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Monday, January 17, 2011

KLCI Stock - GENM / 4715 - 2010 Quarter 3

GENTING MALAYSIA BERHAD

Company Description
Genting Malaysia Berhad, formerly Resorts World Bhd, is involved in a tourist resort business at Genting Highlands, and its activities cover leisure and hospitality services, which comprise gaming, hotel, entertainment and amusement. The principal activities of the subsidiaries include property development and management, leisure and hospitality services, investments, time share ownership scheme, tours and travel related services. The Company operates in two segments: Leisure & Hospitality, which includes the gaming, hotel, entertainment and amusement businesses, tours & travel related services and other support services, and Properties division, which holds the land held for development of the Company and is involved in property developments. Genting Berhad is its immediate and ultimate holding company. In December 2009, Genting Berhad completed the disposal of its subsidiaries, Oakwood Sdn. Bhd. and Genting Highlands Tours and Promotion Sdn. Bhd., to Genting Malaysia Berhad.

Company Info
Listing Date1989-12-22
Market Capital (Capital Size)21,235,979,586 (Very Large)
Par ValueRM 0.10
BoardMain
SectorTrading/Services
Major IndustryLeisure & Recreation
Sub IndustryProperty Development
Websitehttp://www.gentingmalaysia.com/

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(3.59-0.079)/0.2364 = 14.85 (Moderate)
Target Price3.55+0.079 = 3.62 (PE 15.0, EPS 0.2364, DPS 0.079)
DecisionNOT BUY unless price below 3.4
Comment
Revenue second consecutive quarter decreasing and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter, eps second consecutive quarter increasing but still lower than preceding year corresponding quarter, neither free nor positive net cash flow, liquidity ratio decreasing to high level now, low gearing ratio, all accounting period are as usual, Genting Malaysia continue affecting by competitor in Singapore, UK and US index increasing but it currency still weakeaning, Vietnam, UK and US venture
First Support Price3.2
Second Support Price3.0
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
ECM Target Price3.45 (2010-10-20)
AMMB Target Price3.85 (2010-10-21)
CIMB Target Price4 (2010-10-21)
Maybank Target Price2.4 (2010-10-21)
Morgan Stanley Target Price3.05 (2010-10-28)
AFFIN Target Price3 (2010-11-26)
HwangDBS Target Price3.7 (2010-11-26)
MIMB Target Price2.7 (2010-11-26)
OSK Target Price3.24 (2010-11-26)
RHB Target Price4.5 (2010-11-26)
Credit Suisse Target Price3.3 (2011-01-14)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity11.77%
Dividend Yield2.20%
Profit Margin34.60%
Tax Rate19.18%
Asset Turnover0.3846
Net Asset Value Per Share1.95
Net Tangible Asset per share1.74
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.94
Cash Per Share0.95
Liquidity Current Ratio3.4387
Liquidity Quick Ratio3.3985
Liquidity Cash Ratio3.2522
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.1833
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.1549
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale80.4%
Days to sell the inventory7
Days to collect the receivables16
Days to pay the payables83

My notes based on 2010 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Total revenue decreased by 10% to RM1,202.9 million mainly due to lower business volume and weaker luck factor in the premium players business in the current quarter ended 30 September 2010

- Profit before taxation was RM416.2 million, lower by RM54.4 million or 12%, mainly due to the following:
i) lower business volume coupled with weaker luck factor in the premium players business
ii) higher expenses of RM39.3 million which included the start up costs for the development and operation of a video lottery facility at the Aqueduct Racetrack in the City of New York, United States of America

- However, the decrease in profit before taxation was mitigated by:
i) fair value gain of RM19.4 million arising from the Group’s investments in financial assets at fair value through profit or loss('FVTPL')
ii) higher interest & investment income by RM11.8 million
iii) gain of RM7.4 million on disposal of AFS financial assets

- In addition, there was an impairment charge of RM48.6 million recorded on the Group’s investment last year

- The Group registered a higher profit before taxation of RM416.2 million in the current quarter ended 30 September 2010 compared with RM414.2 million in the preceding quarter ended 30 June 2010. The higher profit before taxation was mainly due to fair value gain of RM19.4 million from the Group’s investments in FVTPL this quarter compared to the fair value loss of RM34.0 million in the preceding quarter

- However, the higher profit before taxation was offset by lower volume of the premium players business and higher expenses of RM43.4 million which included the start up costs for the development and operation of a video lottery facility in New York

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0591*4 = 0.2364, estimate PE on current price 3.59 = 14.85(DPS 0.079)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.2315*1.05 = 0.2431, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.98/11.85 (DPS 0.079)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.2315*1.05 = 0.2431, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.66/9.82 (DPS 0.073)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0628*4 = 0.2512, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.25/9.7 (DPS 0.073)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0629*4 = 0.2516, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.45/10.33 (DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0577*4 = 0.2308, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.35/11.44 (DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.0481*4 = 0.1924, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.23/12.79 (DPS 0.07)

GENM latest news (English)

GENM latest news (Chinese)

Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdateprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2010-11-2520103N/AN/A-3.03%8.24%1202916377457841626212282343364179144710.05910.1603131320172033786-11098231113507215259582974195144546390886688305445624156944775703061192473322010-09-3034.60%19.18%0.3846-1.951.741.940.953.43873.39853.25220.18330.154980.4%71683
2010-08-26201023.722.960.0363.03%5.73%122649225716624141308119723056905780540.05360.1013115219841438306-1008367882264146216911085193433360472361580555501357078555707721170664862010-06-3033.77%26.22%0.4498-1.771.761.71.045.7585.6975.49650.14260.124899.2%71575
2010-05-27201013.152.46-2.70%2.70%134517013451703978423978422723642723640.04770.0477112737471170635681810103112394005332955230852093146105063358527267257075545707554151250182010-03-3129.58%31.57%0.4576-1.771.771.50.977.17147.09096.84640.11590.103896.9%71471
2010-02-25200942.92.510.0433.53%13.05%12755554991765469385176459335832013237010.06280.2315113460321201853692010144179162682253206637355345298361094756721203525103957073735718517155240542009-12-3136.80%23.68%0.4411.75071.771.771.540.926.6326.55776.31320.11860.105994.2%71579
2009-11-25200932.962.66-3.67%9.84%1335901371621047066712952083594569653810.06290.16871107319712671587024980603911746042292442455404542774945360699820524259457141885722235163997192009-09-3035.23%23.65%0.4556-1.711.711.680.936.04595.98025.72270.12930.114492.6%71773
2009-08-26200922.982.690.033.63%6.66%120225623803094388598245413304816059250.05770.105810416943132259771269094346738055202868130784566963535187522109508907257261225726050160331412009-06-3036.50%24.72%0.4737-1.591.591.760.95.49445.43435.20850.14550.12789.7%71670
2009-05-27200913.022.49-3.17%3.17%117805311780533856823856822754442754440.04810.0481970411710130277239869109024736169791874609339248058238871484821057253285725328153438792009-03-3132.74%28.61%0.5124-1.521.521.760.857.42857.33977.03060.11670.104489.3%71659
2009-02-25200842.891.840.044.66%7.62%1329102488670324449611270103878436343890.06740.109994229351097856733883250791713249121331427686313606818345801406894454296257508885773814128819892008-12-3118.40%-0.518620.38711.441.441.560.796.18956.11195.84810.1320.116582.7%71572
2008-11-26200832.682.14-4.22%12.66%12249093557601464788137150634059010222320.05910.176893082941234650743780736441354396392131229509305232817465271517018456934657633655780832152729172008-09-3037.94%26.74%0.5048-1.41.41.890.795.24645.17814.94720.15310.132683.6%81776
2008-08-27200822.82.160.034.71%8.35%124076923326925113259067183842816816420.06640.1177941882612520527534816677481895543258470874305124112515391180665423190657860315791655146386582008-06-3041.21%24.87%0.4872-1.411.411.790.734.75264.6884.46870.15350.132977.4%81763
2008-05-28200813.282.43-3.77%3.77%109192310919233953933953932973612973610.05020.050288756609841077643789155327310362727226203050829210376187756323858559243125924312189577982008-03-3136.21%24.82%0.4935-1.331.332.410.555.11755.02614.73250.12480.110964.3%81760
2008-02-28200743.83.060.0364.20%18.98%11412194352333431764191205934409415556540.06190.264893415161144814774181967021450955519668898562197969019706231072061305175155565575874063211149162007-12-3137.83%20.33%0.465914.34861.391.392.730.553.93013.86033.60470.13980.122657.0%81872
2007-11-22200734.263.5-7.77%14.10%11153823211114755849148029566808012115600.11910.20559855732126039778418595335974862680728643956198018916555901011634299182356094045895669201938542007-09-3067.77%11.63%0.4362-1.461.462.470.533.44593.38973.06930.14680.127955.5%72766
2007-08-23200723.93.60.02884.21%7.48%103187820957323890307244463058335434800.05280.09168863033160060379407262430604477117781306261980232486696456070243630257879595930377200263382007-06-3037.70%21.41%0.4716-1.221.222.840.423.25193.18792.83330.22060.180646.3%72766
2007-05-2420071N/AN/A-3.49%3.49%106385410638543354163354162376472376470.04010.0401858430717801048037680420339022572539114901980264317686329176230944059282125928212205116132007-03-3131.53%29.18%0.4714-1.151.153.010.393.49663.4233.15060.26190.207445.2%71872
2007-02-2820064N/AN/A0.032.36%15.12%1088121380849323740611386771479579458500.13500.8635837232721146898136625763813249465507644925827139137741821266764198067710962091095421160046512006-12-3121.82%37.72%0.454916.90885.715.712.561.813.1563.08082.79640.33840.252640.1%81978
2006-11-2320063N/AN/A-6.09%12.87%99583527203724446879012713775347978930.34480.728584100422210248823361997948938202182606775017144736755601353061206753410949741095196121542112006-09-3044.65%15.12%0.3235-5.655.651.961.893.19523.12182.8480.3570.262858.6%112795
2006-08-3020062N/AN/A0.122.99%7.12%89921517245372570484565841768794203590.16140.383869660271059024833159070034718201581782996367144273136421400672843310955661095187128181222006-06-3028.59%31.23%N/A-5.395.392.170.661.45641.37721.08390.17950.152N/A-N/AN/A
2006-05-3120061N/AN/A-4.17%4.17%8253228253221995361995362434802434800.22240.22247119899128241684335837483167541892962589714648782458083479548210947391094739144505542006-03-3124.18%-N/A-5.325.322.480.731.20851.14990.88420.220.1801N/A-N/AN/A

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtAvailable-for-sale financial assets (A-0)Deferred tax assets (A-0)Intangible assets (A-0)Investment in jointly controlled entity (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Land held for property development (A-0)Leasehold land use rights (A-0)Other assets (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Receivables (A-0)Amount due from associated companies (A-1)Amount due from jointly controlled entity (A-1)Available-for-sale financial assets (A-1)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current asset classified as held for sales (A-1)Financial assets at fair value through profit and loss (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other investments (A-1)Restricted cash (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Other liabilities (L-0)Amount due to associated companies (L-1)Amounts due to Group Companies (L-1)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Dividend payable (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
2010321806387311901991316305454181534---34880455622620783202500254456241196587936866872-632256203309258896-1089858728013987126957153000618700665981-
201021246527133115761481328107181534---35014422990525085202500255555013-13373265912--191492255232-1026188621214336199868183776-596264-
20101136839196115761452335680181534---35318833286421772202504425272672-2390165212--176252256612-1038197955714743166958--5489466818
200941270128133115761460337206181534--4107143561473340041811120-5251039--6202620605-186003262419-1044185412514152131439--6353006920
200931275175--19171612118153491294-36373535332251211418847--3097815--608872200985-219548237108-10412657095-151907128185-5887377024
20092704410--19501624818153491570-41978135780311184215851--2870095--591642259880-206587241530-9613970169-212932171534-5302937126
20091405781--19991630218153491838-25564436092631135216230--2870278--612781985357-197261231828-9055850931-183987--4557237239
20084415039--18641655218153494357-24280136384911135215332--27947934582-604971760187-185554227666-9130366915-170738--5412347338
20083491771--17801662118611794626-317036508971064718769--2920997--631901654924-194785216629-9306957764-176658127750-5627807437
20082957021--16471678018611794901-317036483691010228739--2790943--611261440963-178948212483-9256478686-213268152553763504261487534
20081898949--13501694018611795187-5083493657013966719227--2129044--625591109541-181717207447-9232856873-145851-763504052587643
200741505362--11941791018611795471-5355023663449924128074--2256871--59099794880-188346202984-9522659747-119622-1750584921777741
200732122105--11942108518611795755113365470193512248-23173--2190001--54795801822-289082190835-9482059060-1387891203672175604389667841
20072---20167022127418611796048235445-3511122-22378--1325849--551111110453-2825341935294604948668854134-158278125067800244423897940
20071---19890462146318611796319236130-3492140-19089--1225660--539821083780-1805811858217743778689076550-130214-859134403398037
20064---20716252165318611796601126882291813519084-15203--1127293--53273853384-18622518796411268839155058074-83260-878134791458136
20063---208241621842186117-252088-3547902-12201--1049860--532721017751-18659317840512222868355958881-6749994475915884135558233
20062---199595922519186117-252663-3529915-6805--260660--53270467850-1902691814731338627158949941-73328110213912783473408331
20061---205773922148211034-254699-3486975-8547--398343--52720397216-2304781762181341537233345860-97493-3861173702428433

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestImpairment lossGain/Loss on disposal of investment in an associateReliasation of translation loss on disposal of an equity investmentGain/loss on dilution of equity investment in associateShare of net profit of jointly controlled entity
20103120291679845777065444422185119800---165
201021226492108594755948-31234876771540---29
201011345170125580801485-2710162060102110876---8
200941275555111169764656-20935619921040---457
200931335901111313774407-259056811910248580---33
200921202256108491725017-21231595621130---49
200911178053110337730847-31469603939932735---135
2008413291021434467692971377866135099781502-682-84
200831224909124295745406014848-97----133
20082124076912715372526613470658283109--19102-298
200811091923981306639491643277225881598----155
2007411412198777067903020003565864083100-0-00
2007311153828786865538033350311643-99----17554
200721031878832946270863110218346569997---031213
200711063854978686590943480226875769599---6321094066
200641088121895466244784289255416221397----185276
2006399583567251589841277086384565998----78484
20062899215802715403433696935049940102----57538
20061825322438495475706305199804541495----46477

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables






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