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Monday, January 28, 2013

KLCI Stock - MAXIS / 6012 - 2012 Quarter 3

MAXIS BERHAD


Company Description
MAXIS BERHAD is a mobile communications service provider in Malaysia. The Company operates in three segments: mobile services, fixed line services and international gateway services. The Company operates its postpaid mobile service under the maxis brand and its prepaid mobile service under the HOTLiNK brand. The Company's fixed line services comprise a suite of voice services, data services, Internet protocol (IP) and managed services to consumers and business customers. Its international gateway services comprise services to international telecommunications carriers for termination of traffic into Malaysia, services to send its own international traffic abroad and bandwidth leasing services. On October 1, 2009, the Company acquired Maxis Mobile Services Sdn Bhd, Maxis Broadband Sdn Bhd, Maxis International Sdn Bhd, Maxis Mobile Sdn Bhd, Maxis Collections Sdn Bhd and Maxis Multimedia Sdn Bhd, and 75% interest in Advanced Wireless Technologies Sdn Bhd.

Company Info
Listing Date 2009-11-19
IPO Price 5.0
Market Capital (Capital Size) 47,853,889,248 (Very Large)
Par Value RM 0.10
Board Main
Sector Trading/Services
Major Industry Telecommunication
Sub Industry Mobile Communication & Network Services
Website http://www.maxis.com.my/

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now (6.38-0.4)/0.2711 = 22.06 (Moderate)
Target Price 6.24+0.4 = 6.64 (PE 23.0, EPS 0.2711, DPS 0.4)
First Support Price 6.3
Second Support Price 6.0
Risk Rating MODERATE

Research House
BIMB Target Price 6.9 (2012-09-03)
HwangDBS Target Price 7.8 (2012-09-03)
Nomura Target Price 6.2 (2012-09-11)
Alliance Target Price 6.7 (2012-11-29)
CIMB Target Price 6.9 (2012-11-29)
Maybank Target Price 6.8 (2012-11-29)
MIDF Target Price 6.8 (2012-11-29)
RHB Target Price 7.4 (2012-11-29)
TA Target Price 8.13 (2012-11-29)
ECM Target Price 5.69 (2012-12-12)
Public Target Price 6.85 (2012-12-12)
AMMB Target Price 6.55 (2012-12-19)
OSK Target Price 6.5 (2013-01-03)
HLG Target Price 7.44 (2013-01-14)
Kenanga Target Price 7.2 (2013-01-23)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity 28.66%
Dividend Yield 6.27%
Gross Profit Margin 66.34%
Operating Profit Margin 31.95%
Net Profit Margin 28.52%
Tax Rate 29.91%
Asset Turnover 0.5026
Net Asset Value Per Share 0.96
Net Tangible Asset per share -0.52
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share -12.5
Cash Per Share 0.15
Liquidity Current Ratio 0.7615
Liquidity Quick Ratio 0.7446
Liquidity Cash Ratio 0.4316
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio 1.4525
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio 0.592
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale -7.1%
Days to sell the inventory 6
Days to collect the receivables 34
Days to pay the payables 314

Technical Analysis
SMA 10 6.484 (Downtrend)
SMA 20 6.544 (Downtrend 5 days)
SMA 50 6.487 (Downtrend)
SMA 100 6.644 (Downtrend)
SMA 200 6.402 (Uptrend)
MACD (26d/12d) -0.037028 ( 0.006199 )
Signal (9) -0.012121 ( 0.006227 )
MACD Histogram 0.024907 (Bearish trend 12 days)
Bolinger Upper Band 6.755
Bolinger Lower Band 6.333

My notes based on 2012 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Lower pbt than FY11Q3 mainly due to the increase in device expenses and information technology expenses

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q3 result announced = 0.2711, estimate PE on current price 6.1 = 18.87(DPS 0.4)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced = 0.1381*2 = 0.2762, estimate highest/lowest PE= 24.11/21.36 (DPS 0.4)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 0.302, estimate highest/lowest PE= 22.19/19.17 (DPS 0.4)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 8088000*0.28/7500000 = 0.302, estimate highest/lowest PE= 19.34/18.08 (DPS 0.4)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.3164, estimate highest/lowest PE = 17.89/15.68 (DPS 0.4)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.3164, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.53/15.3 (DPS 0.32)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0719*4*1.1 = 0.3164, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.5/15.3 (DPS 0.32)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0813*4*1.05 = 0.3415, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.72/14.58 (DPS 0.32)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.075*4*1.05 = 0.315, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.41/15.65 (DPS 0.32)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0736*4*1.05 = 0.3091, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.66/15.92 (DPS 0.32)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.328*0.9 = 0.2952, estimate highest/lowest PE = 17.68/16.46 (DPS 0.32)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.082*4 = 0.328, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.07/14.82 (DPS 0.24)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.082*4 = 0.328, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.1/15.52 (DPS 0.24)

MAXIS latest news (English)

MAXIS latest news (Chinese)




Financial Quarter Summary Open in New Window
a_date year qrt h_price l_price div roe c_roe rev c_rev pbt c_pbt prof c_prof eps c_eps asset c_asset liab c_liab mino equi cfo cfi cff cash fcf net final share c_share m_cap date gros_m oper_m prof_m vat asset_t pe navps ntaps p/ntaps cps l_cur l_qui l_cash g_de g_da avg_w inv_d rec_d pay_d
2012-11-28 2012 3 N/A N/A 0.08 5.46% 18.27% 2216000 6661000 632000 2029000 442000 1478000 0.0589 0.1970 17759000 2027000 10513000 2662000 8000 7246000 2561000 604000 1646000 838000 1957000 311000 1149000 7503000 7501000 48769500 2012-09-30 66.34% 31.95% 28.52% 29.91% 0.5026 - 0.96 -0.52 -12.5 0.15 0.7615 0.7446 0.4316 1.4525 0.592 -7.1% 6 34 314
2012-08-30 2012 2 7.06 6.3 0.08 5.74% 12.81% 2216000 4445000 630000 1397000 464000 1036000 0.0619 0.1381 17858000 2044000 10531000 2550000 7000 7327000 1543000 385000 933000 838000 1158000 225000 1063000 7501000 7501000 52807040 2012-06-30 67.69% 31.32% 28.43% 26.03% 0.5014 - 0.98 -0.5 -14.08 0.14 0.8016 0.7761 0.4169 1.4387 0.5897 -5.7% 8 37 311
2012-05-31 2012 1 7.1 6.19 0.08 7.07% 7.07% 2229000 2229000 767000 767000 572000 572000 0.0763 0.0763 18759000 2773000 10641000 2788000 5000 8118000 788000 132000 322000 838000 656000 978000 1816000 7501000 7501000 46431190 2012-03-31 67.07% 37.60% 34.41% 25.29% 0.4742 - 1.08 -0.4 -15.48 0.24 0.9946 0.9645 0.6514 1.3116 0.5672 -0.2% 11 35 345
2012-02-24 2011 4 6.24 5.86 0.16 10.39% 29.16% 2265000 8800000 760000 3004000 900000 2527000 0.1200 0.3369 17991000 1836000 9903000 4386000 4000 8088000 3712000 1166000 2606000 898000 2546000 60000 838000 7500000 7500000 44925000 2011-12-31 68.34% 35.10% 33.55% - 0.4891 17.778 1.08 -0.4 -14.98 0.11 0.4186 0.3935 0.1911 1.225 0.5504 -29.0% 15 36 377
2011-11-30 2011 3 6.06 5.36 0.08 6.20% 18.77% 2244000 6535000 746000 2244000 537000 1627000 0.0716 0.2169 17969000 1865000 10217000 5602000 3000 7752000 2735000 794000 1923000 898000 1941000 18000 916000 7500000 7500000 41250000 2011-09-30 68.49% 36.27% 33.24% 27.88% 0.4922 - 1.03 -0.44 -12.5 0.12 0.3329 0.3092 0.1635 1.3185 0.5686 -42.2% 17 34 357
2011-08-25 2011 2 5.55 5.16 0.08 6.36% 12.58% 2158000 4291000 757000 1498000 551000 1090000 0.0735 0.1453 18653000 2527000 10649000 6224000 2000 8004000 1774000 538000 647000 898000 1236000 589000 1487000 7500000 7500000 40650000 2011-06-30 69.83% 37.91% 35.08% 27.08% 0.4727 - 1.07 -0.41 -13.22 0.2 0.406 0.3711 0.2389 1.3308 0.5709 -41.9% 28 33 360
2011-05-31 2011 1 5.54 5.16 0.08 6.22% 6.22% 2133000 2133000 741000 741000 539000 539000 0.0719 0.0719 18584000 2463000 9970000 3281000 1000 8614000 903000 284000 204000 898000 619000 415000 1313000 7500000 7500000 40650000 2011-03-31 67.74% 37.74% 34.74% 27.13% 0.4762 - 1.15 -0.32 -16.94 0.18 0.7507 0.6775 0.4002 1.1576 0.5365 -9.2% 30 36 374
2011-02-28 2010 4 5.69 5.3 0.16 6.82% 25.66% 2310000 8869000 832000 3132000 610000 2295000 0.0813 0.3060 18225000 2103000 9559000 3323000 - 8666000 4091000 1455000 2930000 1192000 2636000 294000 898000 7500000 7500000 40725000 2010-12-31 66.32% 38.40% 36.02% 26.68% 0.4866 17.7451 1.16 -0.31 -17.52 0.12 0.6329 0.5685 0.2702 1.103 0.5245 -13.8% 26 39 389
2010-11-30 2010 3 5.49 5.25 0.08 6.72% 18.84% 2216000 6559000 815000 2300000 601000 1685000 0.0801 0.2247 17705000 1862000 9028000 3015000 - 8677000 2974000 941000 2260000 1191000 2033000 227000 964000 7500000 7500000 39675000 2010-09-30 68.32% 39.08% 36.78% 26.26% 0.4953 - 1.16 -0.31 -17.06 0.13 0.6176 0.5685 0.3197 1.0405 0.5099 -13.1% 19 31 339
2010-08-30 2010 2 5.47 5.24 0.08 5.95% 12.12% 2191000 4343000 720000 1485000 532000 1084000 0.0709 0.1445 17503000 1907000 8801000 3250000 - 8702000 1862000 468000 1679000 1192000 1394000 285000 907000 7500000 7500000 40350000 2010-06-30 65.27% 35.37% 32.86% 26.11% 0.4792 - 1.16 -0.31 -17.35 0.12 0.5868 0.5348 0.2791 1.0114 0.5028 -16.0% 19 36 291
2010-05-31 2010 1 5.54 5.18 0.08 6.17% 6.17% 2152000 2152000 765000 765000 552000 552000 0.0736 0.0736 17309000 1776000 8321000 2751000 - 8988000 798000 154000 1019000 1192000 644000 375000 817000 7500000 7500000 39150000 2010-03-31 66.73% 37.87% 35.55% 27.84% 0.4613 - 1.2 -0.27 -19.33 0.11 0.6456 0.5994 0.297 0.9258 0.4807 -12.2% 12 38 222
2010-02-25 2009 4 5.51 5.1 0.06 2515.00% 7890.00% 2211000 7611000 695000 1939000 503000 1578000 0.0671 0.2725 17798000 2132000 8853000 3311000 - 8945000 1245000 603000 1853000 1197000 1848000 5000 1192000 7500000 5790000 41400000 2009-12-31 67.44% 33.47% 31.43% 27.63% 0.4276 20.254 1.54 -0.36 -15.33 0.16 0.6439 0.6034 0.36 0.9897 0.4974 -15.5% 11 38 203
2009-11-30 2009 3 5.53 5.3 0.06 5875.00% 5505.00% 1833000 5400000 1304000 1270000 1175000 1101000 0.1567 0.1468 8195000 3555000 7070000 5285000 - 1125000 76000 66000 480000 1197000 142000 622000 575000 7500000 7500000 40875000 2009-09-30 45.12% 76.81% 71.14% 9.89% 0.8903 - 0.15 0.14 38.93 0.16 0.6727 0.649 0.2244 6.2844 0.8627 -23.7% 9 112 345
N/A 2009 2 N/A N/A - 160.00% 370.00% 1789000 3567000 17000 34000 32000 74000 0.0061 0.0142 N/A N/A N/A N/A - N/A 56000 49000 N/A 1197000 7000 7000 1204000 5213000 5213000 N/A 2009-06-30 19.73% 3.35% 0.95% - N/A - N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A - N/A N/A
N/A 2009 1 N/A N/A - 210.00% 210.00% 1778000 1778000 17000 17000 42000 42000 0.0081 0.0081 N/A N/A N/A N/A - N/A 29000 12000 N/A 1197000 41000 41000 1156000 5213000 5213000 N/A 2009-03-31 19.85% 4.72% 0.96% - N/A - N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A - N/A N/A
N/A 2008 4 N/A N/A - N/A N/A 1896000 7184000 53000 5000 14000 101000 0.0027 0.0194 3140000 1724000 3120000 2690000 - 20000 1584000 756000 N/A 369000 828000 828000 1197000 5213000 5213000 26065000 2008-12-31 23.95% 8.86% 2.80% 73.58% 1.2787 - N/A N/A N/A 0.23 0.6409 0.6331 0.445 156.0 0.9936 -24.1% 4 43 406
N/A 2008 3 N/A N/A - N/A N/A 2119000 6187000 692000 2412000 480000 1740000 0.0640 0.2320 N/A N/A N/A N/A - N/A 1641000 345000 249000 721000 1296000 1047000 1768000 7500000 7500000 37500000 2008-09-30 68.19% 32.00% 32.66% 30.64% N/A - N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A - N/A N/A

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet Open in New Window
year qrt Deferred tax assets (A-0) Derivative financial assets (A-0) Intangible assets (A-0) Investment in associated companies (A-0) Loan receivables (A-0) Prepaid lease payments (A-0) Property, plant and equipment (A-0) Amount due from associated companies (A-1) Cash and cash equivalents (A-1) Current tax assets (A-1) Inventories (A-1) Other receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-1) Deferred tax liabilities (L-0) Derivative financial liabilities (L-0) Loan due to holding company (L-0) Loan from a related party (L-0) Loans & borrowings (L-0) Payables and accruals (L-0) Provisions (L-0) Amounts due to fellow subsidiaries (L-1) Amounts due to Group Companies (L-1) Amounts due to related companies (L-1) Current tax liabilities (L-1) Dividend payable (L-1) Loan from a related party (L-1) Loans & borrowings (L-1) Payables and accruals (L-1) Provisions (L-1) Minority interest (M-1)
2012 3 134000 18000 11130000 - - - 4450000 18000 1149000 8000 45000 807000 520000 419000 - 37000 6741000 46000 88000 - - 26000 96000 - - 2000 2479000 59000 8000
2012 2 111000 9000 11108000 - - - 4586000 15000 1063000 19000 65000 882000 559000 360000 - 37000 6892000 48000 85000 - - 33000 56000 - - 2000 2413000 46000 7000
2012 1 118000 - 11078000 - - - 4790000 12000 1816000 8000 84000 853000 502000 414000 - 36000 6752000 52000 97000 - - 26000 77000 - - 13000 2630000 42000 5000
2011 4 121000 3000 11060000 - - - 4971000 17000 838000 13000 110000 858000 551000 366000 - 36000 4409000 61000 94000 - - 23000 6000 - - 1464000 2828000 65000 4000
2011 3 132000 - 11036000 - - - 4936000 12000 916000 3000 133000 801000 569000 376000 - 35000 3432000 67000 136000 - - 20000 327000 - - 2460000 2742000 53000 3000
2011 2 100000 5000 11046000 - - - 4975000 11000 1487000 25000 217000 787000 573000 365000 - 34000 3259000 60000 134000 - - 22000 342000 600000 - 2461000 2757000 42000 2000
2011 1 82000 - 11034000 - - - 5005000 12000 1313000 46000 240000 852000 599000 395000 - 34000 5480000 50000 131000 - - 22000 233000 - - 13000 2980000 33000 1000
2010 4 96000 - 11019000 - - - 5007000 14000 898000 41000 214000 936000 620000 349000 - 33000 5061000 46000 127000 1000 - 43000 100000 - - 13000 3106000 60000 -
2010 3 78000 - 11012000 - - - 4753000 12000 964000 - 148000 738000 466000 327000 - - 5060000 32000 128000 - - 25000 220000 - 33000 15000 2668000 54000 -
2010 2 70000 - 11007000 - - - 4519000 17000 907000 - 169000 814000 373000 181000 - - 4869000 6000 122000 1000 - 28000 367000 225000 32000 21000 2526000 50000 -
2010 1 83000 - 10999000 - - - 4451000 12000 817000 1000 127000 819000 390000 169000 - - 4884000 7000 120000 2000 - 24000 296000 - 32000 21000 2335000 41000 -
2009 4 86000 - 11019000 - - - 4561000 10000 1192000 6000 134000 790000 406000 - 4992000 - 21000 7000 116000 1000 38000 19000 198000 450000 31000 22000 2496000 56000 -
2009 3 99000 - 111000 - 174000 10000 4246000 1449000 1186000 - 125000 795000 341000 - - - 1289000 8000 147000 - 3013000 23000 217000 - - 4000 1976000 52000 -
2008 4 99000 - 35000 1096000 - - 186000 33000 1197000 36000 21000 437000 - - - - 430000 - - 1000 38000 45000 291000 - 30000 3000 2268000 14000 -

Financial Quarter Income Statement Open in New Window
year qrt Revenue Income tax expense Cost of sales Finance/interest costs Other income Administrative/Operating expenses Minority interest Finance/interest income Network operation costs Share of net profit of jointly controlled entity Other expenses
2012 3 2216000 189000 746000 90000 15000 465000 1000 14000 294000 - 18000
2012 2 2216000 164000 716000 79000 10000 422000 2000 15000 388000 - 6000
2012 1 2229000 194000 734000 82000 5000 392000 1000 11000 250000 - 20000
2011 4 2265000 141000 717000 45000 6000 458000 1000 10000 265000 - 36000
2011 3 2244000 208000 707000 77000 3000 435000 1000 9000 281000 - 10000
2011 2 2158000 205000 651000 73000 0 412000 1000 12000 242000 - 35000
2011 1 2133000 201000 688000 73000 5000 384000 1000 9000 245000 - 16000
2010 4 2310000 222000 778000 64000 28000 406000 - 9000 250000 - 17000
2010 3 2216000 214000 702000 59000 3000 394000 - 8000 240000 - 17000
2010 2 2191000 188000 761000 62000 8000 395000 - 7000 245000 - 23000
2010 1 2152000 213000 716000 55000 2000 370000 - 5000 243000 - 10000
2009 4 2211000 192000 720000 49000 1000 390000 - 4000 282000 0 80000
2009 3 1833000 129000 1006000 7000 876000 284000 - 3000 - 100000 11000
2009 2 1789000 15000 1436000 8000 - 281000 - 6000 - 75000 12000
2009 1 1778000 25000 1425000 9000 - 251000 - 8000 - 100000 18000
2008 4 1896000 39000 1442000 8000 - 273000 - 9000 - 116000 13000
2008 3 2119000 212000 674000 7000 1000 352000 - 21000 408000 - 8000

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
year qrt Mobile Services Enterprise fixed services International gateway services Home services
2012 3 2120000 53000 34000 9000
2012 2 2094000 50000 59000 13000
2012 1 2130000 45000 46000 8000
2011 4 2170000 46000 45000 4000
2011 3 2163000 44000 33000 4000
2011 2 2075000 48000 30000 5000
2011 1 2038000 43000 48000 4000
2010 4 2152000 46000 108000 4000
2010 3 2063000 43000 106000 4000
2010 2 2041000 40000 105000 5000
2010 1 2023000 43000 86000 -
2009 4 2075000 44000 92000 -
2009 3 1833000 - - -
2009 2 1789000 - - -
2009 1 1778000 - - -
2008 4 1896000 - - -

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
year qrt Others Mobile Services Enterprise fixed services International gateway services Home services
2012 3 3000 730000 9000 10000 44000
2012 2 - 709000 10000 7000 32000
2012 1 2000 854000 6000 3000 27000
2011 4 7000 798000 9000 3000 22000
2011 3 1000 807000 4000 5000 3000
2011 2 3000 816000 13000 9000 17000
2011 1 2000 814000 1000 5000 15000
2010 4 3000 855000 12000 - 17000
2010 3 2000 857000 2000 11000 2000
2010 2 1000 768000 13000 3000 2000
2010 1 - 802000 12000 1000 -
2009 4 57000 763000 17000 17000 -
2009 3 - 1408000 - - -
2009 2 - 60000 - - -
2009 1 - 84000 - - -
2008 4 - 168000 - - -

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


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