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Wednesday, September 21, 2011

KLCI Stock - MMCCORP / 2194 - 2011 Quarter 2

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)7,612,646,380 (Very Large)
Par ValueRM 0.10

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(2.5-0.035)/0.1043 = 23.63 (High)
Target Price1.88+0.035 = 1.91 (PE 18.0, EPS 0.1043, DPS 0.035)
DecisionNot interested unless stock price sustain above 2.7
Comment
Revenue increased 8.7% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 4.9%, eps increased 90.8% but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 8.2%, cash generated from operating and investing just enough to cover all expenses, slightly higher liquidity ratio at low level now, slightly lower gearing ratio at very high ratio now, all accounting ratio are good, construction division continue loss and other divisions also recorded lower profit
First Support Price2.5
Second Support Price2.3
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
Kenanga Target Price3.16 (2011-06-14)
OSK Target Price3.58 (2011-08-17)
HwangDBS Target Price3.7 (2011-08-24)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity3.34%
Dividend Yield1.40%
Profit Margin11.07%
Tax Rate16.87%
Asset Turnover0.2558
Net Asset Value Per Share2.18
Net Tangible Asset per share-0.37
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share-7.24
Cash Per Share1.38
Liquidity Current Ratio1.4758
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.337
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.8133
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio3.7959
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.706
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale27.0%
Days to sell the inventory37
Days to collect the receivables96
Days to pay the payables100

My notes based on 2011 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- Higher profit recorded from Energy & Utilities division due to higher volume of gas sold, lower other operating expenses, improved associates performance and lower finance cost as a result of loan repayments

- Higher profit recorded from Transport & Logistics division mainly driven by the increase in tonnage and throughput volume coupled with lower operating costs

- Better performance from the Engineering & Construction division mainly due to the absence of profit revisions for the double track project and lower provision on project losses of Zelan Berhad

- Lower contribution from Corporate & Others division due to lower gain on disposal of investment coupled with higher finance cost

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = (0.0269*3+0.0141)*1.1 = 0.1043, estimate PE on current price 2.5 = 23.63(DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.1133*1.05 = 0.119, estimate highest/lowest PE = 24.08/18.61 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.1133, estimate highest/lowest PE = 25.99/22.29 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0676*2*1.1 = 0.1487, estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.45/17.82 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0402*2*1.1 = 0.0884, estimate highest/lowest PE = 37.56/27.94 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0777*1.1 = 0.0855, estimate highest/lowest PE = 31.23/25.73 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0777*1.1 = 0.0855, estimate highest/lowest PE = 29.82/25.38 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0297*4*0.9 = 0.1069, estimate highest/lowest PE = 23.43/20.63 (DPS 0.025)

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