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Thursday, February 16, 2012

KLCI Stock - HAIO / 7668 - 2012 Quarter 2

HAI-O ENTERPRISE BERHAD

Company Description
Hai-O Enterprise Berhad is a Malaysia-based company. The principal business of the Company involves wholesaling, retailing, multi-level marketing, pharmaceutical factory and modern Chinese medicinal clinics. The business segments of the Company include wholesale, multi level marketing, retail, manufacturing and others. The wholesale segment includes wholesaling and trading in herbal medicines and healthcare products, herbs and tea. The multi level marketing segment includes operating multi level direct marketing of healthcare and beauty products. The retail segment includes retail chain stores. The manufacturing segment includes manufacturing, producing and distributing pharmaceutical products, alcoholic and non-alcoholic drinks. The others segment includes businesses involving leasing of machinery and equipment, licensed money lender, insurance agent, advertising services, rental income, trading of clocks and investment holding.

Company Info 
Listing Date1996-12-06
Market Capital (Capital Size)452,906,231 (Small)
Par ValueRM 0.50
BoardMain
SectorTrading/Services
Major IndustryWholesaling of Healthcare Products
Sub IndustryMulti-level Marketing of Healthcare Products
Websitehttp://www.hai-o.com.my/

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E now(2.24-0.06)/0.1734 = 12.57 (Moderate)
Target Price2.25+0.06 = 2.31 (PE 13.0, EPS 0.1734, DPS 0.06)
DecisionNot interested unless stock price strong support above 2.15
Comment
Revenue increased 10.3% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 6.8%, eps increased 1.8% and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 28.3%, cash generated from operating and disposal enough to cover all expenses, stronger liquidity ratio at strong level now, lower gearing ratio at below moderate level now, all accounting ratio are good, lower inventory can indicate products demand not much different or lower, main profit contributor MLM growth
First Support Price2.15
Second Support Price1.88
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
RHB Target Price1.35 (2011-03-24)
Affin Target Price1.27 (2011-09-29)
OSK Target Price1.7 (2011-12-22)

Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity13.96%
Dividend Yield3.35%
Profit Margin20.02%
Tax Rate25.28%
Asset Turnover0.8156
Net Asset Value Per Share1.1
Net Tangible Asset per share1.09
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.65
Cash Per Share0.49
Liquidity Current Ratio4.5592
Liquidity Quick Ratio3.4036
Liquidity Cash Ratio2.7384
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.207
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.1658
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale57.3%
Days to sell the inventory82
Days to collect the receivables39
Days to pay the payables48

Technical Analysis 
SMA 202.257 (Uptrend 33 days)
SMA 502.025 (Uptrend)
SMA 1001.894 (Uptrend)
SMA 2001.96 (Same)
MACD0.120439 (Downtrend 4 days)
MACD Histogram0.011962 (Uptrend 33 days)

My notes based on 2012 quarter 2 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue and pbt mainly due to successful MLM members’ sales campaign

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced = 0.0394*4*1.1 = 0.1734, estimate PE on current price 2.24 = 12.57(DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 0.0387*4*1.05 = 0.1625, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.72/9.38 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = (0.0428+0.0318)*2*1.05 = 0.1567, estimate highest/lowest PE = 13.37/9.41 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.0318*4*1.05 = 0.1336, estimate highest/lowest PE = 17.33/14.93 (DPS 0.075)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0307*4*0.95 = 0.1167, estimate highest/lowest PE = 23.91/18.25 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0391*4 = 0.1564, estimate highest/lowest PE = 20.01/17.46 (DPS 0.12)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0714*4 = 0.2856*1.1(10% QbQ improvement adjustment) = 0.3142, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.16/8.78 (DPS 0.2)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.3729, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.42/9.17 (DPS 0.18)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.2424*4 = 0.9696, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.78/7.44(DPS 0.42)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.2217*4 = 0.8868, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.54/6.33 (DPS 0.42)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.1778*4 = 0.7112, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.44/5.76 (DPS 0.4)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.1463*4 = 0.5852, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.9/5.06 (DPS 0.4)

HAIO latest news (English)

HAIO latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdateprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2011-12-2120122N/AN/A0.023.45%6.84%5619910717211250223147868156010.03940.0780273346453229048228024200871248435264605476034077501311999451999453599012011-10-3120.02%25.28%0.8156-1.11.091.650.494.55923.40362.73840.2070.165857.3%823948
2011-09-28201211.981.6-3.51%3.51%50973509731106411064773477340.03870.03872661634602485942201396135642814146054293434456201996081996083313492011-07-3121.71%27.35%0.8242-1.061.061.570.444.34453.01232.42820.21760.172954.9%963548
2011-06-23201142.171.550.0554.02%13.55%5815622315012492413888547288290.04280.144425695344268829021268513346137836818709111196824850460611996521996524312482011-04-3021.48%28.09%0.868414.95881.021.022.120.414.39643.07042.44360.21660.172350.8%873444
2011-03-23201132.392.07-3.10%9.91%576211649949026288966347202830.03180.10162599405524378722046971114523833519270911876226430444811996541996544532142011-01-3115.66%25.80%1.015-0.990.992.290.43.36762.34581.81580.28070.212539.4%733249
2010-12-17201122.892.23-2.71%6.16%526221073749085198716132139350.03070.0698274392480497947226343536118686832709111240419236516751996541996545849862010-10-3117.26%26.97%1.23-1.091.092.690.574.9733.81793.15280.220.175142.5%542631
2010-09-29201113.252.850.023.56%3.56%54751547511078510785780478040.03910.0391273219537017444219518266119166205709111218218387525241996541996546508722010-07-3119.70%26.99%1.5271-1.061.063.080.574.31413.21222.77520.25320.196532.7%481628
2010-06-25201044.02.960.1456.62%33.54%98837511064154609562713939705970.06980.3536279064685907374210474689481984428918507254910420186709111996591996598225952010-04-3015.64%5.01%1.831411.6521.021.024.040.63.32622.53212.17040.33770.245825.2%381433
2010-03-19201034.813.60.048.64%27.18%131281412227252358016818009566590.21640.6808294528860996561208429440872810422600507251598366174410883227832273895022010-01-3119.22%27.84%1.8508-2.432.421.931.212.76741.95231.40190.42650.292323.4%482741
2009-12-222010210.864.360.19.60%18.39%132374280946286445493220186386500.24240.4638295407852226626210185360741084711495072525227240787480383273833276245472009-10-3121.64%28.61%1.7466-2.442.443.071.392.84082.13681.63710.41870.288525.2%432541
2009-09-29201018.055.75-9.70%9.70%148572148572262872628718463184630.22170.22172751948491463621902801967115826475072521253206067133183273832734738232009-07-3117.69%29.55%1.7111-2.212.212.571.22.60261.99911.43430.46170.308623.7%393049
2009-06-26200945.744.420.329.19%30.39%132885435216233057588715810522900.19160.63372482077616863061720395342741766342707333411661226095072582521825213663932009-04-3017.54%31.90%1.75347.00692.012.012.210.982.55191.95171.34540.45960.306921.5%363147
2009-03-27200934.443.32-7.38%22.44%102129302331185625258211989364800.14630.44512365137397259681625412450935930262367326611421376573560981968819682737732009-01-3118.18%33.15%1.8429-1.911.911.750.82.50191.69721.14870.47240.312819.8%472638
2008-12-18200923.343.060.16.38%14.35%87292200202153383402010889244910.13350.3003249213785925741170621192844220624947326622922254164785081552815522495492008-10-3117.57%27.29%1.7424-2.022.021.511.022.5161.77421.35760.47670.315421.5%462237
2008-09-19200913.562.86-8.44%8.44%112910112910186821868213602136020.16650.1665237670765535478161117945822363357326612905129406032681706817062728982008-07-3116.55%27.31%1.7985-1.91.91.760.932.43891.67811.29320.49190.322119.7%461936
2008-06-26200844.023.00.3213.00%33.23%133549373823264276771618984485350.23580.6028204110580385500146072537659244174152767263009455947326680519805193091922008-04-3019.79%27.19%1.83156.37051.751.742.211.082.65561.9421.49530.41290.284325.7%492546
2008-03-26200833.843.0-10.17%22.45%100481240274184614128913391295510.18120.399819151459899524413161529973268770862767227286202004787273917739172217512008-01-3118.37%26.80%1.5508-1.711.711.750.962.33791.55431.18090.4740.312827.0%682753
2007-12-19200823.42.710.087.22%12.83%8051713979312985228289096161590.13530.24031780135202754181259862090134931072767217408173014497367240672402057542007-10-3116.13%27.80%1.3927-1.791.791.711.022.4281.61751.32670.43150.292329.9%722248
2007-09-28200813.322.95-6.00%6.00%592765927698439843706370630.10500.1050159126413955139117731526049559276723053142798667235672352124622007-07-3116.61%29.01%1.052-1.671.671.890.782.58551.60251.27630.36770.260139.0%1032953
2007-06-1520074N/AN/A0.136.76%19.29%5671818934610188306087499213840.11370.3241148964380845214110880278031105027221364116753140312767265977659771464682007-04-3017.96%23.72%0.72586.84951.61.61.390.72.50381.61161.21740.36040.255752.9%1335185
2007-03-2020073N/AN/A-4.71%12.75%514011326287504204204967134430.07530.2038149121436605417105461149408794813640614661541979465964659641253312007-01-3114.60%30.18%0.3447-1.521.511.260.512.13641.38830.76430.43640.292896.4%268193236

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtAvailable-for-sale investment (A-0)Deferred tax assets (A-0)Financial assets at fair value through profit and loss (A-0)Goodwill on consolidation (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Trade receivables (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Financial assets at fair value through profit and loss (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Provision for liabilities (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
20122226258213298533960-7103844550131481814148823881-9421306448813522244349048
20121226228412698534083-7131251045620417924795621026-10026241570252477240818594
20114226255012568533250-721816154605435537442742092514510734178756793371225528290
2011322633281341853188616577295450744481352984489323284-11308198863715565300117872
2011222632811316852649316656156222351675621494170324014-11946184656165088235537947
20111-31071427852660916746184391452524616994535117986-12543395154265944258377444
201044503299-8526842168261739830709114924343959200244313187703547925070384637374
20103-25281113852692116916164099844108569795877339692-139911260836895590502216561
20102-216210538527703169960559162074803407574969435272-146351331144044689481836626
20101-182511978528004170859807124871331285964205039343-15246913739804215523366362
20094-2158115685284141716594401215507253048036228365907915733676737282780470816306
20093-1851106485284951725583431408356093029646171314667316526561342139656378915968
20092-1813222685289681733582451523478503558345587256006817070978471308523360175741
20091-16842570853301517425423513936032615470445912255915417787860759628571354725478
20084-16842741852092217512159713737326613424413742589364-779152145617393525500
20083-98340672742134517592168613904787222850469282236013-655697767134364205244
20082-98345462742136517682148215044497323925420911510296-618389969005277475418
20081-983471327421565177621803143727986246224052113446175-395476428716209085139
20074-108055342742158017852200514972767218622339271498858-320673965821216035214
20073-416780730521715174622133182019794135403262727218-45286276454327287815417

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestFinance/interest income
20122561992844200133446321538238
20121509733026196117141107304223
20114581563509190138147107436252
2011357621232923284949439350227
2011252622245022089044422503215
2011154751291120615864553170185
201049883777418820483597747204
2010313128170261261646107718200152
2010213237481943122297105957264242
201011485727768206133812358956172
200941328857435208119311070260137
200931021296153262125984752420188
20092872924186478125173027263300
2009111291051022078309518022329
200841335497186531384108775257322
20083100481494714267982773123216
2008280517361096119468828279198
200815927628551018305029675134
2007456718241734168748416272233
2007351401226510661444515272110

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersElimination/AdjustmentWholesaleRetailsManufacturingMulti-Level Marketing
201223464135662357110740-31990-
20121361913934238458658-28785-
201142258226243167011224144934179
201133022325474390213107109929037
201122879132752366811260136026731
20111314815706219448158196635241
201044309316803863513594139672583
201032964614117247795791431106241
2010235166261570577107871201108908
201012714398414627879061196130319-
200942817415674802793941672112502-
200933064472575429911784130578934-
200922208247873278510042114665898-
20091180534297446867966120291548-
2008422294128353137110291144107292-
20083262345989578341054276074711-
20082230223677316191002970759538-
20081174417080254917892118240046-
20074211125534347511181176332816-
2007318681834530246810094828584-

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersElimination/AdjustmentWholesaleRetailsManufacturingMulti-Level MarketingTechnology
20122140922928991646-5486-
2012111454944351651-4396-
20114101714091573121215780761014
20113106540730311281394351330
201121205754361117832143540508
20111108779025903072416361570
2010414321500744188722411811332
20103164014329516313820468375
2010214366155450126724121801865
20101265205412830520921209-
20094460116440266133820810-
2009359382934112517813814-
2009295934038987997910121-
20091139309360627626714241-
20084191204292442459415421237-
2008335839573891718010784-
2008233625620721074559091-
2008170113732361601655685-
20074971597210373702733904-
2007340630716033174484258-

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables



6-Months Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING




1-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

5-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

1 comments:

WenJune said...

any idea on the intrinsic value?

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