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Tuesday, January 24, 2012

KLCI Stock - SUNWAY / 5211 - 2011 Quarter 3

SUNWAY BERHAD

Company Description
Sunway Berhad, formerly Alpha Sunrise Sdn Bhd, is engaged in two businesses: property and construction. Its other business divisions include quarry and building materials, trading and manufacturing, hospitality, leisure, and healthcare. It is a special purpose company formed for the acquisition of SunCity Business and the SunH Business. In its construction business, it offers designing and building services in the fields of building construction, civil engineering, infrastructure, mechanical and electrical engineering, machinery and site equipment rental, precast, foundation and piling, and stone materials. It owns 36.7% in Sunway real estate investment trust (REIT), which is managed by its subsidiary Sunway REIT Management Sdn Bhd. Sunway REIT owns a portfolio of retail and commercial properties. On November 3, 2011, it acquired Avenue Wisdom Sdn Bhd. On November 16, 2011, the Company announced that its wholly owned subsidiary, Sunway City Sdn Bhd, acquired Sunway Mall Sdn Bhd.

Company Info
Listing Date2011-08-23
IPO Price2.8
Market Capital (Capital Size)3,257,112,610 (Large)
Par ValueRM 1.00
BoardMain
SectorProperties
Major IndustryCivil Engineering
Sub IndustryTrading of Pharmaceutical & Construction Related Products
Websitehttp://www.sunway.com.my

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now2.52/0.2426 = 10.39 (Moderate)
Target Price0.2426*15.0 = 3.64 (PE 15.0, EPS 0.2426)
DecisionBUY if Bolinger upper band open and stock price above SMA20 or stock price below SMA20 and buying volume stronger than selling
Comment
Revenue decreased 6.8%, eps decreased 23.3%, cash generated from operating more than enough to cover all expenses, better liquidity ratio but still at low level now, higher gearing ratio at high level now, higher inventory and property development cost
First Support Price2.43
Second Support Price2.32
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
Maybank Target Price2.28 (2011-11-25)
HwangDBS Target Price3.3 (2011-12-20)
MIDF Target Price2.55 (2011-12-20)
TA Target Price3.16 (2011-12-20)
Affin Target Price2.79 (2011-12-27)
OSK Target Price3.31 (2011-12-27)
HLG Target Price3.12 (2012-01-10)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity%
Dividend Yield-
Profit Margin9.71%
Tax Rate20.63%
Asset Turnover0.3617
Net Asset Value Per Share2.18
Net Tangible Asset per share1.92
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share1.16
Cash Per Share0.74
Liquidity Current Ratio1.4763
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.0618
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.4253
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio1.5671
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.5766
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale38.5%
Days to sell the inventory127
Days to collect the receivables180
Days to pay the payables252

Technical Analysis
SMA 202.497 (Uptrend 23 days)
SMA 502.394 (Uptrend)
SMA 1002.268 (Uptrend)
SMA 200Not Available
MACD0.066312 (Downtrend 7 days)
MACD Histogram-0.004476 (Downtrend 5 days)

My notes based on 2011 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Lower revenue than FY11Q2 mainly due to lower revenue from construction division

- Lower pbt than FY11Q2 mainly due to lower profit from property investment division, got RM12.9 million listing expenses and loss in derivatives in current quarter

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = (0.0715+0.044)*2*1.05 = 0.2426, estimate PE on current price 2.52 = 10.39(DPS 0.081)

SUNWAY latest news (English)

SUNWAY latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdateprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2011-11-2420113N/AN/A-2.13%7.58%934031277030790736316962692242459280.05360.190376582934415435425224324285827619291099112115864253185093729789372311292505129250528693612011-09-309.71%20.63%0.3617-2.181.921.160.741.47631.06180.42531.56710.576638.5%127180252
2011-08-25201122.471.67-3.37%5.49%100256518362761470072262261084151767040.06990.11397454474423771441852932167601561191904234088549321370771404859954171551006155100635518032011-06-3014.66%20.88%N/A-1.81.591.440.651.39951.01430.44031.51440.5685N/A-N/AN/A
2011-08-16201112.662.25-2.22%2.22%833711833711792197921968289682890.04400.04407228852415020039733630786527279146125768585059111891611123196182215510061551006N/A2011-03-319.50%-N/A-1.731.52N/A0.631.43791.0160.44461.54780.5741N/A-N/AN/A

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtBiological assets (A-0)Deferred tax assets (A-0)Derivative assets (A-0)Goodwill on consolidation (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment in jointly controlled entity (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Land held for property development (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Receivables (A-0)Rock reserves (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Derivative assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-1)Property development costs (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Derivative liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Other liabilities (L-0)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Derivative liabilities (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Payables and accruals (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
2011329141662306523300951009343493243785573661315177397213713456861395373956462218035504313684015743158316710211886652202344259802773727651843229425224
2011227042429-3301051008606478974768352629724179795788118011884710098306434972753218651244642561517838696621662981196866433281786220631627767418529
2011143539833-3300959782804572337522945357151765948639176349080976327523371042530194911922006246118076612041678295193770632382196499211482787397336

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestFinance/interest incomeShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesDerivative (loss)/gainShare of net profit of jointly controlled entity
2011393403118723255672798289785927897352167511185939905
201121002565306901589722291967069790290715695438538707
201118337119702164921735280767020632380817112317328225

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersProperty developmentConstructionInvestment holdingProperty investmentManufacturing & tradingQuarry
201137374222965330510524413433614345647495
201127431223657138656512311718314016947642
2011168742203122277051200710897513310640708

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersProperty developmentConstructionInvestment holdingProperty investmentManufacturing & tradingQuarry
20113486729947164242093228722113963464
2011236969341104193222326804128153457
201111051238881449117391604712387310

Financial Quarter Segments Associate
yearqrtOthersProperty developmentConstructionProperty investment
2011371037462244416040
20112-247741393356954
20111985128301538516137

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables



6-Months Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com


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1-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

5-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

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