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Friday, February 10, 2012

KLCI Stock - BJTOTO / 1562 - 2012 Quarter 2

BERJAYA SPORTS TOTO BERHAD

Company Description
Berjaya Sports Toto Berhad (BToto) is principally engaged in investment holding and provision of management services to its subsidiary companies. The Company, along with its subsidiaries, is principally engaged in the operations of Toto betting; leasing of online lottery equipment; manufacture and distribution of computerized lottery and voting systems; property investment and development, and investment holding. The Company operates in two segments: toto betting and leasing of lottery equipment, and others, which includes property investment and development, investment holding, and manufacture and distribution of computerized lottery and voting systems. On September 5, 2008, the Company incorporated a wholly owned subsidiary, Berjaya-ILTS Limited. In May 2009, the Company, through its subsidiary Berjaya Sports Toto (Cayman) Limited (BSTC), acquired 6.81% interest in Prime Gaming Philippines, Inc.

Company Info
Listing Date1972-05-04
Market Capital (Capital Size)5,958,042,617 (Very Large)
Par ValueRM 0.10
BoardMain
SectorTrading/Services
Major IndustryGaming
Sub IndustryDiversified Business
Websitehttp://www.berjaya.com/

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(4.41-0.25)/0.3106 = 13.39 (Moderate)
Target Price4.66+0.25 = 4.91 (PE 15.0, EPS 0.3106, DPS 0.25)
DecisionBUY if stock price below SMA20 and got stronger buying volume than selling
Comment
Revenue increased 2% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 2%, eps increased 14.7% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 62.2%, cash generated from operating enough to cover all expenses, slightly weaker liquidity ratio at low level now, higher gearing ratio at high level now, all accounting ratio are good
First Support Price4.3
Second Support Price4.0
Risk RatingLOW

Research House
AMMB Target Price4.7 (2011-06-21)
CIMB Target Price4.75 (2011-06-21)
HwangDBS Target Price4.25 (2011-06-21)
RHB Target Price5.15 (2011-06-21)
TA Target Price4.92 (2011-06-21)
ECM Target Price5.2 (2011-09-22)
OSK Target Price4.72 (2011-09-29)
Maybank Target Price4.85 (2011-12-13)
HLG Target Price4.92 (2012-01-12)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity84.23%
Dividend Yield5.67%
Profit Margin17.25%
Tax Rate27.84%
Asset Turnover2.323
Net Asset Value Per Share0.38
Net Tangible Asset per share-0.1
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share-41.0
Cash Per Share0.35
Liquidity Current Ratio1.4826
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.4552
Liquidity Cash Ratio1.1962
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio1.8623
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.6386
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale5.5%
Days to sell the inventory1
Days to collect the receivables11
Days to pay the payables46

Technical Analysis
SMA 204.417 (Uptrend 36 days)
SMA 504.263 (Uptrend)
SMA 1004.195 (Uptrend)
SMA 2004.157 (Uptrend)
MACD0.077664 (Downtrend 1 day)
MACD Histogram0.003926 (Uptrend 33 days)

My notes based on 2012 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue than FY11Q2 mainly attributed to the results of Sports Toto and Berjaya Philippines Inc. group

- Higher revenue than FY12Q1 mainly attributed to the results of Sports Toto despite lower revenue from Berjaya Philippines Inc. group

- Higher pbt mainly attributed to higher revenue in current quarter and higher prize payout from Sports Toto in the corresponding period despite marginal drop in pre-tax profit of Berjaya Philippines Inc. group

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced = (0.0689+0.079)*2*1.05 = 0.3106, estimate PE on current price 4.41 = 13.39(DPS 0.25)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = (0.0689+0.0779)*2 = 0.2936, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.2/13.15 (DPS 0.21)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 0.0779*4 = 0.3116, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.83/12.2 (DPS 0.18)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = (0.0859+0.0487)*2*1.05 = 0.2827, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.53/13.76 (DPS 0.18)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0487*4*1.05 = 0.2045, estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.27/18.97 (DPS 0.16)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.2889*0.8 = 0.2311, estimate highest/lowest PE = 17.83/17.05 (DPS 0.16)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.2889*0.9 = 0.26(10% drop), estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.19/14.58 (DPS 0.27)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0729*4 = 0.2916, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.09/13.34 (DPS 0.27)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0762*4 = 0.3048, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.65/12.53 (DPS 0.29)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0797*4 = 0.3188, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.21/12.08 (DPS 0.29)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0854*4 = 0.3416, but this is too high, so use last 3 years average eps = (0.3268+0.276+0.2905)/3 = 0.2978, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.66/13.26 (DPS 0.29)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0773*4 = 0.3092, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.33/13.97 (DPS 0.26)

BJTOTO latest news (English)

BJTOTO latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdateprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2011-12-1220122N/AN/A0.0819.63%36.73%86237117081811487852788921056731977770.07900.14791489763951334275845384292689027609242415452916261293188784717941337500133750054837502011-10-3117.25%27.84%2.323-0.38-0.1-41.00.351.48261.45521.19621.86230.63865.5%11146
2011-09-21201214.384.070.0817.26%17.26%84581084581013010713010792104921040.06890.06891455515921870262775336451181851976134160450788120161139994367891337500133750058181252011-07-3115.38%27.93%2.3662-0.38-0.1-43.50.331.51821.49751.19421.8170.63345.5%11242
2011-06-20201144.493.980.0321.79%72.81%90130834336591480785059091041853480980.07790.260314463089682172372347809139170491021892402562083826021933624495701337500133750060455002011-04-3016.43%28.72%2.374117.36720.34-0.14-32.290.341.32071.30631.09362.13090.66943.9%1949
2011-03-15201134.574.070.0625.71%54.58%85116625323511614933578311148752439130.08590.18241328533881663222914468702664138781186339256646257632712933279391337500133750054703752011-01-3118.97%27.11%2.5522-0.32-0.16-25.560.251.45571.43391.0152.07660.66364.4%11539
2010-12-10201124.514.040.0416.83%33.38%845790168118597740196338650821290380.04870.096512755908889761921938661412607168421190302570061192291992572051337500133750055238752010-10-3111.56%31.24%2.6578-0.27-0.21-19.670.21.26541.24440.78132.41970.69692.6%11639
2010-09-20201114.284.10.0815.28%15.28%835395835395985989859863956639560.04780.0478128523186670815891418523112932563364610257150107299426892998391337500133750054971252010-07-3111.80%33.82%2.6466-0.3-0.18-22.830.231.20791.18450.84152.15260.67442.2%11342
2010-06-18201044.484.060.0817.41%82.55%8582943392810117321548188808953835040.06120.2902123158476703315074464551449161107675311601227577341486298852574621321318132131858534382010-04-3013.67%29.18%2.754415.2630.34-0.15-29.530.20.83150.81290.57511.70650.6228-2.3%11136
2010-03-15201034.674.16-25.51%78.45%8507592534029139259428834978513008470.07290.228612492238657141252138350934697089077235881229447257893220122514591341727131610058633462010-01-3116.37%29.15%2.7252-0.28-0.21-20.810.190.77920.76470.49092.33350.693-3.4%11534
2009-12-10201024.454.11-32.46%64.26%85710516832701474372895751025442029960.07620.155811978128818971062431591522335631112154263228830192244379812668111345698130328656519312009-10-3117.20%29.95%3.0149-0.23-0.26-16.150.20.67350.65820.4972.88870.7363-4.9%1728
2009-09-09201014.54.140.1946.47%46.47%8261658261651421381421381004521004520.07970.07971123566907384978421618212082432677923962302638814742492260141260875126087554469802009-07-3117.20%28.67%3.2895-0.16-0.35-12.340.180.55860.54210.45174.39630.8076-6.1%1428
2009-06-15200945.354.240.1121.50%82.28%87033336956861508135853281072494104930.08540.326811144746155681595949890649028235660354700130553454622999222304751256000125600062297602009-04-3017.33%27.18%3.316115.17630.38-0.11-45.090.190.67230.65570.52511.27460.5523-4.0%1533
2009-03-16200935.054.560.0521.55%67.30%10576632825353141420434515971123032440.07730.241411257766752031579045057338234121706278059133212360635825762157881256000125600058780802009-01-3013.37%30.38%3.2797-0.35-0.15-31.20.170.6310.61590.4371.5530.5998-5.0%1829
2008-12-12200924.824.50.0727.29%49.45%94178817676901623962930951137422061320.09060.16411058567641701165254168663040509470243277129626294580513031809291256000125600057022402008-10-3117.24%28.57%3.3026-0.32-0.17-26.710.150.60150.58320.42381.60290.6062-4.9%1532
2008-09-08200914.84.040.0625.86%25.86%82590282590213069913069992390923900.07360.073610397296824982036835723110083651476982512612295689258641519861256000125600057524802008-07-3115.83%28.10%3.2188-0.27-0.22-20.820.120.53910.51790.34962.0260.6564-6.0%1637
2008-06-18200844.944.40.0917.17%98.51%866831327779793929502627607623486630.04830.2760102418867026823244353920344898728065379562467204177041202521264681256858126343861837412008-04-3010.84%29.89%3.200417.82840.26-0.23-21.390.10.59840.57720.34672.0270.6544-4.5%1832
2008-03-05200835.34.660.0825.70%75.37%8614772410946148054408698981582879010.07790.227510787176967451983438197229816081549447246248307379709675371807701260824126558461780372008-01-3117.19%32.16%3.0039-0.29-0.2-24.50.140.73390.70470.48421.9240.6459-3.1%1828
2007-12-07200825.54.80.0824.28%51.50%7924711549469119206260644894701897430.07090.149610894607210151479236844518273783354330427247483266091643361831471261574126796463709482007-10-3115.04%23.72%2.8912-0.28-0.21-24.050.150.78010.7480.49362.03880.6618-2.6%2926
2007-09-10200815.154.80.126.50%25.77%7569987569981414381414381031291002730.08090.0787124112085200212467389118146828836951115572475742305231189663665401274380127438063464122007-07-3118.68%25.96%1.8994-0.3-0.19-26.210.290.93890.91620.78222.2620.6865-1.2%2956
2007-06-2820074N/AN/A0.07521.49%87.68%8293613035288149001545332920943756870.07190.290512132357847711017942846446483645978113366406588839246174120232468601280530129314057367742007-04-3017.97%37.99%1.319115.42050.32-0.15-29.870.21.12421.09670.68371.87620.64682.9%33358
2007-03-0720073N/AN/A0.12521.98%53.27%77098122049951520393966601173382843520.09060.219613420618082751312453378635246346722511193636598268196882996753601511294730129473059816522007-01-3119.72%22.48%0.5745-0.4-0.07-66.00.291.53521.50561.03551.55240.602325.3%677138

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtDeferred tax assets (A-0)Intangible assets (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Amount due from associated companies (A-1)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current asset classified as held for sales (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Deposits with licensed banks (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other investments (A-1)Other receivables (A-1)Commercial papers and medium term notes (L-0)Deferred income (L-0)Deferred liabilities (L-0)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Other liabilities (L-0)Other long-term provisions (L-0)Retirement benefits obligations (L-0)Amount due to associated companies (L-1)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Dividend payable (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Other payables (L-1)Provision for liabilities (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
201221071864399922848716826442-132508-471794-58-108411535102416550000--3095-733-1815-38285--3573268027584
201211070064315522308077628882-133518-436789-57-7579738111091550000--3065-801-1622-32162--3341497126277
20114882064275722388077630745-135900-449897-61-5919148387712550000--3065-867-1556-23475--3891629223723
20113781364303731447859328343-91787-327939-81-7133382113684255000013-2129-930-1729-21553--3052208922291
20112705564413832057855125113-94693-2572058895991-7027387914784455000025-2129-1005-1670-27072--3070225319219
201111033164332332847423123112-93696-29983911005998-84804784117053-39-21295000001052-1489-35084--32680311215891
20104967464398635717423123119-96701-25746211005999-84765566101699---21293050001111-1402-34227-14500027803013415074
2010388136449071717360620088267793227-251459-6005-75614155136554--368821710305000--1399-46338-2150002593067912521
2010265026441701647360616214268692881-266811-14775-8241-71762--368911710305000--1426-60239-24750022901511610624
2010165236450561647316616033269696545-226014-8445-8394313537395--377721710359247--1388-44714-2257532366771239784
2009452146183581647316613204270598362-230475-8443-7471642950483--371471710124247--1308-36159-1384392764837515959
2009342366199551657355212986271598604-215788-12440-7525139076420--351481917140000--1216-50940659401300002499489415790
200927866183411657355210751272493528-180929-18920-7873135049648--350182991172500--1094-41015-12750026138819516525
200918476182221657355213956273493971-151986-18878-9267123754914--351322991205000--1047-25855-125000286178129520368
200848586184251657120514993274394910---166271261737832179468463--349922473262686--1004-25674-97314244785134023244
2008317796205181656834416104279095031---1418218077010896-68138--506881717270000-1020--47307-12000020561839519834
2008214056192501656834418127-92744---1435918314711914-80005--473501717300000-920--66456-11750018685521714792
2008114026191621656834417316-93227---777936654010634128455267--474823400330000-864-13463809-11500029070760612467
2007414686178101656803113231-9213275056-10621044424686010284881167881--466393400360000-774-60554673-11250020534883210179
200734076080871676792714282-922179392422318-7910337833107611689869330--463915069390000-2700-4720424-110000233644-13124

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseFinance/interest costsAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesInvestment gain/loss
201228623714142677127092311686543303
20121845810363447661711180165983146
201149013084253374677455841360908729
201138511664378177136843212837592420
201128457903053272467425242126781798
20111835395333411344972474913012881689
201048582943423867117372712188123021
20103850759405977296705422811-1218
20102857105441517926703227742-1485
20101826165407543455684315932-3743
2009487033340995344071554625691533
2009310576634296038619156591348-3277
200929417884639342117733622261-1819
200918259023672045996931081589-2504
200848668312807950527680565088-206
200838614774760855707075622288-291
200827924712828160896704901455-3314
200817569983672057196165751589-6734
2007482936156601671167664830602999
20073770981341856790618466516-6314

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersToto betting and leasing of lottery equipment
201226270856101
201215618840192
201145207896101
201136557844609
201126757839033
201116080829315
2010410312847982
201033060847699
201022466854639
201012338823827
200943489866844
2009327031054960
200925037936751
200914334821568
2008417630849201
200833224858253
200823247789224
200813417753581
20074810828551
20073556770425

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersToto betting and leasing of lottery equipment
201222433158681
201212485139902
201142726161594
201131378171035
20112873107002
201112115114870
201041953121451
201033399151892
201025947162789
201012634148934
200942933160150
200934072148561
20092463170246
200911903136857
20084766593465
200831857158083
200822058126213
200811440143827
2007410258164441
20073456154243

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables



6-Months Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com


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1-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

5-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

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