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Wednesday, March 21, 2012

KLCI Stock - INGRESS / 7112 - 2012 Quarter 4

INGRESS CORPORATION BERHAD

My notes based on 2012 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- Lower revenue and pbt mainly due to its Ayutthaya plant was inundated by massive flood and had temporarily halted operations and other plant in Rayong, Thailand remained in operation but at a much lower volume due to dissruption of supply chain

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q4 result announced = 251808*0.1/76800 = 0.3279, estimate PE on current price 0.98 = 2.99
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q3 result announced = 247826*1.025*0.09/76800 = 0.2977(ROE 9%), estimate highest/lowest PE = 3.8/3.14
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced = 0.0228*4*1.05 = 0.0958(if deduct additional RM2 million MI), estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.72/7.36
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 0.1151*1.05 = 0.1209(exclude RM4.7 million other income), estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.6/5.75
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 0.0274*4*1.05 = 0.1151, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.86/6.47
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.0272*4*1.05 = 0.1142, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.36/5.95
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.1288*1.05 = 0.1352, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.62/5.18
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0322*4 = 0.1288(0.0322 is eps after exclude 8 million from other income), estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.41/4.81
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0346*4 = 0.1384, estimate highest/lowest PE = 4.99/3.76
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0357*4 = 0.1428, estimate highest/lowest PE = 5.67/4.1
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.023*4 = 0.092, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.24/3.53

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