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Saturday, February 25, 2012

KLCI Stock - AJIYA / 7609 - 2011 Quarter 4

My notes based on 2011 quarter 4 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue and pbt due to better market sentiment but overall profit margin still decreasing compared to earlier year

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = 265072*0.06/69224 = 0.2298, estimate PE on current price 1.72 = 7.48
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.0395*4*1.05 = 0.1659, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.19/9.4 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.157*2*0.9 = 0.2826, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.26/5.1 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0529*4*1.05 = 0.2222, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.46/7.11 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.07(average eps from recent 3 quarter)*4 = 0.28, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.46/6.25 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.08(average eps)*4*0.95 = 0.304, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.84/6.38 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.3427, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.19/5.46 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0816*4 = 0.3264+0.0163 = 0.3427 (5% grow from 0.3264 due to recovery from previous weak market), estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.16/4.99 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.312(2% drop from 0.3184), estimate PE on current price 2.14 = 6.67(DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.28, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.39/5.18 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.23, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.52/5.22 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.26, estimate highest/lowest PE = 5.15/4.46 (DPS 0.06)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.26, estimate highest/lowest PE = 4.69/3.65 (DPS 0.06)

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