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Saturday, September 17, 2011

KLCI Stock - JOBST / 0058 - 2011 Quarter 2

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)879,859,890 (Medium)
Par ValueRM 0.20

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(2.73-0.06)/0.1518 = 17.59 (Moderate)
Target Price3.04+0.06 = 3.10 (PE 20.0, EPS 0.1518, DPS 0.06)
DecisionNot interested unless stock price back to uptrend
Comment
Revenue increased 14.5% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 21.7%, eps decreased 0.9% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 28.8%, cash generated from operating is more than enough to cover all expenses, stronger liquidity ratio at moderate level now, higher gearing ratio at below moderate level now, higher payables ratio, all segment business compared to preceding year also growth but compared to last 3 quarter is slow down
First Support Price2.73
Second Support Price2.5
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
OSK Target Price2.32 (2011-05-19)
HwangDBS Target Price3.6 (2011-06-08)
CIMB Target Price3.77 (2011-07-18)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity25.91%
Dividend Yield2.20%
Profit Margin48.88%
Tax Rate21.31%
Asset Turnover0.5413
Net Asset Value Per Share0.58
Net Tangible Asset per share0.58
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share4.95
Cash Per Share0.26
Liquidity Current Ratio2.1286
Liquidity Quick Ratio2.1286
Liquidity Cash Ratio1.7796
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.2489
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.1971
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale40.9%
Days to sell the inventory-
Days to collect the receivables46
Days to pay the payables184

My notes based on 2011 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue mainly due to higher sales reflecting higher recruitment activities

- Results from operating activities and profit before taxation (“PBT”) rose 11.5% and 12.5% respectively in tandem with the higher revenues. Operating expenses increased by 26.4% mainly due to higher staff costs and marketing expenses

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = (0.0349+0.041)*2 = 0.1518, estimate PE on current price 2.73 = 17.59(DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.1441, estimate highest/lowest PE = 20.33/17.63 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0343*4*1.05 = 0.1441, estimate highest/lowest PE = 19.85/16.59 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0343*4*1.05 = 0.1441, estimate highest/lowest PE = 20.51/18.42 (DPS 0.055)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0343*4*1.05 = 0.1441, estimate highest/lowest PE = 20.78/13.98 (DPS 0.055)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0991 (5% grow from 0.0944), estimate highest/lowest PE = 20.66/18.54 (DPS 0.0425)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0895 (around 5% grow from 0.085), estimate highest/lowest PE = 23.8/16.54 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0892, estimate highest/lowest PE = 17.49/15.02 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.084, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.49/13.63 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.0899, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.07/11.4 (DPS 0.035)

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