Sponsor by Innity

Sponsor by cwyeoh

Sponsor by Nuffnang

Friday, January 28, 2011

KLCI Stock - MPHB / 3859 - 2010 Quarter 3

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)2,543,486,823 (Large)
Par ValueRM 1.00

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(2.36-0.05)/0.2736 = 8.44 (Moderate)
Target Price2.74+0.05 = 2.79 (PE 10.0, EPS 0.2736, DPS 0.05)
DecisionBUY
Comment
Revenue second consecutive quarter decreasing but still higher than preceding year corresponding quarter, eps increased and higher than preceding year corresponding quarter, free cash flow increasing but still negative net cash flow, moderate liquidity ratio, very high gearing ratio, all accounting period as usual, possible of joint development of lands
First Support Price2.1
Second Support Price2.0
Risk RatingMODERATE

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity12.02%
Dividend Yield2.12%
Profit Margin16.23%
Tax Rate8.38%
Asset Turnover0.5964
Net Asset Value Per Share2.13
Net Tangible Asset per share-0.56
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share-3.79
Cash Per Share0.92
Liquidity Current Ratio2.4226
Liquidity Quick Ratio2.4155
Liquidity Cash Ratio1.2943
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio1.402
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.5327
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale30.4%
Days to sell the inventory1
Days to collect the receivables44
Days to pay the payables94

My notes based on 2010 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- The pbt and minority interests from the continuing operations at RM138.1 million for the current quarter was 105.5% higher than the pbt and minority interests of RM67.2 million achieved in the previous corresponding financial quarter due to improved performances in the Gaming, Stockbroking and Corporate & Other Divisions

- The pbt of Gaming Division at RM89.1 million achieved in the current quarter is higher by RM76.3 million compared to the pbt of RM12.8 million recorded in the previous corresponding period. 4D Jackpot sales which was launched in September last year, lower prizes payout ratio as well as reduced finance costs have contributed to the substantial increase in the profit

- Finance Services Division's pretax profit in the current quarter dropped slightly to RM17.7 million from the pretax profit of RM18 million recorded in the previous corresponding period. This is mainly due to write back of provision for impairment of investments in the previous corresponding period

- Recovery of debts and higher net gain from proprietary trading in the Stockbroking Division have resulted in a pbt of RM6.2 million which is 34.8% higher than RM4.6 million reported in the previous corresponding financial quarter

- The Group recorded a pbt of RM138.1 million for the current quarter which is RM17 million higher than RM121.1 million achieved in the immediate preceding quarter. The improvement is mainly due to higher contribution from Stockbroking and Corporate & Others Divisions

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.1368*2 = 0.2736, estimate PE on current price 2.36 = 8.44(DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0563*4*0.95 = 0.2139, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.52/9.35 (DPS 0.05)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.22*1.05 = 0.231 (5% grow adjustment from 0.22 due to positive result), estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.39/7.84 (DPS 0.09)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.05*4 = 0.2*1.1 = 0.22 (10% grow from 0.2, due to 4D Jackpot game and current economic environment, result exclude other income), estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.05/8.27 (DPS 0.1, correction to last quarter estimated)

MPHB latest news (English)

MPHB latest news (Chinese)

No comments:

Post a Comment