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Sunday, February 19, 2012

KLCI Stock - ADVENTA / 7191 - 2011 Quarter 4

ADVENTA BERHAD

Company Description
Adventa Berhad is an investment holding company. The Company has three business segments: manufacture, distribution and trading of healthcare products; generation and supply of energy and electricity using biomass technology, and provision of management services to subsidiaries. It operates in Malaysia, Germany, Hong Kong and Uruguay. In Malaysia, it is engaged in the manufacturing, distribution and trading of healthcare products. Other operations include generation and supply of energy and electricity, and provision of management services. In Germany, its operations include the distribution of healthcare products. In Hong Kong, it is engaged in investment holding, and in Uruguay, it is engaged in the manufacture and distribution of healthcare products. On August 1, 2009, the Company acquired Cytotec (M) Sdn. Bhd.

Company Info 
Listing Date2004-06-29
IPO Price0.3
Market Capital (Capital Size)249,040,805 (Small)
Par ValueRM 0.50
BoardMain
SectorIndustrial Products
Major IndustryMedical Gloves & other hospital related products
Sub IndustryEnergy & Electricity Generation using biomass technology
Websitehttp://www.adventa.com.my/

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E now1.63/0.135 = 12.07 (High)
Target Price0.135*11.0 = 1.48 (PE 11.0, EPS 0.135)
DecisionNot interested unless MACD moving back to bullish trend
Comment
Revenue increased 11.9% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 19.9%, eps decreased 310.3% and was second consecutive quarter decreasing and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 173.8%, not enough cash for operating expenses hence generated more cash from financing and spent 67.9% of Group cash to cover all expenses, weaker liquidity ratio at low level now, lower gearing ratio but still at high level now, all accounting ratio are good, higher inventory can indicate better Group products demand, affecting from weakeaning of USD against RM and latex price increasing
First Support Price1.56
Second Support Price1.45
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
CIMB Target Price1.49 (2011-09-29)
OSK Target Price2 (2012-01-03)

Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity1.94%
Dividend Yield-
Profit Margin-3.16%
Tax Rate-
Asset Turnover0.9448
Net Asset Value Per Share1.41
Net Tangible Asset per share1.39
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.14
Cash Per Share0.09
Liquidity Current Ratio1.3974
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.7667
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.0959
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio1.1084
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.5249
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale12.9%
Days to sell the inventory76
Days to collect the receivables79
Days to pay the payables40

Technical Analysis 
SMA 201.662 (Downtrend 3 days)
SMA 501.641 (Same)
SMA 1001.63 (Uptrend)
SMA 2001.767 (Downtrend)
MACD (26d/12d)-0.00205 ( 0.001924 )
Signal (9)0.00392 ( 0.001493 )
MACD Histogram0.005970 (Bearish trend 8 days)

My notes based on 2011 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- Loss due to fire incident and deposit written off RM9.23 million, if exclude this the pbt is increased

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = (0.03*1.2)+(0.03*1.1*3) = 0.135, estimate PE on current price 1.63 = 12.07(DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.013*4*1.4 = 0.0728(exclude RM2 million from tax and other income), estimate highest/lowest PE = 23.9/18.68 (DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.03*4*1.3 = 0.156, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.69/8.85 (DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0265*4*1.3 = 0.1378(slowly recover), estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.91/13.5 (DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.04*4 = 0.16, estimate highest/lowest PE = 17.38/12.44 (DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.055*4*0.95 = 0.209, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.39/8.71 (DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0434*4 = 0.1736*1.1(QbQ improvement adjustment) = 0.191, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.81/11.78 (DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.063*4 = 0.252, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.36/11.35 (DPS 0.07)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0372*4 = 0.1488, estimate highest/lowest PE = 28.83/18.28 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0319*4 = 0.1276, estimate highest/lowest PE = 23.2/11.36 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0272*4 = 0.1088, estimate highest/lowest PE = 19.39/7.77 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.0232*4 = 0.092, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.04/8.26 (DPS 0.06)

ADVENTA latest news (English)

ADVENTA latest news (Chinese)

USD/MYR Chart

Daily Latex Price



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdateprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2011-12-3020114N/AN/A-3.91%1.94%11589242995736625908845542010.05530.0275455054238842727216212351483611143037415557125928222133331527861527862429292011-10-313.16%-0.944857.82661.411.391.140.091.39740.76670.09591.10840.524912.9%767940
2011-09-28201131.811.43-1.78%5.60%103577314065300695704017126560.02630.0828486478260552849225926180842738066736415554546421272628271527861527862230672011-07-312.90%-0.8443-1.471.451.010.411.44060.95230.39851.15760.535616.9%717842
2011-06-29201122.051.45-2.01%3.78%10429921048831216564458986390.03000.0565439360210881844228479233481878629153415554213412981285741527861527862979322011-04-302.99%-0.898-1.491.471.330.191.0690.62830.16440.92640.483.0%757544
2011-03-31201112.41.93-1.86%1.86%10618910618934433443405040500.02650.0265425272207590854217682247851085723676415553564211966295891527861527863666862011-01-313.24%-0.8732-1.421.41.710.191.01320.58960.16980.95740.48810.6%807252
2010-12-22201042.852.060.075.03%15.84%9665534181338783014311151351520.07490.236241553119362881822190357356732181858638831158622724415551488471488472857862010-10-314.01%-0.82268.131.491.461.320.281.11120.70120.26620.87580.4665.1%787272
2010-09-27201032.661.89-3.82%11.19%873842451588479262658198240010.05500.160938471317016193121455222202368851026838831146834415344161491431491433564512010-07-319.70%3.35%0.8316-1.431.411.70.231.65521.09330.33220.79660.442321.2%799052
2010-06-15201023.282.32-3.17%7.76%811331577747729177866450158030.04340.106336440216085293420355011077194419373883183647427314041487121487124714172010-04-309.53%16.60%0.8376-1.361.342.370.211.68451.11970.32650.79390.441421.6%809154
2010-03-03201013.942.93-4.83%4.83%76641766411005710057935393530.06300.063035226215852412461937388586999528063883114094215346161483641483645014702010-01-3113.12%6.66%0.8271-1.31.282.640.231.67671.12230.35810.82350.4522.4%839360
2009-12-22200944.352.780.042.91%9.18%747522828716083183875398170030.03720.11713451801599361212185244216561819319343730234631529388311452481452484183142009-10-318.14%11.51%0.819524.60241.271.242.320.271.67921.12830.40880.86910.463322.8%848860
2009-09-15200933.021.51-2.50%6.34%726992081195652123044584116050.03190.080834203615889212271831448411000633243730291655841314611435511435512397302009-07-317.77%19.85%0.7916-1.271.251.340.221.71971.21210.33340.87340.464525.1%8111257
2009-06-30200922.170.905-2.15%3.97%6726613542038766652378970210.02720.05053341951575601281176635367364122165373022739574367281391561391561586372009-04-305.76%3.41%0.7894-1.261.240.920.261.72441.20560.40910.89850.471524.6%809957
2009-03-27200911.260.820.031.87%1.87%681546815427762776323232320.02320.0232325163152467132617269675574098436237302116557293300091392091392091141512009-01-314.07%-0.7614-1.231.210.680.221.78911.22310.36780.88970.468926.0%8410350
2008-12-30200870.90.685-3.21%8.06%649151859484105133605435136600.03890.097832210815264612841694621594325632985437137968916537302139668139668970692008-10-316.32%-0.7717-1.21.190.580.271.68031.13290.43970.90760.473923.5%818757
2008-09-29200860.90.6-1.80%4.92%6257812103339059255294680700.02100.0576302011137969143516404214189566998371371098411982251551400691400691232602008-07-316.24%24.43%0.8259-1.161.140.770.181.80551.21270.32090.84850.456825.3%8210255
2008-06-26200851.140.785-3.06%3.06%584555845553505350512451240.03660.036630586713852814301673393354495934813713783134832323051400991400991611132008-04-309.15%2.93%0.7778-1.181.170.980.231.9851.36880.43690.8350.452930.6%8610664
2008-03-28200841.341.130.0443.60%12.39%626282249015363191975859201450.04190.1440299146136582144116256415652406482998732220249964991372111398531398531664252008-01-318.56%-0.75188.26141.151.131.050.272.08351.40490.53870.84770.456633.3%949777
2007-12-18200831.51.05-3.64%10.32%657611622735267138345043142860.03890.11022567821183366911384466066265323277318412046617189146521295801295801930742007-10-318.01%3.95%0.8185-1.061.041.430.111.81781.08810.23520.8590.460824.2%1009266
2007-09-20200821.671.33-3.80%6.97%510519651245798567503392430.03910.0718255835123253675132582394519748676831841158039035228061286951286952239292007-07-318.97%-0.5645-1.021.011.720.181.75471.09030.3450.93440.481834.6%141125103
2007-06-2720081N/AN/A-3.27%3.27%454614546139883988421042100.03340.03342503561217756521285813569975499083184161853723355641260001260001726202007-04-308.77%-0.373-1.021.01.370.291.89621.23760.57080.95190.486460.4%210164150
2007-03-2820074N/AN/A0.036.11%12.60%479151735226915151967822161250.06210.128023677210880971212796396243609239614190742646813146322201260001260001008002007-01-3114.43%-0.20246.25121.010.990.810.261.89711.28980.54250.85510.4596111.9%373340310

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtDeferred tax assets (A-0)Fixed deposits (A-0)Intangible assets (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Derivative assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred income (L-0)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Derivative liabilities (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Payables and accruals (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
20114865424003305-24632813333-87728936083946-3069966851119925991059834772727
20113971324003305-2439326282793769891346773752-2535100360-1125961136533696849
20112890624003305-23898528574-765871226268341-2753343522831283011360631586844
20111807024003305-23494329589-738161341759732-3517298153321258771457433475854
20104845224003305-22794741555-63992956658314-437233178-974422085437782818
201034974240033961176719071634416-582052142357416-815458417-65311636431915931
201025027240033961181517972831404-543282178154523-789856764-59255633230603934
20101485617832441186417006334616-535792164052222-689154980-583987768304871246
200945287240032441191316283838831-523292068947649-646058493-573178461292051212
20093401249002520935915894631461-479062388359049-495559559-607137629260361227
20092502349002520940615755036728-465742043851056-488762905-564718353249441281
20091535049002520945315697230009-461801804151738-496465915-540846576209281326
20087483749002520950015626837702-46938759051853-508761811-526079555235861284
20086204649002520954714144325155-464771914550778-460254966-473137066240221435
20085317149002520959313892132305-455601854050357-504359549-4002710655232541430
20084171849002563993213610737211-468761445445385-339664107-3069513777246071441
20083106149002471996612513614652-45457820944930-676949266-32181921820902691
20082109549002471973312160222814-43937791641367-660250525-339991098421143675
20081109049002471978011281335910-4143568703508770721951570-33378972419814652
20074108325002471982710748932428-36298593538741141418544705-296031146118714712

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestFinance/interest incomeSelling and distribution costsForeign exchange (loss)/gainOther expenses
201141158924914-239862107992121---9226
201131035771016-23411463996935----
201121042991458-17024199989510----
20111106189643-155657610176636----
20104966557251-170410229209522----
2010387384284-1479526779523----
20102811331283643361342235224954-2879--
20101766416705947112301284211234-2487--
2009474752700600241210837198315-21852430-
2009372699112255166121820302104549226903931-
2009267266132515461573203520684511619884296-
2009168154498530061618200321814215824574271-
2008764915133555670119796221395-2766--
2008662578954529451128364201352212444--
20085584551574685711859571872692482482--
200846262868548818131218572288189-2990--
20083657612085087411024448165016-2420--
2008251051477399791301505156323-3124--
2008145461162349959772133148060-1888--
200744791510223135447627914154115-2225--

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersHealthcare productsEnergy providerElimination/Adjustment
2011411052253463137113696
201134355189190298192949
201121855181789263981984
201111555187209358386158
2010485102103848814131053
20103890163972309580573
201021890136865383461456
201011390135848367064267
200944390127953380661526
200932390130762390364356
200924390120350360261076
20091390122795378058811
200872510127838337668809
20086330111478353852768
20085330104999328350157
20084330109338317650216
20083330108810286646245
20082330102857305355189
2008133085009303142909
20074660094573486858126

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersHealthcare productsEnergy providerElimination/Adjustment
20114413108833173651
2011335326395544634
2011238641771192932
2011179531871896879
20104265700246816366
20103111110429602155
20102888987913803076
201018191396412214717
200945634564418545803
200931838832413724664
200923738359511623046
2009129137741695784
200873759572715045688
20086151270314121069
2008566539191352744
20084382821213862541
2008318972648411547
2008218939951122952
2008116541261242238
200745546600631767337

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables



6-Months Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com


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1-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

5-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

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