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Tuesday, February 14, 2012

KLCI Stock - KELADI / 6769 - 2012 Quarter 3

KELADI MAJU BERHAD

Company Description
Keladi Maju Berhad is a property development and investment holding company. It operates in three business segments. The property development segment is engaged in the development of residential and commercial properties. The cultivation of oil palm segment is engaged in the cultivation and sale of oil palm fruits. The others segment is engaged in investment holding. The Company's wholly owned subsidiaries include Keladi Kulim Sdn. Bhd., Keladi Land Sdn. Bhd., Ikam Maju Sdn. Bhd., Perlis Resins and Chemicals Sdn. Bhd., Bunga Raya Inn Sdn. Bhd., Neraca Rancak Sdn. Bhd. and Kekalasia (M) Sdn. Bhd.

Company Info 
Listing Date1997-05-28
Market Capital (Capital Size)144,078,900 (Small)
Par ValueRM 0.10
BoardMain
SectorProperties
Major IndustryProperty Development
Sub IndustryOil Palm & Others Crop
Websitehttp://www.keladimaju.com/

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E now(0.19-0.015)/0.0188 = 9.31 (High)
Target Price0.17+0.015 = 0.18 (PE 9.0, EPS 0.0188, DPS 0.015)
DecisionNot interested unless stock price below SMA20 and got stronger buying volume than selling
Comment
Revenue decreased 28.1% and was second consecutive quarter decreasing and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 66.4%, eps increased 4.4% but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 43.4%, cash generated from operating is more than enough to cover all expenses, stronger liquidity ratio at very strong level now, lower gearing ratio at very low level now, inventory ratio very high and sales lower, all division revenue decreasing
First Support Price0.18
Second Support Price0.17
Risk RatingMODERATE

Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity8.32%
Dividend Yield7.89%
Profit Margin76.00%
Tax Rate24.28%
Asset Turnover0.2075
Net Asset Value Per Share0.25
Net Tangible Asset per share0.25
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.74
Cash Per Share0.1
Liquidity Current Ratio8.7349
Liquidity Quick Ratio6.3822
Liquidity Cash Ratio5.6621
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.0693
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.0632
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale235.2%
Days to sell the inventory440
Days to collect the receivables71
Days to pay the payables178

Technical Analysis 
SMA 200.188 (Uptrend 7 days)
SMA 500.185 (Same)
SMA 1000.178 (Uptrend)
SMA 2000.173 (Same)
MACD0.004348 (Downtrend 1 day)
MACD Histogram0.001218 (Uptrend 6 days)

My notes based on 2012 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- The decrease in revenue was due to more properties sold and higher progress billings recognised in previous year’s corresponding period. However, the Group managed to maintain its profit before tax compared to the preceding year’s corresponding period due to higher profit margin

- The increase in the profit before tax is mainly due to completion of our on-going phases of Taman Lagenda and reduction of administrative expenses

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q3 result announced = 0.0047*4 = 0.0188, estimate PE on current price 0.19 = 9.31(DPS 0.015)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q2 result announced = 0.025(recent 4th qrt cum_eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.8/5.6 (DPS 0.015)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2012 Q1 result announced = 0.0227, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.15/6.89 (DPS 0.015)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q4 result announced = (0.0212+0.018)/2 = 0.0196, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.44/8.16 (DPS 0.015)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.017(recent 4 quarters eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.06/9.41 (DPS 0.01)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.0178*0.9 = 0.016, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.19/9.06 (DPS 0.01)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.0178 (based on last year), estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.99/7.87 (DPS 0.01)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0155 (13% drop from 0.0178), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10/9.03 (DPS 0.01)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = (0.0218+0.0289+0.019)/3 = 0.0232, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.9/5.6 (DPS 0.015)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0031*4 = 0.0124, estimate highest/lowest PE = 12.5/10.48 (DPS 0.015)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0042*4 = 0.0168, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.52/7.74 (DPS 0.015)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0031*4 = 0.0124, estimate highest/lowest PE = 14.11/8.06 (DPS 0.015)

KELADI latest news (English)

KELADI latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdateprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2011-12-1620123N/AN/A-1.82%5.62%6450336814902153353565109760.00470.01452086551318352841954722573421758532595322355915027745597583107583101402872011-10-3176.00%24.28%0.2075-0.250.250.740.18.73496.38225.66210.06930.0632235.2%44071178
2011-09-29201220.210.155-1.70%3.70%897227231479010433340974100.00450.009821770517414513720029117832993N/A595321683916839763717583107583101213292011-07-3153.39%25.89%0.2576-0.260.260.620.17.22315.49684.38940.08920.08193.1%319121167
2011-06-24201210.20.15-2.03%2.03%182591825956425642400140010.00530.00532220482530749961967416728303N/A5953264256425659577583107583101402872011-04-3030.90%26.14%0.2486-0.250.250.740.095.18373.97662.60780.1320.114191.7%314224245
2011-03-25201140.20.1750.0152.70%8.34%9618536144930203215200160650.00690.0212204288117144830192574149842842568753031121426455594867583107583101440782011-01-3151.26%-0.26248.96850.250.250.760.089.73836.98455.08860.06240.0573190.7%333145112
2010-12-17201130.2150.17-3.38%5.80%19222439968779153906331108630.00830.0143203215159994674187216870928285687530775881194532717583107583101327042010-10-3145.67%25.03%0.2877-0.240.240.730.077.08994.99693.33210.08760.0787166.5%294164119
2010-09-27201120.2050.155-0.90%2.43%81062477525096611167145320.00220.00602067092038844231863218563625N/A5307779387938610157583107583101213292010-07-3130.95%30.13%0.2795-0.240.240.670.085.85954.09212.99450.11210.0986171.4%320138156
2010-06-17201110.170.15-1.55%1.55%166691666941034103286128610.00380.00381994581489043411845681057455N/A53031602602536337583107583101175382010-04-3024.61%26.98%0.3049-0.240.240.650.077.56255.28833.60790.08260.0747160.5%286148101
2010-03-26201040.1650.150.011.24%7.50%14461589453158192052247136180.00300.018019339511823420618157218534458531429831857910048530317583107583101251212010-01-3121.84%25.21%0.30489.18790.230.230.720.079.06276.20144.49390.06670.0611161.6%30112382
2009-12-17201030.1750.145-3.30%6.37%18548444838340160895909114140.00780.0151195184159744091179210192361238531430281911310582536107583107583101137462009-10-3144.96%25.80%0.3211-0.230.230.650.076.81154.45383.35860.09120.0818148.0%31399109
2009-09-25201020.170.145-1.29%3.03%111382593533627750234555060.00310.007320251720963381218155413826196N/A430281363013630566587583107583101137462009-07-3130.18%27.93%0.3052-0.230.230.650.075.54473.59352.70430.11790.1035154.1%324107151
2009-06-26201010.1750.145-1.76%1.76%147961479643884388316131610.00420.0042192531134003734179131694095N/A4302868456845498737583107583101213292009-04-3029.66%25.23%0.4035-0.230.230.70.077.94915.28353.72520.07640.0696119.8%2309774
2009-03-27200940.190.1150.0151.28%9.37%18193744484120236242253164750.00300.021718734911499361417585016289253614028433031375327543028758310758310834142009-01-3122.65%42.77%0.39745.06310.230.230.480.068.83215.65453.74580.06680.0614120.8%25310766
2008-12-19200930.1150.1-2.25%8.20%17672562555402195053898142230.00510.0188185354118573509173497527220238417433033249516838135758310758310834142008-10-3130.57%26.64%0.3705-0.220.220.50.058.46215.08743.21950.06980.064128.7%31011781
2008-09-24200920.1250.085-3.76%6.09%27027385838793141036369103250.00840.01361906412110734441695343426427N/A433032999299946302758310758310909972008-07-3132.53%24.83%0.3413-0.220.220.550.065.08763.08172.19490.12710.1107132.5%395103176
2008-06-27200910.150.115-2.31%2.31%115561155653105310395639560.00520.00521892741793332031713413158457N/A433033615361539688758310758310985802008-04-3045.95%23.58%0.3008-0.220.220.590.055.92753.19792.21460.10670.0947155.1%671106222
2008-03-28200840.1550.120.0151.59%13.10%12422567444051315782652219060.00350.0289186012187293101167283212312739073308722150412431433037583107583101175382008-01-3132.61%33.55%0.30515.36560.220.220.70.065.52663.02052.31360.11410.1007149.3%63479224
2007-12-17200830.2450.130.013.68%11.33%14060443229688275276258192550.00830.0254183976139583060170018238211629073308722398314910457827583107583101630362007-10-3168.90%24.93%0.3193-0.220.220.980.066.63373.81793.28280.08360.0759133.7%52340123
2007-09-24200820.2750.21-5.54%7.56%189043026212989178399513129970.01250.01711844591264128151718181400386N/A308721408914089449617583107583103109072007-07-3168.71%25.28%0.2423-0.220.221.860.067.35684.46543.56010.07480.0685179.6%58783102
2007-06-2520081N/AN/A-2.28%2.28%113581135848504850348434840.04590.0459175482226392622152843122893N/A30872132113212955175831758311546952007-04-3042.70%26.29%0.1469-1.981.981.030.394.14622.33621.46130.15070.129246.7%817233212
2007-03-2920074N/AN/A0.0153.62%9.66%14427498127324206545400144150.07120.19011703652109725311492685958451826233627550727553087275831758311289122007-01-3150.77%24.56%0.08478.9431.941.940.880.414.22142.31521.6530.14380.1238417.0%1382283326

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtAvailable-for-sale investment (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Land held for property development (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Completed development properties (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Other receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-1)Property development costs (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Payables and accruals (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
201234009924404357095-221727455913853105684261712715638125305284
201224009930406455834-2180276371139747401852716063151686157135137
201214009933408654700-2182365957140557323388816474151414238784996
201144009944410754179-217305953214324812213681789215924107754830
201134009787412853886-2166853271145292952632018931122509134784674
201124009726415051342-2169761015147264632190221288122842175344423
201114009727417150900-2174553679147694242457719066122879119994341
201044009727419250251-217855307714898313198551889712256092514206
20103-97474213502884002181153610156545231695921979122846131164091
20102-97474234503184002165056658162655131811624616121876190753812
20101-97504256500294002167349873166172162064619071121945114433734
20094-9751427749756400217114302817424114218111907712198894993614
20093-98044298497534002086538135179241402198522050121463103823509
20092-98084319496834001910946302134433051840228870122311187843444
20091-981143414933040019166396881443910931652934477121739161823203
20084-981843624894040019050433031538010181221431527122098166193101
20083-9849438346820400300114578216013104064232325512468192653060
20082-98484405468024003009544961171221288101451939312629363362815
20081-98334426467844003019529551180591241164501854324171071795052622
20074-98364447465524003029130872150391194111722056224211028883882531

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesOther expenses
201236450119014737618301476-
201228972124039846818751414-
201211825914751234558584616611-
20114961842636645211702156157-
201131922221971013545882625160-
20112810675648403951151821-
2011116669110712064381883135--
201041446179699212951658115190
2010318548215297013408472790-
20102111389397092313994783-
2010114796110798773268561201-
2009418193176213096523145210548-
2009317672143912075422613654-
200922702721831773355210502413-
2009111556125256693048741027-
20084124221359722069518154031-
20083140602415374831894210150-
20082189043283547242188019316-
200811135812756158439786913-
20074144271799804820631354125236-

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersProperty developmentCultivation of Oil Palm
201233565114980
2012236569121695
20121353160581848
201143698293956
20113355177971069
2011234863451413
20111331149661372
2010432413305832
2010332717302919
2010232393341481
20101344130971355
2009434517072776
20093315163291028
20092265249001862
2009122190872248
20084201105621659
20083206125511303
20082201172771426
2008120397301425
2007424013385802

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersProperty developmentCultivation of Oil Palm
201233563490575
2012236528591124
2012135334781486
20114413630727
201133557215801
201123488041082
2011133124481113
201043242160495
201033277126636
2010232316161224
201013442853994
200943453106332
200933154022783
2009226569371225
2009122133041690
2008420120491360
2008320683731000
20082201115451031
2008120334431065
200742406214501

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables



6-Months Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com


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