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Monday, January 3, 2011

KLCI Stock - MAS / 3786 - 2010 Quarter 3

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)6,985,106,541 (Very Large)
Par ValueRM 1.00

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now2.09/0.24 = 8.71 (Moderate)
Target Price0.24*12.0 = 2.88 (PE 12.0, EPS 0.24)
DecisionNOT BUY
Comment
Revenue is highest since FY09Q1 but still lower than FY08 and earlier, eps largely increased from preceding quarter and preceding year corresponding quarter, No free cash flow and no positive net cash flow, liquidity ratio decreasing at weak level now, high gearing ratio, all accounting period are acceptable compared to historical quarter
First Support Price1.9
Second Support Price1.8
Risk RatingHIGH

Research House
TA Target Price2.5 (2010-05-03)
AM Target Price3.5 (2010-06-17)
CIMB Target Price3 (2010-08-17)
Maybank Target Price2.61 (2010-09-24)
RHB Target Price2.31 (2010-10-27)
Hong Leong Target Price2.27 (2010-11-09)
ECM Target Price2.95 (2010-11-26)
OSK Target Price1.58 (2010-11-26)
HwangDBS Target Price2.01 (2010-12-13)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity85.95%
Dividend Yield-
Profit Margin7.11%
Tax Rate0.92%
Asset Turnover1.0501
Net Asset Value Per Share1.02
Net Tangible Asset per share0.99
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share2.08
Cash Per Share0.65
Liquidity Current Ratio0.7243
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.6514
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.4054
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio2.6617
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.7261
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale-12.2%
Days to sell the inventory11
Days to collect the receivables40
Days to pay the payables110

My notes based on 2010 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- The Group recorded an operating profit of RM122.7 million for the third quarter ended 30 September 2010 (Quarter ended 30 September 2009: RM77.4 million loss) mainly due to higher operating revenue and improvement in its yield

- The Group recorded a profit after tax of RM233.9 million (Quarter ended 30 September 2009: RM299.1 million loss) after including amongst others, derivative gain of RM155.7 million (Quarter ended 30 September 2009: RM202.1 million loss)

- The Group recorded an operating profit for the quarter of RM122.7 million compared to operating loss of RM285.6 million in the previous quarter mainly due to higher operating revenue and improvement in its yield. The Group recorded a profit after tax of RM233.9 million after including amongst others, derivative gain of RM155.7 million for the quarter as compared to loss after tax of RM533.6 million in previous quarter

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