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Tuesday, January 31, 2012

KLCI Stock - MITRA / 9571 - 2011 Quarter 3

MITRAJAYA HOLDINGS BERHAD

Company Description
MITRAJAYA HOLDINGS BERHAD, along with its subsidiaries, is engaged in civil engineering; building and road construction works; property development and property management; renovation work; supply of construction materials; manufacturing and selling of premix; renting of plant and machinery; photorefractive keratectomy and related services; golf management; maintenance of properties; investment holdings and quarry operations. The Company’s five major business segments operate in two principal geographical areas: Malaysia and South Africa. In Malaysia, the Company is principally involved in the civil engineering, building and road construction works, and property development. In South Africa, the Company is principally involved in civil engineering, construction works, property development and golf management.

Company Info
Listing Date1994-12-08
Market Capital (Capital Size)210,796,196 (Small)
Par ValueRM 0.50
BoardMain
SectorConstruction
Major IndustryProperty Development
Sub IndustryCivil Engineering
Websitehttp://www.mitrajaya.com.my/

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(0.52-0.03)/0.0891 = 5.50 (Moderate)
Target Price0.62+0.03 = 0.65 (PE 7.0, EPS 0.0891, DPS 0.03)
DecisionBUY if stock price near to SMA20 and buying volume is stronger than selling
Comment
Revenue decreased 3.9% and was fifth consecutive quarter decreasing (lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 30%), eps increased 31.9% but lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 29.3%, cash generated from operating not enough cover all financing expenses hence generated some cash from financing activity but still negative cash flow, lower liquidity ratio at moderate level now, lower gearing ratio at moderate level now, lower property development cost can indicate reduced of property development, lower inventory can indicate reduced construction works
First Support Price0.5
Second Support Price0.48
Risk RatingMODERATE

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity11.72%
Dividend Yield23.08%
Profit Margin30.35%
Tax Rate36.26%
Asset Turnover0.5701
Net Asset Value Per Share0.83
Net Tangible Asset per share0.82
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.57
Cash Per Share0.01
Liquidity Current Ratio2.3231
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.8632
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.0209
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.5027
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.3188
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale57.4%
Days to sell the inventory290
Days to collect the receivables128
Days to pay the payables150

Technical Analysis
SMA 200.488 (Uptrend 13 days)
SMA 500.482 (Uptrend)
SMA 1000.471 (Same)
SMA 2000.562 (Downtrend)
MACD0.004959 (Uptrend 4 days)
MACD Histogram0.004779 (Uptrend 18 days)

My notes based on 2011 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Lower revenue mainly derived from the Group property development and construction division

- Higher pbt mainly due to improved profit margin derived from both construction and property development division

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = (0.021+0.0285)*2*0.9 = 0.0891, estimate PE on current price 0.52 = 5.5(DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.021*4*0.8 = 0.0672, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.66/4.99 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = (0.0796+0.0812)*2*1.1 = 0.3538, estimate PE on current price 2.43 = 6.53(DPS 0.12), after split & bonus & free warrants then eps = 0.1049, price = 0.81, PE = 7.34(DPS 0.04)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.36(due to receivables increased), estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.69/4.94 (DPS 0.12)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.28, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.43/3.75 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.2*0.7*2 = 0.28, estimate highest/lowest PE = 3.25/3 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.12(average of 0.03 per quarter), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.5/7.5 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.08(average of 0.02 per quarter if no new big project secure for construction division), estimate highest/lowest PE = 15.13/7.63 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.08, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9/7
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.08, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.88/6.63
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.08, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.44/5.38

MITRA latest news (English)

MITRA latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdateprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2011-11-2520113N/AN/A-3.29%8.66%58353198444177094353711259296490.02850.07735025131602202357834229346794779341722207139001272147923945673833221834732011-09-3030.35%36.26%0.5701-0.830.820.570.012.32310.86320.02090.50270.318857.4%290128150
2011-08-25201120.5450.365-2.44%5.26%6071714009011862258288530183910.06700.1464534464185124235503493401014114983072513135844210955127282125590636412011-06-3019.54%26.50%0.5828-2.592.580.19N/A2.45251.01350.00210.56820.346466.3%301163131
2011-05-27201112.740.475-2.89%2.89%79373793731396513965985898580.07960.079652178318126323362340520761337974702488799252230101238201238202971682011-03-3117.59%27.19%0.6666-2.562.540.940.052.46970.99350.04570.57150.347457.5%269131106
2011-02-25201042.531.90.123.06%15.88%8803033272316403771229761507060.08120.42115083811890622305231931939463223938309176337224108528481201951203992403902010-12-3118.63%27.57%0.65454.74892.462.440.820.042.26160.78460.03280.63810.371953.9%298114124
2010-11-29201032.181.15-5.19%13.35%83362244693221686071815920409450.13250.33804917331851192091430661435159166535420208233494192640081201951211461370222010-09-3026.59%25.85%0.8148-2.362.340.490.032.39450.73620.02990.64790.376546.8%2588688
2010-08-26201021.331.02-5.33%8.30%97046161331247053855016090250250.13390.2074493995192401203963015942019413931617820861880126235371201991206461214002010-06-3025.46%24.79%0.7994-2.332.30.440.062.22580.73280.05650.68420.389542.5%2458582
2010-05-26201011.361.0-3.12%3.12%64285642851384513845893689360.07380.07384657751797701948028600545911029817723443562461569591211161211161295942010-03-3121.54%27.30%0.7638-2.22.170.490.022.28140.56990.02390.67450.38643.4%2646776
2010-02-23200941.310.710.16.39%14.76%155953326355254226058317837412140.14600.336148219320291018350279283493844756135698048182353922656122169122613830742009-12-3116.30%21.25%0.67682.0232.132.10.320.051.85640.48820.03650.77760.420840.9%29178105
2009-11-26200930.720.56-7.32%8.99%77629170402284403516119028233790.15330.1875461275201258161672600172547745281486381222094960862036124123124668695082009-09-3036.64%26.79%0.4703-1.961.920.290.052.0840.58390.04410.82530.436374.0%442134161
2009-08-27200920.630.53-1.27%1.82%578829277345506721304843510.02430.03464541492147831437423936615352139111278916045087383125356125718733332009-06-307.86%26.09%0.4063-1.791.760.330.011.93950.55980.01160.95460.472979.4%437163170
2009-05-28200910.5950.43-0.56%0.56%348913489121712171130213020.01030.01034420322106831405923134910745952294690547918155090126084126084567372009-03-316.22%40.26%0.4119-1.721.690.270.021.99090.58440.01340.96960.476680.1%419162162
2009-02-26200840.490.36-0.05%1.01%46536195287650408210423210.00080.018243284120395814064228883200674301946703943674906787126630127695455862008-12-311.40%111.85%0.451219.80621.681.650.220.022.09310.59490.01490.94940.471275.7%383142153
2008-11-26200830.480.31-0.17%1.04%4523314875167343240524250.00320.01894505632170261387323353743003039268728733946524680127623128075453062008-09-300.15%-0.5082-1.721.690.210.032.06250.58220.02610.9880.481767.4%355127138
2008-08-27200820.5750.35-0.67%0.86%5542110351824813499157220200.01230.0157439015204791140132342245623351250290597484768386128001128297659202008-06-304.48%35.55%0.5911-1.721.690.30.022.04370.70180.01980.930.466557.4%282135113
2008-05-28200810.60.45-0.19%0.19%4809748097101810184484480.00350.003541965018881913926230831512162950802904492588298128602128850758752008-03-312.12%55.21%0.6807-1.681.660.360.032.16790.69170.02710.87050.449951.7%24910693
2008-02-27200740.80.520.0151.76%3.42%80240311421782314497420181480.03250.06244385782004651391823811341693337046307232779891682645129070130565800232007-12-319.75%43.74%0.71019.9351.721.690.370.062.00490.710.05090.89420.457146.3%22711092
2007-11-28200730.870.585-1.12%1.67%7574623118136796674264639470.02040.03014617832248081529523697523579364361388423451285710271318129843131090869942007-09-304.86%17.80%0.7912-1.691.660.40.031.86750.7310.02021.01410.486839.7%19711878
2007-08-29200720.750.665-0.50%0.55%8157815543522392995119013010.00910.00994687312323061491723642516567347322187723161816537121396131146131740970482007-06-302.74%34.39%0.6179-1.681.650.450.091.57490.66940.06131.04870.495640.2%23915497
2007-05-2920071N/AN/A-0.05%0.05%73857738577567561111110.00090.000945784222405414593233788150929697290072156281888191337128602128850835912007-03-311.02%81.75%0.4544-1.71.670.390.021.60150.65830.0141.02220.489456.1%335218138
2007-02-2820064N/AN/A0.022.08%3.00%134190269804878215449493671190.03680.052544066020298614470237674110231212147357382981149242458134257135545671282006-12-316.54%39.73%0.30459.51991.651.620.310.021.8850.79750.01860.90940.4606112.4%534359230

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtDeferred tax assets (A-0)Goodwill on consolidation (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Land held for property development (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Amount due from customers (A-1)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Deposits with licensed banks (A-1)Financial assets at fair value through profit and loss (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Property development costs (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Other long-term provisions (L-0)Amount due to associated companies (L-1)Amount due to customers (L-1)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
201133428284630003550613876330310105692507401986-2516215624690071261133353--54604883203129360123578
2011234752299-35596116229280607220215485986-26335178332131758257540326--151823177346928917223550
2011135432322-356861162292795933676133394586-27098173761121654256242637--88983410450497870723362
2010436942536-359661162292843494940712725586-30248179737103206254644350--46874325459718718323052
2010334262509-37361975452893560640235434-2677019619893813146849192--44129868441767600320914
2010234173145-37368975424810896477255544-2785117634490973333552300--134377882469236852420396
2010134143148-37328974374976273228694964-3147117459964515335956009--54834713513225888419480
2009432403653-37335966175177260556954054-3539617802869443344843477--48705178687477719018350
2009331253880-373425549052812332145964541931-425361796127617634913838011294-68955513545588112716167
2009226574038-3736055490522088335180032084-509971641237392934184389911549-79981050634608340914374
2009126224479-3731555385490646577196832054-545971525227429431044735412974-8345605580798022214059
2008427023860-3731655385504374410200726894-558711467997136130655251713101-2577180516158090314064
20083284137261233616255480524445438275612851031-59308155862741073654496201840217266703538288355213873
200822623312112236760554804934415266175810161073-6205312938781012359939999185303078941056568517683214013
20081258228941193691855327476431423237610641052-69146117545815613514395051933229101761715446866986213926
200742590328611937126552555226163824659574845-7663110934493061393333581193323074462040583657573813918
2007332443633119371295038155164512017549991479151261851637581126673729339801997032173083160711887544115295
200723060377411937153503805554112192103708331887151261281571111100323940572720270321611424781092887445714917
200712990380811937115503805255284911154728140315127582155501115868386455912048032784531971077717527414593
200642969404211937118215235376960201859729115315127558157697125953399481582048032127253827740657970514470

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestShare of profit/ (loss) of associates
201135835364224957854093428-
2011260717314372892949056189-
2011179373379763396765742310-
20104880304522400972721992120-
2010383362573052772861395518-
201029704661246591128728102491-
20101642853779322574506921130-
2009415595354035264471304522182-
200937762976195511022496601793-
2009257882118746181853689315-
20091348918745812148342875-
200844653672768173345938270
2008345233220342724456832521
20082554218821289268954343273
20081480975628871239474318-
200748024034221016258873989200-
20073757466551261154272348378-
20072815787701272190579972279-
2007173857618158212477276627-
2006413419034897221898126584357-

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersProperty developmentConstructionManufacturing & tradingHealthcare
2011381416138361034184882
2011277420688335905245141
2011175537870355754524721
2010464304725032810566109
20103813321854375012975318
20102708543693472415055740
20101708391181813615694754
200941026504209590326905905
20093873453902273037334904
20092822278352132136094295
2009187018685941217884136
20084939134762474526574719
200831839102382595025784628
2008238185302928232564314
20081872140842752515534064
200741343201275187622054689
200731265212984580128894494
200721190129176121516484608
200711277131365412914453870
200641349139521131259144849

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersElimination/AdjustmentProperty developmentConstructionManufacturing & tradingHealthcare
201137752762267951171121412
201121235407014613182190
201112216179426487617273
2010450636432144793313263119
2010342310114781044220403
20102492241398710882269400
2010119080797035442260241
20094568466205904489205360
2009331218681611514187609362
2009219214829382199589375
2009112421021871347241689
2008451181622651283202157
2008313982019482316748
200821071442257153324619
2008130151020058901716
200741567369835453312686537
20073538156341491631200384
2007274824217621066396575
200712351881708119268272
2006434768237595224580767

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables



6-Months Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com


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1-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

5-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

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