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Wednesday, February 1, 2012

KLCI Stock - HSPLANT / 5138 - 2011 Quarter 3

HAP SENG PLANTATIONS HOLDINGS BERHAD

Company Description
HAP SENG PLANTATIONS HOLDINGS BERHAD is a Malaysia-based investment holding company that carries out marketing and trading activities for its subsidiaries. It is principally engaged in the cultivation of oil palm and processing of fresh fruit bunches (FFB) carried out in Malaysia. The Company’s plantations having a combined area of 37,630 hectares are located on one contiguous plot of land measuring approximately 36,354 hectares between Lahad Datu and Sandakan, and a smaller area in Tawau measuring 1,276 hectares. As of January 31, 2008, 32,695 hectares were planted with oil palms of which 31, 260 (95.3%) hectares were mature palms. Milling operations were carried out at the Company’s four mills, which have a total milling capacity of 175 FFB tons per hour. The Company’s subsidiaries include Jeroco Plantation Sdn Bhd and Hap Seng Plantations (River Estates) Sdn Bhd. In July 2008, the Company acquired Oriental Continent Sdn Bhd.

Company Info 
Listing Date2007-11-16
Market Capital (Capital Size)2,328,000,000 (Large)
Par ValueRM 1.00
BoardMain
SectorPlantation
Major IndustryOil Palm & Others Crop

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E now(2.91-0.17)/0.3643 = 7.52 (Moderate)
Target Price3.64+0.17 = 3.81 (PE 10.0, EPS 0.3643, DPS 0.17)
DecisionBUY if stock price near to SMA20 and got stronger buying volume than selling
Comment
Revenue decreased 8.2% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 46.7%, eps decreased 12.8% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 58.9%, cash generated from operating is more than enough to cover all expenses, weaker liquidity ratio from high to moderate level now, slightly higher gearing ratio at low level now, all accounting ratio are good, benefit from CPO price above 3.1k
First Support Price2.78
Second Support Price2.7
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
Affin Target Price4.02 (2011-01-27)

Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity14.11%
Dividend Yield5.84%
Profit Margin52.97%
Tax Rate25.30%
Asset Turnover0.314
Net Asset Value Per Share2.28
Net Tangible Asset per share2.28
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.18
Cash Per Share0.14
Liquidity Current Ratio2.8257
Liquidity Quick Ratio2.2394
Liquidity Cash Ratio1.879
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.1363
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.12
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale16.6%
Days to sell the inventory41
Days to collect the receivables12
Days to pay the payables43

Technical Analysis 
SMA 202.864 (Uptrend 20 days)
SMA 502.77 (Uptrend)
SMA 1002.676 (Uptrend)
SMA 2002.637 (Uptrend)
MACD0.063428 (Uptrend 3 days)
MACD Histogram0.007231 (Uptrend 18 days)

My notes based on 2011 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue and pbt than FY10Q3 was due to higher average selling price of Crude Palm Oil (CPO) and Palm Kernel (PK) for the current quarter of RM3,117 and RM1,828 per tonne which were higher than the preceding year corresponding quarter of RM2,487 and RM1,575 per tonne respectively. In addition, the Group also benefitted from higher CPO sales volume for the current quarter of 46,102 tonnes which were 22% higher than the preceding year corresponding quarter attributable to higher CPO production with higher Fresh Fruit Bunches (FFB) yield resulting from the changes in cropping pattern and increase in the purchase of FFB from surrounding estates

- Lower revenue and pbt mainly due to lower average selling price of CPO and PK which were lower by 8% and 27% respectively resulting from the decline in commodities prices

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.0828*4*1.1 = 0.3643, estimate PE on current price 2.91 = 7.52(DPS 0.17)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = (0.0949+0.0722)*2 = 0.3342, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.29/6.46 (DPS 0.17)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.2392*1.1 = 0.2631, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.96/8 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0521*1.1*4 = 0.2292, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.57/11.21 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0521*1.1*4 = 0.2292, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.44/12.48 (DPS 0.11)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0454*1.1*4 = 0.1998, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.42/10.76 (DPS 0.11)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0456*1.1*4 = 0.2006, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.42/10.02 (DPS 0.09)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0396*4 = 0.1584, estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.4/12.31 (DPS 0.09)

HSPLANT latest news (English)

HSPLANT latest news (Chinese)

Daily Palm Oil Prices

Crude Palm Oil Future



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdateprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2011-11-2520113N/AN/A-3.63%10.95%16740349385088666267956662351999030.08280.24992073835248794-182504124070817369171003586992233395233611103579998779998721439652011-09-3052.97%25.30%0.314-2.282.281.180.142.82572.23941.8790.13630.1216.6%411243
2011-08-23201122.92.290.14.13%7.27%182396326447102237179290759111336680.09490.16712078188239383-18388051588111005091004586991487615775711645679998779998721119652011-06-3056.05%25.75%0.2877-2.32.31.150.153.55392.92892.40490.13020.115220.7%381543
2011-05-06201112.82.42-3.18%3.18%144051144051770537705357757577570.07220.07222082620263722-1818898656393914N/A58699617256172512042479998879998821759672011-03-3153.49%25.04%0.248-2.272.271.20.153.20652.7622.19140.1450.126623.5%341845
2011-02-18201043.242.70.073.16%9.66%15743447375474991226376556161700870.06950.21262019787258646-17611411973943341613984434565163978241345869979999079999025439682010-12-3147.63%25.84%0.234614.95692.22.21.450.072.16761.8251.14770.14690.128112.6%262143
2010-11-24201033.652.97-2.44%6.71%11409531632053431151385416621144710.05210.14311985990279483-17065071510772222513983834565128852109862357979999179999125039712010-09-3046.83%22.03%0.2181-2.132.131.470.031.10810.72340.32160.16380.14071.8%451874
2010-08-25201023.192.260.062.12%4.25%100824202225489419795436334728090.04540.09102005610292766-1712844111564110967267234565100468277966236179999179999118799782010-06-3048.54%25.76%0.2041-2.142.141.10.081.5141.11020.89490.17090.1468.7%45859
2010-05-26201012.382.1-2.12%2.12%101401101401490134901336475364750.04560.04562022111305596-1716515567933473114173456553320419037646879999279999216319832010-03-3148.34%25.58%0.1984-2.152.150.950.11.92841.54551.19290.1780.151114.8%381348
2010-02-11200942.532.040.052.39%5.96%11683937313454369135136401831000970.05020.12511988241308201-168004013275264985788414563967767110743456579999479999418719852009-12-3146.53%26.09%0.187718.70172.12.11.110.041.3070.95260.51760.18340.1555.5%361938
2009-11-23200932.592.23-1.41%3.65%90368256295309548076723125599140.02890.07491954749314888-16398618474724122803384563960625197132592679999579999518559882009-09-3034.25%25.29%0.1817-2.052.051.130.030.98790.59830.28840.1920.1611-0.3%531653
2009-08-26200922.322.160.041.39%2.23%92675165927312844981322882367890.02860.04601959045310310-164873566000129725267245639530283564599579999579999517919882009-06-3033.76%26.86%0.1992-2.062.061.090.061.16570.87330.54470.18820.15843.6%371256
2009-05-26200912.382.0-0.83%0.83%7325273252185291852913907139070.01740.01741970431304573-16658581735158746667456391147748105044979999679999618399902009-03-3125.29%24.94%0.2137-2.082.081.110.061.50611.12490.6850.18280.15468.9%411241
2009-02-25200842.351.550.051.78%7.92%9886939360530869166274293351308220.03670.16351967951316000-16519519648051822683426932344658236844563979999879999812879962008-12-3131.22%4.97%0.29.84542.062.060.780.061.48061.08080.6250.19130.16068.9%471355
2008-11-24200831.861.4-2.90%6.25%12550929473662023135405469821014870.05870.12691973680351061-16226195103635903533396932315133382063111779999979999912239982008-09-3049.42%24.25%0.2181-2.032.030.750.041.16310.75950.30960.21640.17793.8%682176
2008-08-26200822.411.250.052.56%3.37%123433169227557337338241333545050.05170.06811946071330434-161563715606548466736932321090277634156079999979999919279972008-06-3045.15%25.84%0.1983-2.022.021.190.051.56321.30370.48540.20450.169812.5%435158
2008-05-21200813.142.2-0.82%0.82%4579445794176491764913172131720.01650.01651906590292280-16143102435796066676932325317319843733980000080000024320002008-03-3138.54%25.37%0.1376-2.022.021.50.051.98871.41020.79740.18110.153317.6%801995
2008-03-31200743.142.570.053.37%10.34%13564721658873489197302540001655600.06750.20701939935338797-16011381258589211235577N/A33746693236932380000080000022640002008-01-3154.18%26.52%0.111613.67482.02.01.410.091.43291.18560.80370.21160.174617.2%8238257
2007-12-12200733.782.57-7.63%7.63%80941809411238131238131115601115600.29240.29241963005501445-14615604099681723150000N/A4072710927310927338148838148811406492007-10-31152.97%9.90%0.0412-3.833.830.780.290.66040.55520.47640.34310.2554-96.3%26668328

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtBiological assets (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other receivables (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Dividend payable (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Other payables (L-1)
201131336236-570625111035583464321238189702-22170--36922
201121334479-571613116456583026525317190959-13880--34544
201111333096-57331612042461332442725224191268175004655-1750032799
201041331982-5769405869979571752326686190000175004229-1750029417
2010313301893459482286162357975072820221949188669175009413-1750046401
2010213290583470442240106236160112814189851880853500014091-1916736423
20101132731234813922303876468782324547147841877415375011183-2166731255
20094132646134923722525734565950523670195461864185500010034-3183424915
20093131317033074822201525926120133502615851189983350004601319991833434971
20092131217733176421667745995146142468413134189204366672514-4433337592
20091131150133277821523750449183522807314041188261426671160-4433328152
2008413111243337932146774573919576292621378018748155334913-3843333839
20083131021733431721186431216206134069724756194887553341511400001343245897
20082128018732174821030241560162782221653780194818500002151400001333330132
20081127988232272621085937339150582708913637195454500001573-1333331920
20074127972732337721324169323103702133122566195878566675999-1333366920
20073127947932419620784910927330042412815076192056800009650-19000029739

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesNegative goodwill
20113167403224310118679923-
2011218239626326299148181341-
2011114405119296259119067929-
201041574341937530664482781-
201031140951176930050760871-
201021008241260748352151921-
201011014011253862089852666-
200941168391418628946662647-
2009390368782966350559256-
2009292675840260733061114-
20091732524622109745254078-
20084988691534759119068431-
200831255091504174715662895-
200821234331440077444367369-
2008145794447746312427806-
20074135647194891035850619730
20073809411225318024993314377318

Monthly Business Data
yearmthCrude Palm OilFresh Fruits BunchesPalm Kernel
20111213797617563218
20111114342608413164
20111015582660353193
2011915636644213146
2011814089584882858
2011714580621812925
2011615421668413426
2011515202669353539
2011414432660293422
2011314003654513355
2011210381498852417
2011110562501062389
20101212938601962952
20101114039633333103
20101014682640273295
2010914665643833534
2010813858609423352
2010711497530182387
2010610806487212139
2010510807483202222
2010411091498582375
2010312364547052759
2010210689489782427
2010112501605902864
20091214578699883139
20091113975656113088
20091015620705793294
2009912697581892747
2009811671545282445
2009710346505502106
2009610837505502217
2009510462500462254
200949818469552154
2009310274502492387
200928767449592122
2009111941605662872

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables



6-Months Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
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1-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

5-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

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