33479
2008 2 - 3089 10286 - 2335 345 63104 27571 - 47666 165 89581 4298 4347 1794 10221 38480 31107
2008 1 - 4291 10305 - 2347 345 60346 27885 - 41469 1299 81863 4163 4686 1215 8157 36115 28218
2007 4 - 2644 10324 - 2312 345 61003 20489 - 39559 725 85867 4214 4861 805 9704 33833 26562
2007 3 - 2161 10308 706 2325 345 60380 12061 - 43406 - 83261 4460 721 1992 11880 31731 25865
2007 2 - 1901 10326 706 2753 382 60700 11462 - 47171 - 77991 4460 721 1141 10744 38192 24306
2007 1 - 1682 10345 706 2767 382 56474 17949 - 40127 - 63416 4460 721 143 7667 26265 22616

Financial Quarter Income Statement Open in New Window
year qrt Revenue Income tax expense Finance/interest costs Other income Administrative/Operating expenses Minority interest Finance/interest income Share of profit/ (loss) of associates Depreciation & amortisation Investment gain/loss
2012 4 100141 1171 143 679 91440 969 78 - 2039 -
2012 3 92248 1909 124 318 83618 1542 101 - 1976 -
2012 2 97665 2193 20 98 87044 1628 191 - 1937 -
2012 1 89136 1099 304 345 81222 1125 134 - 1891 -
2011 4 94496 2007 73 461 85598 916 69 - 1905 -
2011 3 86337 1584 175 604 79906 816 60 - 1788 -
2011 2 100949 1398 66 474 88922 2399 196 - 1630 -
2011 1 80769 1179 218 1892 74427 1698 79 - 1553 -
2010 4 80005 411 92 1202 75450 1093 - - - -
2010 3 85766 2138 72 313 77330 1902 - - - -
2010 2 87394 1295 216 296 77668 2140 - - - -
2010 1 76650 1703 111 577 67189 2575 - - - -
2009 4 78918 2101 162 1642 70295 2063 - - - -
2009 3 83091 2197 125 1755 72894 2130 - - - -
2009 2 80217 1452 87 556 71868 2347 - - - -
2009 1 70874 911 311 633 64638 2063 - - - -
2008 4 82435 823 279 2512 77010 2097 - 910 - -
2008 3 86976 2097 171 170 75899 2397 - - - 465
2008 2 80656 1846 118 518 70825 2087 - - - 157
2008 1 68479 1738 274 585 61377 1656 - - - 288
2007 4 70732 837 216 543 63789 2138 - - - 398
2007 3 73103 1573 102 390 66052 1559 - - - 268
2007 2 73259 1864 147 566 65177 2038 - - - 285
2007 1 57396 766 99 403 52527 1502 - - - 192
Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING

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